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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe derivative markets were far more accurate than the 2024 election polls: RBC's Amy Wu SilvermanAmy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets head of derivatives strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the role of the derivative markets in the 2024 election, impact of the Trump trade, and more.
Persons: Amy Wu Silverman Amy Wu Silverman, Trump Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSome of the Trump trade winners have gotten ahead of themselves, says Janus Henderson's BuckleyJeremiah Buckley, Janus Henderson Equities portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the sectors Buckley favors, why the results of the election will be good for healthcare, and much more.
Persons: Janus Henderson's Buckley Jeremiah Buckley, Janus Henderson, Buckley Organizations: Trump
Trump trade boosts crypto
  + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump trade boosts cryptoCNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos reports on the latest news from Bitcoin.
Persons: CNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos Organizations: Trump Locations: Bitcoin
Financial and energy stocks have jumped since last week's election, but there's another area of opportunity that investors could be missing out on, according to Janus Henderson. The market has rallied since President-elect Donald Trump' s victory, although it took a breather on Tuesday. However, financial stocks may have "gotten in a bit ahead of themselves," said Jeremiah Buckley, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson. In addition, there is great research and development happening in health care right now, especially in health-care services, Buckley added. Among the funds Buckley oversees at Janus Henderson is the U.S. Dividend Income Fund .
Persons: Janus Henderson, Donald Trump, Jeremiah Buckley, Trump, Buckley, Eli Lilly, Amgen Organizations: Trump, P Health Care Services, UnitedHealth, Gilead Sciences
The S & P 500 last week scored its best week since November 2023, hitting the 6,000 mark, while the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed above 44,000. Stocks seen as early beneficiaries, among them steelmakers and banks, are losing momentum, while others like Tesla are continuing to climb. Its shares are nearly flat week so far this week. Take a look at the lot: Tesla 's the most popular winner in the group, gaining roughly 21% since Nov. 6, boosted by CEO Elon Musk's close relationship with Trump. Other than Tesla, energy stocks Coterra Energy and Baker Hughes are also moving higher, the latter gaining more than 15% just this month.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Stocks, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Elon Musk's, Edison Yu, JD Vance, Baker Hughes, Goldman, Citigroup — Organizations: weill, Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, Trump, Caterpillar, Steelmakers Steel Dynamics, JPMorgan, Citizens Financial, Prudential, Republican, Bank of America . Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Arista Networks, Deutsche Bank, Coterra Energy, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo
President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House has sent ripples through global financial markets, with many investors looking to recalibrate their portfolios for a dramatically different policy landscape ahead. Higher Treasury yields mean higher interest rates for corporate borrowers. Trump's tariffs Perhaps the biggest concern for investors globally is Trump's campaign promise of aggressive new tariffs , including the potential for a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. However, some Asian nations might benefit if higher tariffs on China prompt manufacturers to relocate. Europe Most analysts agree that U.S. trade tariffs are likely to hurt Europe, with some companies able to navigate the challenges better than others.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Mislav Matejka, David Seif, Goldman Sachs, Gareth Leather, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Mark Diethelm, Diethelm, Emmanuel Cau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Republican, Trump, U.S, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nomura, Federal Reserve, Asia Capital Economics, Capital Economics, U.S ., Union, Morningstar, Logitech, Barclays Locations: Congress, Treasurys, Trump's, U.S, United States, Korea, Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Asia, India, Europe
Trump Trade boosts crypto stocks
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump Trade boosts crypto stocksCNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos joins CNBC's 'Halftime Report' to discuss Donald Trump's policy promises to the crypto sector and the jump in stocks pegged to digital asset prices.
Persons: CNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos, CNBC's, Donald Trump's Organizations: Trump Trade
In addition, analysts had to predict further gains ahead — the stocks have at least 1% upside to the average price target, according to FactSet. Bank of America is among those on Wall Street that think the banks' move since Election Day has not been excessive. Citizens gained 30% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year and jumped 14% on Wednesday. It added nearly 4% the day after the election and gained 18% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year. Halliburton, which yields 2.3%, has the largest potential upside ahead — nearly 32% to the average price target.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Piper Sandler, Mark Fitzgibbon, Keith Horowitz, Halliburton, Jeff Miller Organizations: Dow Jones, Wharton School, CNBC, Bank of America, UST, Trump, Regional Banking, Citizens Financial, Fifth Third Bancorp, Citizens, Fifth, Citigroup, Citi, Marathon Petroleum, Halliburton Locations: Gulf of Mexico
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
We recommend letting bitcoin digest its strong gains of late in a short-term consolidation phase before adding exposure. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.
