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China is on edge after Trump's talk of tariffs
  + stars: | 2024-11-29 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
AdvertisementOn Monday, Donald Trump threatened more tariffs on China, blaming Beijing for fentanyl. China criticized Trump's tariff threats, calling them ineffective and unjustified. "The excuse the president-elect has given to justify his threat of additional tariffs on imports from China is farfetched," wrote China Daily in a Tuesday editorial. AdvertisementMarkets are muted as investors wait and seeGlobal markets were jolted following Trump's post on Truth Social on Monday, but the effects have been felt mostly in foreign exchange. Global firms and Chinese manufacturers have already been diversifying their operations to manage concentration risks following Trump's first term and the COVID-19 pandemic.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, he'd, George Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Wu Zhiqiang, Young Liu, Al Jazeera Organizations: Global, Deutsche Bank, Shenzhen Lingke Technology, Nikkei Asia, Apple, Macquarie Locations: China, Beijing, United States, Shenzhen, Thailand, India, Vietnam, Taipei, Al, Southeast Asia, Africa, China's
China's stimulus package has boosted market sentiment and pushed the Chinese yuan to a 16-month high. But a strong yuan could hurt exports, a key pillar of China's economy, amid weak domestic demand. AdvertisementChina's massive stimulus package for its battered economy has boosted market sentiment and injected confidence into the Chinese yuan. This means $1 could buy fewer Chinese yuan. A strong yuan is bad for exportsEven though a strong yuan signals confidence in China's economy, analysts aren't sure the gains will hold.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Vishnu, Varathan, Larry Hu, Hu, aren't, Pan, Macquarie's Hu Organizations: People's Bank of China, Service, US Federal Reserve, Macquarie Group, Lombard, Bloomberg Locations: Asia, Japan, China, Beijing, Swiss, China's
A bank employee count China’s renminbi (RMB) or yuan notes next to U.S. dollar notes at a Kasikornbank in Bangkok, Thailand, January 26, 2023. Beijing has long touted its ambitions for increasing global use of the Chinese yuan — also known as the "renminbi" or "RMB" — in an international financial market where the U.S. dollar is the dominant currency. watch nowLast year, the HKEX announced a "Dual-Counter" program that allows investors to trade Hong Kong-listed securities in Hong Kong dollars or Chinese yuan. The euro was slightly higher at 5.6%, while the U.S. dollar dominated with a nearly 85% share, the data showed. A maturing financial marketDeveloping more Chinese yuan-denominated investment products also requires a maturation of the local financial sector.
Persons: China’s renminbi, Athit Perawongmetha, Bonnie Chan, Chan, We're, SWIFT, Fred Hu, Hu, it's, Patience, Kenny Lam Organizations: Reuters, Hong Kong Exchanges, U.S ., International Monetary Fund, U.S, Primavera Capital, Sigma Asia Locations: U.S, Bangkok, Thailand, Reuters DALIAN, China, Beijing, Russia, Dalian, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Pacific
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Chinese travelers are increasingly opting for cheaper domestic destinations over foreign tourist spots. The top reason for preferring their home country was "abundant domestic travel options," the survey found, followed by "too costly" international travel. Local tourism has been a bright spot in China's recovery from Covid-19 controls that ended in late 2022. watch nowDuring a public holiday this year from May 1 to May 5, domestic tourism trips and revenue surged versus pre-pandemic levels in 2019, official data showed. Local authorities said performing arts subsidies from the local governments helped generate 48.3 million yuan in ticket sales to 230,000 people, stimulating about 460 million yuan in economic activity.
Persons: Oliver Wyman, Trip.com, Ashley Dudarenok, Ashley Dudarenok ChoZan Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, International, CNBC, China Locations: China's Guizhou province, BEIJING, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Covid, Yangzhou, Luoyang, Qinhuangdao, Guilin, Zibo, U.S, Xi'an, Guangxi, Nanjing
Read previewTesla, eager to hold on to its market share in China, is amping up its price war against its Chinese rivals amid declining sales. In China, Tesla has reduced the price of its Model 3, S, X, and Y by 14,000 yuan, or $1,930. The Model Y now costs 249,900 yuan — yet another cut from its January price of 299,900 yuan. Related storiesTesla CEO Elon Musk defended his company's pricing strategy on Sunday, writing on X that "Tesla prices must change frequently in order to match production with demand." In fact, Musk went so far as to frame his Chinese rivals as an existential threat to all automakers.
