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Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.
Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, , Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern
Generally, a Trump win is seen as positive for financials given a higher likelihood of deregulation for companies in the space. Traditional oil and gas names are also likely to benefit under a second Trump presidency. One is made up of stocks that benefit after a Harris win; the other would outperform under a second Trump presidency. However, a Harris win is expected to keep current regulation measures in place, and possibly introduce new ones. Private equity giants KKR and Blackstone would also benefit under a Trump win.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Paul Gallant, Cowen, Gallant, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Andrew Garthwaite, Trump, Garthwaite, TAN, we've, Biden, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, , Russell, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Crypto, isn't, Nic Puckrin, bitcoin, Marcelli, Financials, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Lazard Organizations: Congress, U.S ., Trump, U.S . Trump, GOP, Democratic, CNBC Pro, Wall, Strategas, Enterprise, of America, Ford, UBS, Apple, Enphase Energy, Technologies Enphase, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Cadence Bank, Viking Therapeutics, Bureau, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Lazard, Private, KKR, Blackstone, Evercore Locations: Washington, of America Cleveland, Cleveland, China
UBS launched its global "House of Craft" initiative at an event in New York City in October. AdvertisementIn a SoHo townhouse in New York City, UBS launched its global "House of Craft" initiative, an experiential campaign that honors the tradition of craftsmanship. AdvertisementConvening around craftNew York City's legacy of fine craftsmanship made it the choice destination for UBS's first "House of Craft" event. James Miller, who said he collects micro-brand timepieces, wore a Henry Archer watch to the "House of Craft" event. "This is a brand campaign, but it's one very clearly associated with making sure more people are positively thinking about us," he said.
Persons: , Carmelo Anthony, Daniel Dae Kim, Ginny Wright, Audemars Piguet, Jean, Claude Biver, John McDonald, McDonald, Sergio Ermotti, Ermotti, Prophet, James Miller, Henry Archer, Julia Hood Miller, Nathan Desloover, Todd Snyder, Julia Hood, I've, Desloover, I'm Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, Service, NBA, Audemars, TAG, Suisse, Swiss, Publicis Groupe, Suisse hasn't, Horological Society of New Locations: New York City, Swiss, Americas, UBS's, Asia, Latin America, New York, York, Horological Society of New York, Detroit
UBS predicts a "Roaring '20s" economy, assigning a 50% chance to such an expansion by 2030. Solid data revisions, along with Fed rate cuts, support the optimistic outlook. "It's no longer too soon nor too optimistic to suggest that the US will experience a Roaring '20s economy," UBS said. AdvertisementA slew of bullish factors suggest the economy could be headed towards "Roaring '20s" status, according to a Monday note from UBS. Advertisement"The bread crumbs suggest a policy reaction function that is directionally supportive of a Roaring '20s outcome," Draho said of the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's full employment goals.
Persons: , UBS's, Jason Draho, Draho, Jerome Powell's Organizations: UBS, Service, Treasury, Atlanta, CPI
Only six cities are now at elevated or high risk, down from 16 last year. Miami and Los Angeles are the two US cities most at risk of a housing bubble, the report said. AdvertisementUBS released its 2024 Global Real-Estate Bubble Index report last week, and it showed bubble risks have generally declined over the last 12 months. While 16 cities worldwide were considered to be at elevated or high risk of a real-estate bubble last year, just six cities fit that description today, the report said. Cities with a score above 1.0 are considered to be at an elevated risk, and those with a score above 1.5 are considered high risk.
Persons: , Claudio Saputelli, Matthias Holzhey Organizations: Miami, Service, UBS Locations: Los Angeles, Frankfurt, Munich, Stockholm, Hong Kong, Paris
The event, originally scheduled for August, is where CEO Elon Musk has promised to release a final design and more detailed plans for Tesla's Uber-like self-driving car service. AdvertisementIn typical form, Musk's promise that the robotaxi business was taking shape offset a major earnings miss and juiced Tesla's languishing stock price. Spak wrote. In the same note, Spak raises questions about Tesla Full Self Driving (FSD)'s rate of improvement compared to competitors like Waymo. Advertisement"Tesla's future valuation is highly dependent on its ability to develop, manufacture, and commercialize autonomous technologies," Jonas wrote.