Persons: bitcoin, Katie Stockton Organizations: Trump, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: bitcoin
Crypto stocks — Crypto stocks extended last week's gains as investors basked in the honeymoon period between election day and inauguration day. Coinbase shares jumped 20% and were trading above $300 for the first time since 2021. Wells Fargo jumped 4%, while Bank of America and Morgan Stanley each rose more than 2%. Valley National Bank — Shares popped almost 5% after JPMorgan upgraded the New York-based regional bank to overweight from neutral. Cboe Global Markets — Shares advanced nearly 2% on the back of Deutsche Bank's upgrade to buy from hold .
Persons: Tesla, Trump, Elon Musk, Ernst & Young, MARA, Morgan Stanley —, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump, Tom Homan —, Trump's, Cigna, RadNet, Anthony Elian, Alex Harring, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Bristol, Myers Squibb, Super, MARA Holdings, Bank of America, Geo, U.S, Immigration, Customs, Trump Media & Technology, Trump, Humana, GE HealthCare, Bank, JPMorgan, Cboe, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank Locations: Wells Fargo, York
Since Trump's win, the market has already seen some major gains. Those sectors in particular had several winners in the rally following Trump's 2016 win , and analysts believe gains may likewise be in store this time around – especially for energy. Defense stocks could also see some gains, according to Barclays analyst David Strauss. That would be above the 14.2% rally the stock saw after Trump's first win from Nov. 7, 2016, until year's end. Among the 15 analysts covering it, 11 have a hold rating, while only two have a strong buy or buy rating.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Wells, Roger Read, David Strauss, Trump, Chris Caso, Trump's, Huntington Ingalls, it's Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Energy, Trump, Defense, Barclays, Semiconductor, Wolfe Research, CNBC Pro, ConocoPhillips Locations: industrials, China, Texas
For one, the market was already in a sturdy uptrend, the S & P ahead by 20% in 2024 by October. Now, the S & P is up 44% in the past 18 months and the P/E is above 22 on more elevated margins. Here's the S & P 500 Value vs Growth relationship since 2014. His call is for investors to fade any near-term rally that takes the S & P above his 6100 "bull case" target for year end. For sure, the S & P 500 is by some measures running a bit hot, pushing above the top end of its two-year bull-market path.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jay Powell, Trump, Cyclicals, Russell, YTD, Doug Ramsey, we're, reflating, Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Republican, Trump Trade, Federal, Treasury, financials, Nasdaq, Group, Investment, Trump, Russell, Citi Locations: upending Washington, U.S, year's
Tesla and a handful of other so-called Trump trades led the market rally this week as investors welcomed the Republican's victory in the presidential election. Excluding stocks that reported earnings this week, some of the best performers were those viewed as tied to Donald Trump 's win. Trump trades can earn that title by being part of sectors such as financials or energy viewed as beneficiaries of his expected shifts away from regulation, among other things. CNBC screened for the Trump trade names that led the index higher this week and did not report earnings. The electric vehicle maker is one of the best-known Trump trades given CEO Elon Musk 's advocacy for the president-elect on the campaign trail.
Persons: Tesla, Donald Trump, Trump, Elon Musk, LSEG, John Murphy, Murphy, Elon Musk's, Baker Hughes Organizations: Trump, Monday, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Bank of America Locations: Texas
Markets just had their best week all year
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —US stocks closed at record highs on Friday, notching their best week all year after Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. Both the S&P and the Dow had their best week in a year. Investors are responding to how Trump’s victory might transform the business landscape in the US. Markets had a milestone week as investors adjusted to Trump’s victory and started to evaluate the policies touted by his campaign, such as his proposal to lower the corporate tax rate. Markets move based on investor sentiment, and the historic gains this week are not certain to last.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Dow, , Michael Block, Trump, Keith Lerner, Lerner, ” Lerner, Elon Musk’s Tesla, Bitcoin, Hogan, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, US, Treasury, Markets, Dow, Advisory, Federal Reserve, Trump, Trump Media & Technology, GEO, America PAC, JPMorgan, Riley Wealth Management Locations: New York
Dollar winds down after volatile week, China NPC in focus
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar further unwound some of its sharp gains from earlier in the week as traders closed out profitable bets on a Trump presidency after his election victory. That helped lift sterling back toward the $1.30 mark, while the yen similarly got some respite and hovered closer to the 153 per dollar level. Sterling last traded $1.2983, recovering from its fall to a roughly three-month low earlier in the week. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar ticked up 0.03% to 104.44, on track to gain just above 0.1% for the week. "All eyes are on what may emerge from China's policy toolkit after the conclusion of the NPC standing committee meeting."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Kerry Craig, Trump, Wells, Jay Bryson, Sterling, David Chao Organizations: White, National People's Congress, Trump, Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, Traders, Bank of England, NPC, New Zealand, Asia Pacific, European Union Locations: U.S, Beijing, Germany, Wells Fargo, Japan, Invesco
Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. The "Trump trade" and how the Federal Reserve could impact the trend was top of mind for investors Thursday. Also, Wedbush's Dan Ives and Alex Fishman of Empros Capital share their outlook on tech under a second Trump administration. Fishman said the Trump administration benefits all private tech company valuations, but especially the names in what he calls the "Musk-economy," including Neuralink and the xAI.
