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☆ Why the S&P 500 could drop by 10% by the end of 2024 — and 4 trades to cash in on the turbulence
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewDon't expect the stock market's seemingly unstoppable rally to continue through the end of the year, says Stifel's Barry Bannister. "If Russia makes a countermove in Kursk, it would probably be between the election and January," Bannister said. 4 trades to make amid market turbulenceWith the market poised for a turbulent period ahead, Bannister said he prefers defensive value stocks, particularly the healthcare, utilities, consumer staples, and real estate sectors. "Seventy percent of all the outperformance of defensive or value occurs before a recession is actually declared," Bannister said.

Persons: —, Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, — Bannister, there's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, we're Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Utilities, Consumer, UCITS Locations: Russia, Kursk, Iran, China

☆ Want to invest $50,000? Here are 5 ETFs to buy and hold, according to a wealth manager
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

ETFs hold a collection of securities , like stocks or bonds, and so offer more diversification than a single asset. CNBC Pro asked Dennison for his top ETF picks that someone looking to invest $50,000 can buy and hold long-term. Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF Dennison says he's "very happy" with the Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF (AVDV-US). DFA Dimensional U.S. Small Cap Value ETF Another small-cap-focused ETF on Dennison's radar is the Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF (DFSV-US), which owns companies that are "in corners of the market that are harder to reach." The Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF is currently around 6% higher over the year to date.

Persons: Tariq Dennison, Dennison, he's, Spencer, Weizhen Tan, Ganesh Rao Organizations: Fidelity, GFM Asset Management, CNBC Pro, Value, U.S, Abercrombie, Fitch, Cadence Bank, Commercial Metals, JPM Global Equity, Global Equity, Arista Networks, Walmart, Deutsche Telekom, ASM International, Novo Nordisk, Vanguard Locations: U.S, Swiss, Dennison

GLD 5Y mountain GLD The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is the world's largest, with BlackRock's iShares Gold Trust and iShares Physical Gold ETC the second and third, respectively. Other top physical gold ETFs include the Borse Commodities GmbH Xetra-Gold and the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust . Gold mining ETFs Buying gold mining ETFs — which own shares of multiple gold mining companies — is another way to get exposure to gold, and Meyer described those backed by large banks as "relatively safe," in an email to CNBC. "Even though gold equities respond to changes in gold price, the degree of that response has deteriorated over time," he said, adding that the risks and costs of gold extraction can weigh on miners. A selection of gold bars and one-ounce gold coins at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024.

Persons: Tom Price, Price, Berenberg, Robin Bhar, Amy Arnott, John Meyer, Colin Hamilton, BlackRock's, Meyer, Barrick Gold Panmure Liberum, George Milling, Stanley, they're, Morningstar's Arnott, Bhar, Chris Ratcliffe Organizations: CNBC, Panmure, Bank of America, Citi, UBS, Gold, Morningstar, SP, CNBC Pro, Royal Mint, BMO Capital Markets, Borse Commodities, MiniShares, Gold Miners ETF, Miners, Barrick, Resolute Mining, Hochschild, Caledonia Mining, Barrick Gold Panmure, Endeavour Mining, Endeavour, Pan, Resources, State Street Global Advisors, Gold Investments, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Panmure Liberum, U.S . New York, United States, U.S, Hochschild Mining, Zimbabwe, London, West Africa, Berenberg

☆ There's a major bottleneck in AI data center expansion, analysts say. Here's how to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

One area is causing a major bottleneck in data center expansion and the energy transition, according to several analysts: the power grid. Morningstar said in its third-quarter equity market outlook last week that: "The grid is the biggest bottleneck of the energy transition. Over in China, there are also targets to accelerate the "intelligent transformation" of grid infrastructure and the construction of smart micro-grids, the bank said. Over in China, HSBC likes one Chinese stock to play the power grid infrastructure bottleneck. There's also one exchange-traded fund that tracks the sector: the First Trust Nasdaq Clean Edge Smart Grid Infrastructure UCITS ETF , which tracks the performance of stocks in the grid and electric energy infrastructure sector.

