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☆ Kamala Harris needs to win over her doubters and detractors, analysts say — and soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a political event at the Air Zoo Aerospace & Science Experience in Portage, Michigan, on July 17, 2024. Jeff Kowalsky | AFP | Getty ImagesThe pressure is on Vice President Kamala Harris to turn around her political fortunes and win the Democratic Party's nomination, analysts say, after U.S. President Joe Biden dropped out of the presidential race. "I'm not saying it's going to be easy for Kamala Harris ... but I do think we have to give her the opportunity to be the candidate," he noted. "The vice presidential role, by its very definition, is very much behind the scenes, playing second fiddle to the president. The "Biden for President" campaign committee has officially been renamed the "Harris for President" committee, affording Harris the use of Biden team's infrastructure, staff and its $98 million in cash reserves.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Jeff Kowalsky, Joe Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Lew Lukens, I'm, she's, Lukens, CNBC's, Biden, they're, Inderjeet Parmar, Parmar, Kamala, Xavier Becerra, Jonathan Ernst, Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton, hasn't, Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, Allan Lichtman, Lichtman Organizations: Air Zoo Aerospace, Science, AFP, Getty, Democratic, U.S, Signum Global Advisors, CNBC, Politics, City , University of London, Republicans, White, Reuters, Republican, NBC, Trump, Democratic National Convention, Democratic Party, American University, Biden Locations: Portage , Michigan, America, U.S, California, Mexico, Washington , U.S, Chicago

☆ Usha Vance is the 4th person of South Asian descent to be part of the 2024 presidential campaign. Why that matters
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Chelsea Bailey | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

“It’s about time,” he said, adding the Vances “are going to represent a new generation of Americans.”The 2024 presidential campaign has seen three politicians of South Asian descent vying for the White House: Former South Carolina Gov. Since 2020, according to Pew, the number of eligible Asian American voters has increased by 2 million – roughly the population of Nebraska. According to the Asian American voter survey, the economy, education, inflation and immigration were “highly important” for Asian Americans this election cycle. Kumar said immigration is top of mind for many South Asian Republican voters because of the backlog facing millions of Hindu and Indian Americans who are waiting for green cards. Chen said the work must continue to engage with Asian American voters – many of whom are immigrant, first-time voters – to understand the key role they could play in the upcoming election.

Persons: ” Kumar, Donald Trump, Ohio Sen, JD Vance’s, Usha, ”, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Haley, Ramaswamy, Vance, Usha Vance, Chintan Patel, United States Kamala Harris, ” Patel, Patel, reimagine, ” Trump, Christine Chen, ” Chen, “ We’re, Kumar, –, Chen, “ It’s Organizations: CNN, Republican Hindu Coalition, Indian Coalition of, Republican National Committee, Yale, White, Former South Carolina Gov, Republican, Trump, Republican National Convention, Indian, Pew Research, Pew, Pacific Islander, AAPI, Advancing Justice, AARP, Voter Survey, American, Democratic Party, Asian, South Asian Republican Locations: Ohio, United States, South, Nebraska, Georgia

☆ Why election polls were so wrong in 2016 and 2020 — and what's changing to fix that
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Atkeson, a political scientist who researches election surveys and public opinion, has been conducting voter polls since 2004. She is currently a professor at Florida State University and has authored several books. "People were not answering their phones," Rachael Cobb, a political science professor at Suffolk University, told CNBC. Polarization and technology are among the obstacles that pollsters cite as complicating the task of taking accurate voter surveys. As a result, over the past several election cycles, polling organizations have made some major mistakes.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Lonna Atkeson, Atkeson, Rachael Cobb Organizations: Florida, Republican, Florida State University, CNBC, Suffolk University Locations: Loudon , New Hampshire

☆ News Outlets Declared Trump the Winner as Iowans Still Caucused
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Michael M. Grynbaum | More About Michael M. Grynbaum | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

A mere half-hour of Monday’s Iowa caucuses had elapsed when CNN projected former President Donald J. Trump as the night’s winner. The Associated Press declared Mr. Trump the victor one minute later, and soon every major network had followed suit. Ron DeSantis of Florida, who accused the news media of biasing caucusgoers who had yet to cast their votes. “Are you kidding me?” Representative Chip Roy of Texas told reporters at a DeSantis event in West Des Moines. VoteCast,” its proprietary voter survey system that the outlet said “showed Trump with an insurmountable lead.”

