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☆ UBS Global Wealth Management: still positive on markets, valuation 'cheap' in Asia
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: still positive on markets, valuation 'cheap' in AsiaAdrian Zuercher of UBS Global Wealth Management remains positive on markets, noting that upcoming Fed cuts will be good for bonds and equities. He believes that China has the tools and willpower to introduce more policies to shore up consumer confidence especially if Trump tariffs materialize, and combat structural issues.

Persons: Asia Adrian Zuercher Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Trump Locations: Asia, China

☆ The 10-year Treasury yield is looming as a potential anchor on stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The runup in the 10-year Treasury yield is proving to be more than a short-term fluctuation, and that is starting to draw nervous looks on Wall Street. US10Y 3M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield started to climb ahead of the election and has moved higher still after Donald Trump's victory. With the 10-year yield close to a key psychological level of 4.5%, there is concern that another move higher could lead to a downturn in the stock market. If the 10-year yield does break through the 4.5% level, technical patterns suggest it could make a significant climb. Strong economic growth and optimism around artificial intelligence are two reasons why stocks may be able to tolerate higher rates, said Solita Marcelli, UBS global wealth management chief investment officer for the Americas.

Persons: Bond, Donald Trump's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Trump, Senyek, Paul Ciana, Stocks, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research, Bank of America, UBS Locations: 1Q25

☆ Why now may be a good opportunity to buy these bonds — and earn tax-free income
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"Investors should take advantage as munis are poised to deliver good performance into year-end and 2025, in our view," he added. Interest income from municipal bonds is free of federal income taxes. Further, if the investor resides in the same state that issues the bond, the interest income can be exempt from state taxes. Both of those tax cuts could reduce muni bond demand, Li said. As for any potential changes in the individual tax rate, UBS' Mukherjee doesn't necessarily see a big impact on demand.

Persons: Sudip Mukherjee, Mukherjee, Yingchen Li, Trump, Li, Donald Trump, Bank of America's Li, downgrades Organizations: Federal, UBS Global Wealth Management, Bank of America, muni, Republicans, Senate, Democrats, GOP, UBS, Investment, Bank of America's

☆ Demand for Asia equities likely to remain high, says strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDemand for Asia equities likely to remain high, says strategistSuresh Tantia, APAC Strategist for UBS Global Wealth Management, says the threat of tariffs is unlikely to reroute demand for Taiwan & South Korean equities or products.

Persons: Suresh Tantia Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Taiwan & South Locations: Asia, Taiwan

☆ UBS Global Wealth Management: market still 'supportive for equities', but not overpriced
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: market still 'supportive for equities', but not overpricedBrenda O'Connor Juanas expects solid earnings in the tech space, adding that the macro environment remains supportive for equities, and financials and utilities look attractive from a valuation standpoint.

Persons: Brenda O'Connor Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Big Tech stocks have a high earnings bar to clear
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Overall S & P 500 profit growth is tracking below what analysts anticipated heading into the reporting period. Still, the S & P 500 is less than 1% below a record high reached earlier this month. Solita Marcelli, UBS Global Wealth Management chief investment officer for the Americas, also warned that high valuations could be a problem for megacap tech stocks as earnings roll out. Technical patterns based on price charts aren't too favorable, either, heading into megacap tech earnings. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) in June hit its highest level relative to the S & P 500 since March 2000 , when the dot-com bubble peaked.

Persons: Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Wells Fargo Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, UBS Global Wealth Management, Netflix Locations: Americas

☆ No need to be 'purely defensive' because of US election risk, says CIO
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo need to be 'purely defensive' because of US election risk, says CIOHartmut Issel, Head CIO Equities APAC at UBS Global Wealth Management, makes the case for investment-grade bonds and financials as strategic plays, regardless of who wins the presidency in the U.S. election race.