Persons: Morningstar, Louis Navellier, There's Organizations: Citi, Veolia, HSBC, Navellier, Associates, Emcor, Infrastructure Locations: United States, New York , California, Europe, China, RWE

☆ Wall Street banks name 10 UK stocks to benefit from Labour landslide win
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.K.'s center-left Labour Party has won a substantial parliamentary majority in the country's general election, unseating the incumbent Conservatives after 14 years. Manthey and her team picked the FTSE 250 index , which can be traded through exchange-traded funds such as iShares FTSE 250 UCITS ETF or Vanguard FTSE 250 UCITS , over the large-cap index FTSE 100 , as their "preferred post-election trade." The strategists, however, cautioned that historical data pointed toward lackluster returns immediately after the election results. More broadly, the investment bank's economist Anna Titareva said U.K. markets remain "heavily discounted" since after Brexit. After the election results were confirmed, they reiterated their stock preferences: Taylor Wimpey and Persimmon .

Persons: Beata Manthey, Manthey, Anna Titareva, Titareva, Anthony Codling, Taylor Wimpey, Gleeson, Bellway, Investec Organizations: Labour Party, Labour, Vanguard, UBS, Companies, FTSE, FTMC, RBC Capital Markets, Jefferies, Genuit Locations: Swiss

☆ These ETFs have beaten the S&P 500 for five years and are ahead in 2024 too
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Six exchange-traded funds have outperformed the S & P 500 index every year for the past five years, according to analysis by CNBC Pro. In 2022, when the S & P 500 fell by nearly 20%, the six ETFs each had a smaller loss. The Taiwanese dollar-denominated Sinopac TAIEX ETF also outperformed the S & P 500 over the same period in local currency terms. First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance Of the six ETFs, the First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (ticker: AIRR) has performed best over the period. It logged a cumulative total return of 178% over the past five years, compared to the S & P 500's 112%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNBC Pro, Four, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta, Equity, Trust, Industrial Renaissance, JPMorgan U.S, Research Locations: Four U.S, Taiwan, U.S, United States, United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Switzerland

☆ How to invest in India, the world's fastest-growing major economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Lucy Handley | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

India has been dubbed the "perfect" emerging market to invest in, but it can be tricky for those outside the country to gain access. India's stock market has been making headlines this year, and for good reason. "India remains one of the best-performing equity markets this year, underpinned by the world's fastest-growing major economy and a resilient macro backdrop," said James Thom, senior investment director Asian equities at Abrdn, in a note to clients. Some of the top ETFs in North America include the Columbia India Consumer ETF , the First Trust India NIFTY 50 Equal Weight ETF and the BMO MSCI India ESG Leaders Index ETF . In Europe, the list includes the iShares MSCI India UCITS ETF , which provides exposure to around 85% of the stock market, and the Xtrackers MSCI India Swap UCITS ETF Capitalisation 1C .

Persons: Krishnamurthy Subramanian, Narendra Modi's, Kevin T, Carter, Goldman Sachs, James Thom, aren't, GDRs, Arjun Jayaraman, there's, Jayaraman, Abrdn's Thom, Surendra Goyal, Thom, EMQQ Global's Carter, Modi's, it's, Jonathan Pines, — CNBC's Ganesh Rao, Tuul, Bruno Morandi Organizations: CNBC Pro, IMF, Bharatiya Janata Party, EMQQ, CNBC, Wealthmills Securities, Global, Causeway, Mutual, Columbia India Consumer ETF, First Trust India, BMO, India, Nasdaq, Investors, Nokia, Bank of America, Citi, Edge, Reliance Industries, U.S ., Bank of India, Network18, Bank, Getty Locations: India, China, North America, Europe, Singapore, U.S, Indian, Chhatrapati Shivaji Terminus, Mumbai

☆ Top value investor names 'very cheap' global gaming stock as a contrarian bet
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

While NCsoft shares are only traded in South Korea, they are accessible to U.S. and European investors through ETFs. The company's shares have been hit hard over the past few years, with the stock price declining significantly from its peak in 2021 and falling 40% over the past 12 months. German, co-manager of the Emerging Market Value strategy at Schroders , attributes the sell-off to several factors. In addition, NCsoft also announced a cost-cutting program and a share buyback program earlier this month which have already boosted the company's stock price by around 10%. Most analysts have a hold rating on the stock, giving shares only a 2% upside, according to FactSet data.

