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☆ Trump win and threat of more tariffs raises expectations for more China stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

On the campaign trial, Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods sold to the U.S. She expects a stimulus package of more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion), with about 6 trillion yuan going towards local government debt swaps and bank recapitalization. More than 4 trillion yuan will likely go towards local government special bonds for supporting real estate, Su said. That divergence in stock performance indicates China's stimulus "will be slightly bigger than the baseline scenario," said Liqian Ren, who leads WisdomTree's quantitative investment capabilities. She estimates Beijing will add about 2 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan a year in support.

Persons: Zhu Baoliang, Trump, Su, Yue Su, —, Liqian Ren, Ren doesn't, Biden, Chris Miller, That's, China's, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Bund, Trump, Citigroup, U.S, Economist Intelligence Unit, National People's Congress, Huawei, Republicans, Senate, NBC, Republican Party, Emergency Economic, Trade Locations: Shanghai, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, U.S

But the measures that Beijing’s economic planning agency announced this week proved to be an anticlimax — the trillions of yuan that observers were hoping would be revealed never materialized. Beijing might even miss its annual growth target of 5% — a figure it often surpassed prior to the pandemic. But while Chinese officials project confidence, the markets and the country’s public seem less convinced. Its broader financial lethargy and this week’s market turmoil will hardly be welcomed by Beijing. Costphoto / NurPhoto via Getty ImagesDomestic stimulus aside, there have been outward signs that China’s economy is in trouble.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Long Wei, ”, Keyu Jin, Trump, Joe Biden, isn’t, Fu, Miao Yuqing, Miao, Alicia Garcia, Herrero, what’s, Zheng Shanjie, Yue Su, ” Su Organizations: Beijing, Traders, Investors, CSI, Getty Images, London School of Economics, The, Communist Party, U.S, AFP, Getty, “, Asia Pacific, ”, National, Reform, Economist Intelligence Unit Locations: BEIJING, Shanghai, Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Hangzhou, Long, Lianyungang, Natixis, Guizhou province, Washington

☆ China's Xi and top leaders call for halting real estate decline, responding to public concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Authorities "must work to halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery," the readout said in Chinese, translated by CNBC. The readout said leaders called for strengthening fiscal and monetary policy support, and touched on a swath of issues from employment to the aging population. Just days after the U.S. cut interest rates, the People's Bank of China on Tuesday announced a slew of planned interest rate cuts and real estate support. This real estate policy is aiming at reducing its drag on the economy." Tempering growth expectationsThe meeting readout said China would "work hard to complete" the country's full-year economic targets.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Zhiwei Zhang, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Yue Su, Zong Liang, Zong, Bruce Pang Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Communist Party, People's Bank of China, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Locations: Yuexi County, Anqing, Anhui province, China, BEIJING, Hong Kong, U.S, Beijing, JLL

☆ China is worried about overcapacity, too — but it sees the problem differently than the US
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The US treasury secretary raised concerns about China's overproduction in her recent visit to the country. China has hit back at her concerns, but it's also concerned about overcapacity, an economist says. Just like the US and all of China's trading partners, Chinese authorities are concerned about industrial overcapacity and want to curb it. She added that China's trade surplus with the world meant there might be fewer incentives for Beijing to tackle the issue. AdvertisementAnalysts expect the US debate over its trade issues with China to heat up heading into the presidential election season.

Persons: it's, —, Yue Su, Su, Janet Yellen, Janet Yellen's, Yellen, Li Qiang, Mao Ning, Mao Organizations: Service, Economist Intelligence Unit, European Union, EU, Commerce Department Locations: China, Beijing, People's Republic of China, Thailand, EU, —

☆ Yellen says U.S. plans to ‘underscore’ need for China to shift policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Monday that future discussions between the U.S. and China will focus on Beijing's need to shift its policy on industry and the economy, as she wrapped up the fourth and final full day of her trip to China on April 8. Pedro Pardo | Afp | Getty ImagesBEIJING — U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Monday that future discussions between the U.S. and China will focus on Beijing's need to change its policy on industry and the economy. Yellen said her conversations with Chinese officials during the trip discussed plans Beijing had for its economy, but she did not elaborate. Yellen also declined to share what tools the U.S. might use to prevent China's industrial policy from resulting in the loss of American jobs. During her trip, Yellen met with top Chinese officials including Premier Li Qiang in Beijing and Vice Premier He Lifeng in Guangzhou.

Persons: Janet Yellen, Pedro Pardo, Yellen, Yue Su, Su, Premier Li Qiang Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Afp, Getty, International Monetary Fund, World Bank Group, EV, The Economist Intelligence Unit, ASEAN, Consumer, Premier, Lifeng Locations: China, BEIJING, U.S, Guangzhou, Beijing, Washington ,, Europe, Hong Kong, Washington

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