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The case for a 50/30/20 portfolio is growing as investors seek to diversify into alternatives as a hedge against a stock and bond market that are each flashing cautionary signals. "And so, let me allocate a little bit, because instead of a 60/40, perhaps it's a [50/30/20]," she said, clarifying 50% to stocks, 30% to bonds, and the remaining 20% to alternatives. The case for alternatives The case for alternatives is two-fold. Still, investors say that the the asset class can help hedge against real risks ahead of stocks and bonds. One ETF investing in private equity asset managers is the Invesco Global Listed Private Equity ETF (PSP) .
Persons: Ayako Yoshioka, you've, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Corporates, Yoshioka, Paul Tudor Jones, Mark Malek, it's, , Jesse Pound Organizations: Investors, Bank of America, Treasury, U.S, State Street, Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, Ares Management, KKR, Co, Carlyle Group, Equity ETF Locations: U.S, Siebert
The one big fear that could upend the bull market
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks. Though that connection now looks different, the Morgan Stanley alum said he would be "surprised if multiples did not compress meaningfully" if the expectation for the Fed funds rate rises from 3.5% to 5% or above.
Persons: Adam Parker, Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, Parker, Morgan Stanley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tudor Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow
Former hedge funder David McCormick has narrowed the gap in a closely watched US Senate race. McCormick's Wall Street allies are among the biggest donors to a pro-McCormick super PAC. Jeff Yass is among the big names making a final splash before Election Day. According to a pro-McCormick super PAC's final pre-election filing, Yass donated $1 million over the course of two donations earlier this month. He's not the biggest megadonor with Wall Street ties.
Persons: David McCormick, Jeff Yass, , Dave McCormick, McCormick, Sen, Bob Casey, Joe Manchin, He's, Ken Griffin, Thomas Peterffy, Paul Tudor Jones, Stephen Schwarzman, Casey, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: McCormick, Service, Susquehanna International Group, Wall Street titans, Bridgewater Associates, Democrat, Republicans, GOP, Citadel, Interactive, Keystone, The Washington Post, Trump, Biden Locations: West Virginia, Yass, Pennsylvania, China
Expectations of a Fed rate cut caused mortgage rates to drop to a two-year low of 6.08% in late September, but it failed to spur homebuying activity. Every percentage point on a mortgage rate makes a big difference for that monthly payment. Here’s what’s driving the recent upswing in mortgage rates. Mortgage rates track the 10-year US Treasury yield, which was expected to fall in anticipation of further rate cuts. “I am clearly not going to own any fixed income.”The government’s fiscal situation might already be having an impact on mortgage rates.
Persons: Freddie Mac, pare, what’s, ” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, Robyn Beck, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, “ We’re, Paul Tudor Jones, , ” Lawrence Yun, Kimberly Bradley, Zach, Kimberly, “ I’ve, ” Kimberly, ” Ken Lowrey, Ken Lowrey, “ homeownership, , Lowrey Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage, Association, Treasury, Getty, Federal Budget, Trump, CNBC, US Postal Service Locations: AFP, Manteo , North Carolina, Charleston , South Carolina
Inflation will rise regardless of whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the presidency, Paul Tudor Jones said. "All roads lead to inflation," Jones said on Tuesday. "I'm long gold. I'm long bitcoin. I think commodities are so ridiculously under-owned, so I'm long commodities.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Paul Tudor Jones, , Jones, that's, Trump, Jones —, Harris Organizations: Service, CNBC, Nasdaq, Republican, White, Congressional, Office, Trump, Treasury
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones is raising alarms about the U.S. government's current fiscal deficit and the increased spending promised by both presidential candidates, saying the bond market may force the government's hand after the election in addressing it. "We are going to be broke really quickly unless we get serious about dealing with our spending issues," Jones told CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin on Tuesday. The founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment said he was worried that government spending could cause a big sell-off in the bond market, spiking interest rates. He said he plans to not own fixed income and will be betting against the longer-dated part of the bond market. Jones founded his hedge fund more than four decades ago and rose to prominence by correctly predicting the stock market crash of 1987.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Jones, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Tudor Investment, Treasury Department, Wall Street, Trump Locations: United States
"I think all roads lead to inflation," Jones told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Tuesday. "I'm long gold. I'm long bitcoin. I think commodities are so ridiculously underowned, so I'm long commodities. @GC.1 YTD mountain Gold, YTD The CBO expects deficits will hit $2.8 trillion by 2034, up from $1.8 trillion in fiscal 2024.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Jones, CNBC's, That's, Robin Hood, Donald Trump, Bitcoin Organizations: Trump, Nasdaq, Tudor Investment, Robin, Robin Hood Foundation, Congressional, Treasury, Federal, Metrics Locations: U.S