Persons: Vera German, NCsoft, Nexon Organizations: Esports, CNBC Pro, Investor Conference, South Korean Locations: Korean, South Korea, London, Korea

☆ JPMorgan says this simple 2-step, long-term investing approach allows you to maximize returns and achieve your financial goals while minimizing portfolio management headaches and costs
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

For most investors, holding just one passive global stock market fund and one passive global bond market fund over the long term is the best way to construct a portfolio, the strategists said. While some more time-consuming, complicated strategies may allow for higher returns, this approach gives investors the best all-around bang for their buck, Loeys and Wise said. Our point is instead that we believe you can achieve most, if not all of your financial objectives by following our KISS approach. Two stock funds that do this include the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund (VTWAX) and the SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF (SPGM). For investors who want to do more with their portfolio, Loeys and Wise suggested dedicating 80%-90% of one's portfolio to the above strategy, and using the other 10%-20% on other investments.

Persons: Jan Loeys, Alexander Wise, Wise, Joeys, Loeys Organizations: JPMorgan, Business, KISS, Index, Stock Market, Bond, Fidelity

☆ These are the only 2 ETFs that made money every year for the past decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-19 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Two funds investing in defensive stocks are the only exchange-traded funds in the world that had a positive return every year over the past decade, CNBC Pro research has found. The two funds stood out among 8,300 equity ETFs worldwide screened by CNBC Pro using FactSet data. Over that period, the ETF more than doubled investors' money, with a cumulative total price gain of 118%. While the MSCI Healthcare index, valued in euros, dipped slightly into negative territory in 2016, 2020 and 2022, the Amundi ETF's total returns have remained positive because of the weakness in the pound sterling. However, Tabet also pointed out that the health-care sector, especially European pharma, tends to underperform in election years.

Persons: Joakim Tabet, Kepler, Tabet, Vincent Denoiseux, David Evans, Evans, Kepler Cheuvreux Organizations: CNBC, Healthcare UCITS, London Stock Exchange, TSX, Consumer Staples, CNBC Pro, Outlook Novo Nordisk, Novo Nordisk's, pharma, European pharma Locations: Canadian, Europe, Danish, Novo, U.S

☆ Japanese stocks can soar 50%, says advisor — and investors can cash in with these ETFs
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Nikkei 225 index , one of Japan's most important stock market benchmarks, could surge more than 50% over the next two years, according to Tokyo-based advisor Jasper Koll. The Nikkei 225 currently stands at just over 36,000 points, meaning Koll's target represents a potential upside of around 50% in the next two years. Hong Kong investors have the CSOP Nikkei 225 Index ETF available. This ETF tracks the MSCI Japan index, which is a different index from the Nikkei 225 but holds about 70% of the same stocks. European, UAE, and Singapore-based investors can access the MSCI Japan index through the iShares MSCI Japan UCITS ETF.

Persons: Jasper Koll, Monex, Koll, CNBC's, JP Morgan Japan, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Nikkei, JP Morgan, Berkshire, KIM, Japan, Japan Hedged Equity Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Berkshire, that's, Swiss, Hong Kong, U.S, UAE, Singapore

☆ Morgan Stanley reveals its outlook for Asian stocks, says one major index is set to soar 11% in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Morgan Stanley has revealed a bullish call on Japanese stocks for 2024. China and emerging markets However, Morgan Stanley remains cautious on other Asian markets going into the first half of 2024. The bank's strategists lowered their target for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index to 1,000, implying a modest 4% upside from current levels. They cited slowing global growth, higher interest rates, and currency weakness versus the U.S. dollar as headwinds for emerging markets. Morgan Stanley expects strong nominal GDP growth above 11% annually in 2024 and 2025 thanks to "young demographic and geopolitical alignment," which will drive earnings higher.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jonathan F, Garner, Tom Stevenson, Morgan, CNBC's Michael Bloom, Penny Chen Organizations: U.S ., Amundi, Fidelity International, CNBC Pro, U.S Locations: Amundi Japan, Japan, China, India

☆ EU watchdog cautions against one-size-fits-all rules for non-banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Huw Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Regulators should keep on open mind when writing rules for the world's $239 trillion "non-bank" financial sector to avoid one-size fits all approaches, the EU's top securities watchdog said. Non-banks, a sector which includes hedge funds, real estate funds, insurers and private investments and now account for about half of the world's financial sector, are firmly in the regulatory limelight. This follows redemption-related stresses among money market funds (MMFs) during a "dash for cash" when economies went into pandemic lockdowns in March 2020, and last year with liability-driven investment (LDI) funds in Britain. European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) chair Verena Ross said regulators are closely examining non-banks' leverage, liquidity and their connectivity with banks. Meanwhile, the BoE has called for tougher liquidity rules for MMFs, but sterling-denominated funds are listed in European Union countries such as Ireland and Luxembourg, where the rules are written by the 27-member bloc.