Persons: , Tesla, Li, BYD, Elon Musk, Musk Organizations: Service, Business, Li Auto, BI Locations: China
BYD teased its upcoming electric pickup truck which the Chinese auto giant said it would launch in 2024. BYD plans to launch its first electric pickup truck this year, as the Chinese giant steps up competition with global auto firms, from Ford to Tesla. The midsize-to-large pickup truck has been developed for the global market, BYD said in a press release. The pickup will look to compete with the likes of the Ford Ranger and F-150 Lightning, the Toyota Hilux and the Tesla Cybertruck. BYD doesn't sell in the U.S., the most popular market for pickup trucks, but it has a presence in other popular markets for this type of vehicle, including in Thailand.
Persons: BYD, Tesla Organizations: Ford, Toyota Locations: U.S, Thailand
"MS' Economics team believes that the announced fiscal package is insufficient to boost the economy as fiscal package remains supply-centric," Wang said. "Policy support for developing advanced production capacity will lead to increased capex in associated value chains like the industrials and IT sectors," the HSBC analysts said. All four stocks are listed in Shenzhen: Inovance — as a seller of factory automation components, Inovance should "benefit from the recovery of the discrete automation market in 2024," the HSBC analysts said. The HSBC analysts expect Innolight to increase its sales of its most advanced product, and introduce an even better product in the fourth quarter. Sanqi Entertainment — HSBC analysts expect this gaming stock can nearly double to 36 yuan a share.
Persons: Steven Sun, Wu Qing, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Xi Jinping, Michael Bloom Organizations: Beijing, Authorities, HSBC, Finance, Information, Inovance, Naura Tech, Sanqi Entertainment — HSBC Locations: China, HSBC China, Shanghai, Beijing, Chongqing —, Shenzhen
watch nowAmundi warned a possible temporary economic blockade of Taiwan could alarm the markets. Political status quo, economic worriesChina has dismissed the outcome of Taiwan's elections, saying the DPP does not represent the mainstream public opinion. On Jan. 13, Taiwan delivered an unprecedented third presidential term to the ruling DPP's Lai, considered a China skeptic. Loss of legislature to temper DPP stanceThe DPP won the presidency, but it lost its majority in the the Legislative Yuan — Taiwan's parliament. Teneo's Wildau said Beijing was likely to continue refusing official dialogues with the DPP presidential administration, but could pursue conversations with KMT leaders.
Persons: Managment, Alicia Garcia Herrero, Nataxis, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Lai Ching, DPP's Lai, Wildau, Lai, Tsai, Mr Lai's, Yuan —, Yuan, Herrero, Teneo's Wildau Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan, Asia, DPP, Economist Intelligence Unit, KMT, Taiwan People's Party Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, China, Beijing
A trust company usually manages funds for individuals, companies or other entities. The reports come two weeks after Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, another major shadow bank, declared itself “insolvent” after missing payments to its investors. Moody’s Investors Services also warned in September that China’s trust sector could face liquidity challenges during the current property downturn. The two medical trust products were related to a hospital project in Guizhou, which is one of China’s most indebted provinces, according to Cailianshe. Last month, at its twice-a-decade Central Financial Work Conference, the Chinese leadership stressed the importance of addressing risks more systematically across the financial sector and preserving overall stability.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, Cailianshe, Wanxiang, hasn’t, Zhongzhi Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Hong Kong CNN — Wanxiang Trust, Century Business Herald, Wanxiang Group, Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, , Zhongrong, Zhongzhi Enterprise Group Bloomberg, Getty, Fitch, Moody’s, Services, Kaisa, CNN Local, Financial Work Conference Locations: China, Hong Kong, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Beijing, Guizhou
Nomura has a price target of 315 yuan — for an upside of nearly 67% from Friday's close. Even after trimming their price target on the buy-rated stock, the analysts have a price target of 266 yuan — just over 40% upside from Friday's close. They have a price target of 284 yuan, or 50% upside from Friday's close. More products coming to market The company already has just over a third of the global EV battery market, with more products on the way, according to Counterpoint Research. Li Auto, which reported record deliveries in October that beat out Tesla , is launching its first purely battery-powered vehicle in December — with a new CATL battery called Qilin.
