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☆ We'll remain in goldilocks zone 'a little bit more', says Universa Investment's Mark Spitznagel
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe'll remain in goldilocks zone 'a little bit more', says Universa Investment's Mark SpitznagelMark Spitznagel, Universa Investments founder and CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the possibility of a 'black swan' event, the hedge fund founder's outlook for the economy next year, and much more.

Persons: Universa, Mark Spitznagel Mark Spitznagel Organizations: Universa Investments

☆ Markets are ripping past all-time highs after Donald Trump's electoral victory. Doomsday investors aren't convinced.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. "The backdrop is already a more volatile FX market," Webb said, comparing markets now to when Trump was inaugurated in January 2017. But market volatility is at its lowest level since July, based on the VIX Index, Wall Street's favorite measure of uneasiness. Universa has demand for its strategy, Yarckin said, but it's coming from "a small subset of people." "I wonder if this is being underestimated" by the markets, Webb said.

Persons: Warren Buffett, —, Donald Trump, Jonathan Webb, Webb, Trump, Wall, Brandon Yarckin, Universa, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Yarckin, Simon Aninat, haven't, Mark Spitznagel, Aninant, Mattias Eriksson, Eriksson, Elon Musk, It's Organizations: Universa Investments, Service, Twitter, C8 Technologies, Jefferies, Business, Oracle Locations: Omaha

☆ Collapse risks loom as markets are the most fragile they've been in 20 years, 'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

"The Black Swan" author Nassim Taleb says he's focused on hedging against a market collapse. He said the market is flashing parallels to prior crashes, noting that it is the most fragile in 20 years. He pointed to risks like high debt levels and "crazy" stock prices in an interview with Bloomberg. Nassim Taleb, author of "The Black Swan," the famed treatise on the risks related to improbable events, aired concerns over the state of the market in a recent interview with Bloomberg. Universa Investments is technically "market blind," Taleb said, as the firm employs an investment strategy that disregards short-term market forecasts.

Persons: Swan, Nassim Taleb, he's, —, Taleb, Mark Spitznagel Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Universa

☆ The godfather of black-swan hedging explains why mounting US debt and the weaponization of the dollar are leading risks today
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

He criticizes the US for high debt and low growth, leading a fragile financial system. He highlighted the four categories of debt-based countries: those with low growth and high or low debt, and those with high growth and high or low debt. The US is in the category of low growth and high debt. However, if a country accumulates high debt, then continued growth is required to absorb it, he noted. At present, Taleb doesn't believe that the ballooning debt could be solved politically or by increased demand for US bonds.

Persons: Nassim Taleb, —, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Scott Patterson, Patterson, Taleb, It's, Brandon Yarckin, isn't, Mark Spitznagel Organizations: Service, Universa Investments, Bank Locations: Russia, US

☆ The stock market's euphoria-driven record highs are at risk of a painful downturn, 'Black Swan' investor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Spitznagel thinks they should focus instead on lagging drivers that could spur a sharp stock downturn. Advertisement"Black Swan" investor Mark Spitznagel thinks that the stock market's streak of record highs is distracting from a more jarring reality that could come by year-end. In a recent interview with Bloomberg TV, he said investors are currently enjoying a market that's in a "Goldilocks zone." "When the yield curve disinverts and then unverts, the clock starts ticking and that's when you enter black swan territory," Spitznagel told Bloomberg. He has warned of a stock market crash since January 2023, and back in July, he said the market's yearslong rally has become the "greatest bubble in human history," and its bursting would make for a recession.

Persons: Stocks, they've, Mark Spitznagel, Spitznagel, —, That's, capitalizes Organizations: Service, Bloomberg TV, Bloomberg, Universa Investments

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with 'The Black Swan' author Nassim TalebNassim Taleb, Universa Investments distinguished scientific advisor and ‘The Black Swan’ author, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to make of the market sell-off, the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, bitcoin's volatility, and more.

Persons: Swan, Nassim Taleb Nassim Taleb, ‘ Organizations: Universa Investments

☆ 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb on bitcoin: Not a hedge against your assets melting
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb on bitcoin: Not a hedge against your assets meltingNassim Taleb, Universa Investments distinguished scientific advisor and ‘The Black Swan’ author, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to make of the market sell-off, the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, bitcoin's volatility, and more.

Persons: Swan, Nassim Taleb, Taleb, ‘ Organizations: Universa Investments

☆ How hedge funds are dealing with the global market meltdown
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The VIX, Wall Street's go-to snapshot of market volatility, is at its highest point since the onset of the pandemic. And hedge funds are sifting through the wreckage, with some looking to survive and others planning to pounce. In any market meltdown, there are clear winners and losers given the strategies and positioning of different firms. The yen carry trade has also likely wrong-footed many macro funds, several industry veterans said. It also slowed dealmaking, annoying private equity investors whose capital was tied up in older vintage funds.