A storied hedge fund exited its GameStop wager last quarter, before the meme stock's epic surge. Paul Tudor Jones' firm held call options on 44,300 shares and puts on 27,800 shares in December. GameStop stock soared as much as 550% between late April and Tuesday, but has now pared those gains. AdvertisementA legendary hedge fund exited its GameStop position before the meme stock surged as much as 550%. Tudor Jones' firm also held bearish put options on 27,800 GameStop shares with a notional value of around $487,000.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, , Tudor Jones, bearish Organizations: GameStop, Service, Tudor Investment Corporation, SEC, Business
Wall Street's excitement about Nvidia has reached a fever pitch as its valuation soars. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementExcitement on Wall Street about Nvidia is reaching a fever pitch after the chipmaker’s market value surpassed both Amazon and Google owner Alphabet this week. Nvidia is set to report its earnings for the final three months of 2023 on Wednesday. “If AI is the next industrial revolution, then absolutely we could see Nvidia’s valuation surge continuing,” Katherine Brooks of online broker XTB, told Business Insider.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Paul Tudor Jones, David Tepper, , Ray Dalio’s, Kenneth Fisher’s Fisher, Jim Chanos, Steve Cohen’s Point72, It’s, Jensen, ” Katherine Brooks, XTB Organizations: Nvidia, Carolina Panthers, Service, Google, Traders, Reuters, Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater Associates, Kenneth Fisher’s Fisher Investments, Paul Tudor Jones ’ Investment Corp, Big Tech
Chip stocks have been on a stock market tear for the last year, outpacing FAANG and other tech sector leaders in a rapid rise boosted by market enthusiasm for advanced AI chips. That success has now migrated over to another corporate performance measure. Semiconductor companies overtook FAANG stocks in Just Capital's annual ranking of public companies on issues of importance to the American public, with Intel , Advanced Micro Devices , and Micron Technology all finishing within the top 10. Semiconductor firms ranked highly on this year's JUST 100 list, Whittaker said, not only due to the number of jobs that they created relative to other industries, "but the adoption and expansion of policies that support workers and communities." AMD also disclosed its minimum yearly salary for the first time as well as providing more information around career development and benefits, leading to a higher worker score.
Persons: outpacing FAANG, Martin Whittaker, Paul Tudor Jones, Whittaker, Russell Organizations: Semiconductor, Intel, Devices, Micron Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Lam Research, Materials, Cirrus, Just, " Semiconductor, AMD, Capital
The big storyCareer makersInflection AI, Maven, Forage, The GrandWhich startup would you recommend a friend or family member should work at? That was the prompt for Business Insider's VC and startups team as it compiled a list of early-stage companies to bet your career on . The list doesn't have specific parameters, Leena Rao, the deputy editor of BI's VC and startups team, told me. With so much money pouring into AI startups, founders' attention will naturally be drawn to the tech when thinking about their next project. Meanwhile, the volatility among startups comes at a time of broader instability for the tech industry.
Persons: , Elon Musk, Taylor Swift, Leena Rao, Maven, Alyssa Powell, Ben Bergman, there's, Moody's, Paul Tudor Jones, We've, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, OpenAI, Samantha Stokes, Andrea Chronopoulos, Bob Iger, Lachlan Murdoch, David Zaslav, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Business Insider's, Big Tech, Meta, Flagstar Bank, Facebook, YouTube, Google, BI, ESPN, Warner Bros, Fox, Walt Disney Company Locations: NYCB, New York, London
Billionaire investor Leon Cooperman forecasts that the stock market and its hefty valuations could see losses this year, while long-duration Treasury yields could test higher again. Forget the six times that the market was discounting, but I think the long end will go up," Cooperman said. Cooperman pointed out that the S & P 500 is now trading at 21 times forward earnings, which seems unsustainable. Not a buyer of bonds Another factor that could drive long rates higher is the burgeoning U.S. fiscal deficits, Cooperman added. "I think we're going to have inflation," Cooperman said.
Persons: Leon, Cooperman, Jerome Powell, Powell, Paul Tudor Jones, he's Organizations: Omega Family Office, Reserve, CBS Locations: U.S
Antonio Neri, CEO, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, at the NYSE, Oct. 19, 2023 Source: NYSETechnology stocks have taken back the No. 1 spot in the JUST 100, an annual ranking of large public companies on issues of key importance to the American public, with Hewlett Packard Enterprise topping last year's No. Career advancement opportunities, worker training and development, benefits and retention are other issues which helped push HPE and other companies higher in the 2024 JUST 100 rankings. All of these issues, Whittaker said, "cluster all around the questions of 'How good am I as an employer?'" Whittaker said that's also the case with the key worker issues that are the most heavily weighted in the rankings.