Persons: Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S

☆ The art market is in a correction as big spenders fade
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The number of wealthy collectors surveyed who plan to purchase art in the next year fell to 43% from over half in 2023. The median spending on art by wealthy collectors remains stable at around $50,000 a year, according to the survey. Higher interest rates also raised the opportunity cost of buying art, since wealthy collectors could earn an easy 5% or more from cash and Treasuries. Just as in the classic-car market, the art market is going through a generational shift that's created a mismatch between supply and demand. According to the survey, the high end of the art market, or works priced at $10 million or more, was the strongest before 2022.

Persons: Andy Warhol, Jean, Michel Basquiat, Wiktor, Robert Frank, Phillips, Bonhams, Paul Donovan, Xers, they're, Donovan, Gen Xers, Gen Organizations: Art Basel, UBS Survey, UBS Global Wealth Management, Art Basel Miami Beach, Dealers, UBS Locations: London, United Kingdom, Christie's, Sotheby's, New York, East, Ukraine, Europe, China

☆ The economy is a priority for Americans as they head to the polls. Here's what's really going on behind the numbers.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

But there are some weak points — like a growing federal debt load. There are a few less-rosy data points out there, like rising long-term unemployment and a historically high level of federal debt. Federal debt is high compared to GDP, even looking beyond the spike of the debt as a share of GDP during the pandemic. While federal debt as a share of GDP was slightly above 100% before the pandemic, recent figures are much higher than in the past. Federal debt was 120% of GDP in the second quarter of this year.

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Mark Hamrick, Kurt Reiman, Reiman, They're, aren't, Hamrick, There's, Biden Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Siena College, Pew Research, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, University of Michigan's, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, MarketWatch Locations: America, Wells Fargo

☆ Gold may hit $2,500 by mid-2025, 'not surprised' if $3,000, says UBS' Kelvin Tay
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGold may hit $2,500 by mid-2025, 'not surprised' if $3,000, says UBS' Kelvin TayKelvin Tay, regional CIO of UBS global wealth management, also said markets have priced in a potential Trump victory.

Persons: Kelvin Tay Kelvin Tay Organizations: UBS, Trump

☆ A skip from the Fed at its next meeting would be great for economic strength, says UBS' Mark Haefele
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA skip from the Fed at its next meeting would be great for economic strength, says UBS' Mark HaefeleMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the idea of the Federal Reserve skipping at cut at its next meeting, what to expect from markets through the end of the year, and much more.

Persons: Mark Haefele Mark Haefele Organizations: Fed, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal

☆ Stock market today: US stocks trade mixed with Fed minutes and rate outlook in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.

Persons: —, Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice

☆ Brent could hit around $87 per barrel by year-end: UBS Global Wealth Management
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBrent could hit around $87 per barrel by year-end: UBS Global Wealth ManagementWayne Gordon of UBS Global Wealth Management discusses the impact of the Middle East conflict and China's stimulus on the global oil market.

Persons: Brent, UBS Global Wealth Management Wayne Gordon Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Yale's Stephen Roach: Markets are in danger of being 'whipsawed' by Middle East conflict, U.S. unemployment
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ilia Yefimovich/dpa | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesMarkets are in danger of being "whipsawed" by the combination of regional conflict in the Middle East and rising unemployment in the United States, says Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center. Most Asian markets fell on Wednesday, tracking losses on Wall Street overnight, as investors fretted over rising tensions in the Middle East. A higher-than-expected unemployment rate could prompt the Fed to accelerate the easing cycle to achieve a soft landing. The unemployment rate in September is expected to come in at 4.2%, according to data of a Reuters poll on LSEG, unchanged from the August figure. The unemployment rate had jumped to near a three-year high of 4.3% in July, a dramatic rise from the five-decade low of 3.4% in April 2023.watch now

Persons: Ilia Yefimovich, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Hassan Nasrallah, Roach, CNBC's, Stephen Stanley, Kelvin Tay Organizations: Missiles, Getty, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Wall, Israel Defense Forces, Santander, Organization of, Petroleum, Energy Information Administration, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, United States, Iranian, Lebanon, U.S .

