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☆ Israel may have military superiority, but it lacks a clear strategic vision, say experts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | Hannah Abraham | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Experts told BI that Israel still lacks a long-term strategic vision on how to end the war. But while Israel may have military superiority in the region, it lacks a clear, long-term strategic vision to end conflict in the Middle East, according to security experts. It's clear the Israel Defense Forces have achieved a series of tactical gains in recent weeks, but they still lack a clear military strategy, security analysts told Business Insider. "Neither outcome achieves Israel's security objectives, which would represent a defeat for the IDF and could threaten the survival of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government," Pfaff said. The problem may be that Israel's security doctrine has long been based on short wars.

Persons: Israel, —, Burcu, Benjamin Netanyahu, Bashir Abbas, Chris Doyle, Doyle, They're, Anthony Pfaff, Pfaff, Benjamin Netanyahu's, " Pfaff, Moody's, Will, Edmund Fitton, Brown, Donald Trump, Netanyahu, Kamala Harris, Daniel Hoffman Organizations: Service, Israel Defense Forces, Middle East Security, Royal United Services Institute, Israel's, Stimson Center, Council, Strategic Studies, US Army War College, Guardian, of Israel, CNN, Counter, CIA, Fox Business Locations: Iran, Lebanon, Gaza, Iraq, Syria, Israel, Beirut, British, Moody's Israel

☆ $100 oil could be the October surprise no one wanted
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —The Middle East is in chaos, and the oil market is remarkably calm about it. The chill reaction in the oil market reflects a boy-who-cried-wolf mindset that has set in. Even just two years ago, oil prices skyrocketed to $130 a barrel in March 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine. Oil prices skyrocketed in 2019 when Saudi oil facilities were damaged in an attack that US officials blamed on Iran. A disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices above $100 a barrel, according to ClearView.

Persons: ”, Bob McNally, “, It’s, McNally, George W, Bush, Israel, ” Helima, Joe Biden, Croft, internationalize, Kevin Book, ClearView, it’s, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Rapidan Energy Partners, Israel, RBC Capital Markets, CNN, CIA, ClearView Energy Partners, International Energy Agency, RBC, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Citigroup, Citi Locations: New York, Iran, China, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, ” Helima Croft, Ukraine, Israel, Saudi, Strait, Hormuz, Riyadh, Persian

Israel has vowed to respond with violent force to Iran’s ballistic missile attack. Could Israel seek to target Iran's oil facilities and even its nuclear sites? One thing is clear, an Israeli official told NBC News on Wednesday — the country will retaliate swiftly. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel’s military and intelligence leaders were meeting at the defense ministry to discuss what this might look like. The last time Iran fired missiles at Israel six months ago, Washington persuaded Israel to hold back from a major response.

Persons: Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Rosh HaShana, António Guterres, Guterres, Masoud, ”, Netanyahu, obliterating, Hassan Nasrallah Organizations: NBC News, Israel, Hamas Locations: Israel, United States, Iran, Tehran, Gaza, Palestinian, Lebanon, Washington

☆ Will Israel strike Iran’s nuclear sites? Hear what expert thinks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Daniel Lewis | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

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☆ What to Know About the Hostages Still in Gaza
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( Ephrat Livni | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The four hostages were taken at the Nova music festival on Oct. 7 and were rescued in an operation in the town of Nuseirat in central Gaza early Saturday. How many hostages are still being held in Gaza? Earlier this month, the Israeli military informed the families of four hostages that they were dead and that their bodies were being held by Hamas. Israeli troops have managed to rescue only seven living hostages in three separate military operations. In December, Israeli troops accidentally fired on and killed three hostages in Gaza who were trying to reach safety.