Persons: , Elon Musk, Tesla's Uber, Musk, juiced, Joseph Spak, Spak, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas's, Jonas, Tesla's FSD Organizations: Service, Business, Tesla, UBS, Hertz, California Locations: Tesla's, robotaxi, Los Angeles
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS can benefit from a more difficult environment in geopolitics: Porta AdvisorsBeat Wittmann, chairman at Porta Advisors, comments on the Swiss bank UBS's second-quarter results and the macro environment.
Persons: Beat Wittmann Organizations: UBS, Porta Advisors Locations: Swiss
He reasoned that while higher interest rates were a concern, solid earnings growth would keep stocks afloat. Since then, the S&P 500 has rallied 11.1% off its early May lows and extended its year-to-date surge to 16.9%. Since UBS GWM is neutral on US stocks, Lefkowitz recommends that investors keep their expectations in check and look for alternatives. Though not flashy, bonds boast attractive yields and should continue to rally if the Fed cuts rates this fall, according to UBS GWM. "We think investors should position for a lower interest rate environment and buy quality bonds, which have attractive yields and the potential for capital appreciation amid the potential for a deeper easing cycle," Marcelli wrote in the note.
Persons: , it's, David Lefkowitz, who's, Lefkowitz, We'll, that's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, UBS GWM, seconding, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS GWM's, Business, UBS GWM, Federal, Nvidia, UBS, White Locations: Washington
In a recent interview with Business Insider, Evan Feagans, a portfolio manager at TCW Group, shared four under-the-radar investments in the AI space he likes — including an Nvidia competitor that nobody is talking about. No Nvidia monopolyWith Big Tech — Nvidia in particular — generating massive amounts of buzz around AI, it's easy to think that the current industry leaders will continue to reign supreme. You still need data to train it on." AdvertisementThe top underrated AI picksFeagans shared his top picks for under-the-radar AI investments that he believes have been overlooked amid the Big Tech rally of the last year. These investments encompass all parts of the AI value chain, including core technologies, commercial use cases, and auxiliary products.
Persons: , Evan Feagans, Banks, Ulrike Hoffman, UBS's, Feagans, that's Organizations: Service, Business, TCW Group, Nvidia, Big Tech, UBS, Micron, Samsung, Intelligence, TCW Locations: what's
UBS executives covering fixed income and equity strategies outlined in a recent note four different scenarios come November: a blue sweep, a Biden presidency with a split Congress, a red sweep, and a Trump presidency with a split Congress. The two overwhelmingly likely outcomes would be a Biden presidency with a divided Congress (40%) and a Trump presidency with a Republican Congress (45%), per UBS. A Biden victory with a divided CongressA Biden presidency will likely usher in increased tax rates and regulatory oversight, UBS said. A Trump presidency combined with a Republican Congress would mean an extension of the current lower marginal tax rates, the bank said. While antitrust regulation will likely ease under Trump, he's hardly a Big Tech supporter: Trump sued Facebook, Google, and Twitter (now X) in 2021.
Persons: , Biden, David Lefkowtiz, Trump's, Tom McLoughlin, UBS's, Lefkowitz, he's, Trump, Leslie Falconio, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, UBS, Biden, Trump, Republican Congress, Business, Nvidia, OpenAI, Big Tech, Republican, Republicans, Democrats, Facebook, Google, Twitter, World Gold, Trust
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect an 'exciting dividend announcement' from JPMorgan, says UBS's Erika NajarianErika Najarian, UBS managing director, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss banks, 'stress test', and more.
Persons: UBS's Erika Najarian Erika Najarian Organizations: JPMorgan, UBS
Big Tech companies are pouring billions of dollars into building data centers to train it. The AI Value ChainAccording to UBS, investors should approach the overall AI industry as three interconnected layers: enabling, intelligence, and application. By understanding the major players in the AI space and investing in the most critical parts of the AI value chain, according to UBS. The bank predicts that the AI landscape will be marked by "vertically integrated" and "monolithic" firms with the scale to reach across the AI value chain. However, its stock hasn't seen the price appreciation that domestic tech companies have, suggesting that there's ample room for valuations to expand.
