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AdvertisementAs many Americans struggle with a high cost of living, Gen X is in a particularly tight spot. Gen X has the highest income of all but also the highest debt. As a Bank of America Institute research note said, Gen X has seen its discretionary spending drop the most of all generations. The analysis attributed that, in part, to Gen Xers trying to sock away more for retirement and investing more. AdvertisementBut as Bank of America notes, Gen X is in the "sandwich" phase of life: Some are juggling supporting adult children and older relatives.
Persons: X, Gen X, Xers —, they're, Xers, Gen Xers, I'm, Wendy Graham, Barbara Lose, Graham, who's, Xer Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Philadelphia Fed, Bank of America Institute, of Labor Statistics, Bank of America, University of Michigan's Locations: Philadelphia, Florida
AdvertisementShoppers are willing to spend this holiday season, but many are still budget-conscious. Shoppers appear ready to spend this holiday season, but many aren't giving up the search for bargains just yet. Multiple signals suggest that some shoppers feel less pinched financially as the biggest shopping season of the year ramps up. As such, many are looking for good deals, as they have been for much of this year, while still spending on the holiday season. Friday's retail sales growth showed "a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season," National Retail Federation Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said.
Persons: Claire Tassin, Tassin, Milton, Jack Kleinhenz, Kleinhenz, Doug McMillon, John Rainey, Rick Gomez Organizations: Shoppers, Morning, Retailers, Nordstrom, Bank of America Institute, University of Michigan's, Hurricanes, Retail Federation, Census Bureau, Walmart, Target
Halloween spending is forecast to drop by 5% this year, as inflation hits household spending. AdvertisementHalloween shoppers are tightening their wallets this year, but the season's biggest retailer is eyeing America's next big holiday — Christmas. As consumers are forecast to spend less on Halloween, spooky season retail giant Spirit Halloween is seeking to capture a slice of the much-larger Christmas market. AdvertisementSpirit Halloween CEO Steven Silverstein said on Wednesday that the company, which has over 1,500 Halloween locations, is opening "Spirit Christmas" stores. AdvertisementWhile inflation looms over Americans' Halloween budgets, winter holiday spending is expected to rise by 7% this year, per a PwC report.
Persons: , Steven Silverstein, Silverstein, Kym Sarkos, Erica Weisgerber, Plimpton, Jerry Murray Organizations: Service, National Retail Federation, The New York Times, New York, Debevoise, Plimpton LLP, Bloomberg, University of, Business Insider Locations: Cheddar, Atlantic City, Albany, Poughkeepsie , New York, The
CNBC Daily Open: Stocks are dancing in September
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Andrew Kelly | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks' defiant showing this September was helped by positive sentiment generated by the U.S. Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut and upbeat economic data. Relatedly, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for September rose to a better-than-forecast 70.1 from 67.9 in August. "Inflation continues to keep its head down, and while economic growth may be slowing, there's no indication it's falling off a cliff."
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, , Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Pia Singh Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, U.S . Federal, University of, U.S . Bureau, Atlanta Locations: U.S .
CNBC Daily Open: Shiny September days for stocks
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Brendan Mcdermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks' defiant showing this September was helped by positive sentiment generated by the U.S. Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut and upbeat economic data. Relatedly, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for September rose to a better-than-forecast 70.1 from 67.9 in August. "Inflation continues to keep its head down, and while economic growth may be slowing, there's no indication it's falling off a cliff."
Persons: Brendan Mcdermid, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, , Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Pia Singh Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, U.S . Federal, University of, U.S . Bureau, Atlanta Locations: U.S .
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 11, 2023. Stock futures were little changed on Thursday evening, following the worst session in more than a year for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. S&P 500 futures ticked up by 0.04%, while Nasdaq 100 futures pulled back 0.02%. The Dow suffered a 1.53% decline for its worst session since March 2023, weighed down by a 7.6% drop in Boeing. To that end, the S&P 500 is tracking for a weekly loss of 0.7%, while the Dow is on pace to drop about 2.4%.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Cox, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Intuit, Ross Stores, Nvidia, Boeing, Harris Financial, Federal Reserve, University of Locations: New York City, U.S
Why Americans might be getting worried about the job marketIn some ways, Americans' growing pessimism in the job market is perplexing. That's because the job market has become more challenging than it was a couple of years ago, when the Great Resignation was at its peak. So, it's possible that some Americans in certain industries are facing a job market where openings are far from abundant. For example, there's some evidence that the job market for high-wage roles has cooled over the past year. Julia Pollak, the chief economist at ZipRecruiter, told Business Insider earlier this month after April's labor market figures were released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics that it is "no longer a white-hot labor market" or a job "candidate's market in every industry where workers can get whatever they want."
