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Leading technology stocks led an eye-popping rebound rally the past five days, driving a key ETF texchange traded fund to one of its best weeks in years. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) surged 8.2% this week, the most since Nov. 11, 2022, when the fund gained 10.04%. XLK YTD mountain Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) performance this year. Investors can thank a bounce back in megacap technology and semiconductor stocks this week that lifted all three major U.S. stock indexes. That alone suggests semiconductor stocks have lost their leadership status, at least for now, Turnquist said.
Persons: ChatGPT, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist Organizations: texchange, Microsoft, Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Apple Watch, Semiconductor, Broadcom, LPL Financial, PHLX Semiconductor Locations: XLK
The Technology Select Sector Index, which the ETF 'XLK ' tracks, is down about 9% since the all-time high on July 10. This is even though the technology sector earnings have experienced a compound annual growth rate 2.7% greater than the S & P 500. The chart below reflects the earnings growth of the Technology Sector vs. the S & P 500 over the past 20 years in a log scale. Not only has the technology sector grown earnings faster, but earnings growth has also been more stable. While technology stocks are down almost 9% from their all-time highs, those all-time highs also reflected all-time high valuations.
Persons: we've, it's Organizations: Technology, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
While many investors have been distracted by the recent drop in leading technology shares, a traditionally overlooked part of the market is seeing a major boom: consumer staples. The S & P 500 consumer staples sector hit a record on Monday, putting it more than 8% higher over the past three months. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said 142,000 jobs were created in August, well below the 161,000 expected by economists. Against this backdrop, we used the CNBC Pro Stock Screener tool to find consumer staple stocks that could outperform going forward. Kroger is expected to gain more than 12% going forward, based on analysts consensus price targets.
Persons: It's, Kroger, Bernstein, Douglas Harned Organizations: Tech, of Labor Statistics, CNBC, Stock, Kroger, Constellation Brands, Bunge Global, Modelo, Bunge, GE Aerospace, GE Locations: U.S
This is the second day in a row that stocks have reacted with relief to an inflation report. The S & P 500 is now back to where it was just before the disappointing jobs report on Aug. 2. The S & P technology sector ETF (XLK) is also back to levels before the jobs report. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) has collapsed to 17 — also where it was just before the jobs report. Despite the growth scare that followed the jobs report, there are no signs of an imminent recession.
Persons: Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Bloomberg News, Tech, Nvidia, Atlanta Fed Locations: Treasurys
Yes, the S&P 500 is just off of all-time highs following a 36% percent rally from October to July. Major stock prices begin to perform poorly, which drags down the S&P 500 Index, which in turn causes the selling of the index. The index selling puts a drag on the largest-cap stocks, which adds more legs to the index selling." The S&P 500 is up 49% since late 2022 as bears have continued to warn of downside. AdvertisementSecond, lower interest rates would spark demand and could cause inflation to resurface, which would be good for oil stocks, Smead said.
Persons: , Smead doesn't, Smead, Warren, We're, Dow, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, Stocks, LEN Organizations: Service, Business, Morningstar, Smead, Bank of America, Technology, Fund, Federal, Fed, DR, Occidental Petroleum, Apache
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Monday's Wall Street chatter as global markets sell off. — Lisa Kailai Han 7:02 a.m.: How long sell-offs typically last Bad news: The current market sell-off may have further to go. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:09 a.m.: Oppenheimer's Stoltzfus: Best to not 'jump to conclusions' Investors need to have a cool head as global markets sell off, according to Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus. — Fred Imbert 5:51 a.m.: Global markets in an 'aggressive risk-unwind', Vital Knowledge says Fears of a U.S. recession are pressuring global markets, leading investors around the world to sell some of this year's top winners, according to Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge. "Markets are caught in an aggressive risk-unwind as equities plunge around the world, with tech getting hit particularly hard," he wrote in a note Monday.
