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☆ Taylor Swift's fans-first business strategy all goes back to a childhood interaction with LeAnn Rimes
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Callie Ahlgrim | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

In Rob Sheffield's new book about Taylor Swift, he recounts a story about her meeting LeAnn Rimes. AdvertisementThroughout her career, Taylor Swift has credited many fellow musicians as vital influences, from Joni Mitchell and Stevie Nicks to Kenny Chesney and, of course, Tim McGraw. But perched quietly atop that star-studded list is LeAnn Rimes. LeAnn Rimes performs on August 6, 2016 in London, England. AdvertisementOr, as Sheffield puts it, "LeAnn Rimes created a goddamn monster."

Persons: Rob Sheffield's, Taylor Swift, LeAnn Rimes, Swift, Rimes, —, Joni Mitchell, Stevie Nicks, Kenny Chesney, Tim McGraw, Rolling, Rob Sheffield, — Swift, Rimes superfan, Tim Ellis, Bill Mack, Taylor, Jo Hale, I've, hasn't, Sheffield, Kevin Mazur, Smokey Robinson, who've, Swift's Organizations: Service, NFL, New York Times, Sheffield, MySpace, Poets Department, Forbes Locations: Tennessee, West Reading , Pennsylvania, London, England, Mere, Vienna

☆ The economic 'no landing' could drive the S&P 500 to a 13% gain in 2025, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The bank is adding to the growing numbers of forecasts for a "no landing" of the US economy. Inflation will remain low enough to leave room for the Fed to cut interest rates, boosting stocks. The job market is proving resilient, despite tighter financial conditions and higher interest rates. AdvertisementCooling price growth sets the stage for the Fed to continue cutting interest rates, UBS said, which is bullish for stocks. The strategists added that while investors may see some volatility ahead of the November election, it's unlikely to interrupt more positive market catalysts.

Persons: — Organizations: UBS, Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New

☆ Jim Cramer says to focus more on earnings than inflation data with Fed in a cutting cycle
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Instead, he said it's more worthwhile to follow data about individual companies from the upcoming earnings season, which kicks off Friday. The CPI — which broadly measures the cost of goods and services across the U.S. — rose by 0.2% in September, sending the annual inflation rate to 2.4%. However, the inflation rate still fell from August and hit its lowest reading since February 2021. According to Cramer, whether the Fed cuts rates or not at its next meeting, the general direction of interest rates is trending down. It would take a huge hike in the CPI reading to change the Fed's stance, he said, and Thursday's figures were not extreme.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, it's, —, Cramer, that's Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ South Korea factory activity shrinks sharply as overseas demand weakens, PMI shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Aerial view of the capital city of Seoul in South Korea, seen at sunset. South Korea's factory activity contracted at the sharpest pace in 15 months in September as overseas demand slowed for the first time in the year, a private survey showed on Wednesday, suggesting a slow road to a full-blown economic recovery. Output and new orders shrank in September, after gaining for five straight months, with the steepest slump in 11 months and 15 months, respectively. Specifically, export sales to China, Japan, India and the United States weakened, according to the survey. The survey showed backlogs of work, an indicator of near-term activity, fell by the most in five months, while optimism for the year ahead weakened sharply to the lowest level since December 2022.

Persons: Usamah Bhatti Organizations: P Global, P Global Market Intelligence, Employment, Samsung Electronics, SK Locations: Seoul, South Korea, China, Japan, India, United States

☆ Slower inflation is boosting Americans’ attitudes toward the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

Washington CNN —Americans are feeling a greater sense of optimism about the US economy this month, thanks to slower inflation. Voters also see a greater likelihood that Vice President Kamala Harris will defeat former President Donald Trump in the upcoming November election. The University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey, released Friday, showed that Americans’ attitudes toward the economy improved notably this month, rising 2% from August, according to a preliminary reading. That broke a monthslong spell of consumer sentiment mostly holding steady, aside from a modest increase last month. Expectations for inflation rates in the year head declined for the fourth-straight month in September, according to the report, reaching its lowest reading since December 2020.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, ” Joanne Tsu, ”, Harris, Trump Organizations: Washington CNN, University of Michigan’s, Consumers, ABC