Persons: —, Wall Street's, there's, allocators, Harvey Schwartz, Carlyle Organizations: Service, Business, Citadel, Eisler Capital, Universa Investments Locations: Europe, Asia, New York, London

☆ The 'Trump trade' is on pause. Political uncertainty is now in the driver's seat
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-21 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

It didn't take long to remember what a second Donald Trump presidential term would mean for the stock market, did it? He talked about how interested he was in the stock market and that he wanted his kids to learn so they watched my show together. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Sen, JD Vance, Mary Elizabeth Lease, Joe Biden, Biden's, Trump, Biden, let's, Kamala Harris, Doug Emhoff, —, Harris, that's, Lina Kahn, Jonathan Kanter, Vance, Mark Spitznagel, Spitznagel, Bristol Myers, ., Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Chris Kleponis Organizations: Republican, Populist Party, Democratic Party, Devices, Nvidia, Biden, White House, Democratic, White, Big Tech, Federal Trade Commission, Biden Democrat, Trump, Nasdaq, Street, Universa Investments, Yahoo, America, Microsoft, Google, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto, Starbucks, Apple, PepsiCo, Myers Squibb, Pepsi, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, US, Afp, Getty Locations: Ohio, China, U.S, Taiwan, idiocy, Bristol, . Horton, Washington ,, Pennsylvania

☆ The 'greatest bubble in human history' is close to bursting, Black Swan investor Mark Spitznagel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bearish investor Mark Spitznagel predicts stocks could soon lose over half their value in a steep sell-off. His fund, Universa Investments, has made billions from past stock market crises. AdvertisementBlack Swan investor Mark Spitznagel says the stock market is heading for a historic sell-off, reiterating an uber-bearish warning for investors who are getting comfortable with steady stock gains amid the frenzy for AI. Spitznagel said the years-long rally in the stock market amounts to the "greatest bubble in human history" in a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal. He made billions during the 2008 stock market crash, the 2015 Flash Crash, and at the onset of COVID-19 in early 2020.

Persons: Mark Spitznagel, —, Spitznagel, it's, he's Organizations: Universa Investments, Service, Wall Street, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Universa

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Brandon Yarckin, COO of Universa
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Brandon Yarckin, COO of UniversaBrandon Yarckin, COO of Universa, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss why his long-term bear thesis has turned bullish, market outlooks, and more.

Persons: Brandon Yarckin, Universa Brandon Yarckin

☆ Universa COO on why his long-term bear thesis is now bullish
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUniversa COO on why his long-term bear thesis is now bullishBrandon Yarckin, COO of Universa, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss market outlooks, Universa's hedge strategy, and more.

Persons: Brandon Yarckin

☆ Middle East's impact on markets is unpredictable, says 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas Taleb
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMiddle East's impact on markets is unpredictable, says 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas TalebNassim Nicholas Taleb, author of "The Black Swan" and distinguished scientific advisor at Universa Investments, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss geopolitical risk to investment, outlooks on stocks vs. bonds, and more.

Persons: Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb Organizations: Universa Investments

☆ 'Black Swan' author Taleb says people should worry about Middle East events but not investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

People should pay attention to the events in the Middle East from a humanitarian perspective but disregard them as investors, according to author Nassim Taleb. "I would say to investors to basically ignore what's going on in the Middle East and as an individual to worry," the "Black Swan" author told CNBC's Kelly Evans during an interview Monday on "The Exchange." "The connection between the markets and these events is completely unpredictable, even more unpredictable than the events themselves." In addition to his market work, Taleb is a Lebanese American essayist whose seminal work, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable," warns against trying to predict the unpredictable. He largely has advocated an approach to investing that hedges against unusual events such as the financial crisis of 2008-09.

Persons: Nassim Taleb, CNBC's Kelly Evans, Taleb, Ebrahim Raisi, You've Organizations: Universa Investments, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Chase Locations: Lebanese American, Israel

☆ The Fed will only cut rates when it's panicking over a recession and a market crash, Black Swan investor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors should be wary of coming Fed rate cuts, Black Swan investor Mark Spitznagel warned. That's because the Fed is only cutting rates in response to a weakening economy, Spitznagel told Reuters last week. The US could see a recession and major stock crash before rates head lower, he predicted. That's because the Fed is only likely to ease monetary policy when the economy is slammed with a recession and the market is flailing, according to famous "Black Swan" investor Mark Spitznagel. "There are lag effects when you reset interest rates like we had."

Persons: Black Swan, Mark Spitznagel, Spitznagel, —, Swan, Nassim Taleb Organizations: Reuters, Service, Federal Reserve, Universa, Federal, National Association of Business Economics, Investor

☆ 'Black Swan' fund manager Mark Spitznagel expects the stock market to rally further before we hit the 'worst crash since 1929.' He explains how investors should think about their portfolios to survive
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The fund made headlines for returning 4,144% amid the 2020 stock market crash, an example of a so-called black-swan event. And when the market moves one way, we think that's going to happen forever." Spitznagel's main don'ts to mom-and-pop investors are; don't chase the market, don't time the market, don't place too much confidence in its current direction, and don't make decisions based on short-term Fed moves. Instead, build a portfolio that's positioned so that if the market goes down by 50%, you won't be squeezed. And if the market is up 50%, don't be the sucker that's going to buy up there", Spitznagel said.

