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☆ Our basis case is the Fed delivers a 25 basis point cut this week, says Vanguard's Roger Hallam
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur basis case is the Fed delivers a 25 basis point cut this week, says Vanguard's Roger HallamRoger Hallam, Vanguard global head of rates, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's interest rate decision, what to expect from the central bank's policy meeting this week, whether a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut is warranted, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Vanguard's Roger Hallam Roger Hallam Organizations: Fed, Vanguard
☆ US stocks are overvalued because of unrealistic expectations for AI-powered economic growth, Vanguard says
  + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Investors are too optimistic about the near-term prospects of AI, Vanguard said. "This is double the annualized rate of the 1920s, when electricity lit up the nation," Vanguard wrote. AdvertisementBut Vanguard global chief economist Joe Davis thinks expectations are too high, and says that stocks are overvalued even if the AI boom plays out as anticipated. For context, the S&P 500's trailing one-year earnings growth rate through the second quarter of 2024 was 10.9%, according to FactSet data. That's probably not going to happen, which means we're unlikely to experience an AI-driven economic boom in 2025," he said.
Persons: —, Joe Davis, It's, Davis, BlackRock Organizations: Vanguard, Service
☆ Job gains slow, but rising wages, low unemployment keep Fed hikes on track
  + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Howard Schneider | Thomson Reuters | Covers The U.S. Federal Reserve | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
"The economy is still adding more jobs than new entrants to the labor market," wrote Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joseph Davis and Senior International Economist Andrew Patterson. Wage growth "remains well above levels the Fed would be comfortable with" in the fight to return inflation to the 2% target. With job growth in prior months revised down by more than 100,000 jobs, the June jobs report is "a fairly soft print" with three-month average job gains now at 244,000 compared to more than 400,000 a year ago, said Omair Sharif of Inflation Insights. But progress towards a more balanced labor market is coming "slowly, slowly...These are still healthy figures" even as the pace softens. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns, Nick Zieminski, Andrea Ricci and Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Joseph Davis, Andrew Patterson, Omair Sharif, Austan Goolsbee, Let's, Goolsbee, Jerome Powell, Powell, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Nick Zieminski, Andrea Ricci, Chizu Organizations: Federal Reserve, Vanguard Global, Senior, Fed, Chicago Fed, CNBC, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Labor Statistics, Thomson Locations: U.S
☆ 'Staying the course is the play,' advisor says. 4 tips to help weather market volatility
  + stars: | 2023-03-22 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
"In the months ahead, volatility may come and go," Vanguard global chief economist Joe Davis said last week. "And for all of us, I think it's important to remember to focus on what we can control," he said. By staying invested in the markets, investors have a better chance of success when it comes to achieving their long-term goals, Davis said. There are a few things to keep in mind that can help you stick through market turbulence, advisors say. "It's important to remember that by staying invested, you're playing the game of compounding your returns," Boneparth said.
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