Persons: Ulrike Hoffmann, UBS's Organizations: Service, Apple, Big Tech, UBS, Business, Nvidia, Dell, Broadcom Locations: China
Gold and silver bars of various sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices have been rallying to record highs, with spot gold notching a new top of $2,449.89 per ounce on Monday. Silver too hit multi-year highs earlier last week, as did industrial metal copper. Spot gold is currently trading at $2,351.3. "While geopolitical risks continued to bolster haven demand, an impressive rise in China's gold demand in Q1 2024 has largely fueled the price rally," ANZ's strategists wrote.
Persons: Silver, that's, Joni Teves, CNBC's Organizations: Aurum, U.S ., Treasury, ANZ, India, World Gold, UBS, U.S . Federal, Metals Locations: U.S, China
Christine Wilson from Massachusetts won her second $1 million lottery prize within 10 weeks. AdvertisementA woman has claimed her second $1 million lottery prize within 10 weeks, playing the Massachusetts State Lottery. Wilson's first $1 million prize was from Dubs's Discount Liquors, also in Mansfield. New Jersey native Evelyn Adams also won the lottery twice — in 1985 and 1986, earning her a total of $5.4 million. The odds of winning the lottery twice are 283 billion to one, according to UK National Lottery operator Camelot.
Persons: Christine Wilson, , Wilson, Stuart C, aren't, Kevin Miller, Kenneth J Stokes, David, Kathleen Long, Evelyn Adams, didn't sate Adams, Juan Hernandez, he'd Organizations: Massachusetts, Service, Massachusetts State, Massachusetts State Lottery, Juan Hernandez of, New York, UK National Lottery, Camelot Locations: Attleborough , Massachusetts, Mansfield, Liverpool, Massachusetts, . New Jersey, Juan Hernandez of Nassau County , New York
Inflation canceled that, and now it's almost certain that Wall Street's summer is canceled, too. That means Wall Street's fantasies of decamping to the Hamptons for the summer have shattered. You can see why this tug-of-war will keep Wall Street on its toes and off Georgica Beach. There is a certain set on Wall Street that does not get to "rosé all day" on Hamptons summer water when currencies trade that way. The simplicity that Wall Street hoped for is one of the few options that's no longer on the table.
Persons: , Justin Simon, decamping, Jerome Powell, opportunistically, Jamie Dimon, Torsten Slok, Slok, Powell, we'd, David Lefkowitz, dory, McDonald's, Silas Myers, Wall, Zuck, Simon, they're, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Jasper Capital, Nasdaq, Hamptons, JPMorgan, Fed, Pepsi, Mar Vista Investments, Wall, Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, EU Locations: Georgica, Japan
Large technology stocks have continued to be a key driver of earnings growth. Those calls are based on the firms' expectation that the economy will continue to grow despite uncomfortably high interest rates. Bullish firms concur that elevated interest rates are a serious concern for investors. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Kostin wrote. Along with each is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, 2024 expected earnings growth rate, and 10-year EBITDA growth variability rate, according to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, Stocks, they've, Mike Wilson, Morgan, 19.3x, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Wilson, Kostin, Russell Organizations: UBS, Business, UBS Beats, UBS Global Wealth Management, Companies, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall-caps set to gain as interest rate cuts come through, UBS saysGerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, says small-cap stock performance looks set to improve as central bank interest rate cuts play out.
Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS
UBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'
  + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'Gerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, names his top luxury picks, as the market shifts in favor of '"quality" stocks.
Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS
Recent inflation reports spooked investors, sparking a sell-off on Wednesday, but defensive stocks could provide some stability the next time markets get rocky. Those fears have contributed to a pullback in the market, with the S & P 500 slipping around 1% since the start of April. Investors could consider rotating into more defensively focused names to prepare for market volatility. Roper, on the other hand, has struggled this year, with the software stock's shares falling slightly in 2024. He said this week that Coterra was the firm's only buy-rated name in the natural gas exploration and production space.
Persons: technology's, ServiceNow, LSEG . Roper, LSEG, Roper, TJX, Coterra, Josh Silverstein, Silverstein Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Beta, CNBC Pro, Roper Technologies, Nasdaq, Coterra Energy
In today's big story, we're looking at why investors are eyeing an even better outcome for the market than a soft landing . The big storyMarket's sweet spotPiotr PowietrzynskiForget about a soft landing, some market watchers want something just right. For months, investors hoped the Fed's tightening policy would culminate in a soft landing: lowering inflation while avoiding a full-blown recession. But why settle for a soft landing when you can get it all? Liu Jie/Xinhua via Getty ImagesA Goldilocks economy still hinges on the Fed cutting rates, which has proved fleeting for investors.
