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The Danish military said Wednesday that it was staying close to a Chinese ship currently sitting idle in Danish waters, days after two fiber-optic data telecommunication cables in the Baltic Sea were severed. Chinese bulk carrier Yi Peng 3 was anchored in the Kattegat strait between Denmark and Sweden on Wednesday, with a Danish navy patrol ship at anchor nearby, MarineTraffic vessel tracking data showed. “The Danish Defense can confirm that we are present in the area near the Chinese ship Yi Peng 3,” the military said in a post on social media X, adding it had no further comments. It is quite rare for Denmark’s military to comment publicly on individual vessels travelling in Danish waters. It did not mention the cable breaches or say why it was staying with the ship.
Persons: Yi Peng, , Carl, Oskar Bohlin, Dmitry Peskov, Organizations: Danish Defense, Swedish Civil Defense, Reuters, coastguard Locations: Danish, Baltic, Denmark, Sweden, Russian, Ust, Luga, Lithuania, Finland, Germany, Swedish, Russia
CNN —Investigators are trying to crack the mystery of how two undersea internet cables in the Baltic Sea were cut within hours of each other, with European officials saying they believe the disruption was an act of sabotage and US officials suggesting it was likely an accident. The two cables – the BCS East-West connecting Lithuanian and Sweden and the C-Lion1 linking Finland with Germany – were suddenly disrupted on Sunday and Monday. And the disruption to the cables came just weeks after the US warned that Moscow was likely to target critical undersea infrastructure. Instead, the two officials told CNN they believed it likely caused by an anchor drag from a passing vessel. The Chinese-flagged ship Yi Peng 3 was spotted in the area around the times the two cables were cut.
Persons: Germany –, Boris Pistorius, , , Yi Peng, Lin Jian, China “ Organizations: CNN —, BCS, Germany’s, Europe, CNN, Wednesday, Swedish, Administration, Finnish National Bureau of Investigation, Danish Armed Forces Locations: Baltic, Lithuanian, Sweden, Finland, Germany, Russia, Moscow, particuar, Ust, Luga, Yi, China
Bank stocks have popped since President-elect Donald Trump's win, but their move eight years ago suggests this rally still has more upside. Drilling down to bank stocks, specifically, within financials still shows that the group could have room to run. In 2016, bank stocks outperformed by 11.5 percentage points, compared to 6.9 points this year, according to the note. Bank stocks have seen big moves since Trump's win, as investors react to the expectation of a lighter regulatory touch from his administration. And while postelection rally for the broader market has cooled this week , bank stocks still look like one of the bests going forward, Harvey said.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Wells, Christopher Harvey, Harvey Organizations: Trump's, Bank, Bank of America, UST, Trump Locations: financials
In addition, analysts had to predict further gains ahead — the stocks have at least 1% upside to the average price target, according to FactSet. Bank of America is among those on Wall Street that think the banks' move since Election Day has not been excessive. Citizens gained 30% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year and jumped 14% on Wednesday. It added nearly 4% the day after the election and gained 18% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year. Halliburton, which yields 2.3%, has the largest potential upside ahead — nearly 32% to the average price target.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Piper Sandler, Mark Fitzgibbon, Keith Horowitz, Halliburton, Jeff Miller Organizations: Dow Jones, Wharton School, CNBC, Bank of America, UST, Trump, Regional Banking, Citizens Financial, Fifth Third Bancorp, Citizens, Fifth, Citigroup, Citi, Marathon Petroleum, Halliburton Locations: Gulf of Mexico
The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. This week, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said he would prefer to "avoid outsized moves", and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker backed "a slow, methodical approach" to further easing. The dollar has now "punched through key technical resistance levels" against the yen, "opening the door for higher levels", Catril said. Although opinion polls indicate a neck-and-neck race with Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, cryptocurrency-prediction exchange Polymarket has seen a sharp rise in bets for a Trump win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeffrey Schmid, Patrick Harker, Rodrigo Catril, Catril, Trump, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde, Mario Centeno Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Kansas, Philadelphia Fed, Treasury, National Australia Bank, UST, Republican, Democratic, Trump, of, Traders, European Central Bank, Wednesday Locations: Japan, Sunday's
Stocks are starting to price in a Trump victory, possibly even a Republican sweep, according to JPMorgan. Take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which recently cleared the 43,000 milestone for the first time ever, or the S & P 500 , which surpassed 5,800. Meanwhile, U.S. banks, which are expected to face less regulatory scrutiny from Trump than under the Biden administration, have rallied. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE), has advanced 5.9% this month alone, and financials are the top-performing S & P 500 sector this month. KRE 1M mountain SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF over the past month.