Persons: Will Israel Organizations: Hamas, Nova Locations: Gaza, Nuseirat

☆ Iran's missile attacks showed some calculated restraint. Will Israel's response?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-14 | by ( Peter Gelling | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

It was a response to Israel's attack on an Iranian consulate building in Damascus on April 1, which killed multiple high-level Iranian commanders. But Iran knows all too well about Israel's Iron Dome and its other air defense systems, which intercepted many of the incoming projectiles. Iran also warned everyone for weeks that the attack was coming — giving Israel's allies time to prepare — and avoided targeting civilian locations. It was a response aimed at demonstrating its capabilities and saving face while — its government hopes — avoiding further escalation. On the day of the Iranian attack, thousands gathered in Tel Aviv to protest against Netanyahu's government.

Persons: —, Ian Bremmer, Michael Horowitz, Will Israel, John Kirby, Benjamin Netanyahu, Joe Biden's, Biden, Netanyahu, Benny Gantz, Israel Organizations: Service, British, Business, Eurasia Group, Le Beck, NBC's, West Bank, Iranian Locations: Iran, Israel, Iranian, Damascus, Jordanian, States, Gaza, Tel Aviv, Lebanon, Syria

☆ Live Updates: Israel Says Confrontation With Iran ‘Is Not Over’
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-14 | by ( Mike Ives | Isabel Kershner | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +8 min

The Iranian armed forces are among the biggest in the Middle East, with 580,000 soldiers and officers and also 200,000 reservists. The start of a direct military confrontation between Iran and Israel has brought renewed attention to Iran’s armed forces. Instead, Israel and Iran have been engaged in a long shadow war via air, sea, land and cyberattacks, and Israel has covertly targeted military and nuclear facilities inside Iran and killed commanders and scientists. It’s that they realize any war against Iran is a very serious war.”What sort of military threat does Iran pose? The commander in chief of Iran’s armed forces is the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the last word on all major decisions.

Persons: ”, Afshon Ostovar, “ It’s, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Fabian Hinz, “, Atta Kenare, Ostovar, Ayatollah Khamenei, Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi, Will Israel’s Organizations: Naval Postgraduate School, Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Guards, General Staff of, Armed Forces, Quds Force, Agence France, Phantoms, Iranian Army, Associated Press Locations: Tehran, Iranian, Iran, Israel, Damascus, United States, Washington, Lebanon, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Jihad, Gaza, Berlin, speedboats, Persian, Hormuz, Russia, Ukraine, Sudan, North Korea

☆ Opinion | Thomas Friedman on Why the War in Gaza ‘Has to Stop’
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( The Ezra Klein Show | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

I’ve never seen it so broken,” Thomas L. Friedman, a New York Times Opinion columnist who has been covering the Middle East for decades, tells me. It’s been just over 100 days since Hamas’s attack on Israel, and the costs of the war are staggering. In polling from late fall, 64 percent of Gazans reported that a family member had been killed or injured. Israel believes that more than 100 hostages are being held captive in Gaza, and polling reveals that Hamas has gained popularity among Palestinians while support for Israel has plummeted around the world. When this war ends, will Israel really be safer?

Persons: I’ve, ” Thomas L, Friedman, It’s, Gazans, “, Ezra Klein Organizations: New York, Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, Google, Hamas Locations: East, Israel, Gaza

☆ Wartime unity between the US and Israel will soon face its toughest test
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

CNN —Each day the pause in Israel’s war with Hamas is extended saves lives. Uncertainty, meanwhile, surrounds the future of the remaining hostages, mostly male, that Israel believes remain in Gaza. “Over the past few days I’ve been hearing this question – will Israel go back to fighting after maximizing this phase of returning our hostages? Israel must be more “cautious, more careful, more deliberate and more precise in their targeting,” one senior administration official said. How far will Israel go in testing Biden’s loyalty, forbearance and political viability if the war heats up again?