Persons: , they'd, hasn't, What's, Joanne Hsu, Julia Pollak Organizations: Service, York Fed's Survey, Consumer, Business, NY, of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New, Fed, LinkedIn, NY Fed, University of, Labor Locations: York
Gold slips as dollar firms, traders brood on rate cut timing
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,311.07 per ounce as of 0235 GMT. The dollar index rose 0.1%, making greenback-priced gold more expensive for other currency holders. If the upcoming reports show scary inflation, then the Fed can't cut rates and it will pressure gold, he added. Bullion is used as a hedge against inflation, but higher rates reduce the appeal of holding the non-yielding asset. Markets are currently seeing a 65% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September, as per CME's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Ilya Spivak, Neel Kashkari, Spivak Organizations: University of, Minneapolis Locations: U.S, China's, China
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Jeff Marks, Marks, WTI, Apple, Apple's, Locker, Ford, Morgan Stanley, Gamble, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, University of, Constellation, Club, West Texas, Islamic, Palo Alto Networks, Google, JPMorgan, Securities and Exchange Commission, Abbott Laboratories, Procter, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Iran, Israel, U.S, Damascus, Syria, Wells Fargo
By underweighting the experience of certain groups — especially lower-income or frontline workers — policymakers could learn the wrong lessons from the post-pandemic economy. The Great DivergenceIf you ask Americans how the economy is doing, the general sentiment can be summed up in one word: bad. Similarly, the Conference Board's consumer confidence data isn't quite at its post-Great Recession lows, but it's far below its 2017-19 average. The ASEC data uses a very large sample to provide the best possible insight into households' economic well-being, with more than 75,000 households participating. Similarly, the focus on the prospect of a recession soared, even outdoing the period in 2020 when the economy was actually in a recession.
Persons: it's, , Pew Organizations: University of, Conference, Labor Statistics, Government, Bureau of Labor Statistics, NFL, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers, Chicago Bears, BLS, Census, Federal Locations: telemarketers, nonresponses
Now, a group of them has created an interesting model that suggests much of people's dissatisfaction with the economy comes down to interest rates. In fact, the impact of rising interest rates isn't directly accounted for anywhere in the official CPI report — even though they've also contributed to surging car payments and made credit card debt much more costly. That's why the economists developed their own inflation measure, and they think it provided a more accurate prediction of economic sentiment. Cramer said additional evidence for the impact of interest rates on consumer sentiment has come in recent months. Between November and January, the Michigan consumer sentiment index saw its biggest two-month increase since 1991 — just as mortgage rates fell from their recent peak.
Persons: , Judd Cramer, Larry Summers, they've, hasn't, Harvard's Cramer, Cramer, pocketbooks, it's, Joe Biden's Organizations: Service, Business, National Bureau of Economic Research, Harvard University, International Monetary Fund, of Labor Statistics, University of, Harvard, BLS, Federal, CPI, Federal Reserve Locations: Michigan
Last October, 21% of the roughly 1,000 Americans surveyed by Gallup said the economy was “getting better,” according to survey data provided to BI. Forty-two percent of respondents said they trusted Donald Trump more than Biden to handle the economy — 31% trusted Biden over Trump. It could mainly be Democrats who are feeling better about the economyThere could be several reasons Americans’ growing optimism about the economy improving hasn’t translated into better polling for Biden. Republicans also seemed more optimistic, with their sentiment growing by nearly 10 points from January to February. The last time Democrats’ sentiment was about as low as Republicans’ February level was in the late summer of 2020.
Persons: , Joe Biden, Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, Biden, he’s, Paul Krugman, hasn’t Organizations: Service, Business, University of, Gallup, BI, Financial Times, University of Michigan, Biden, Trump, ABC, Republicans Locations: Michigan
WASHINGTON (AP) — A measure of consumer sentiment ticked higher this month, after soaring in December and January, underscoring that Americans are starting to feel better about the economy after several years of gloom. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index, released Friday, ticked up to 79.6 in February, from 79 in January. Still, consumer sentiment remains 6% below its long-run average after the worst spike in inflation in four decades pushed up the cost of groceries, rent, gas, and other necessities, frustrating many consumers. “Consumers continued to express confidence that the slowdown in inflation and strength in labor markets would continue.”Improving consumer confidence can often lead to greater spending, which can support economic growth. Since the pandemic, however, consumer spending has been mostly healthy even when measures of sentiment were quite low.