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Biden, Trump, Panigirtzoglou, bitcoin Organizations: Republican, JPMorgan, Dow Jones, Trump, Regional Banking, U.S, Treasury, UST, flattish, White Locations: U.S, London, flattish U.S, DXY
CNN —A Russian man has been rescued after 67 days adrift on a small boat in the bitterly cold Sea of Okhotsk, Russian authorities said Tuesday. The man’s brother and his teenage son died in the ordeal, according to Russian state media RIA Novosti, who named the survivor as 46-year-old Mikhail Pichugin. The rescued man’s wife told Russian state media that his weight could have played a role in his survival, given he weighed about 220lbs (100 kg). She told RIA that Pichugin and his late brother and nephew had enough food to last for about two weeks. He is “in serious condition, emaciated, but conscious,” the director of the fishing company that stumbled upon the adrift boat told RIA.
Persons: Mikhail Pichugin, , , Elena Krasnoyarova, Prosecutors, Pichugin Organizations: CNN, Novosti Locations: Okhotsk, Siberia, Kamchatka, East Asia, Ust, Russian, Magadan, Russia’s
Woodward makes the claims in his forthcoming book, “War,” a dramatic account of the White House under President Joe Biden and Trump that details elements of their relationships with foreign leaders. The book details how Trump’s relationship with Putin has continued as he mounts another bid for the White House and amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. The aide, who loitered in a hallway outside while the two spoke, told Woodward that Trump and Putin have had “maybe as many as seven” phone calls since Trump left office in 2021. “But that’s not going to happen, ultimately, not going to happen until President Trump wins on November 5th and it’s clear that he’s coming in,” Miller said, according to the author. Trump has referred to Putin as "very savvy" and a "strong man" and praised Russia's invasion of Ukraine as "genius."
Persons: Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, Bob Woodward, Woodward, Joe Biden, Trump, Putin, Steven Cheung, ” Woodward, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Jason Miller, , Miller, that’s, ” Miller, , Kamala Harris, Harris, Zelenskyy, Sen, JD Vance, Trump's Organizations: White, White House, Mar, Putin, Trump, ., ust, Ukraine, NBC News Locations: Ukraine, , Ohio
Oil exports from Russia dropped to their lowest level in seven months. Crude oil exports peaked in April and have fallen 620,000 barrels a day since. AdvertisementRussian oil exports have dropped to the lowest levels since December. The drop in exports of Russian crude oil also comes amid recent sanctions from Ukraine against Russian oil supplier Lukoil, which has diverted some oil flows to European countries like Hungary and Slovakia. Those sanctions are driving refiners in some countries, like those in India, to refuse deliveries of Russian oil.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Pipes Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Lukoil Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Primorsk, Ust, OPEC, Hungary, Slovakia, India
The uncertainty has led Morgan Stanley to reiterate its recommendation to buy dividend stocks. The investment bank noted that the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan High Dividend Index has slightly underperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index in the second quarter of the year, albeit by only 0.34 percentage points. "We still prefer Dividend stocks given cautious risk sentiment in Asia/EM and see support in valuations for quality dividend stocks due to their defensiveness. Investor appetite on corporate reform and shareholder return theme in Asia/EM also remain high, which are likely to benefit dividend stocks." The company provides distillery services and Morgan Stanley sees it benefitting from "improving demand for high-end products and mid-market brands."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wuliangye, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia, UST, U.S . Treasury, Wuliangye Yibin Company, China's Shenzhen Stock Exchange, FTSE, G, Won, Korea Exchange, American Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, FTSE China, Korean, U.S
This week, a judge signed off on Do Kwon and his bankrupt Terraform Labs settling with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for $4.5 billion. This comes after a jury unanimously found Kwon and his company liable for securities fraud following less than two hours of deliberation. But investors piled in anyway, giving luna and UST a combined market value of almost $40 billion at one point. Terraform and Kwon fought our efforts to investigate – taking a fight over investigative subpoenas all the way to the Supreme Court. They are Caroline Ellison, the Alameda Research CEO who at one time dated Bankman-Fried; FTX engineering chief Nishad Singh; and Gary Wang, the co-founder and chief technology officer of FTX.