Persons: Biden, Israel, Bibas, Will Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu’s, ”, Joe Biden, CNN’s MJ Lee, Jennifer Hansler, Katie Bo Lillis, Netanyahu, Biden’s entreaty, Antony Blinken, Daniel Davis, Kasie Hunt, ” Israel, “ We’re, Naftali Bennett, ” Bennett, CNN’s Jake Tapper, “, Yehuda Beinin –, Liat, –, Beinin, Aviv, forbearance Organizations: CNN, World, Organization, West Bank, Palestinian Ministry, Health, US, Wednesday, US Army, CNN International’s, Washington, Democratic Party, Biden, Israel Locations: Israel, Gaza, Jenin, Washington, who’s, American, CNN International’s “ State, Afghanistan, Egypt, Qatar, United States

Hamas then proceeded to offer seven women and children, and three elderly people – also deemed unacceptable to the Israelis, one source said. Hamas ultimately waited until very close to the truce expiring to finally hand over a list that Israel accepted – eight new hostages, plus the two Israeli-Russians released on Wednesday, according to sources. There are now significant questions about whether the deal can survive another day or whether Israel will re-launch the fighting. Negotiators had believed before the two-day extension of the truce that Hamas would likely not be able to offer more women and children to stretch the pause beyond an eighth day. When Hamas is unable to release any more women and children alive, the understanding is that Israel will re-launch its military campaign, possibly as soon as this weekend.

Persons: Israel, –, I’ve, Benjamin Netanyahu, ”, Biden, Antony Blinken, Netanyahu, Jennifer Hansler Organizations: Dubai CNN —, CNN, Hamas Locations: Washington, Dubai, Israel, Gaza, Jerusalem

☆ Israel Needs a Biden Peace Plan - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Thomas L. Friedman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +11 min

We will either have to become captives of Netanyahu’s strategy — which could take us all down with him — or articulate our own American vision for how the Gaza war must end. That would require a Biden administration plan to create two states for two indigenous peoples living in the areas of Gaza, the West Bank and Israel. The Biden plan — are you sitting down? Resolutions 242 and 338, which was also the cornerstone for negotiations in the peace plan put forward by President Trump in 2020. Is the Palestinian Authority up to such a deal?

Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, Israel, Netanyahu, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Yoav Gallant, Benny Gantz, ”, Palestinian Authority —, Israel …, …, ” Bibi —, West Bank —, Antony Blinken, Blinken, ’, don’t, Bezalel Smotrich, Itamar Ben, — Netanyahu, —, President Trump, “ Bibi, ” Biden, Jan, ‘ Netanyahu, Gidi, Ehud Barak’s, Camp David, Grinstein, It’s, Will Israel’s, Ronald Lauder, couldn’t, Israel — Organizations: West Bank, Israel, U.S, Palestinian Authority, Palestinian, Times, Biden, National Security, Aipac, United Arab, Associated Press, Camp, Jewish, Republican, World Jewish Locations: Israel, United States, Gaza, America, Washington, Oslo, West Bank —, Tokyo, Palestinian, Europe, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jerusalem, Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain, Palestine, Saudi, Iran

☆ Israel's bombing of a refugee camp could be a turning point. Even its closest allies are expressing concern.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-04 | by ( Charles R. Davis | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

An IDF attack on a refugee camp this week, which killed dozens, caused alarm in Washington. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Biden, in particular, "didn't like this at all," one person told CNN, referencing the attack on the refugee camp. While still defending Israel's right to defend itself, Blinken said that right does not mean anything the IDF does is acceptable. "I share Israel's desire to destroy the threat from Hamas," Sen. Chris Murphy, a liberal Democrat from Connecticut, said this week.

Persons: Joe Biden, —, Biden, Israel, Israel —, Hamas's, aren't, Antony Blinken, Blinken, Benjamin Netanyahu, imploring, that's, Sen, Dick Durbin, apologism, Chris Murphy, Netanyahu Organizations: Israel, IDF, Service, Hamas, United Nations, Israel Defense Forces, UN, CNN, Israeli Locations: Israel, Palestinian, Washington, States, Gaza, United States, imploring Israel, Illinois, Connecticut

One group in particular – Hezbollah – has already clashed with Israel since Hamas’ Oct. 7 invasion of the country. “All of Lebanon, including Hezbollah – we don’t want a war,” Lebanon’s foreign minister, Abdallah Bou Habib, who is in regular contact with Hezbollah, told The New York Times. “There is Western pressure on the Lebanese government to apply pressure on Hezbollah not to go to war. We need equal pressure on them, too.”Still, Hezbollah is showing public – though, mostly symbolic to date – support of Hamas. Both Hezbollah and Hamas are supported by Iran, but Hezbollah’s military capabilities go further than those of Hamas.