Persons: , hasn't, Piotr Powietrzynski Forget, Matthew Fox, Solita, Marcelli, Jerome Powell, Liu Jie, we'll, Powell, Banks, Kenneth Rogoff, Jensen Huang, Rick Wilking, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Savita Subramanian, Gen, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Fintechs, VCs, Sam Altman, Altman, didn't, Scott Winters, Alyssa Powell, Travis Kelce, Experian, It's, EVs, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Getty, Bank of America, Harvard, Nvidia, CES, Kansas City Chiefs, US Treasury, New York Times, UBS, FAA, Boeing, Max Locations: Americas, Washington ,, Xinhua, Jensen, Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S, China, New York, London
HSBC has been fined 57.4 million pounds ($73 million) for "serious failings" in protecting some depositors over several years, in the first penalty of its kind under British rules designed to protect customers if banks fail. This is the second largest fine ever imposed by the PRA, topped only by an 87 million pound penalty on Credit Suisse in July 2023. "The serious failings in this case go to the heart of the PRA's safety and soundness objective," said Sam Woods, deputy governor of the Bank of England and CEO of the PRA. Globally systemically important banks -- such as HSBC and UBS -- are required to plan for resolution, which should allow regulators to unwind them without triggering broader systemic consequences. Britain's deposit protection rules require lenders to ensure critical information is held in order for the FSCS to compensate customers if a firm fails.
Persons: Sam Woods, BoE Organizations: HSBC, of England's Prudential, Authority, Britain's Financial, Credit Suisse, Bank of England, UBS
Billionaires minted through inheritance outpaced self-made billionaires last year for the first time in a decade. Related storiesIn recent years, rates of economic opportunity have begun to fall again. Rates of economic opportunity have declined steadily since 1940, Opportunity Insights data shows. He says that's why there are fewer self-made billionaires today than there were in the past. "I think there's much work to be done to try to restore rates of economic opportunity to those observed several decades ago," he said.
Persons: , Max Kunkel, Matthew Staiger, Staiger, Forbes, heiresses, Kunkel Organizations: Service, UBS, Harvard, Insights, Business, Economic
"With a lower revenue for online games, the ad industry would be impacted too," he said. UBS estimates online games account for about 20% of the online ad industry's revenue. BEIJING — China's proposed gaming rules would hit smaller developers more than large ones, while also reducing overall online advertising revenue, according to UBS. It's "very common" for online games to encourage daily sign-in and offer rewards for the initial in-app purchase, UBS's Fong said. "As the online game is a very creative industry," he said, "we believe the game developers would likely design other means to attract and retain users."
Persons: Kenneth Fong, BEIJING —, UBS's Fong, Fong Organizations: UBS, Christmas, Gaming, National Press, Administration Locations: China, Hong Kong, BEIJING, Beijing
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . As for American billionaires, heirs reported an average net worth of $2.2 billion, topping billionaire entrepreneurs by $700 million. The uber-wealthy have many tools at their disposal to bestow more money to heirs and pay less to the government. AdvertisementThese dynasties will likely compound their riches with more heirs caring about wealth preservation than philanthropic impact, according to UBS's survey. A similar percentage of first-generation billionaires listed wealth preservation as a main goal, but a higher proportion (68%) also chose philanthropy.
Persons: , It's, IPOs Organizations: UBS, Service, Forbes Locations: Swiss
Wall St ends lower amid Cyber Monday madness
  + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Remarks from Federal Reserve policymakers later in the week will also be parsed for clues regarding the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Amid the Cyber Monday fervor, Affirm Holdings (AFRM.O) surged 12.0%, as the payment platform's "buy now, pay later" option was seen hitting an all-time high, boosting the online holiday sales. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.63-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 79 new lows.
Persons: Elliott, Tom Hainlin, Greg Bassuk, Brendan McDermid, they’ve, Hainlin, Shopify, Stephen Culp, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Ganguli, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Adobe Analytics, AXS Investments, Federal Reserve, Financial, Commerce, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Elliott Investment Management, GE HealthCare, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Minneapolis, New York, New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
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