Persons: Wharton's Siegel, Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, hasn't, it's, … They're, , Lisa Kailai Han, Tom Lee, Lee, Duncan Toms, Toms, Fred Imbert, Victoria Greene, Greene, It's, Nimrit Kang, — Lisa Kailai Han, Dan Ives, Gene Goldman, Gennadiy Goldberg, Ives, Goldman, Goldberg, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Evercore, Ed Hyman, Hyman, Adam Crisafulli, Crisafulli Organizations: CNBC, Stock, Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wharton, Federal Reserve, Fundstrat Global, HSBC, G Squared, Wealth, NorthStar Asset Management, Street, Wedbush, TD Securities, Federal, NASDAQ, U.S, Fed, Global Locations: U.S, Europe, Japan, China
Amid the backdrop of the US' polarized political environment, it might seem like the differences between Harris and Trump are night and day. DWS Group identified the following three areas of the market that'll perform well under a Trump or Harris presidency. Big Tech and AI aren't going anywhere this November, according to DWS Americas Chief Investment Officer David Bianco. If Trump wins, tax cuts will provide a boost to corporate America and increase consumer spending. If Harris wins, the dollar will strengthen for different reasons.
Persons: , Harris, Trump, David Bianco, Bianco, Amanda Rebello, DWS, Frank Kelly, Biden, Kelly, Russell Organizations: Service, Trump, Big Pharma, DWS, Business, Big Tech, Republicans, Vanguard Utilities, International Stock ETF Locations: America
The stock market is facing several issues: a tech re-rating, a slower economy, a seasonally weak period and an uncertain presidential outcome. Big cap tech is getting re-rated This is what happens when the market gets top-heavy in technology. Prices for megacap tech stocks have run up dramatically in hopes of outsized earnings. Regardless, investors have been re-rating tech stocks for many weeks now. Technology stocks have been toppy for some time.
Persons: Sundar Pichai, he'd, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Matt Bartolini, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump Organizations: Technology, Cloud Computing, Semiconductor, P Technology, X Social Media, Semiconductors, Micron, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, State, Trump, Democratic Locations: SPDR Americas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCakmak: Trimming Nvidia, as most of its upside is already priced inJames Cakmak, Partner at Clockwise Capital, discusses Nvidia and the XLK ETF's rebalance.
Persons: James Cakmak Organizations: Capital, Nvidia
But investors focusing on those big three may be missing some compelling breakouts in the sector, according to the charts. Microsoft is up a pedestrian 10% since then, but combined, they've helped propel the SPDR Technology ETF (XLK) to a new all-time high. Indeed, there's nothing wrong with riding a trend, but many times a long uptrend starts with a pattern breakout. And starting in 2023, the following combination has produced the best results: rallying from a higher low as the stock's 14-day Relative Strength Index bottoms near 50. It's never perfect, but this setup has presented favorable risk-reward scenarios more often than not, and each ensuing bounce eventually resulted in higher highs.
Persons: they've, ROP, it's, It's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, SPDR Technology, Roper Technologies, Technology Locations: Here's
The usual rebalancing of the S & P 500 index and the exchange traded funds around it is a quarterly event occurring Friday. There are exchange-traded funds that follow the broad market benchmark and ETFs that track the S & P 500 sector indexes, including technology. The S & P 500 indexes are pure indexes. Nvidia could become 99% of the S & P 500 by market capitalization, and it would be reflected in the index. This trio dominates the S & P 500 technology index.
Persons: Dow, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, SPDR Technology, Broadcom, P Technology, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Regulators Locations: Americas, SPDR Americas
Nvidia is set to surpass Apple in a major technology ETF, triggering a $23 billion trade later this month. Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia are all worth more than $3 trillion amid an ongoing AI-fueled tech boom. AdvertisementNvidia is poised to overtake Apple in one of the biggest technology ETFs later this month, sparking a massive $23 billion trade. A diversification rule in the tech ETF has limited the concentration of the fund in a big way. With Nvidia set to take the second spot from Apple, it will spark a massive combined trade worth more than $20 billion.
Persons: Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Service, Business, Bloomberg News, Bloomberg
Nvidia 's blistering rally will force a major technology exchange-traded fund to acquire more than $10 billion worth of shares of the chip giant while cutting dramatically back on Apple . The index that the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) follows will soon rebalance, based on an adjusted market cap value from Friday's close. As a result, Microsoft and Nvidia will likely have a weight of around 21%, while Apple will fall sharply to about 4.5%, Bartolini said. That is a change from the prior weightings, which saw Nvidia's weight be kept artificially low by index rules. As of June 14, Microsoft and Apple were both at about 22% each in the fund, while Nvidia was just 6%.