☆ Here’s the inflation breakdown for August 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"We'd expect inflation to continue to subside," though with "some ups and downs" in the data from month to month, House said. Housing inflation is falling but still highInflation for physical goods spiked as the U.S. economy reopened in 2021. Shelter is largest component of the CPI, and therefore has an outsized effect on inflation readings. Such data quirks mask positive news in the real-time rental market, which has seen minimal inflation for about two years, economists said. However, shelter CPI inflation has appeared to defy gravity lately: It increased on a monthly basis for two consecutive months, from 0.2% in June to 0.4% in July, and then to 0.5% in August.

Persons: Grace Cary, Sarah House, It's, hasn't, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, — Organizations: Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Department of Labor, North, Capital Economics, U.S . Federal, Finance, CPI, BLS Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America

☆ Three-year inflation outlook hits record low in New York Fed consumer survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The latest views from the monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations indicate that respondents see inflation staying elevated over the next year but then receding in the next couple of years after that. In fact, the three-year portion of the survey showed consumers expecting inflation at just 2.3%, down 0.6 percentage point from June and the lowest in the history of the survey, going back to June 2013. That's still a full percentage point away from the Fed's 2% goal but about one-third of where it was two years ago. While the medium-term outlook improved, inflation expectations on the one- and five-year horizons stood unchanged at 3% and 2.8% respectively. Respondents expect the price of gas to increase by 3.5% over the next year, 0.8 percentage point less than in June, and food to see a rise of 4.7%, which is 0.1 percentage point lower than a month ago.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: New York Federal, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed Locations: New

☆ Nvidia swings again — plus, an industrial name tied to the data center boom gets an heir-apparent
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.

Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, Blackwell, Nvidia's, Eaton, Paulo Ruiz, Ruiz, Craig Arnold, Arnold, We're, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, Nvidia, UBS, Club, Fed, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: York

☆ Stock market today: Indexes cap stellar first half of 2024 with losses even after encouraging inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US indexes ended the day lower, despite market excitement over the latest PCE data. The stock market closed 2024's first half strongly, with the S&P 500 up nearly 15%. "The soft inflation data will build the case that the Fed can start cutting rates in the coming months," LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach said. Currently, futures markets are pricing in the odds of twoThe soft inflation reading was not enough to keep the indexes in the green through Friday, but the stock market still strongly closed out the first half of 2024. Could these be harbingers of weakness to come, or will they take over as market leaders in the second half?"

Persons: —, Jeffrey Roach, that's, David Morrison, Dow, Russell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Financial, Here's

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise as traders cheer cooler PCE inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose Friday as traders took in new inflation data from the Fed's preferred price gauge. PCE inflation cooled to 2.6% last month, the lowest pace of price growth in three years. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Friday as traders took in fresh inflation data, which showed price pressures continuing to cool off in May. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:AdvertisementIn commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: —, Seema Shah Organizations: Service, Treasury, Federal, Asset Management, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: PCE, Here's

☆ One-third of single-family homes for sale are newly built, report finds. Here's what buyers need to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

While new builds are still sold for slightly more than existing homes, the price gap has significantly narrowed. Over the last six months, the median price for a new home is only about 4% higher than the median price of an existing house. Reducing the square footage of your home can help reduce construction costs as well as utility and maintenance costs down the line. Keep construction costs down: Major factors like lumber and labor costs significantly impact the cost of a new house. And depending on the kinds of materials you add to the house, builders are "adding up the tab," Veronica Fuentes, a wealth management advisor based in Washington, D.C., previously told CNBC.

