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London's historic art scene is getting a tech upgrade
  + stars: | 2024-11-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The United Kingdom's historic art scene has embraced technology such as artificial intelligence, as it evolves to compete with growing markets such as China. While the United States and China hold the number one and two spots respectively, the U.K.'s contribution to the art market is nothing to be sniffed at – holding 17% of the global share, according to the Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report. London is widely regarded as the art hub of Europe, and its biggest art fair, Frieze, boasted 90,000 visitors in 2024. Within the art world, it's been sort of bubbling away, burning away for a while, and it's suddenly caught fire," said Henry Highley, Head of European Private Sales for Phillips. Watch the video above for an up-close look at some of the art breaking barriers on London's art scene.
Persons: Eva Langret, it's, Langret, Marie Antoinette's, Phillips, Henry Highley Organizations: Art Basel, UBS Art, Frieze, CNBC's, European Locations: China, United States, Europe, Frieze London
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs initiates Flutter as buy Goldman said the online gambling company is well positioned. " Redburn Atlantic Equities reiterates Microsoft as buy The firm said investors should buy the dip in Microsoft shares. Baird upgrades KinderCare to outperform from neutral Baird said investors should buy the dip in shares of the daycare company. Baird upgrades Bright Horizons to outperform from neutral Baird said the daycare company is well positioned. Baird upgrades Elastic to outperform from neutral Baird said the software company is an AI beneficiary.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Piper Sandler downgrades Sunrun, Piper, KeyBanc, Baird, Klarna, Phillip, JPMorgan, it's, Carpenter, Needham, it's bullish, John Donohoe, Elliott Hill, they've, Wells, Truist, Leerink Organizations: Citi, Apple, UBS, Microsoft, RBC, Bank of America, Apple Pay, Phillip Securities, Nvidia, Carpenter Technology, JPMorgan, Nike, " Bank of America, KD, Semiconductors, Global Business Travel Group Locations: 2H25, North America
President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans could weigh on the broader stock market, but some attractively valued names with strong cash levels could withstand the pressure, according to UBS. "The rally overlooks the potentially negative knock-on implications of tax cuts and tariffs on corporate performance and valuations." Against that backdrop, UBS looked for stocks that have high levels of cash and are attractively valued. The stock has a dividend yield of 2.7%. It has a dividend yield of 2.2%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Michel Lerner, Lerner, Smoot, Paychex, Jason Kupferberg Organizations: UBS, Bank of America, CVS, Federal Trade Commission, Glenview Capital Locations: China, U.S, Hawley
Four big reasons to own gold into 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
On Friday, spot gold rose about 1% amid increasing tensions between Russia and Ukraine . Secondly, the global interest rate-cutting cycle will also stretch into 2025, which will serve as another driver of higher gold prices. Moreover, a push among central banks to diversify their reserves away from the dollar could also provide some additional support for gold, he said. "We expect the de-dollarization trend among central banks and private asset managers to continue," Khandelwal said. "We estimate central banks bought around 900 metric tons of gold in 2024, and these volumes can be sustained well above the prior decade's average of around 325 metric tons a year."
Persons: Gold, Donald Trump's, Sagar Khandelwal, Khandelwal Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Russia, Ukraine
The interest rate outlook will come back into focus next week with key inflation data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes coming out ahead of Thanksgiving, as investors wrap up a major month for markets following President-elect Donald Trump's election victory. The October personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index set to release Wednesday could dent already-dimming hopes for a December rate cut if it comes in hotter than expected. The inflation rate is expected to have increased 0.2% month over month and 2.3% year on year. Rosy expectations Even with the interest rate cut expectations coming in, investors are optimistic on the direction for stocks to close out the year and into 2025. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 can end next year at 6,500.
Persons: Donald Trump's, , Luke O'Neill, Stocks, O'Neill, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Tom Hainlin, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Alpha Fund, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BMO, UBS, Bank Asset Management, Dell Technologies, Chicago, New, Richmond Fed, Devices, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago
While Wall Street is confident that there will be a continued boom under Trump, UBS GWM is less sure. "AI infrastructure spending remains robust, and we expect key semiconductor components needed for AI to remain supply constrained in 2025, supporting pricing," UBS GWM strategists wrote. "We believe investment-grade bonds offer attractive yields and expect mid-single-digit returns in US dollar terms," UBS GWM strategists wrote. "In 2025, we believe gold will remain an effective hedge against key political concerns, including government debt levels, inflation, or geopolitical tensions," UBS GWM strategists wrote. Residential and commercial properties both make sense, though UBS GWM specifically cited property types like logistics, data centers, and multifamily housing.