Persons: Kwon, Woohae Cho, Sam Bankman, Changpeng Zhao, Luna, atoning, Alex Mashinsky, Wall, Stevo Vasiljevic, Reuters Kwon, He's, Satoshi Nakamoto, Elon Musk, Mike Novogratz, Gary Gensler, , Fried, Fatih Aktas, Lewis Kaplan, Kaplan, Bankman, convicting, Prosecutors, Ryan Salame, Caroline Ellison, Nishad Singh, Gary Wang, FTX, Jason Redmond, Zhao, Richard Jones, , Binance, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Terraform Labs, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Forbes, Arrows Capital, Voyager, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Labs, U.S . Justice Department, Futures Trading Commission, Treasury Department, bitcoin, BlackRock, Fidelity, Reuters, terraUSD, UST, Traders, Twitter, SEC, Supreme, Anadolu Agency, Alameda Research, ., Republicans, Bankman, AFP, of Prisons, District, Bank, DOJ, CFTC, Treasury, Binance, New, Commercial Bank Locations: U.S, Balkans, Podgorica, Montenegro, Singapore, Dubai, Serbia, Balkan, South Korea, United States, lockstep, New York, Manhattan, Seattle, Lompoc , California, Binance
Investors should buy dips in bonds and sell stocks after the Fed's first interest rate cut, according to Bank of America. The call from Bank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett is a reversal of his "anything but bonds trade." The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in the second half of the year. AdvertisementBank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett is shaking up his trading playbook for the second half of the year. In a note on Friday, Hartnett recommended investors buy dips in bonds and sell stocks after the Federal Reserve makes its first interest rate cut.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, , Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, ABB, UST, PMI, Fed
The unpredictability has led some analysts to reiterate their recommendation to buy dividend stocks. According to Morgan Stanley, the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan High Dividend Index outperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index in the first quarter of the year, albeit by only 0.58%. The cautious investors' sentiment also drives allocation toward Quality Dividend stocks," the investment bank's analysts wrote in an Apr. These translate into a higher UST bond yields and particularly favoring dividend stocks to outperform." The latter has a forward dividend yield of 8%, according to Morgan Stanley, comfortably higher than the average of 5.1% on the screen.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: MSCI Asia, Asia, UST, U.S . Treasury, China Overseas Property Holdings, China Medical System Holdings, Bank of China Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan
Ukraine attacked another Russian oil refinery on Saturday night. AdvertisementA long week of attacks on oil and gas infrastructureThis past week, Ukraine has made a concerted effort to degrade Russia's oil production capabilities. The governor of Russia's Samara Oblast reported on March 16 that Ukrainian drones had attacked two Rosneft oil refineries. One attack had hit another major oil refinery operated by Lukoil in the southwestern Volgograd region. Similar incidents had occurred across Russia in January, hitting the Slavneft-Yanos oil refinery, an oil refinery in Tuapse, a storage facility in Klintsy, and a Baltic sea Ust-Luga terminal.
Persons: , Ukrainska, Russia's, Andriy Yermak, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelensky, Краснодарському кра РосВдео Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Business, Astra, Ukrainska Pravda, Security Services, Security Service, Stringer, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Reuters, Staff, Lukoil, НПЗ Locations: Ukraine, Russian, Krasnodar, Moscow, Russia, Russia's Samara Oblast, Ryazan, Nizhny Novgorod, Leningrad, Lukoil's Norsi, Russia's Belgorod, Norsi, Ukrainian, Volgograd, Tuapse, Klintsy, Baltic
An under-the-radar recession indicator in the bond market is raising alarm that the economy could be heading for a hard landing, according to ING Economics. Strategists at the analytics firm pointed to a tight correlation between US Treasury yields and Bund yields in Europe, with both yields slipping in recent weeks as markets reprice their interest rate expectations over the short-run. That was the case in the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in early 2023, when a sell-off fueled by the collapse of SVB led Treasury yields and Bund yields to tumble in tandem. "The correlation between UST and Bund yields is significantly elevated, which usually points to a hard-landing narrative," strategists said in a note on Wednesday. New York Fed economists, meanwhile, are pricing in a 61% chance the economy could tip into recession by January of next year.