Persons: Alistair Berg, Digitalvision, Nicole Bachaud, Dietz, Matthew Walsh, Walsh, homebuilders, Veronica Fuentes Organizations: Getty, Zillow Group, CNBC, U.S . Census, U.S . Department of Housing, Urban, Moody's, Washington , D.C Locations: U.S, Washington ,

☆ Inflation outlook rises, fueled by expected increases for housing costs, New York Fed survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

On a one-year basis, the expectation increased to 3.3%, up 0.3 percentage point from March and the highest since November 2023. However, expected increases in housing prices are particularly troublesome for policymakers who expected shelter costs to ease this year. Along with expected higher home costs, respondents see rents rising 9.1%, up 0.4 percentage point from the prior month. They expect food prices to increase 5.3% (up 0.2 percentage point from a month ago), gasoline to rise 4.8% (up 0.3 percentage point); and college education to increase by 9%, a 2.5 percentage point surge. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the all-items CPI to show a 3.4% increase for April from the prior year, down 0.1 percentage point from March.

Persons: Philip Jefferson, Dow Jones Organizations: Costco, Consumers, New York Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Labor Locations: Novato , California, New, New York

☆ These 2 charts show just how little faith Americans have in the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Paul Squire | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Consumers aren't buying it, per the latest monthly survey of how Americans feel about the economy. These charts show how gloomy Americans feel, despite the numbers. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementIndicators be damned: US consumers are still gloomy about the state of the economy. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: —, Joanne Hsu Organizations: Consumers, Service, University of Michigan, Business

☆ Cramer points to signs the economy is slowing that could bring rate cuts from the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer admitted it's been hard to "parse this economy," but on Tuesday he pointed to signs that it is slowing down, looking at several recent weak earnings reports and new U.S. manufacturing and services data. While some companies are posting positive financial reports, Cramer said earnings have become "spotty." He also said home furnishing retailer RH 's business was hurt by high rates and a lack of new home sales. "Real bad news for the economy," Cramer said. "But remember, we need bad news for the economy because that's what cools off inflation — something that's also noted in this PMI report."

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, it's, Cramer, CarMax, that's, RH Organizations: PMI, Global

☆ Premarket stocks: Investors are on cloud nine. That could be a bad sign
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Unsurprisingly, several flashing indicators suggest that investors are feeling good about the market:• CNN’s Fear & Greed Index: The indicator, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment including the VIX, Wall Street’s most well-known measure of expected stock volatility, is in “greed” territory. Market sentiment is often seen as a contrarian indicator. That means that when the herd is optimistic, money managers take it as a sign that stocks will fall, and vice versa. A closely watched gauge of US wholesale inflation rose at its fastest pace in months, according to new data released Thursday. In February, car sales climbed 1.8%, purchases of electronics and appliances increased 1.5% and sales at restaurants rose 0.4%.

Persons: • Charles Schwab, Yardeni, “, Alicia Wallace, Price, Gus Faucher, Read, Bryan Mena Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, of Labor Statistics, PNC Financial Services, Retail, Commerce Department, Gas Locations: New York

☆ 2024 is the year of the rate cut pivot — here's when the world's central banks will budge
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

EIU also expects the Bank of Japan will exit its negative interest rate policy in the second quarter. Markets currently expect the Fed to start with a 25-basis-point rate cut in June. Euro zoneThe European Central Bank last week also held its policy rate at a record high of 4%, signaling that it won't cut rates before June. JPMorgan said in a research note that the Turkish central bank may cut its policy rate in November and December, keeping its year-end policy rate forecast of 45%. IndonesiaIndonesia's central bank kept its benchmark policy rate at 6% in its recent meeting.