Persons: Donald Trump, Mark Haefele, UBS GWM, Haefele Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS GWM, Trump, UBS, Technology, Utilities Locations: Japan
Former billionaire investor Sung Kook “Bill” Hwang was sentenced to 18 years in prison on Wednesday over the collapse of Archegos Capital Management, which cost Wall Street banks more than $10 billion. Hwang was sentenced by U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein in Manhattan, where a jury convicted Hwang in July on 10 criminal charges including wire fraud, securities fraud and market manipulation. Before sentencing Hwang, Hellerstein asked the defendant’s lawyer, Dani James, how she thought Hwang compared to Sam Bankman-Fried, who was sentenced in March to 25 years in prison for stealing $8 billion from users of the now-bankrupt FTX exchange. While Archegos eventually managed $36 billion, Hwang’s borrowing helped him amass $160 billion of exposure to stocks. Hwang’s co-defendant, former Archegos Chief Financial Officer Patrick Halligan, was convicted at the same trial on three criminal charges.
Persons: Sung Kook, Bill ” Hwang, Hwang, Alvin Hellerstein, ” Hellerstein, Archegos ’, Hwang —, Andrew Thomas, Hellerstein, Dani James, Sam Bankman, Mr, Fried, ” James, , ” Hwang, James, it’s, Julian Robertson, Archegos, Grace, , Hwang’s, Patrick Halligan Organizations: Archegos Capital Management, U.S, AS FAMILY, Tiger Asia Management, Paramount, Credit Suisse, Nomura Holdings, UBS, Mercy Foundation Locations: Manhattan, U.S, New York
This booming period marked by strong economic growth and robust market returns could extend into 2025, according to UBS, which is calling for the S & P 500 to rise as high as 7,000 in its most optimistic, bullish case. "The market and economic developments have led some to term the decade so far as the 'Roaring 20s,' marked by high economic growth, strong market returns, and improving productivity," Mark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management chief investment officer, said in a note to clients. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The Wall Street bank set its base case of a 6,600 S & P 500 target for 2025, or about 10% upside from current prices. For its bull case, the equity benchmark could climb to 7,000 by year end 2025, a 16% gain from current levels. The S & P 500 appears set to wrap up a strong 2024 with a bang, thanks to optimism toward President-elect Donald Trump 's market-friendly policies.
Persons: Mark Haefele, Donald Trump, Haefele Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management
Now, they're waiting "until the last moment of need, focusing on deals, and then stocking up," CEO Brian Cornell said. Chief Commercial Officer Rick Gomez provided additional detail about how this new consumer pattern has played out for the company. Advertisement"Our Target Circle week this quarter was one of our biggest yet," he said. Unseasonably warm temperatures also meant that shoppers delayed their purchases of cold-weather apparel until they actually needed it, Gomez said. "Would you be willing to trade some of the upside in those areas for even more consistency from quarter to quarter?"
Persons: Brian Cornell, Rick Gomez, Gomez, Neil Saunders, , Fitch, David Silverman, Michael Lasser, Cornell Organizations: Target, Walmart, Data, UBS Locations: New York
Luxury retailer Burberry 's shares present an attractive investment opportunity after the company revealed a new turnaround strategy, according to hedge fund manager David Neuhauser. The stock, which is also traded in the U.S. and Germany, remains down around 40% year-to-date, however. UBS said Burberry was the only luxury retailer not to report "weak organic sales growth" in the latest quarter. "I think Burberry has a good turnaround in place with a new CEO," Neuhauser added, while cautioning that the recovery might take longer than expected. "I think over some time, a good turnaround by Burberry, with strong leadership, could really see the stock price increase.
Persons: David Neuhauser, Neuhauser, CNBC's, Livermore, they're, Zuzanna Pusz, Burberry, , Joshua Schulman, Rogerio Fujimori, Adam Cochrane, FactSet, — CNBC's Karen Gilchrist Organizations: Burberry, Livermore Partners, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Stifel Locations: London, U.S, Germany, Asia, Swiss
Jim Cramer said Wednesday he's feeling even better about Apple after a new piece of Wall Street research. "This piece makes me feel more confident [about Apple]," Jim said Wednesday. "They are transitioning in a very deft way from making China by far their biggest market to India," Jim said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. An Apple logo is displayed on a smartphone with stock market values in the background.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, , Jim, Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Apple, JPMorgan, Apple's, F1Q25, UBS, Apple Intelligence, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, India, Philippines, Indonesia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: still positive on markets, valuation 'cheap' in AsiaAdrian Zuercher of UBS Global Wealth Management remains positive on markets, noting that upcoming Fed cuts will be good for bonds and equities. He believes that China has the tools and willpower to introduce more policies to shore up consumer confidence especially if Trump tariffs materialize, and combat structural issues.