Persons: Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini Organizations: Nvidia Corporation, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, SPDR Americas
At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing
Investors may want to be careful when buying tech stocks, as some names in the sector have become overvalued after their recent gains. Additionally, the CNBC Magnificent 7 Index has seen gains nearly twice that of the XLK and Nasdaq year to date, rising about 35%. CNBC Pro screened FactSet data for stocks in the XLK whose forward price-earnings ratio is above the S & P 500's. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 23.4, which is nearly double its five-year average P/E of 12.6. The megacap tech stock's forward P/E of 32.8 is 13.1% above its five-year average.
Persons: Jefferies, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Barclays, Broadcom, JPMorgan, Citi, UBS, Microsoft
The major averages hit record highs in May, with the S & P 500 breaking above 5,300 for the first time. Historically, the summer months prove to be less robust for the S & P 500. July is typically a standout month, however, with the S & P 500 posting a 3.27% increase on average. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has added more than 11% in 2024. The S & P 500 tech sector averages a flat performance for June going back a decade.
Persons: It's, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC, Tech, Technology, Nvidia
"We should be anticipating higher highs in the market," Lundgren, the chief market strategist at MOTR Capital Management & Research and a portfolio manager at Little Harbor Advisors, recently told Business Insider. The 28-year market veteran's upbeat sentiment is more widespread now than last fall, when the S&P 500 struggled mightily before a powerful end-of-year surge. There can be negative or positive stretches within an established bull or bear market, Lundgren noted. Only one of the ETFs tracking Lundgren's preferred sectors has beaten the S&P 500 (in dark blue) since late last summer. When adjusting for market cap, cyclicals have fared much better and have bested the equal-weight version of the S&P 500 in several cases.
Persons: , David Lundgren, Lundgren, he'd, we've Organizations: Service, MOTR Capital Management & Research, Little Harbor Advisors, Business, Yahoo Finance, Yahoo
A majority of respondents — 61% — in the latest CNBC Delivering Alpha Stock Survey believe the broader market has run too far, too fast heading into the second quarter and a pullback is near. The S & P 500 is up more than 9% in the first quarter, which would be its best start to a year since 2019. When it comes to investing domestically 26% said the Nasdaq 100 was the best place to be compared to 13% from the S & P 500. That stock is up 245% in a year and 120% in six months far outpacing every other stock in the S & P 500 except for Super Micro Computer . The rest think we're more likely to be in the 5%-to-10% range for an annual return for the S & P in the next decade.
Persons: Jerome Powell, mangers, they'd Organizations: CNBC, Alpha Stock Survey, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, bitcoin, Investors, Nvidia, Micro Locations: Japan, United Kingdom, Europe, Canada, South Korea, United States, China
A frenzy around AI-adjacent stocks fueled the sector to robust gains: the Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC) was up 43%, and the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) was up 56%. And yet, in addition to outperforming the broader market, Ivana Delevska’s Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) managed to smash its peers in the tech sector. The fund was up 88% on the year and beat 99% of similar funds, according to Morningstar data . We were like the only ones buying it at the bottom, it really felt totally abandoned,” Delevska told Business Insider. 3 AI stocks to buyThe first is chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA).
Persons: Ivana Delevska’s, , , ” Delevska, Delevska, they’re Organizations: Nasdaq, Technology, Alpha, Morningstar, Business, Citadel Asset Management, Nvidia, Palo Alto
Advertisement"I don't want to doubt this market," Salama said. Stocks will pause soon but still have upsideFollowing a brief consolidation period in early January, the S&P 500 has taken off again and set a streak of record highs. Chances are, the S&P 500 will top out around current levels of 4,900, Salama said. Even if the S&P 500 takes a hit, Salama doesn't think it will be down for long. Within the consumer discretionary sector, Salama expressed interest in e-commerce, cloud computing, and media powerhouse Amazon ( AMZN ).