☆ UBS Global Wealth Management: Thailand will 'struggle' compared to rest of Asia
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: Thailand will 'struggle' compared to rest of AsiaSuresh Tantia, an APAC strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management, offers his views of the broader markets in Asia. He notes that Thailand will struggle compared to other Asian countries. For good returns, he prefers short-term plays in the Chinese tech space, Taiwan and Korean semiconductor stocks, and Asian investment-grade bonds.

Persons: Asia Suresh Tantia Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Thailand, Asia, Taiwan

☆ China's surprise stimulus could be a red flag, so investors should approach the nation's long-awaited rally with caution
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementLorraine Tan, Morningstar's director of equity research for Asia, also thinks monetary stimulus won't be sufficient. History says their skepticism is warranted, as China's past stimulus efforts have often failed to lead to sustainable gains. Even if this surge holds up, it won't necessarily spark a self-fulfilling prophecy that provides a lasting boost for China's economy. But others like Tan from Morningstar believe this bad news is reflected in Chinese stocks' cheap valuations. The team at UBS Global Wealth Management is also cautiously optimistic about Chinese stocks after this news.

Persons: —, they're, Betty Wang, Marcelli, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Brian Mulberry, Mulberry, Wang, China isn't, Jeff Kleintop, Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Rory Green, Xi Jinping, Biden, Trump, That's, Kleintop, Morningstar, she'd Organizations: Service, Business, People's Bank of, Oxford Economics, UBS Global Wealth Management, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Reserve, BI Locations: China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Central, Republic

☆ Donovan: Political violence generally doesn't influence election outcomes.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDonovan: Political violence generally doesn't influence election outcomes. Paul Donovan, Chief Economist at UBS Global Wealth Management and a member of the bank's Election Watch 2024 research team, believes political violence, like assassination attempts, generally doesn't influence election outcomes.

Persons: Donovan, Paul Donovan Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Growth data will determine the magnitude of the Fed's rate cuts, says UBS' Nadia Lovell
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGrowth data will determine the magnitude of the Fed's rate cuts, says UBS' Nadia LovellNadia Lovell, UBS Global Wealth Management senior equity strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Lovell's forecast for the Federal Reserve, if the Fed can cut rates without scaring anyone, and much more.

Persons: Nadia Lovell Nadia Lovell Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve

☆ 6 Wall Street experts share why investors could be overestimating how much the Fed will cut rates after August's inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The print is causing concern that inflation may not be going away, which would mean higher interest rates than markets expect going forward. Skyler Weinand, chief investment officer, Regan CapitalWeinand says the market's current outlook on rate cuts will only take place if the economy deteriorates significantly. If inflation does slow that much, the Fed would likely cut rates faster than just a quarter percent per meeting over the next 3-6 months," Adams said in an email. "However, the stickiness of service price inflation and shelter inflation suggests the Fed will cut rates slower than financial markets currently price in." This would be a disappointment to short-term bond markets that have priced over 250 bps of rate cuts by the end of 2025."

Persons: Brian Rose, UBS Global Wealth Management Rose, Rose, Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital Weinand, Bill Adams, Adams, Peter Perkins, MRB Partners Perkins, Josh Jamner, ClearBridge Investments Jamner, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, CPI, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth, Fed, Comerica Bank, MRB Partners, Investment, ClearBridge Investments, Independent, bps

☆ Neither Trump nor Harris really gave us much detail about how they will fix the economy in the debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Though the debate opened with a discussion about the economy, the conversation quickly devolved into platitudes, boasts, and personal jabs. Industry leaders told Business Insider that they hoped to hear the candidates discuss crypto guidelines, regulation, and key appointments on Tuesday night, but little was said about any of those topics. "What we really need is either a debate or a whole section of a debate devoted to economic issues," Tedeschi said. Tedeschi told Business Insider that we need clarity about Trump's proposed tariffs, which are the "most consequential and radical thing that he's proposed." Chris Larsen, the billionaire co-founder of blockchain payments company Ripple, told Business Insider that Harris was "spectacular."