Persons: Verena Ross, Ross, MMFs, BoE, ESMA, Huw Jones, Alexander Smith Organizations: European Securities and Markets Authority, Reuters, U.S . Federal, The Bank of England, U.S, Financial, Union, European Commission, Thomson Locations: Britain, Ireland, Luxembourg

A general view of GE Renewable Energy wind turbines, part of Pattern Energy’s Western Spirit Wind project, the largest wind project in the U.S., near Encino, New Mexico, U.S., March 15, 2023. Renewable energy funds globally suffered a net outflow of $1.4 billion in the July-September quarter, the biggest ever quarterly outflow, according to LSEG Lipper data. Reuters GraphicsInvestors have been exiting traditional energy funds, too, but the rate has slowed - net outflows reached $438 million in the last quarter compared with $3.32 billion in the previous three months. Reuters GraphicsDemand for exposure to renewable energy had been a major driver of cash flowing into climate-related funds in recent years. Wind projects off Britain, the Netherlands and Norway have been delayed or shelved due to rising costs and supply chain constraints, raising concerns about countries hitting their 2030 renewable energy targets.

Persons: Bing Guan, Denmark's, Madeline Ruid, Ruid, Morningstar, they're, Rich Pontillo, Patturaja, Tommy Reggiori Wilkes, Simon Jessop, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: GE Renewable Energy, REUTERS, Investors, Reuters Graphics, Companies, U.S . Infrastructure, Clean Energy Exchange, Energy, Reuters, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Thomson Locations: U.S, Encino , New Mexico, BENGALURU, LONDON, Britain, Netherlands, Norway, Bengaluru, London

☆ The head quant strategist at a $194 billion firm shares 4 trades he sees delivering at least 6% returns over each of the next 5 years as a recession gets ready to hit the US economy next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Next, Swinkels likes developed market equities, which include stocks in countries like France, Germany, the UK, Australia, Japan, and more. The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) offers exposure to developed market stocks outside of the US and Canada. Exchange-traded funds like the Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE) or the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) are one way to invest in emerging market stocks. "The CAPE ratio of global real estate is currently 13.3, well below its average of 19.4 since 2000," Swinkels said. One way to invest in real estate without buying properties directly is through real-estate investment trusts, also known as REITs.

Persons: Laurens Swinkels, Peter van der, Swinkels, we've Organizations: Federal, iShares, Yield Corp, Exchange, Schwab, Equity, Vanguard FTSE, Markets, Simon Property Group Locations: France, Germany, Australia, Japan, Canada, China, Brazil, India, Saudi Arabia

☆ Lansdowne to launch fund aimed at retail Nov 1 - presentations
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON, Sept 11 (Reuters) - London-based investment manager Lansdowne Partners will launch a long-only retail version of its flagship Developed Markets Fund, according to an investment presentation seen by Reuters on Monday, in a further departure from its hedge fund past. The Ucits fund will mirror Lansdowne's flagship Developed Markets Fund and will launch November 1, the presentation said. Lansdowne initially declined to comment when contacted by Reuters. Reporting by Nell Mackenzie; Editing by Amanda CooperOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Lansdowne, Nell Mackenzie, Amanda Cooper Organizations: Lansdowne Partners, Markets, Reuters, Thomson Locations: London

☆ European Union agrees post-Brexit rules for hedge funds
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Nell Mackenzie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON, July 20 (Reuters) - The European Union said on Thursday it has reached a deal on revising its rules for managers of hedge funds and other alternative investments, easing industry fears of a post-Brexit crackdown on managers in London. Representatives of EU states and the European Parliament reached the deal overnight to update the bloc's Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) rules that cover investments in hedge funds, private equity, private debt funds and real estate funds. Under the agreement, European asset managers will have to disclose more details to regulators about their investments with private funds in the United States, Britain and other non-EU countries. But it stops short of toughening up "delegation" rules for managers outside the EU that pick assets for funds listed in the bloc. The agreement includes new rules on funds that issue new loans, including higher requirements to keep money aside to cope with liquidity demands in stressed markets.