Persons: SVB Organizations: ING Economics, Treasury, Business, European Central Bank, ING, Bank, UST, Bund, ECB, New York Fed Locations: Europe, Silicon
The danger of higher rates for longer following the latest hot inflation reading raises the "downside risk" for regional banks, according to Bank of America. "Fewer and later Fed rate cuts pose downside risk to bank stocks," analyst Ebrahim Poonawala wrote in a Tuesday note. "We are especially concerned about the failure of the broader market to project the trajectory of interest rates – a consistent theme since the Fed began raising interest rates in March 2022." "We worry about the risk from no rate cuts in 2024 and a far more elevated level of interest rates across the UST yield curve," Poonawala added. Net interest margin is the difference between the interest banks earn on loans and pay on deposits.
Persons: Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Goldman Sachs, BNY Mellon, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Fed, UST, Regional Banking, Regional Banking ETF, JPMorgan, BNY, U.S . Bancorp, First Bancorp Locations: Silicon, U.S, Puerto Rico
Wall Street is forecasting a better backdrop for companies that want to go public. While lower rates can stoke the IPO market, fewer rate cuts because the economy remains strong with cooling inflation should still be viewed as favorable. The IPO market and mergers and acquisitions (M & A) activity started to sour when the Fed began hiking interest rates back in March 2022. A strong IPO market overall is expected to also benefit burgeoning biotechnology firms, which would mean more business for Danaher. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: That's, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Danaher, Morgan, Morgan Stanley didn't, Ted Pick's, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley's, Raymond James, , Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Federal, stoke, UST, Goldman, Fed, Companies, IB, Danaher, Biotech, Silicon Valley Bank, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Silicon
Dollar hovers near 7-week high as Fed cut bets shift to May
  + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this photo illustration, a person seen holding a 100 US dollar bill in his hand. The dollar has been buoyed by U.S. economic data suggesting the Fed can wait longer before cutting interest rates. Powell gave the currency another push overnight by calling a cut in March "not the base case." Traders are now pricing in a 38% probability the Fed will cut rates in March, down from 59% ahead of the Fed decision. Against Japan's currency, the dollar drifted 0.06% lower to 146.81 yen , adding to Wednesday's 0.47% decline.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Hogan, Riley, Sean Callow Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, New, Bancorp, Fed, Traders, New York Community Bancorp, Investors, UST, Westpac, U.S . Locations: U.S, New York
Several oil and gas facilities in Russia have caught fire in recent weeks following suspected drone attacks. Russia's air defense systems have proven to be less effective against small drones. AdvertisementUkraine appears to be targeting Russia's oil and gas industry with small, cheap drones as it seeks to disrupt Russian supply lines. Ukraine is likely targeting the facilities in an attempt to disrupt Russia's military operations. AdvertisementWhy Ukraine is able to embarrass Russia's air defense systemsRussia's air defense systems have proven to be less effective against small drones as they struggle to detect them.
Persons: , Lapenko, Vladimir Putin's, Vladimir Putin, Samuel Bendett Organizations: Service, New York Times, Times, Bloomberg, Reuters, Getty, RBC, Center for Naval Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Tuapse, Klintsy, Ukrainian, Moscow, Baltic Ust, St, Petersburg, Lake Valdai, Valdai
Analysts said Ukraine appeared to be exploiting gaps in Russian air defenses. Russia's air defenses are focused on potential attacks from NATO in the west, not the south. AdvertisementUkraine is exploiting gaps in Russia's air defenses, which were designed for a different kind of war, according to a report. The Institute for the Study of War, a US think tank, said that Russian air defenses in Leningrad Oblast, near St Petersburg, appeared to be poor. AdvertisementThe ISW said the attacks were stretching Russia's air defenses.
Persons: , Russia's Organizations: Analysts, NATO, Service, Ukrainian, Reuters, Business Locations: Ukraine, US, Leningrad Oblast, St Petersburg, West, Ust, Tula, Moscow, Russia, Klintsy, Ukrainian, Crimea
SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA - 2022/06/15: Novatek Logo seen on the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2022 (SPIEF 2022). (Photo by Maksim Konstantinov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)A fire broke out at a Baltic Sea terminal belonging to Novatek, Russia's largest liquefied natural gas producer, regional officials said on Sunday, amid reports of explosions and Ukrainian drone sightings in the area. "There were no casualties as a result of the fire at the Novatek terminal in the port of Ust-Luga. St. Petersburg-based news outlet Fontanka said at least two drones were spotted in the sky flying towards St. Petersburg before the terminal caught fire. That came a day after an attack on a Russian Baltic Sea oil terminal that Russian officials said was unsuccessful.