Persons: –, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, ”, Abdallah Bou Habib, Naim Qassem, Qassem, ” Daniel Byman, Israel –, ” Khaled Meshaal, ” Byman Organizations: Lebanese, ., New York Times, Hamas, U.S, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Israel Locations: Gaza, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Beirut, Lebanon’s Beqaa

“All of Lebanon, including Hezbollah — we don’t want a war,” said Lebanon’s foreign minister, Abdallah Bou Habib, who is in regular contact with Hezbollah. “There is Western pressure on the Lebanese government to apply pressure on Hezbollah not to go to war. But will Israel start a war? “If the situation gets really bad in Gaza, it will be really bad for the whole region — not just Lebanon and Israel,” Mr. Bou Habib said. Israel has responded with a vast bombing campaign on Gaza, a blockade on fuel and a ground invasion.

Persons: ”, Abdallah Bou Habib, ” Ron Dermer, we’re, Mr, Dermer, Bou Habib, ” Mr, Khaled Meshaal, Meshaal, Al Arabiya, Maha Yahya, Ms, Yahya, “, Hassan Nasrallah, Israel, Nasrallah Organizations: Hezbollah, Carnegie Middle East Center Locations: Lebanon, States, Israel, Gaza, United States, Beirut, Iran

☆ Opinion: Will Israel-Hamas war mean a US-Iran escalation?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Opinion Charles Dunne | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

However, the White House has, for the moment, rightly stopped short of concluding that a major escalation is inevitable. While this risks escalation, it might be necessary — and a lack of resolve is also a risk in the face of ongoing attacks. There is a history here that goes beyond the fact that the US is allied with and supporting Israel in its war on Hamas. There has been much speculation about whether, given these well-documented ties, Iran ordered the Hamas operation in southern Israel. Miscalculations — whether by Iran, Israel, Hezbollah or even the US — could rapidly lead to a multifront regional war with casualties easily numbering in the tens of thousands.

Persons: Charles Dunne, John Kirby, Joe Biden, “, Qassem Soleimani, Bashar al, Assad, there’s, —, Biden, ”, It’s, Iran hasn’t, Israel, Geravand, it’s Organizations: US Foreign Service, Arab Center Washington DC, Middle East Institute, Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University, CNN, Hamas, White, National Security, Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Qods Force, Reuters, Washington Post, Force Locations: Iraq, Syria, Israel, Iranian, Washington, Tehran, Iran, United States, Europe, Sarajevo, Russia, Syrian, State, Lebanon, Gaza, Yemen, Hezbollah, Sudan, Egypt, Qatar, Israel’s

☆ Opinion | How Will Israel Pay for Its War?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

There, lawmakers and government ministers are tussling over how to pay for the war against Hamas. Coalition funds are an obvious potential source for the war effort because they’re not required for the basic operations of government. More recently, though, Smotrich has shown little interest in diverting funds intended for the ultra-Orthodox and the settlers to pay for the war and for aid to displaced civilians. “There really isn’t a lack of money,” Smotrich said, according to an article in TheMarker, a business daily published by Ha’aretz. Impatience with those two groups was rising even before the war.