Persons: Asia Adrian Zuercher Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Trump Locations: Asia, China
Customer traffic gains were similar at the two stores, yet Walmart's sales trends looked much better than Target's. Walmart's traffic growth edged out its rival's, with a gain of 3.1% at Walmart U.S. versus 2.4% at Target. Walmart's e-commerce sales in the U.S. rose 22%, a bigger increase than the nearly 11% at Target. About 60% of Target's sales come from discretionary items, such as home goods and clothing. On a call with investors on Wednesday, Cornell pointed to "green shoots" in the business, even as sales results disappointed.
Persons: Brian Cornell, Walmart's, Michael Baker, Davidson, Baker, Paul Lejuez, Kate McShane, Goldman Sachs, Davidson's Baker, Cornell, Michael Lasser, We'll Organizations: Walmart, Walmart U.S, Target, D.A, Amazon, Costco, Citi Research, Deutsche Bank, HSBC Global Research, Citi, Cornell, UBS Locations: U.S, Minneapolis, America
The runup in the 10-year Treasury yield is proving to be more than a short-term fluctuation, and that is starting to draw nervous looks on Wall Street. US10Y 3M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield started to climb ahead of the election and has moved higher still after Donald Trump's victory. With the 10-year yield close to a key psychological level of 4.5%, there is concern that another move higher could lead to a downturn in the stock market. If the 10-year yield does break through the 4.5% level, technical patterns suggest it could make a significant climb. Strong economic growth and optimism around artificial intelligence are two reasons why stocks may be able to tolerate higher rates, said Solita Marcelli, UBS global wealth management chief investment officer for the Americas.
Persons: Bond, Donald Trump's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Trump, Senyek, Paul Ciana, Stocks, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research, Bank of America, UBS Locations: 1Q25
Here's how UBS looks at Target and Walmart post-earnings
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's how UBS looks at Target and Walmart post-earningsMichael Lasser, UBS retail analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Target's quarterly earnings results, the state of the consumer, and much more.
Persons: Michael Lasser Organizations: UBS, Target, Walmart
Stocks are primed for another big stock market gain in 2025 given U.S. economic strength and likely deregulation under President-elect Donald Trump, according to Wells Fargo. The Wall Street bank expects the S & P 500 will advance to 6,600 by the end of 2025. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Wells Fargo is the latest big firm to release its 2025 S & P 500 year-end target, with virtually all shops thus far anticipating a roughly 10% gain or more for the broad market index. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 to end next year at 6,500. The S & P 500 surged 24% in 2023, and is up more than 23% this year.
Persons: Donald Trump, Darrell Cronk, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Cronk Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, BMO, UBS, CNBC, & $ Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's
Get the most out of these tax-favored accounts in 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Benefits enrollment season is here, and with it comes an opportunity for workers to tune up their workplace savings plans and sock away more money on a tax-favored basis. Traditional tax-deferred accounts, like 401(k) plans and individual retirement accounts, are just the beginning for savers. As tempting as it may be for savers to plow money into HSAs and other tax-favored accounts, they'll need to draw up a strategy before they do so. They can also earmark additional funds toward 529 college savings plans and taxable brokerage accounts. In a tax-deferred account, investors won't be on the hook for the tax bill until they begin drawing down from it.
Persons: Marguerita Cheng, Cheng Organizations: Devenir, Blue, Global Wealth, UBS, Chief Investment Locations: Gaithersburg , Maryland
Three Wall Street banks have taken differing views on gold's trajectory in 2025, reflecting the complex economic outlook. Goldman Sachs expects the price of the yellow metal to reach $3,000 per ounce by December 2025, saying "Go For Gold" in a note from Nov. 17. The gold price has declined by 7% since late October as the risk of a disputed U.S. election result diminished. While maintaining a positive outlook on gold, UBS warned that its gains — gold had risen 35% this year until November — could slow down. Goldman Sachs pointed to a fivefold increase in central bank gold purchases, driven by concerns about financial sanctions and sovereign debt sustainability.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump's, Goldman, Daan Struyven, Karen Ward, Ward, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Trump, JPMorgan Asset Management, UBS Locations: U.S, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Switzerland, Russia, Ukraine
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple, Microsoft and Meta as overweight The firm says "mega-cap tech under-ownership narrows" in the third-quarter but that it's sticking with all three stocks. " UBS upgrades Comfort Systems to buy from neutral UBS says the HVAC company is a beneficiary in tech and data center cooling. UBS upgrades American Water Works to buy from neutral UBS says it sees "consistent" total returns for the water company. " Jefferies reiterates Netflix as buy The firm raised its price target on the stock to $1,000 per share from $800. TD Cowen names Datadog a best idea The firm says the stock is a top idea in 2025.