Persons: That's, Nomura, CATL, FactSet, Peter Richardson, Li Auto, Tesla, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Amperex Technology, BMW, Tesla, Union, HSBC, Revenue, VW, Mercedes, Benz, EV, Jefferies, Research, Chery, UBS Locations: Shenzhen, Friday's, EU, Thuringia, Hungary, , Jiangxi
Whether it's by train or by car, hundreds of millions of people are traveling around mainland China for a holiday called Golden Week. From the Mid-Autumn Festival on Friday, Sept. 29, to the following Friday, the break runs for an entire week to celebrate China's National Day. Morgan Stanley analysts like Hong Kong-listed CTG Duty Free , China's state-owned duty-free retail giant. Within China, domestic hotel room rates are still above 2019 levels, Morgan Stanley analysts said. On the macro front, if tourism pans out as expected this Golden Week, it will give a much-needed lift to China's the economy overall.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, They're, Oliver Wyman, Oliver Wyman's, BlackPink, Atour, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Hong, Golden, MGM China, Wynn Macau Locations: China, Hong Kong, Hainan, Macau, U.S
More Chinese companies are becoming global players. In all, BYD, state-owned SAIC and other Chinese companies gained 9% of the global electric car market in the second quarter, up from 5% in the second quarter, Counterpoint Research said. That's on top of the companies' share in the domestic Chinese market — the largest globally for autos. For the full year, XCMG has an export sales growth target of 50% growth, UBS stock analyst Phyllis Wang and a team said in a Sept. 4 note. Chinese companies have been trying to "go global" for years, with tacit encouragement from Beijing.
Persons: Lei Meng, That's, Xiao Feng, BYD, UBS's Meng, XCMG, Phyllis Wang, Mingyang, JPMorgan's Helen Zhu, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Car, UBS Securities, China Equity, SAIC, Research, Hong, Toyota, General Motors, Britannica ., Xuzhou Construction Machinery, Central, UBS, Beijing ., JPMorgan Locations: Hong Kong, Britannica, China, Shenzhen, Xuzhou, West Asia, North Africa, Central America, Europe, Central Asia, North America, Beijing, Beijing . State, Shanghai
The yuan midpoint is a reference point for trading, and caps the range between +2% and -2%. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconFriday's move comes after the onshore yuan fell to a 16-year low against the greenback on Wednesday, trading at 7.2981. The onshore yuan strengthened 0.1% against the greenback at 7.2836 on Friday, and the offshore yuan weakened marginally to 7.3057. The onshore yuan is traded on the mainland and referred to as the CNY, while the offshore yuan — traded in markets like Hong Kong and Singapore — is referred to as the CNH. It vowed to "maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level, and resolutely prevent the risk of exchange rate overshoot."
Persons: Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Nurphoto, People's Bank of, U.S, Reuters, Mizuho Bank Locations: Fuyang city, East China's Anhui, People's Bank of China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Asia, Oceania
What China's big earnings say about the consumer
  + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
But general merchandise revenue fell by 8.6% from a year ago to 81.72 billion yuan. Marketing revenue rose by 8.5% to 22.51 billion yuan. TencentLivestreaming e-commerce saw 150% year-on-year growth in gross merchandise value in the second quarter to an unspecified number. Overall, Tencent reported earnings for the quarter that missed expectations, but showed a third-straight quarter of revenue growth. The overall Taobao and Tmall Group saw revenue grow by 12% to 114.95 billion yuan.
