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☆ ETF world buzzing about new cash flooding into funds seen winning from Trump trades
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."

Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico

☆ An options trade that wins if the stock market and this key sector cool off in October
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

When a stock or ETF becomes overbought, it can maintain that condition for an extended period. In the one-year daily chart of Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) below, I've highlighted two similar instances from the past. RSI (Relative Strength Index): As a stock rises, the relative strength index (RSI) measures the strength of the trend. Once in overbought territory, it's advisable to wait until the RSI falls back below 70 before considering a contrarian trade. The trade To benefit from a pullback in XLY, the trade structure I am going to use is called a "bear put spread".

Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: overbought

☆ Time to dump CDs? 6 experts share 6 investing moves to make as the Fed prepares to cut rates in September.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Certain areas of the stock market that benefit from lower rates could see a boost. AdvertisementInstead, plug some money into longer-duration bonds to lock in higher returns while they're still around, Milan said. In addition to tying down solid returns, longer-duration bonds could also appreciate when rates fall, he said. AdvertisementLook at rate-sensitive areas of the stock marketCertain areas of the stock market should also benefit from Fed rate cuts. But investors should keep their eye on the labor market the more the Fed cuts rates, Young Thomas said.

Persons: —, Daniel Milan, they're, Ed Mahaffy, Mahaffy, Robert Phipps, Bernstein, Liz Young Thomas, Shmuel Shayowitz, Kristy Kim, Young Thomas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Cornerstone Financial Services, Treasury, ClientFirst Wealth Management, Corporate, Per Stirling Capital Management, Bloomberg, Bond, Index, Fed, Vanguard, ®, Schwab, Fidelity Locations: Michigan, Milan, TreasuryDirect, TomoCredit

☆ The summer trade: Here's how the S&P 500 fares between June and August—and which sectors stand out
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The major averages hit record highs in May, with the S & P 500 breaking above 5,300 for the first time. Historically, the summer months prove to be less robust for the S & P 500. July is typically a standout month, however, with the S & P 500 posting a 3.27% increase on average. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has added more than 11% in 2024. The S & P 500 tech sector averages a flat performance for June going back a decade.

Persons: It's, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC, Tech, Technology, Nvidia

☆ These 3 restaurant stocks are breaking out, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This prompted us to investigate the group further, which revealed that various stocks are sporting constructive technical formations. Restaurant stocks charts showing strength McDonalds (MCD) has had a wild ride over the last 10 months and now sits at the same price level that it was trading at last April — eleven months ago. MCD isn't the only restaurant stock that's sporting an attractive technical pattern. On the weekly chart, Restaurant Brands International (QSR) looks very similar to MCD, having formed its own inverse-head-and-shoulders formation over the last year. While this is no indication of what could happen now to MCD, YUM and QSR, it shows how breaking through multi-year resistance can attract momentum.

Persons: that's, —, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Brands, Texas

☆ A bearish options bet that capitalizes on a double-top forming in this high-flying sector
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A closer look at the 1-year daily chart of the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector (XLY) reveals the formation of a double top pattern. This is great because this allows me to construct a $1 wide put spread and risk as little as $50 to make $50 per winning trade. All I need is for XLY to drop by $1 by expiration date for this trade to double my money. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Nishant, Nishant Pant Locations: XLY

☆ Amazon shares are running into stiff resistance ahead of earnings, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Amazon (AMZN) is set to report earnings this Thursday after the bell with the stock on a roll and expectations high. However, there are signs that the impressive run may be headed for overhead resistance, according to the charts. Further, there are signs within the consumer discretionary sector that recent underperformance compared to the rest of the 'growth trade' may persist. The consumer discretionary space has been showing signs of weakness relative to the other growth/offensive sectors like technology and communications that continue to power ahead. If so, the sub-mega cap companies in consumer discretionary may have their work cut out for them.

Persons: It's, XLY, Gordon, AMZN Organizations: Edge, Netflix Locations: AMZN, TSLA, Tesla

☆ An options trade that makes money when consumer spending starts to slow down
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-26 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Like many sectors, the consumer discretionary sector has enjoyed a strong year, rallying more than 16% in 2023. Against this backdrop, one sector to watch is consumer discretionary. With this view in mind, I am looking to put on a bearish options trade on the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR fund (XLY) , which tracks the performance of the S & P 500 consumer discretionary sector. When selling credit spreads, you bring in a premium when you open the trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Wall Street's, XLY, Nishant Organizations: XLY Locations: Red

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Consumer stocks' earnings may offer clues on U.S. economy’s resilience
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Companies in the consumer discretionary spending sector reporting next week include Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) and AutoNation Inc (AN.N). Reuters GraphicsGrowing recession fears over the last year have already prompted many consumer discretionary companies to cut costs to boost margins, which may lead to positive earnings surprises this quarter, Melson said. Part of that expected growth comes from a job market that has remained robust, helping buoy consumer spending, said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group. Meanwhile, U.S. consumer sentiment inched up in April, but households expected inflation to rise over the next 12 months. Sandy Villere, a portfolio manager at Villere & Co, has winnowed his holdings of consumer discretionary stocks in anticipation of a recession later this year.