Persons: Donald J, Trump, —, Ron DeSantis, biasing caucusgoers, Chip Roy, ” Organizations: CNN, Associated Press, Gov, New York, Trump Locations: Iowa, Florida, Texas, West Des Moines

☆ Mexican ruling party engulfed in presidential nomination dispute
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Ebrard's campaign has for weeks said there were problems in the national voter survey to choose a MORENA candidate, and in recent days stepped up warnings. Shortly afterward, Ebrard issued a statement saying police had prevented his representatives from entering where the party was counting the national poll ballots. In another video shared on social media, Ebrard said the situation was becoming "more and more like the PRI", or the Institutional Revolutionary Party. The main opposition alliance last week selected as its presidential candidate Xochitl Galvez, a charismatic and unconventional senator of Indigenous origin who overcame an impoverished background to become a successful entrepreneur. Reporting by Dave Graham and Adriana Barrera editing by Timothy Gardner, Cassandra Garrison and Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Marcelo Ebrard, MORENA, Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, Iztapalapa, Alfonso Durazo, Durazo, Ebrard, we're, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Xochitl Galvez, Lopez Obrador, Dave Graham, Adriana Barrera, Timothy Gardner, Cassandra Garrison, Josie Kao Organizations: Mexico City Mayor, MEXICO CITY, National Regeneration, Institutional Revolutionary Party, PRI, Tuesday, Thomson Locations: Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, MORENA

People represent different countries during seminars on conflict scenarios with China, organised for youth by the Kuomintang (KMT) party, in Taipei, Taiwan May 21, 2023. Younger voters are again playing a role - but this time they are gravitating to dark horse candidate who has become the DPP's closest challenger. Ko Wen-je, a 64-year-old former Taipei mayor, has won over many younger voters with plain talk on issues such as high housing costs rather than focusing on the China threat. Some younger voters may show their hands late, so Ko's appeal to that demographic could close the gap with Lai. Although it may have a healthy lead in opinion polls, the DPP is acutely aware of the dangers of losing younger voters.

Persons: Ann Wang, Tsai Ing, William Lai, Ko Wen, Ko, Lai, Terry Guo, Chen Kuang, Chen, Hou Yu, Mao Zedong's, Ho Chih, yung, Ho, Zheng De, Zheng, Sarah Wu, Yimou Lee, Ben Blanchard, John Geddie, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Kuomintang, KMT, REUTERS, Rights, United States, Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan People's Party, Taiwanese Public, DPP, Apple, Chung Cheng, Taiwan's, ih, Reuters, Thomson Locations: China, Taipei, Taiwan, Rights TAIPEI, Beijing, United, Hong Kong, Lai, Chung Cheng University

☆ Mexico's Sheinbaum leads race for ruling party presidential ticket -poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

That has prompted many analysts to view the MORENA contest as an almost de facto presidential race. The poll showed that Ebrard was the best-known candidate, being recognized by 71% of respondents, while Sheinbaum was familiar to 66% of the public. Sheinbaum and Ebrard have long been favorites for the MORENA ticket. The poll showed the next-best placed candidate, former Interior Minister Adan Augusto Lopez, had 8% support, along with veteran leftist Gerardo Fernandez Norona. A survey published last month by Buendia & Marquez showed Sheinbaum polling at 32% support and Ebrard at 23% on the question of who should be the MORENA presidential candidate.