Persons: EIU, Jerome Powell, LSEG, Nomura, Perry Warjiyo, CNBC's JP Ong, BOK, Goldman Sachs, Goohoon Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Getty, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Japan, United, United States U.S, Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Swiss National Bank, UBS, Bank of Canada, Bank of, JPMorgan, Reserve Bank of, ANZ, New Zealand Auckland Savings Bank, Bank, Bank Indonesia, BMI, Fitch Solutions, U.S, Oxford Economics, Macquarie Locations: Czech, China, Japan, United States, Switzerland Swiss, Bank of Canada, Turkey, Turkish, Reserve Bank of Australia, New, Indonesia, South Korea, Asia

☆ It looks like Taylor Swift is a distant relative of Emily Dickinson — a poet she's thought to have long admired
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Joshua Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewGenealogy website Ancestry announced that Taylor Swift is distantly related to the American poet Emily Dickinson. According to Ancestry, Swift and Dickinson are sixth cousins, three times removed, tracing their roots back to the same 17th-century English immigrant. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementA Business Insider overview of the literary references in Swift's songs from last year noted that many fans think the 10th track on "Evermore" was inspired by Dickinson. The Apple TV+ series "Dickinson," which largely focuses on the poet's supposed romantic interest in Gilbert, featured the song.

Persons: —, Taylor Swift, Emily Dickinson, Swift, Dickinson, Dickinson's, Taylor, Emily Dickinson's, Sue Gilbert, Gilbert, Alena Smith Organizations: Service, Business, Poets Department, Nashville Songwriters Association, Apple Locations: American, Windsor , Connecticut, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, West Reading , Pennsylvania

☆ A little-noticed inflation report in the past could get a lot of market attention on Thursday
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

With markets on edge over the direction of inflation, a report Thursday that often flies under the economic radar is likely to take on more importance. The Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices could add to evidence that inflation is stickier than some economists and policymakers had thought. Two-year inflation breakevens, or the difference between Treasury yields and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, have surged in recent days. "But I think the labor market is a lot more fragile than people think. A report Wednesday confirmed that economic growth was solid to close out 2023, with fourth-quarter GDP accelerating at a 3.2% annualized pace adjusted for seasonal factors and inflation.

Persons: Mark Zandi, Zandi, shouldn't, we're, it's, —, Susan Collins, Collins, Dow Jones, Dow, Michelle Cluver, Cluver, I've Organizations: Moody's, Boston, Securities, Treasury, Fed, Labor, CPI, Dow Jones, optimist Locations: U.S

☆ Analysis: Taylor Swift would win any popularity contest against MAGA
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-18 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

Taylor Swift performs at the Staples Center in Los Angeles in 2015. From Taylor Swift On her birthday in 2019, Swift shared this photo of herself as a child. From Taylor Swift A 13-year-old Swift sings the National Anthem before an NBA game in Philadelphia in 2002. John Mabangalo/Pool/Getty Images Swift performs during a sold-out show at New York's Madison Square Garden in 2009. Ethan Miller/Getty Images Swift performs onstage at the Staples Center in Los Angeles during her 1989 tour in 2015.