☆ We have a buyer's mentality heading into Friday's highly anticipated jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Stocks accelerated to the downside late in the session as worries resurfaced about how Friday's employment report might influence Fed policy. Depend on the data Powell's testimony Tuesday before a Senate panel and Wednesday before a House panel was lengthy and covered a broad range of issues, including rates, inflation, the debt ceiling and cryptocurrency regulation. That includes the government's February nonfarm payrolls report on Friday and the latest readings on consumer inflation and wholesale inflation next week. Economists estimate that 207,500 nonfarm jobs were created in February — less than half of January's much stronger-than-expected 517,000 additions . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ These consumer stocks may have underpriced options ahead of earnings, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-26 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Uncertainty in the consumer sector has created a potential options opportunity for investors in the final weeks of earnings season, according to Goldman Sachs. The average large-cap Consumer Staples stock has moved +/-3.7% on the day of earnings, inline with options implied moves and above the 17-year average of +/-3.2%," the note said. Additionally, Goldman analyzed the components of SPDR's consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) and consumer staples ETF (XLP) and found there are several stocks in both groups whose options are implying unusually low volatility, according to Goldman. "One-month implied volatility on the average XLY stock is only in its 44th percentile relative to the past year, despite upcoming earnings (35th percentile for the XLY ETF). The companies below are scheduled to report earnings before the next monthly options expiration date on March 17 and have options prices that are implying below average volatility.

☆ 5 contrarian investments to make now to profit as stocks defy the bears and go on a surprise rebound rally, according to a Fidelity strategy director
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Stocks have given up much of their year-to-date gains after a furious rebound rally to start 2023. Here are five contrarian investments to make if stocks rally despite a recession. Denise Chisholm, the director of quantitative market strategy at Fidelity Investments, has chosen the latter. If that's the case, Chisholm thinks stocks could enjoy a bear-defying relief rally this year. Investors looking to get exposure to Chisholm's preferred sectors can consider the following exchange-traded funds (ETFs): the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI), the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB), and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV).

☆ Did investors learn nothing from last year’s market meltdown?
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-05 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Shares of movie theater chain AMC (AMC) have soared nearly 65% so far in 2023, and AMC (AMC)’s companion preferred stock (which trades under the ticker APE as a nod to the nickname AMC (AMC) fans have given themselves on social media) has more than doubled. So did investors learn nothing from last year’s market meltdown? I don’t agree with this market rally in meme stocks,” said Erik Ristuben, chief investment strategist with Russell Investments. Another strategist agrees this recent rally for meme stocks and other speculative bets may not end well. If they’re upbeat about spending, that could keep the rally in consumer stocks going.

☆ Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson warns there's a group of stocks that are riskier than growth shares
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-04 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson is telling investors to avoid a popular trade tied to the economy. "Cyclicals probably are more risky now than the growth stocks," the firm's chief U.S. equity strategist and CIO recently told CNBC's " Fast Money ." "The growth stocks — a lot of them had their comeuppance last year with the financial conditions tightening." Cyclical stocks include shares that benefit when the economy is strengthening like retail. "There's this sort of narrative that China is reopening, inflation has peaked, [and] we can look through the valley here and start buying early cyclical stocks," he said.

☆ A veteran chartmaster expects the bear market to continue into 2023 after the latest rally fizzles — but these 4 types of stocks appear to be set up for strong gains next year
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-19 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

David Keller, StockCharts.comThe S&P 500 has pulled back from the critical technical resistance level of 4,000, Keller noted. A round number like that is not only seen as a significant milestone for psychological reasons, but it's also a key Fibonacci retracement level, Keller said. The S&P 500 will likely retest the 3,200 level at some point and will be hovering around current levels by the middle of next year, the veteran chartmaster said. It's currently at 24, down from 33.6 when the S&P 500 was at its mid-October lows. The S&P 500 can hit new highs and break the 5,000 mark by late 2023, Keller said, though he doubts a breakthrough will come any earlier than that.

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