Persons: Stifel, it's, Morgan Stanley, Okta, , Jefferies, Uber, Needham, Joby, Piper Sandler downgrades Kraft Heinz, Piper, Kraft Heinz, Piper Sandler, Paul, Tyson, NFLX, TD Cowen, United, Datadog, Scott Thomson, it's bullish Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Barclays, UBS, Comfort Systems, Works, Edison Electric, Kraft, Apollo, TAM, Netflix, Bank of America, Bank of, Scotiabank, JPMorgan Locations: Bank of Nova Scotia, robotaxis
CNN —A René Magritte painting depicting an eerily lit streetscape sold for more than $121 million at a Christie’s auction in New York on Tuesday –– surpassing its $95 million estimate and smashing the auction record for the Surrealist artist’s work. The auction also featured paintings by other modern giants like Ed Ruscha and Max Ernst. The painting sold for a record sum at a Christie's auction in New York. Two other Magritte works were included in the sale: The paintings “La cour d’amour” and “La Mémoire,” which sold for $10.53 million and $3.68 million, respectively. He produced a total of 17 oil paintings and 10 gouaches (water-based paintings) that all share the name “L’empire des lumières” –– and each with small alternations between versions.
Persons: Magritte, Mica Ertegun’s, Ed Ruscha, Max Ernst, , Max Carter, ” Carter, David Hockney, , Claude Monet, Vincent van Gogh, Peggy Guggenheim, Sandra Zalman, Zalman, ” “, ” Zalman Organizations: CNN, Century, Art Basel, Venice Biennale, University of Houston Locations: New York, British, Hong Kong, Belgian
Art on the auction blockA little more than half of Phillips, Christie’s and Sotheby’s sales — which will carry the three aforementioned art pieces — were based in New York, where 34 of the top 50 auction lots were sold in 2023, according to an Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report. Christie’s is auctioning 689 lots this week as part of the November art auctions. But Todd Levin of Levin Art Group was skeptical that tax cuts would do much for the art market. Interest ratesAnother drag on the art market over the last few years: high interest rates. A signal for what’s to comeNew York’s art auctions in the spring and fall could be a sign of things to come for the global art market, according to Woodham.
Persons: Maurizio Cattelan’s, , Andy Warhol’s “, Rene Magritte’s “, Sotheby’s, Phillips, Merrill Lynch, Donald Trump, Alex Glauber, ” Glauber, Christie’s, René Magritte, Marc Porter, Hiroko Masuike, Trump, bode, Todd Levin, “ It’s, Doug Woodham, , Fernando Botero's, Kena Batancur, Glauber, Amy Whitaker, , ” Whitaker Organizations: New, New York CNN, Andy Warhol’s “ New York Skyscrapers, of, Christie’s, Association of Professional Art Advisors, CNN, Art Basel, UBS Art, New York Times, UBS Survey, Global, Trump White, Levin Art, Federal Reserve, Trump, NYU Steinhardt Locations: New York, Belgian, Christie’s Americas, Woodham, AFP, Miami
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe believe the market is going higher into end of the year, says UBS' Alan RechtschaffenAlan Rechtschaffen, UBS Global Wealth senior portfolio manager, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss whether recent market dips represent opportunity, expectations for the new administration, and more.
Persons: Alan Rechtschaffen Alan Rechtschaffen Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth
The S & P 500 has been drifting lower for a week. Pity the Wall Street strategists Pity the poor Wall Street strategists who are now writing their 2025 outlooks. That is about 10% above the current S & P 500 level. What is the current average yearly return of the S & P 500? The S & P 500 is up 0.3% since the close on Election Day.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Brian Belski, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Bulls, Street, BMO Capital, UBS, ISI, Trump Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Iran
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Individual stocks sway indexesOn Monday, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nadaq Composite added 0.6%, mostly spurred higher by Tesla . Shares of Goldman Sachs and Salesforce fell, causing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to drop 0.1%. Autonomous vehicles on the agendaTesla shares jumped 5.6% after it was reported that President-elect Donald Trump's incoming administration plans to draw up a federal framework that will regulate self-driving vehicles.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Salesforce, Donald, Howard Marks, Goldman Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, Dow Jones, China's CSI, Nasdaq, BDO, Vice, JPMorgan, UBS Locations: Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, China China, China
It's time to buy shares of HVAC company Comfort Systems , according to UBS. "We also expect Manufacturing to benefit from reshoring and an increased emphasis on U.S. manufacturing capabilities, with Manufacturing construction spend now 19% of [nonresidential] construction, nearly doubling from 10% in 2019," he added. "Notably, nonresidential construction spending and manufacturing construction spending have increased 89% and 207%, respectively, since the start of 2015," he said. Among the six analysts covering it, three have a strong buy or buy rating, while the other three have a hold rating, per LSEG. FIX YTD mountain FIX, year-to-date Shares rose nearly 1% in the premarket after UBS' upgrade.
Persons: Joshua Chan, Chan Organizations: Comfort Systems, UBS, Manufacturing Locations: 2024E, 2025E
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