Persons: Aly Song, Tencent, ByteDance, Tim Cook, Li Ning Organizations: Artificial Intelligence, Reuters, Electronics, Tmall, Shanghai Disney, Universal Studios Beijing, Comcast, Baidu, Adidas, Fila, Apple Apple Locations: Shanghai, China, Reuters BEIJING, Douyin, Greater China
Kevin Frayer | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Chinese tech giant Huawei on Friday reported 2.2% year-on-year growth in its consumer business revenue for the first half of the year. At 103.5 billion yuan ($14.27 billion) in first six months of 2023, Huawei's consumer revenue was less than half what the segment had generated during the same period in 2019 and 2020. watch nowCloud services brought in revenue of 24.1 billion yuan, while intelligent automotive solutions — whose products include tech for new energy vehicles — saw revenue of 1 billion yuan in the first six months of 2023. Those sales are generally counted as part of the consumer business. Looking for smartphone growthOverall revenue growth in the first half of 2023 comes off a low base.
Persons: Kevin Frayer, Donald Trump Organizations: Getty, Huawei, CNBC Locations: Dongguan, Shenzhen, China, BEIJING, U.S
The US even reminded everyone just how influential the buck is when it effectively froze Russia out of the global financial system with sanctions last year. Becoming the issuer of the global reserve currency is about trust. The US has controlled the global reserve currency for 102 years — giving it a special status in the world economy. Still, given that the country controlling the global reserve currency holds that status of an average of 94 years, history seems to indicate it's high time for a successor. Why shouldn't the financial world resemble something closer to the mosaic of cultures, politics, and nations that exists today?
Persons: Chenzi Xu, there's, Xu, , Ron Temple, Gregory Brew, Eurasia's Brew, dollarizing, Stephen Jen, Jen, we've, Stanford's Xu, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Josh Lipsky, " Lipsky, It's, Alexander Wise, Jan Loeys, Loeys, dollarization, Wise, Lazard's Temple, isn't, Phil Rosen Organizations: Stanford, Federal, European Central Bank, People's Bank of China, Lazard, Publishing, Getty Images, International Monetary Fund, Bank of International Settlements, Eurasia Group, Sandman's, Eurizon, IMF, Atlantic Council, JPMorgan Locations: Russia, Israel, France, China, America, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, India, Pakistan, Bolivia, Iraq, South Africa, Beijing
Geopolitics won't diminish the dominance of the US dollar, the Atlantic Council's Carla Norrlöf wrote. Though sanctions have discouraged dollar reserves, they also may prompt them to grow. Meanwhile, talk of a rising multi-polar world order are confusing and imprecise. But, what often gets overlooked is that the conditions that prompted these sanctions can also induce a diversification into dollars, Norrlöf wrote. Even if these efforts were enough to crash the dollar's unipolar hold on trade, Norrlöf further points out that there is very little consensus on what would actually follow.
Persons: Carla Norrlöf, Norrlöf's, , Norrlöf Organizations: Service, Atlantic Council, Project Syndicate Locations: Wall, Silicon, Russia, China, Ukraine
A hotel room at a pig theme park costs over $1,200 a night, per local media. The room went viral after a Zhejiang media outlet, Tianmu News, posted a video clip on June 25 featuring the theme park on Douyin, the Chinese version of TikTok. The theme park, which opened in August 2021, aims to promote this highly prized pig breed, which is used to make Jinhua dry-cured ham, a local specialty. Guests can get a panda pig or a year's worth of express-couriered pork upon checkout. —Zhejiang Normal University (@StudyatZJNU) December 1, 2021The theme park — which has a castle-like facade — includes a museum dedicated to the pig, a cafe, an amusement park, and a conference room, according to its website.
Persons: Organizations: Service, China News Service, Zhejiang Normal University Locations: China, Jinhua, Zhejiang, Douyin
The bank made the move over fears of secondary sanctions from the West, per RBC. Russia has been using the Chinese yuan to get around Western sanctions. Russian clients can still make yuan transfers within the Bank of China network, Semyonov added to RBC. The Chinese yuan surpassed the US dollar as the most heavily traded currency in February and March, according to Bloomberg data. Semyonov told RBC that Russian yuan transfers to the US and EU make up just 3% of all transfers in the currency.