Persons: Joe Biden's, Joanne Hsu, “ Consumers Organizations: WASHINGTON, University of, Locations: underscoring
Listen, I'm not saying that all the good vibes Americans are suddenly feeling about the economy boil down to stocks, gas prices, and eggs. What improved America's economic vibes was basically three things: the soaring stock market, falling gas prices, and eggs. Research shows that consumers feel more pessimistic when gas prices go up — James Surowiecki points out in The Atlantic that high gas prices also make people less happy and more likely to hate the president. If oil prices stay relatively low and, in turn, keep gas prices down, less exasperated drivers could help Joe Biden keep his job come November. There are all sorts of geopolitical threats and unknowns that could throw global trade and oil prices (and thus gas prices) into chaos.
Persons: I'm, there's, There's, Jordan Weissmann, , It's, James Surowiecki, Joe Biden, they're, Emily Stewart Organizations: University of, Dow, Federal Reserve Bank of San, AAA, Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Times, Business Locations: America, The
Over 90% of Gen Zers and millennials said they're considering leaving their jobs, per a LinkedIn survey. The increase reflects young workers' desire for higher pay — but also confidence in the labor market. But as this uncertainty recedes, many young Americans appear ready to jump back into the job market. While these desires were prevalent among all generations, young Americans had the highest expectations for a pay bump in 2024. If young workers don't receive the raises or promotions they expect, this could provide them with additional motivation to leave their employers.
Persons: Gen Zers, millennials, , Zers, Gen Xers, Kantenga Organizations: Service, LinkedIn, Censuswide, Boomers, University of, Young
Yellen to step up campaign touting Biden's economic record
  + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. President Joe Biden delivers remarks alongside Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo during a Cabinet Meeting at the White House on June 06, 2023 in Washington, DC. The Biden administration is dispatching U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to Chicago and Milwaukee this week as part of a stepped-up domestic travel schedule to sell Americans on the benefits of President Joe Biden's economic policies. Yellen will make the case in remarks to the Economic Club of Chicago on Thursday that the pandemic recovery was faster, fairer and more transformative than previous economic recoveries, the Treasury said late on Sunday. Yellen has previously touted Biden's investment legislation, taking trips to North Carolina and Boston in recent weeks, but has avoided direct comparisons with former President Donald Trump. After her speech in Chicago, Yellen will travel to Milwaukee on Jan. 26 to visit a worker training facility, partly funded by Biden's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief law, the American Rescue Plan Act.
Persons: Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, Gina Raimondo, Biden, Joe Biden's, Yellen, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley Organizations: White House, U.S, Treasury, Economic, of Chicago, Trump, Trump Administration, United Nations, University of, Biden's, American Locations: Washington ,, Chicago, Milwaukee, North Carolina, Boston, New Hampshire
The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment gauge surged in January to 78.8, the highest since July 2021. Year-ahead inflation expectations softened to 2.9%, hitting the lowest since December 2020. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment gauge jumped to 78.8 in January, the highest mark since July 2021. "Encouragingly for the Federal Reserve consumer inflation expectations fell in January, with 1-year inflation expectations falling to a 3-year low in January." Long-run inflation expectations eased to 2.8%, below the 2.9%-3.0% range seen for 26 of the last 30 months, the survey noted.
Persons: , Sam Millette, Sal Naro, headcount Organizations: of, Service, University of, Commonwealth Financial Network, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Commerce Department, Downside, Busines
The University of Michigan's Consumer Survey of Consumers showed a reading of 78.8 for January, its highest level since July 2021 and up 21.4% from a year ago. On a two-month basis, sentiment showed its largest increase since 1991, said Joanne Hsu, the survey's director. "Consumer views were supported by confidence that inflation has turned a corner and strengthening income expectations," Hsu said. Along with the improved outlook on general conditions, survey respondents displayed more confidence that inflation is coming down. The outlook for the inflation rate a year from now declined to 2.9%, down from 3.1% in December for the lowest reading since December 2020.