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump sparred, Ernie Tedeschi, Tedeschi, Harris, Trump, Paul Donovan, Mark Penn, Clinton, Aaron Levie, Chris Larsen, Crypto, there's, Larsen, Bradley Tusk Organizations: Service, Industry, Business, Yale Budget Lab, UBS Global Wealth Management, New York Times, Federal, Federal Trade Commission, Others, Trump, Democratic, Tusk Venture Partners Locations: platitudes

☆ UBS Global Wealth Management: S&P 500 at 5,900 by year-end is pretty realistic
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: S&P 500 at 5,900 by year-end is pretty realisticBrenda O'Connor Juanas of UBS Global Wealth Management says earnings growth and Fed rate cut will drive the market higher.

Persons: Brenda O'Connor Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Big Tech drawing dip buyers again, but some investors say diversification is prudent move
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The tech slide has many investors anxious to buy the dip, but now is the time for caution, some say. Communication services and information technology stocks are the two worst-performing S & P 500 sectors this quarter, after having fallen into a correction from their peaks in July. Communication services is more than 11% off its 52-week high, while information technology is more than 12% off its recent high. For much of this year, any dips in the high-flying tech stocks have proven to be a buying opportunity for investors, as the promise of artificial intelligence has traders unable to stay away from these names for long. Investors were buying the dip again midday through the trading session Tuesday.

Persons: Ken Mahoney, We've, Rob Williams, Williams, Savita Subramanian, Jason Draho, CNBC's, Tesla Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asset Management, Sage Advisory, Bank of America, UBS Global Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia

☆ Haefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHaefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolioMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management, talks about the big event of the week, Fed Chairman Jay Powell speaking in Jackson Hole.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Jay Powell Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Jackson

☆ Europe inflation may spike on Olympics and Taylor Swift, but UBS says it won't hit locals' wallets
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Kevin Voigt | Getty Images Sport | Getty ImagesThe Olympic Games are causing a surge in prices, but French consumers aren't likely to feel its pinch. "The Olympic Games or a Taylor Swift concert create a sudden demand shock," wrote Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, in a recent analyst note. But in the days after the closing ceremony, Paris hotel bookings are projected to drop from a year ago. Tourists pass near a banner with the Paris 2024 logo before the start of the Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games on June 17, 2024 in Paris, France. Paris 2024 may generate as much as $12 billion, or 11.1 billion euros, in long-term economic impact, a recent study from the Centre for Law and Economics of Sport estimated.

Persons: Kevin Voigt, Taylor, Paul Donovan, Taylor Swift, Kevin Mazur, Swift, Donovan, Matthias Hangst, it's, ove Organizations: Eiffel, Getty, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Wembley, Olympics, City of Light, Games, CNBC, —, Olympic, Paralympic Games, Paralympics, Paris, Chesnot, Visa, Paris Olympics, Centre for Law, Sport, Olympic Committee Locations: Paris, France, London, City, Greater Paris, U.S, Triomphe, cardholders, Barcelona

☆ 'Babies tossed out with the bath water': Why top strategists aren't scared during the wildest market since March 2020
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Related storiesWhile those concerns served as the kindling, it was the July jobs report that sparked terror. A closer look at the jobs report reveals that while job additions underwhelmed, jobless claims were also minimal. AdvertisementSecond-quarter earnings growth has been impressive so far and seems set to rise by low single digits, according to UBS GWM. The bullish strategy chief remarked in a note Monday that six of the 11 market sectors have enjoyed double-digit earnings growth this quarter, while only three have seen declines. "Such sell-offs can offer an opportunity to 'catch babies tossed out with the bath water,'" Stoltzfus wrote.

Persons: —, Oppenheimer, Jonathan Golub, Oppenheimer Jason Draho, Americas Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Beryl, Draho, That's, David Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus Organizations: Service, Business, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Labor, UBS GWM Locations: Americas

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