Persons: , Russia's, Pavel Semyonov, Dmitry Lesnov, Semyonov, Finam Organizations: of, RBC, Service, The Bank of, European, Bank of China, EU, Novaya Gazeta, The, Swift, Bloomberg, Reuters Locations: of China, EU, Switzerland, Russia, The Bank of China, European Union, Modulbank, China, Novaya, Novaya Gazeta Europe, Ukraine
Tom Cruise looks like he's headed for another summer on top at the box office. A China opening could add millions of dollars to the film's gross — and to Cruise's pockets. Tom Cruise had a pretty great 2022, with a top-grossing film, a best picture nomination at the Oscars, and a slew of good press. But this isn't just good for "Mission Impossible" — it will also boost Cruise's payday, which is likely linked to the film's performance. But for Cruise, every dollar — or Yuan — that the films brings in means more money to his pocket.
Persons: Tom Cruise, Ethan Hunt, Strange, It's, Cruise, Yuan —, lister, Hunt Organizations: Epoch Times, Dominion, Variety, Cruise Locations: China, Middle Kingdom
Much of the trade was done in the Chinese yuan, per Reuters. China has ramped up the use of the yuan to buy commodities such as oil and coal from Russia. The country has been using its own currency — the yuan — for almost all of the Russian oil it bought over the past year, Reuters reported on Thursday, citing multiple trading executives with direct knowledge of the matter. The executive was likely referring to Russian crude being subject to a $60-a-barrel price cap imposed by a G7-led coalition. To contextualize this, China imported $88 billion worth of major commodities including crude oil and fuel oil from Russia in 2022 — up 52% in value from 2021.
Despite the Covid-19 pandemic, a brand called Lu Style opened four new restaurants in the last three years in Beijing and Shanghai. Since Lu Style launched in 2016, more people no longer focus on just being able to eat, said Tian Junfeng, director of operations. Tian said Lu Style will be focused on improving customer service in the coming months. The 2023 rankings selected 304 restaurants — most of which were in China, including Lu Style. Two Lu Style locations have one Michelin star each, and the France-based guide includes more than 400 restaurants in mainland China.
Future Publishing | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Debt-heavy local governments in China need new ways to raise money under a central regime that's made clear its priority is to reduce financial risks. "We should ... prevent a build-up of new debts while working to reduce existing ones," the report said regarding local governments' situation. S&P and other analysts estimate land sales account for about a quarter of local governments' total revenue. But local governments still have bills and public services to pay for. Historically, local governments were responsible for more than 85% of expenditure but only received about 60% of tax revenue, Rhodium Group said in 2021.
Overall revenue for the quarter ended Dec. 31 came in at 144.95 billion yuan ($21.07 billion), higher than the 143.89 billion yuan estimated by FactSet. Average monthly users of WeChat in China and overseas rose by 3.5% from a year ago 1.31 billion accounts in the fourth quarter. Ad spendingIn-feed ads for video accounts generated more than 1 billion yuan in revenue in the fourth quarter, Tencent said. Revenue sourcesThe largest revenue segment, which includes the giant gaming business, fell by 2% to 70.4 billion yuan in the fourth quarter, in line with FactSet estimates for 70.2 billion yuan. Tencent's second-largest revenue source, financial technology and business services revenue fell by 1% to 47.2 billion yuan, below FactSet estimates for 49.49 billion yuan.
China has been buying more energy from Russia since the Ukraine war started. Total trade between China and Russia hit a new record high in 2022, up 30% to $190 billion, according to Chinese customs figures. In particular, the energy trade has risen markedly since the onset of the war. Russian companies have been using more yuan to facilitate the increased trade with China. UnionPay, the Chinese payments system, has reportedly stopped accepting cards issued by Russian banks over fears of international sanctions, according to Russian paper Kommersant.
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