Persons: There’s, Bezalel Smotrich, Benjamin Netanyahu, they’re, Smotrich, ” Smotrich, “, let’s, ”, isn’t, It’s Organizations: Hamas, West Bank ., Coalition, Ha’aretz Locations: Gaza, Jerusalem, TheMarker

☆ Opinion | How to Navigate a Hostage Situation Like No Other
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-21 | by ( Gershon Baskin | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +9 min

Gilad Schalit, an Israeli soldier, had been a hostage for five years before Israel and Hamas were seriously willing to work toward his release. On Friday, Hamas released two of them — an American mother and daughter — but the fate of the others remains unclear. In May 1985, Israel released 1,150 Palestinian prisoners in exchange for the return of three Israeli soldiers captured in Lebanon. Over the course of those painful episodes, the nation learned a great deal about how to work for its hostages’ release, whether through third-party negotiations, secret back channels or force. There need to be direct talks between Israel, Qatar and Hamas, and no one else.

Persons: Gilad Schalit, Ghazi Hamad, Hamas’s, Mr, Hamad, Schalit, Hamad’s, —, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ron Arad, It’s, Sasson Nuriel, Netanyahu, Israel Organizations: Hamas, Gaza, Popular Front, Liberation, Palestine, An Air Force, Islamic, International Committee, United, American Locations: Israeli, Israel, Gaza, Gaza City, American, Maalot, Lebanon, ”, Qatar, United States, Iran

☆ Opinion: How long can America continue to be arsenal to the world?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( David A. Andelman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

Tamir Kalifa/The New York Times/Redux Palestinians walk amid the rubble following Israeli airstrikes in Gaza City on October 10. Samar Abu Elouf/The New York Times/Redux Children run for cover as bombs fall near the Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City on October 9. Erik Marmor/AP Six-month-old Sama Alwadia is rescued from the rubble in Gaza City on October 9. Tamir Kalifa/The New York Times/Redux Fire and smoke rise from Gaza City following an Israeli airstrike on October 8. Ibraheem Abu Mustafa/Reuters Palestinian citizens inspect damage to their homes caused by Israeli airstrikes in Gaza City on October 8.

Persons: David A, CNN —, David Andelman, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ukraine —, Eden Guez, Violeta Santos Moura, Mohammed Salem, CNN Sergey Ponomarev, Mohammed Abed, Atef Safadi, Fatima Shbair, Tamir Kalifa, Ohad, Mohammed Soboh, Said, Noam Elimeleh Rothenberg, Yuri Cortez, Belal Khaled, Samar Abu, Amir Cohen, Ilai Bar Sade, Erik Marmor, Ali Jadallah, Oren Ziv, Mohammed Saber, Ronen Zvulun, Majdi, Ilia Yefimovich, Ramez Mahmoud, Mahmud Hams, Roi Levy, Alleruzzo, Tali Touito, Khan, Ibraheem Abu Mustafa, Jalaa Marey, Oded, Khan Younis, Ahmad Hasballah, Mohammed Fayq Abu Mostafa, Tsafrir, Ahmad Gharabli, Baz Ratner, Mustafa Hassona, Ilan Rosenberg, Eyad Baba, Itai Ron, Hadas Parush, ” Ely Ratner, ” Ratner, Ratner, “, Julianne Smith, Will, Will Israel Organizations: CNN, French Legion of, The New York Times, CBS News, David Andelman CNN, America, Ukraine, Defense, Fighters, Nova Festival, Reuters, Israel Defense Forces, New York Times, Getty, Ben Gurion, AP, Mount, Anadolu Agency, Shifa, West Bank, Rockets, Israel's, United Nations, Palestinian, Reuters Police, Reuters Rockets, [ Peoples Liberation Army, House Armed, Committee, Taiwan Relations, Senate, Washington Post, Israel, Capitol, House, Ukraine –, NATO, Taiwan Locations: United States, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Gaza, Iran, China, Taiwan, Washington, Ashkelon, Gaza City, Kfar Azza, Kfar Aza, AFP, Tel Aviv, Mount Herzel, Jerusalem, Samar, Samar Abu Elouf, Yassin, Palestinian, Beitar Ilit, Mount Herzl, Sderot, Ramat Gan, Khan Younis, Israeli, Kiryat Shmona, Itai, Beit Hanun, Rishon Lezion, Taiwan Strait, Beijing, Will Ukraine, Crimea, America

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