Persons: Taggart Davis, Davis, Jiri Krol, AIMA, Deborah Zurkow, Nell Mackenzie, Huw Jones, Dhara Ranasinghe, Sharon Singleton Organizations: European Union, European, Investment, European Commission, Collective Investment, Securities, EU, Alternative Investment Management Association, Alternative Credit Council, Allianz Global Investors, Thomson Locations: London ., United States, Britain, London, Luxembourg, Dublin, Europe

☆ Top Wall Street strategists and money managers are warning that the risk-reward ratio for stocks is at its worst since the 2008 crisis. Here are 10 places they say to put your money instead with furth
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

In other words, the risk-reward ratio for stocks — or the equity risk premium — has to make sense, or else why take the risk by investing in them? 10 places to investDespite the lackluster outlook for stocks, strategists still say there are plenty of investing opportunities. The Vanguard US Quality Factor ETF (VFQY) and the Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples Index ETF (FSTA) offer exposure to the above areas of the market. This supports our preference for emerging markets, and our preference for Germany and consumer stocks in Europe. Within defensives, we like consumer staples over healthcare, which we downgraded this month.

☆ Brazil stocks set to slide as world leaders condemn pro-Bolsonaro riots
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

BRASILIA, Brazil - Jan. 08, 2023: Damage caused at the Supreme Court by supporters of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. Bolsonaro's supporters stormed Brazil's Congress, Supreme Court and presidential palace in Brasilia on Sunday. Brazilian stocks are expected to fall on Monday after supporters of right-wing former president Jair Bolsonaro stormed government buildings on Sunday in protest against his election loss. He also accused the former president of encouraging "fascist fanatics," an allegation Bolsonaro denied in a series of tweets on Sunday. In a tweet Sunday night, U.S. President Joe Biden condemned what he called "the assault on democracy and the peaceful transfer of power in Brazil."

☆ Bank of America expects SABIC Agri-Nutrients shares to rise by 50% due to a worldwide fertilizer shortage
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-05 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Shares of Sabic Agri-Nutrients are expected to rise by more than 50% over the next year thanks to a limited fertilizer supply worldwide, according to Bank of America. In contrast, BofA analyst Sashank Lanka said Sabic Agri-Nutrients pays $1.25/MMBtu for the gas, owing to its relationship with Saudi petrochemicals company Sabic, which is a majority shareholder. "We also expect the urea cost curve to steepen, supported by rising gas prices in EU and Asia along with high coal prices," Lanka added. Although gas prices have eased since their August peak, analysts expect demand to pick up in Europe during the winter. Sabic Agri-Nutrients reported an increase in net profits by 93.3% to 2.3 billion Saudi riyals ($610 million), compared to the previous year.

☆ The world's top investment firms pay Rob Arnott for advice. He shares 2 trades he thinks will deliver 15% annualized returns over the next decade — and breaks down why there's a 'decent likelihood' th
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-28 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The first opportunity is in international developed market value stocks, which are represented by the EAFE Value Index. Investors can gain exposure to developed market value stocks through funds like the iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF (EFV) and the Vanguard International Value Fund (VTRIX). The second is in emerging market value stocks, which he said have an average Shiller P/E of 10x. The iShares Edge MSCI EM Value Factor UCITS ETF (EMVL) and the Dimensional Emerging Markets Value ETF (DFEV) offer exposure to emerging market value stocks. The Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF (RPV) is one way to gain exposure to US value stocks.

☆ The world's top investment firms pay Rob Arnott for advice. He shares 2 trades he thinks will deliver 15% annualized returns over the next decade — and breaks down why inflation could remain elevated
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

☆ 'The best sweet spot': Buy these inflation-beating funds to protect your money, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

As inflation remains stubbornly high, and volatility in U.S. stocks and bonds persists, one strategist has shared his top ways for investors to protect their income. High inflation increases the chances of the U.S. Federal Reserve raising rates further, which tends to mean a stronger dollar. His picks include the iShares Euro Inflation Linked Government Bond UCITS ETF and the iShares TIPS Bond ETF . That's a bad combination for agricultural output, and high gas prices will contribute to higher fertilizer prices, he added. The 'best sweet spot' As U.S. investors scramble to navigate continued volatility, particularly in stocks, Jolley said the "brave" could consider stocks overseas.

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