Persons: Joanne Hsu, Hsu, Andrew Hunter, Stocks Organizations: Veteran, The Department of Labor, The University of Michigan's Consumer Survey, Consumers, Republicans, Federal Reserve, AAA, Capital Economics Locations: Long Beach , California
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. Nvidia forecast overall revenue above Wall Street targets, but the company warned U.S. export curbs could lead to a steep drop in fourth-quarter sales in China. Shares of Nvidia had initially slipped in premarket trading, but reversed course to climb 1.1%. The central bank's guarded stance is weighing on enthusiasm about rate cuts coming later, Streeter said. ET, Dow e-minis were down 5 points, or 0.01%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 6 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 37.25 points, or 0.23%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, Sam Altman, Streeter, Caterpillar, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Deere, Co, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Wall, U.S, Hargreaves, OpenAI, Microsoft, Big Tech, University of, Dow e, Deere & Co, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China
US stocks climbed Friday, with the Dow jumping by almost 400 points. Stocks rebounded after falling on Thursday to snap an eight-day winning streak. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining almost 400 points and the Nasdaq adding more than 2%. Meanwhile, US consumers' long-term inflation expectations rose to the highest since 2011, according to a preliminary November report from the University of Michigan.
Persons: Stocks, , Jerome Powell, Joanne Hsu Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, University of Michigan, University of Locations: Gaza, Ukraine
Expectations the Fed was likely done with rate hikes sent the S&P 500 up 5.85% last week and the Nasdaq up 6.61%, their biggest weekly jumps since November 2022. The session marks the sixth straight advance for the Dow and S&P 500 and seventh straight gain for the Nasdaq. The streak is the longest for the S&P 500 since early June, since July for the Dow and since January for the Nasdaq. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits through Friday the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. The S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 46 new highs and 113 new lows.
Persons: Bumble, CME's, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Stephen Massocca, Brendan McDermid, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Wedbush Securities, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Dow, University of, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New, San Francisco, New York City, U.S
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Markets will look for more clarity on the Fed's intentions from officials speaking later in the week, including Chair Jerome Powell, and voting members such as New York Fed chief John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Expectations the Fed was likely done with rate hikes sent the S&P 500 up 5.85% last week and the Nasdaq up 6.61%, their biggest weekly jumps since November 2022. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits through Friday the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. The S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 99 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, CME's, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Stephen Massocca, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Wedbush Securities, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New, San Francisco
Morning Bid: Spiky quarter ends in uneasy market calm
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. At 4.53% on Friday, the 10-year benchmark was some 15 basis points off Thursday's peak and two-year yields fell back to their lowest since Sept. 18. Some optimism from Beijing about a possible year-end summit between President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Joe Biden helped. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Friday:* US August PCE inflation gauge, personal income and spending. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Thursday's, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Lifeng, Federal Reserve's, Jerome Powell, Thomas Barkin, it's, Kathleen O'Neill Paese, John Williams, Toby Chopra Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Organization of, Petroleum, Wall Street Journal, Federal, Fed, Richmond Fed, Nike, HK, Reuters, Mercedes, Benz, Chicago, University of, Louis Federal Reserve, New York Fed, U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Beijing, China, Washington, Hong Kong, Nio
The U.S. seemed to be winning its battle against inflation, but the latest consumer price index data showed inflation rose more than expected. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment August survey indicated consumers' one-year inflation expectations were at 3.3%, marking three consecutive months of stability. Inflation expectations, or the rate at which consumers expect prices to rise or fall in the future, can influence higher prices in the economy. Inflation expectations play a crucial role in the decisions made by the Federal Reserve. But consumer expectations of inflation are still above the Fed's 2% inflation rate target.
Persons: Joanne Hsu, It's, Hsu, Claudia Sahm, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Barry Glassman Organizations: University of Michigan, The University of, Consumers, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Sahm Consulting, Federal, Kansas City, Wealth Services Locations: U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by 2.5 basis points to 4.347%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading more than 2 basis points higher at 5.056%. Markets are pricing in a 99% chance that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week, according to CME's FedWatch tool, which gauges pricing in fed funds futures. The figures were followed by the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment report on Friday, which reflected a significant decline of inflation expectations. Before the Fed's rate decision on Wednesday, several reports from the housing sector are due, including September's Housing Market Index data on Monday, as well as building permit and housing starts data on Tuesday.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, PPI, University of
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