Persons: CNN — It’s, Donald Trump, Taylor Swift, Joe Biden’s, Swift, she’s, Trump, Oprah Winfrey, Michael Smerconish, Winfrey, Barack Obama, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Polk, Scott, Andrea Swift, Jesse D, Tim McGraw, Kevin Winter, John Mabangalo, Chad Batka, Bryan Bedder, Larry Busacca, Miley Cyrus, Lucas Till, Hannah Montana, Sam Emerson, Everett, Jonas, Frank Masi, Taylor, I'm, West, Beyonce, Jeff Kravitz, Lucy Nicholson, Christopher Morris, Josh Haner, Kevin Mazur, James Taylor, Charles Sykes, Matt Sayles, Mark J, Terrill, Invision, Jimmy Fallon, Douglas Gorenstein, Nicholas Harvey, Kanye West, Kim Kardashian, Laraine Newman, Bill Hader, Taran Killam, Kristen Wiig, Keenan Thompson, Fred Armisen, Kerry Washington, Betty White, Bradley Cooper, Dana Edelson, Andrea, Ethan Miller, Tim Boyles, Selena Gomez, Jordan Strauss, Mike Coppola, John Shearer, Andrew Lloyd Webber, Brandon Urie, Katy Perry, Republic Records Jack Antonoff, Aaron Dessner, Will Heath, Seth Wenig, Terence Rushin, Travis Kelce, Patrick Smith, propping, It’s, birther, There’s Organizations: CNN, Monmouth University, Marist College, Trump, Democratic, Biden, Staples Center, NBA, of Country, Garden, New York Times, New York's Rockefeller Center, Walt Disney Co, Kanye, Madison, MTV, NBC, ACM, Academy of Country, Getty, New York's Metropolitan Museum of Art, Universal Pictures, Coachella, Republic Records, New York University, Kansas City Chiefs, Chiefs, AFC, Super, Swift, Republicans, NFL, Republican Locations: America, Monmouth, Los Angeles, West Reading , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Las Vegas, New York, Auburn Hills , Michigan, Newark , New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Frankfurt, Germany, London, Arlington , Texas, Tampa, Chicago, Atlanta, United States, Hawaii

☆ January Inflation Report Consumer Price Rises Expected to Cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

The Consumer Price Index inflation measure is set for release at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Economists expect that prices overall climbed 2.9 percent from a year earlier, the lowest reading in nearly three years. After stripping out food and fuel, which bounce around in price from month to month, a “core” price measure probably climbed 3.7 percent, slower than 3.9 percent in December. But as price increases ease up, people are beginning to report sunnier economic outlooks. More recently, price increases for key services have also begun to moderate.

Persons: Biden, Jerome H, Powell, “, ”, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal Reserve

“What we’ve seen with the Taylor Swift tour is something that we’ve not really seen before,” said Richard Clarke, an analyst at investment firm Bernstein. Taylor Swift performs at the Staples Center in Los Angeles in 2015. From Taylor Swift On her birthday in 2019, Swift shared this photo of herself as a child. From Taylor Swift A 13-year-old Swift sings the National Anthem before an NBA game in Philadelphia in 2002. John Mabangalo/Pool/Getty Images Swift performs during a sold-out show at New York's Madison Square Garden in 2009.

Persons: Tokyo CNN —, Taylor, Travis Kelce, Taylor Swift, we’ve, ”, Richard Clarke, Bernstein, “ It’s, TikTok she’d, curating, Kane Ishiyone, Swift, –, Ishiyone, Richard A, Brooks, Clarke, “, that’s, Christopher Polk, Scott, Andrea Swift, Jesse D, Tim McGraw, Kevin Winter, John Mabangalo, Chad Batka, Bryan Bedder, Larry Busacca, Miley Cyrus, Lucas Till, Hannah Montana, Sam Emerson, Everett, Jonas, Frank Masi, I'm, West, Beyoncé, Jeff Kravitz, Lucy Nicholson, Christopher Morris, Josh Haner, Kevin Mazur, James Taylor, Charles Sykes, Matt Sayles, Mark J, Terrill, Invision, Jimmy Fallon, Douglas Gorenstein, Nicholas Harvey, Kanye West, Kim Kardashian, Laraine Newman, Bill Hader, Taran Killam, Kristen Wiig, Keenan Thompson, Fred Armisen, Kerry Washington, Betty White, Bradley Cooper, Dana Edelson, Andrea, Ethan Miller, Tim Boyles, Selena Gomez, Jordan Strauss, Mike Coppola, John Shearer, Andrew Lloyd Webber, Brandon Urie, Katy Perry, Republic Records Jack Antonoff, Aaron Dessner, Will Heath, Seth Wenig, Terence Rushin, David Eulitt, Mitsumasa Etou, Akazawa, haven’t, It’s, Michele Bullock Organizations: Tokyo CNN, People, Kansas City Chiefs, Taylor, Getty, Super Bowl, Chicago Bears, dateline, Vegas, Staples Center, NBA, of Country, Garden, New York Times, New York's Rockefeller Center, Walt Disney Co, Kanye, Madison, MTV, NBC, ACM, Academy of Country, New York's Metropolitan Museum of Art, Universal Pictures, Coachella, Republic Records, New York University, Arrowhead, Chiefs, NET, Tokyo City University, Fuji, Tokyo, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Las Vegas, Philippines, Fukuoka, Japan, Germany, Austria, Netherlands, Shibuya, AFP, Asia, Washington, Las Vagas, Los Angeles, West Reading , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, New York, Auburn Hills , Michigan, Newark , New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Frankfurt, London, Arlington , Texas, Tampa, Chicago, Atlanta, Kansas City , Missouri, Asia Pacific, Singapore, Australia, East Coast