Persons: , John Salama, wasn't, Salama, we've, Stocks, It's, Salama doesn't, Russell, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Devices, Apple, AMD, Communication, Healthcare Locations: what's
Fundstrat's Tom Lee believes that the technology sector will one day make up 50% of the S&P 500. During periods of extended labor shortages, like during the 1950s, 1960s, and 1990s, technology stocks significantly outperformed the S&P 500. "Technology demand, in our view, will accelerate as companies seek to offset labor shortage," Fundstrat said. "The outperformance of technology during periods of labor shortage is substantial — and we believe the forecasted 2015 to 2047 [labor shortage] to benefit technology stocks," Fundstrat said in a recent note. "We like technology/FAANG $XLK $QQQ," Lee said, referring to the mega-cap tech stocks, the technology sector, and the Nasdaq 100.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, , Tom Lee, Fundstrat, Lee Organizations: Service, Technology, Nasdaq Locations: Fundstrat
There are some trades for investors looking to avoid a possible asset bubble and other potholes that could be ahead. The standard 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose even further, a function of both the rising risk-free rate and the rising spread. Buying bonds has interest rate risk. Moreover, the spread between mortgage rates and Treasuries is unusually high. Risk-free rates stay static or even rise mildly, but if the spread narrows mortgage rates could fall, a tailwind for a mortgage portfolio.
Persons: There's, Murray Rothbard, Milton Friedman, Ben Bernanke, Bernanke's, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, Howard Marks, Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway, Marks, Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman, they've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Vanguard Value, Technology, MBS Locations: U.S, deflate, Berkshire
Five companies (Apple , Microsoft , Amazon , Nvidia and Alphabet ) make up about 25% of the S&P 500. Standard & Poor's estimates that nearly $13 trillion is directly or indirectly indexed to the S&P 500. The three largest ETFs (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , iShares Core S&P 500 ETF , and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF ) are all directly indexed to the S&P 500 and collectively have nearly $1.2 trillion in assets under management. S&P 500: Apple and others will be for sale. In addition, three companies are being added to the S&P 500: Uber , Jabil , and Builders FirstSource .
Persons: It's, JD.com, Phil Mackintosh, Robert Jankiewicz Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, Trust, Vanguard, Comcast, Exxon Mobil, Visa, Marathon Petroleum, P Global, Builders, Alaska Air, SolarEdge Technologies, CDW Corporation, Cola Europacific Partners, Roper Technologies, eBay, EBAY, Enphase Energy, Video Communications, Pfizer, Seagen, Technology, CNBC
The Arm IPO is here, but many ETFs will not be buyers
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
The Cupertino, Calif.-based company licenses its processorIPO and tech enthusiasts are excited about the Arm Holdings Plc initial pubic offering, and with good reason: it's the first big tech IPO in more than two years. However, some investors who would like to get immediate exposure to the Arm IPO through ETFs may be disappointed. However, this particular IPO highlights several difficulties that even large companies like Arm have in acquiring a broader ownership base through ETFs. The first problem is that Arm is not a U.S. company, it's British — which generally would exclude it from the S&P indexes. Potential ETF buyers: Nasdaq-100 ETF, IPO ETFsThere are some potential ETF buyers.
Persons: Matt Bartolini, Howard Silverblatt, Van Eck, Jan Van Eck, Todd Sohn, it's, Matt Kennedy, Nate Geraci, I'm Organizations: ARM Holdings, Arm Holdings, Nasdaq, Tech, ARM, P, SPDR Technology, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Street Global Advisors, Global, Renaissance, Van Eck Semiconductor, CNBC, Vanguard Total U.S, Renaissance Capital Locations: Cupertino, Calif, U.S, SPDR Americas
BOTZ has been a key beneficiary of the AI advance, garnering $594 million in inflows this year, according to FactSet. While many investors see AI as a tech play, Todd Sohn, ETF and technical strategist at Strategas Securities, believes that the benefit of industrials is an under-the-radar narrative worth taking a second glance at. And because data is what's driving AI, Maier said, larger companies like Amazon , Alphabet and Meta Platforms best retain that type of exposure. "Right now, [data] is what AI is, while we're trying to figure out where AI is going," he said. But for investors looking to diversify beyond the tech wave, Sohn affirmed that industrials are poised to benefit from the rise in AI-induced efficiency and productivity in robotics and automation companies.
Persons: Jon Maier, CNBC's Bob Pisani, Maier, it's, BOTZ, Todd Sohn, Sohn, " Sohn, AIQ, industrials Organizations: Robotics, Intelligence, Nvidia, Strategas Securities, Technology, Global Locations: BOTZ, U.S, outflows
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