Persons: Antonio Neri, HPE, Martin Whittaker, Paul Tudor Jones, It's, it's, Whittaker, Kristin Major, we've, Russell, Major, that's Organizations: Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NYSE, NYSE Technology, of America, Capital, Just, Just Capital, Apple, Microsoft, Citigroup, Elevance, Devices, Micron Technology
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Just Capital founder Paul Tudor Jones and HPE CEO Antonio NeriPaul Tudor Jones, Tudor Investment founder and CIO and Just Capital founder and chairman, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise CEO Antonio Neri join 'Squawk Box' to discuss Just Capital's annual 'Just 100' list, why Hewlett Packard Enterprise took the top spot on this year's rankings, Elon Musk, customer demand, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Antonio Neri Paul Tudor Jones, Antonio Neri, Elon Musk Organizations: Just Capital, Tudor Investment, Hewlett Packard Enterprise
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones believes the U.S. economy could run into major problems down the road due to its burgeoning fiscal deficits, which could eventually hurt the markets. The U.S. government ran up another half a trillion dollars in red ink in the first quarter of its fiscal year. "The only question is does that manifest itself in the markets, or when does that manifest itself in the markets," he said. Productivity may mask and it might be three or four years from now but clearly, clearly, we're on a unsustainable path." Jones is also the chairman of nonprofit Just Capital, which ranks public U.S. companies based on social and environmental metrics.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, We've, Jones, CNBC's, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, Tudor Investment, U.S Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHPE CEO Antonio Neri on #1 Just 100 ranking: Our people are our greatest assetsPaul Tudor Jones, Tudor Investment founder and CIO and Just Capital founder and chairman, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise CEO Antonio Neri join 'Squawk Box' to discuss Just Capital's annual 'Just 100' list, why Hewlett Packard Enterprise took the top spot on this year's rankings, Elon Musk, customer demand, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Antonio Neri, Paul Tudor Jones, Elon Musk Organizations: Tudor Investment, Just Capital, Hewlett Packard Enterprise
Economist Alberto Musalem was named the next president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on Thursday. The St. Louis Fed representative is an alternate member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and will vote in 2025. St. Louis Fed First Vice President Kathy O'Neill has been holding the position in the interim. "Alberto will be an outstanding president and CEO of the St. Louis Fed," said St. Louis Fed director Carolyn Chism Hardy, president and CEO of Chism Hardy Investments and deputy chair of the bank's search committee. "I am deeply honored to serve as the next president of the St. Louis Fed and grateful for the opportunity to promote a strong, resilient and inclusive economy," Musalem said.
Persons: Alberto Musalem, Louis, Musalem, James Bullard, Kathy O'Neill, Alberto, Louis Fed, Carolyn Chism Hardy, Chism, Hardy, Paul Tudor Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of St, Purdue University, Louis Fed, Market, Investments, Evince Asset Management, New York Fed, Tudor Investment Corp, Eighth, CNBC PRO Locations: St
Olivier Douliery | Afp | Getty ImagesAuctions of government debt, normally routine events for the Treasury Department, have suddenly become very important to financial markets. That's why an announcement Wednesday on refunding, entailing the size of auctions as well as the duration mix of the debt that will be issued, is expected to draw even more market interest. Indeed, the two entities are both pivotal in determining how the U.S. is going to manage its mammoth debt load. That symbiotic relationship will be on full display this week when the Treasury Department makes its refunding announcement Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET, and the Fed follows with its decision on interest rates that same day at 2 p.m.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Olivier Douliery, Josh Emanuel, Emanuel, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, Alexander Hamilton, Paul Tudor Jones, she's, Dhingra, Thomas Simons Organizations: Treasury, Foreign Investment, United States, Treasury Department, Afp, Getty, Federal Reserve, Duquesne Capital, Robin Hood Foundation, Jefferies Locations: Washington ,, refunding, Wilshire, U.S
Citadel founder Ken Griffin said his one-time favorite candidate, Florida Gov. Griffin, who has been looking for an alternative to former President Donald Trump, called Nikki Haley a rockstar. Griffin was speaking at the Robin Hood conference in New YorkNEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementBillionaire Citadel founder Ken Griffin may have a new favorite candidate in the GOP presidential primary.
Persons: Ken Griffin, Ron DeSantis, Griffin, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Robin Hood, , Paul Tudor Jones, Haley, DeSantis, Chris Christie —, Steve Cohen, Robin Hood —, Joe Biden Organizations: Citadel, Florida Gov, Robin, Service, Billionaire, South Carolina Gov, New, New York City, Trump, Citadel Securities, SEC Locations: Iowa, New York, New Jersey, New Hampshire
The bitcoin safe haven trade is back on, says Bernstein
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
With recession fears swelling again, investors seeking a safe place to put their assets should be interested in bitcoin , says Bernstein. The cryptocurrency, which has grown in popularity among institutions for its "digital gold" qualities, has an "enviable return record" versus physical gold, Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani said in a note Monday. "Bitcoin's hard money properties makes it an attractive 'safe haven' asset. "The early stages of bitcoin adoption, naturally, makes it more attractive [than] gold, with bitcoin market cap at less than 5% of Gold's market value (of above ground reserves)." Jefferies also recently said bitcoin is a "critical hedge" against currency debasement and the return of inflation.