☆ Costco and TJX crushed rivals in an inflationary world. What happens as prices come down?
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-04 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Costco and TJX Companies should be able to manage the emerging transition to deflation by leveraging their deep value propositions to get customers to buy more. Average sale prices on other items like TVs have been lower while unit sales have gone higher. Membership fee revenue is some of the glue that allows Costco to keep prices so low. Costco can boost sales in either scenario by "encouraging its members to buy more items to get more savings," Feldman said. Like Costco, Feldman said the off-price retailer would need to increase revenue either through price or number of units.

Persons: won't, Joe Feldman, Jim Cramer, Rich Galanti, Galanti, Feldman, It's, They'll, Jefferies, TJX, We'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Robert Nickelsberg Organizations: Costco, TJX, Marshalls, Federal, Fed, Telsey Advisory, Kirkland, CNBC, Costco Wholesale, Getty Locations: Maxx, stoke, TJX, Colchester , Vermont

☆ Treasury yields fall ahead of economic growth numbers
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dropped 2.3 basis points to 4.1549%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond slid 2.7 basis points to 4.3851%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Thursday morning as markets await a first estimate of fourth-quarter economic growth. Wall Street will be trying to ascertain what that means for American economic growth in 2024, while the Federal Reserve will be taking the figure into account as it considers its next monetary policy move. A second major data point is due Friday in the form of December's personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Auctions will be held Thursday for $90 billion each of 4-week and 8-week Treasury bills, along with $41 billion of 7-year notes .

Organizations: Treasury, U.S, U.S . Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: U.S. economy's state of play
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Jonathan Ernst | ReutersWhat you need to know todayThe bottom lineAll eyes will be on the state of the U.S. economy as the first official reading of fourth-quarter GDP data drops Thursday morning. "Data released [Thursday] may in retrospect turn out to document the one quarter of true 'Goldilocks' conditions," Citi economist Andrew Hollenhorst wrote. Since 2016, a slew of government data was published the day before the GDP report — namely, information on business inventories and trade, which are part of the GDP calculation.

Persons: Joe Biden, Jonathan Ernst, Andrew Hollenhorst, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, —, Jeff Cox Organizations: CNBC, Flex, Reuters, Citi, Pantheon Locations: U.S, West Columbia, South Carolina

☆ Thursday's GDP report expected to show the U.S. economy at a crossroads
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

As the Commerce Department's report hits Thursday morning, Wall Street's attention almost immediately will turn to what the signs are for growth going into 2024. The report likely will "represent a sharp deceleration" from the previous period, Bank of America economist Shruti Mishra said in a client note. "Incoming data continue to point to a resilient, but cooling, U.S. economy, led by consumer spending on the back of a tight labor market, higher than expected holiday spending, and moderately strong balance sheets." In addition, the bank expects a slowdown in inventory restocking to shave close to a full percentage point off the headline number. Looking forward, Bank of America forecasts the first quarter of 2024 to show growth of just 1%.

Persons: Shruti Mishra, BofA Organizations: Street, Commerce, Bank of America, Incoming Locations: U.S

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