Persons: Mark Spitznagel, Spitznagel, Ray Dalio, We're Organizations: Universa Investments, Business

☆ 'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb says the US is heading for a debt 'death spiral'
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US is headed for a debt "death spiral" if politicians don't rein in spending, Nassim Taleb said. "The Black Swan" author said debt troubles will continue if Congress can't"A debt spiral is like a death spiral," Taleb said at an event on Monday. AdvertisementThe US is facing a "death spiral" as a result of its mounting debt and the inability of politicians to confront the issue, according to "The Black Swan" author Nassim Taleb. In fact, rising debt in the US is a "white swan," Taleb said, and is an event that poses an obvious risk to markets versus a "black swan" event, which can occur without much warning. "A debt spiral is like a death spiral," he added.

Persons: Nassim Taleb, Swan, Taleb, —, Per, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Per Bloomberg, Universa Investments, Fed, Investors Locations: West, Congress

☆ Diversifiers really don't give you a focus protection, says Universa's Ron Lagnado
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDiversifiers really don't give you a focus protection, says Universa's Ron LagnadoRon Lagnado, Universa Investments director of research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, how investors can best position their portfolios, and more.

Persons: Ron Lagnado Ron Lagnado Organizations: Universa

☆ A 'Black Swan' investor warns of the biggest debt bubble in history - and predicts the Fed's efforts will end in disaster
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A "Black Swan" investor says there's a huge debt bubble and the Fed's policies will end in disaster. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. I don't think that should be a controversial statement." "Treasuries are not a safe haven, they're very much a hopeful haven. I think that they're pretty cheap right now, frankly, so I don't want to trash them too much.

Persons: there's, Mark, Treasuries, Spitznagel, —, Mark Spitznagel, it's, They've, It's, Peter Lynch, I'm Organizations: Service, Universa Investments, Yahoo Finance

☆ 'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb warned about the stock market's brewing AI bubble in a new interview. Here are the 8 best quotes.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

"Black Swan" author Nassim Taleb is once again warning investors about potential risks in the stock market. Taleb warned about a bubble brewing in AI stocks and the lingering impact of high interest rates. From calling crypto a "tumor" to warnings about a brewing bubble in artificial intelligence stocks, Taleb had a lot to say about markets. It did exactly the opposite of its mission as an inflation hedge because it collapsed... it's not an inflation hedge... it's not good for real money laundering because it's very traceable. AI bubble"Because you don't know which one is the one that's going to win.

Persons: Nassim Taleb, Taleb, —, It's, it's, Osborne Organizations: CNBC, Service, Universa Investments Locations: Osborne

☆ 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas Taleb on crypto: A cult coupled with a financial instrument
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas Taleb on crypto: A cult coupled with a financial instrumentNassim Nicholas Taleb, Universa Investments scientific advisor and author of ‘The Black Swan’, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the markets and economy, why a bubble is looming, the state of cryptocurrency, and more.

Persons: Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Nicholas Taleb, ‘ Locations: cryptocurrency

☆ 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas Taleb on looming crisis: The risk is in front of us
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas Taleb on looming crisis: The risk is in front of usNassim Nicholas Taleb, Universa Investments scientific advisor and author of ‘The Black Swan’, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the markets and economy, why a bubble is looming, the state of cryptocurrency, and more.

Persons: Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, ‘ Locations: cryptocurrency

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas Taleb
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with 'The Black Swan' author Nassim Nicholas TalebNassim Nicholas Taleb, Universa Investments scientific advisor and author of ‘The Black Swan’, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the markets and economy, why a bubble is looming, the state of cryptocurrency, and more.

Persons: Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb, ‘ Locations: cryptocurrency

☆ A CIO shares the strategy behind 'The Big Short' garage hedge fund that flipped $110,000 to over $80 million — and explains how to use the same approach in today's stock market to make extremely cheap
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Universa Investments, a "black swan" hedge fund specializing in market shocks, sensationalized this approach after it made headlines in the first quarter of 2020 for a 4,144% return when the stock market plunged. So what we do for investors is our fund serves as protection against that sort of exogenous event, that sort of crash," Sidial said. In short, it's a bet against the odds in exchange for lofty returns, or what's known as convex payouts. However, if there's a market crash, the volatility on the VIX generally outperforms more than any other underlying securities in the US equities market, he noted. For example,Cambria Tail Risk ETF (TAIL) was up 27% from mid-feb to mid-march 2020 during the stock market crash brought about by the pandemic.

☆ 'Big Short' legend Michael Burry issues a grave warning to investors with a one-word tweet: 'Sell.'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Burry recently compared the S&P 500's rebound to its short-lived rally during the dot-com crash. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained 6.2% in January, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite surged 11%, marking its best January performance since 2001. Burry has been pouring cold water on the stock rally this year. The implication was that the S&P 500's 17% rally since last October's low could also prove short-lived. GMO's Jeremy Grantham recently declared the S&P 500 could plummet 50% in a worst-case scenario, while Universa Investments's Mark Spitznagel diagnosed the "greatest tinderbox-timebomb in financial history."

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