Persons: Maksim Konstantinov, Alexander Drozdenko, Drozdenko, Fontanka, Novatek Organizations: St ., Economic, Getty, Leningrad region's, Moscow, Kyiv Locations: SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA, St, St . Petersburg, Novatek, Finland, Ust, Leningrad, Petersburg, Russia, Ukraine, Russia's, Bryansk, Baltic, Russian
However, a recent incident in the Red Sea highlights some of the risks faced by dark fleet ships, which typically have opaque ownership and frequently change their vessel names and flag registrations. The vessel was carrying Russian oil loaded at the port of Ust-Luga. "This was the second tanker mistakenly targeted by the Houthis whilst carrying Russian oil," Ambrey added. The Houthis have been attacking commercial ships in the Red Sea since November in retaliation for Israel's bombings in Gaza. AdvertisementThe Houthi's attacks in the Red Sea are upending global shipping with major shipping lines, including Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd, changing up their shipping routes to avoid risk.
Persons: , It's, Ambrey, Lloyd, Matthew Loh Organizations: Service, Business, Panama, Union Maritime, Maersk, Hapag Locations: Russia, Iran, Yemen, Ust, Red, Gaza
Data compiled by The Earnings Scout shows the early reporters have had no trouble beating earnings expectations so far. Tuesday Goldman Sachs is set to report earnings before the bell, followed by a conference call at 9:30 a.m. What history shows: Goldman exceeds earnings expectations 85% of the time, data from Bespoke Investment Group shows. What history shows: Bespoke data shows PNC tops earnings expectations 75% of the time. What history shows: KeyCorp shares have fallen on four of the last five earnings days, Bespoke data shows.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Hugh Son, Goldman, James Gorman, Ted Pick, it's, Jefferies, Schlumberger, SLB, Wells, Roger Read Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wall, PNC Financial, CNBC, Investment Group, Management, LSEG, PNC, Regional Banking, JPMorgan, UST, Schlumberger Locations: Wells Fargo, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, 3Q23, SLB
Do Kwon, the cryptocurrency entrepreneur, who created the failed Terra (UST) stablecoin, is taken to court in Podgorica, Montenegro, March 24, 2023. The decision will be made after Do Kwon completes serving his prison sentence for document forgery, the court said. A South Korean national, Kwon is the former CEO of South Korea-based Terraform Labs, the company behind the stablecoin TerraUSD that collapsed in May 2022, roiling cryptocurrency markets. Following Kwon's arrest, the U.S. District Court in Manhattan made public an eight-count indictment against him for securities fraud, wire fraud, commodities fraud and conspiracy. In late May, a Montenegrin court scrapped a bail of 800,000 euros for the pair, saying it could not be taken as a solid guarantee, nor their promise they would not run away once released from detention.
Persons: Kwon, Stevo, Do Kwon, Kwon ´, Han Chang, joon, Daria Sito, Mark Potter Organizations: UST, REUTERS, Rights, Police, Terraform Labs, Court, Korean, Labs, U.S, Thomson Locations: Podgorica, Montenegro, Rights SARAJEVO, South Korea, United States, U.S, Rican, Montenegrin, Dubai, Manhattan
REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMOSCOW/LONDON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Three major Greek shipping firms have stopped transporting Russian oil in recent weeks in order to avoid U.S. sanctions now being imposed on some shipping firms carrying Russian oil, four traders told Reuters and shipping data showed. Greek shippers Minerva Marine, Thenamaris and TMS Tankers have stopped transporting Russia oil in recent weeks, the four traders said. The Greek shippers' exit from the trade followed tighter U.S. sanctions imposed on Russian oil shipments. The G7 countries introduced a price cap on Russian oil in late 2022, but had not previously enforced it. Russian oil trade has brought record revenues over the past year to the shippers who took the risk and stayed in the business.
Persons: Tatiana Meel, Thenamaris, Minerva, Jonathan Saul, Dmitry Zhdannikov, Eleftherios Papadimas, Susan Fenton Organizations: Nord, REUTERS, Minerva, TMS, Minerva Marine, Reuters, United Arab Emirates, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Nakhodka Bay, Nakhodka, Russia, LONDON, Asia, Turkey, East, Africa, South America, Moscow, Washington, OPEC, U.S, Baltic, India, Primorsk, Ust, Iran, Europe, UAE, Hong Kong, Seychelles, Ghana, Liberia, Cook, London, Athens
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