Persons: Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, Marquez, Sheinbaum, Marcelo Ebrard, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Ebrard, Adan Augusto Lopez, Gerardo Fernandez Norona, Natalia Siniawski, Mark Porter Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Mexico City Mayor, El Universal, Regeneration, Buendia, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, MORENA

☆ Argentina's economy teeters on the edge of deeper crisis as market anxiety grows
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Gabriel Burin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

BUENOS AIRES, April 21 (Reuters) - Argentina's economy will teeter on the edge of a deeper crisis in the run up to October's presidential vote as growing market anxiety adds to a harmful mix of drought-induced recession and skyrocketing inflation, a Reuters poll showed. Pointing to an increasingly negative outlook, the number of recession forecasts escalated to 27 of 32 respondents from just 7 of 23 in January. 3 economy into a crisis comparable to the chaotic periods of 1989-1990 and 2001-2002. For Mexico, growth prospects were slightly upgraded to 1.5% this year and 1.6% in 2024 from 1.0% and 1.8% in January - still well below the government's more optimistic scenario of a 3.0% expansion. Reporting by Gabriel Burin in Buenos Aires; Editing by Alexandra HudsonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

[1/2] People take part in a protest against the electoral reform proposed by Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and in support of the National Electoral Institute (INE) in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, November 13, 2022. Without opposition support, Lopez Obrador cannot pass his planned electoral overhaul, a constitutional reform which requires a two-thirds majority in Congress. Critics view that as a presidential power grab, something Lopez Obrador denies. If the bill founders, Lopez Obrador has mooted lesser changes that only require a simple majority. Lopez Obrador may have a last chance to reshape the INE when four of its 11 commissioners step down next April.

☆ In California's conservative Little Saigon, a progressive unravelling among Vietnamese Americans switches up Orange County politics and raises the stakes for Republicans
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( Hanna Kang | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +15 min

The race in California's 45th House district has put a spotlight on its conservative Vietnamese American voter bloc in Little Saigon. Vietnamese American voters have long leaned conservative while the Asian American vote nationwide for decades trended Democratic. Westminster is the first city in the nation to have a Vietnamese American majority on the council, she added. "But what we've seen pretty clearly is that the Vietnamese community is home to diverse political perspectives." From a larger perspective, Joe said, Steel's strategy is short-sighted because it only reaches the immigrant Vietnamese conservative subgroup.

☆ Asian Americans have some of the highest levels of support for abortion rights — and it's driving them to vote
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-05 | by ( Sakshi Venkatraman | Sakshi Venkatraman Is A Reporter For Nbc Asian America. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

With studies finding that Asian American and Pacific Islanders show some of the highest levels of support for abortion rights, community leaders are expecting this issue to drive Asian Americans to the polls — many for the first time ever. “AAPIs view abortion not as the singular act of abortion, but as health care,” said Varun Nikore, executive director of the nonprofit AAPI Victory Alliance. While some researchers point to flaws in the polling (most notably that Pew only surveyed English speakers), they say there’s no doubt that Asians show the highest level of support when it comes to abortion rights. “That tells me that abortion rights and reproductive rights are likely what’s driving that prioritization,” said Karthick Ramakrishnan, founder and director of demographic data and policy research at AAPI Data. A younger crop of Asian voters newly engaged by the Dobbs ruling are initiating these conversations with their elders, too.

☆ How Asian-led student groups are continuing affirmative action fight at Harvard and UNC
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-02 | by ( Sakshi Venkatraman | Sakshi Venkatraman Is A Reporter For Nbc Asian America. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

Due to the conservative majority on the bench, advocates fear this could signal the end of affirmative action. “That really scares me.”Voter surveys show that 69% of Asian Americans support affirmative action. “Affirmative action actually helps Asian Americans in admissions in higher education,” he said. When contacted for a statement, Students for Affirmative Action creator Edward Blum directed NBC News to a pro-SFFA action rally that had Asian speakers. While things might look bleak for the conservative majority’s eventual ruling on affirmative action, she said she’s witnessing a new generation being ushered into caring about inclusion at a systemic level.

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