Persons: Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, bitcoin, Bitcoin, Chhugani, Paul Tudor Jones, Jefferies, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S
Rainmakers find political hedge in Chris Christie
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] Republican presidential candidate and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie speaks at the New Hampshire Republican Party’s First in the Nation Leadership Summit in Nashua, New Hampshire, U.S., October 13, 2023. Several hedge fund rainmakers poured cash into Chris Christie’s campaign over the summer, according to filings released on Monday. But with legal woes hanging over Trump’s campaign, contributions to the most anti-Trump conservative could become a valuable call option for the group that knows something about hedging. It’s notable that Christie has been vocal about attacking Trump, whom he advised during the prior president’s first term. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie raised $3.8 million over the quarter, aided by donations from wealthy investors including Stanley Druckenmiller, David Tepper and Paul Tudor Jones.
Persons: Chris Christie, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump, hasn’t, Wall, Chris Christie’s, Christie, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, That’s, Stanley Druckenmiller, David Tepper, Tudor Investment’s Paul Tudor Jones maxed, Seth Klarman, Bruce Kovner, Trump, ” Christie, Ramaswamy, Tyler Winklevoss, Paul Tudor Jones, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Sharon Lam Organizations: Republican, New, New Hampshire Republican Party’s, Nation Leadership Summit, REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Republican Party, Trump, Duquesne Capital, Management, CAM, Fairleigh Dickinson University, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Federal, Former New Jersey, Thomson Locations: New Jersey, Nashua , New Hampshire, U.S
At one point Monday morning, bitcoin surged above $30,000 in a sudden spike on an unconfirmed report that the iShares spot bitcoin ETF had been formally approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Cryptocurrencies briefly soared to start the week as hopeful investors weighed the likelihood that the U.S. will finally see a bitcoin ETF in the coming months. Last week, bitcoin had jumped on Friday on news that the SEC would not appeal a ruling in Grayscale's lawsuit against regulators. In June of 2022, Grayscale sued the SEC over its denial of the company's application to convert the popular Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) to an ETF. To be sure, bitcoin is coming off its worst week since Aug. 18 and first negative week in six.
Persons: bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, rehearing, Paul Tudor Jones, Bernstein, Ripple's, , Jesse Pound, Nick Wells, John Melloy Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, BlackRock, CNBC, SEC, Metrics, Appeals, Smart Locations: U.S
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. Treasurys shine as safe havens
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. That's a staggering plunge of 78.7% year over year, dragged down by the firm's semiconductor business, which is expected to post a loss of more than 3 trillion won for the quarter. Alameda allegedly took FTX moneyCaroline Ellison, the former head of Alameda Research and ex-girlfriend of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, took the stand as the government's star witness Tuesday. But when it hits, the stock market will probably slump about 12%, the founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment told CNBC.
Persons: That's, Caroline Ellison, Sam Bankman, Ellison, Sam, Paul Tudor Jones Organizations: CNBC, Samsung Electronics, Samsung, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Alameda Research, Tudor Investment Locations: Finland, Estonia, U.S, Alameda
Paul Tudor Jones said Tuesday that aggressive rate hikes could tip the U.S. economy into a recession, and he expects stocks to suffer a double-digit loss before the downturn arrives. "So those rate hikes are probably going to tip us into recession." That's probably going to happen at some point from some level," Jones said. Jones said there are a few telltale signs in the market that show a looming recession, including gold prices and inverted Treasury yield curve. It has clearly been suppressed, and so you know that more likely than not we're going to go into recession," Jones said.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, We're, Jones, That's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Tudor Investment, telltale Locations: U.S
"You've got the geopolitical uncertainty... the United States is probably in its weakest fiscal position since certainly World War II with debt-to-GDP at 122%." The high-profile investor said the Israel-Hamas war brought on the most threatening and challenging geopolitical environment, which would create a significant risk-off market environment. Meanwhile, a surge in interest rates has deteriorated the fiscal health of the U.S. as the country continues to take on more debt. "As interest costs go up in the United States, you get in this vicious circle, where higher interest rates cause higher funding costs, cause higher debt issuance, which cause further bond liquidation, which cause higher rates, which put us in an untenable fiscal position," Jones said. Jones is also the chairman of nonprofit Just Capital, which ranks public U.S. companies based on social and environmental metrics.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Jones, You've, hasn't Organizations: Tudor Investment, U.S Locations: U.S, United States, Israel, Iran
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