Persons: Trump, Wedbush's Dan Ives, Alex Fishman, Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark, Fernandez, financials, Anna Paglia, Paglia, Trump Dan Ives, Ives, " Fishman, Elon, Fishman, Crossmark's Fernandez Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal, Empros, State Street Global Advisors, Trump Administration, P Bank ETF, Tech, Trump, Exchange, Qualcomm Locations: Wedbush, Palantir, United States
China urges U.S. cooperation as Trump trade threat looms
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
A flag stall at the Yiwu Wholesale Market in Zhejiang province, China, on May 10, 2019. BEIJING — China emphasized the need for greater cooperation with the U.S., a day after it became clear President-elect Donald Trump would become the next leader of the White House. She was responding to a question about China's views and planned countermeasures, given the potential for increased U.S. tariffs and restrictions on high-end tech. "Together [we can] push China-U.S. economic and trade relations toward a stable, healthy and sustainable direction, for the benefit of both countries and the world," the commerce spokesperson said. Her comments echoed those of Chinese President Xi Jinping, who earlier in the day noted the benefits of bilateral cooperation in a congratulatory message to Trump, according to a Ministry of Foreign Affairs readout.
Persons: Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Trump Organizations: U.S, White, China's Ministry of Commerce, CNBC, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Locations: Yiwu, Zhejiang province, China, BEIJING, U.S
A Donald Trump presidency and Republican-controlled Senate could boost big banks, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck. The analyst highlighted four big banks investors should look toward: Citigroup, Goldman Sachs , Wells Fargo and Bank of America . The acceleration in capital markets should benefit all the big banks, and Goldman Sachs is set to benefit the most, she noted. Meanwhile, Citigroup is most exposed to tailwinds from higher excess capital levels as a Republican-led government is unlikely to raise current capital requirements. She estimates this will result in an $86 billion jump in current excess capital for the big banks in the firm's coverage.
Persons: Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, financials, Financials, Graseck, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Goldman Organizations: Republican, Trump, House Republicans, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Wells Fargo, Basel
The firm said it sees the S & P 500 soaring to 6,600 by the end of June 2025. Already, Trump's win has spurred a huge stock market rally, with the S & P 500 soaring 2.5% on Wednesday to notch its best postelection day in history. Since 1932, the S & P 500 has averaged a 152% gain over 50 months during bull runs. The strategist listed several stocks Evercore thinks could benefit from a Trump win, and some that could outperform even further from a red sweep. Trump's win "could bring more favorable regulatory environment — and WFC is one of the most regulatory-impacted names given outstanding asset cap," the firm said.
Persons: Donald Trump's, It's, Dow, Julian Emanuel, Elect Trump, Emanuel, Goldman Sachs, Evercore, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: ISI, Trump, GOP, Goldman, Palo Alto Networks, Israel, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton Locations: Wells, Wednesday's, Wells Fargo, China, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, cyberattacks
Wondering what stocks might do well the rest of this year as America awaits Donald Trump take office for a second time in January? Others were high-beta growth stocks that can ride a broad market rally and benefit from corporate tax rates. Most analysts surveyed by LSEG hold buy ratings, but they expect KeyCorp shares to slide by more than 5% after their rally this year. Between Nov. 7 and the end of that year, KeyCorp shares ran up more than 25%. CarMax is a cyclical stock that should benefit from both deregulation and the rising tide for high-beta stocks.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Ebrahim Poonawala, financials, Poonawala, Bernstein, Bob Brackett, there's, Citigroup's Andrew Kaplowitz, Kaplowitz, Wednesday's, LSEG, Keycorp, Keith Horowitz, KeyCorp, CarMax Organizations: CNBC, Trump, White, Bank of America, Energy, Dow, Targa Resources, Citigroup Locations: Cleveland
This Trump trade euphoria is likely to fade fast
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —Wednesday morning, my inbox was flooded with notes from analysts eager to talk about the election’s upside for various sectors. The crypto folks came on especially strong, cheering the success of the candidate who promised them the moon. When the stock market opened in New York, the enthusiasm for these so-called Trump trades went into hyperdrive. Virtually all mainstream economists oppose tariffs on that scale and expect they would cause inflation to rise yet again. “My worst-case scenario is that he’s actually successful with his blanket tariff policies,” Alpert told me.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Dow, Bitcoin, ” Daniel Alpert, “ There’s, Alpert, Art Hogan, Matt Egan, Trump, ” Hogan, , he’s, ” Alpert, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Trump, Westwood Capital, Riley Wealth Management, Republican Locations: New York, hyperdrive, Washington
Leading the way was Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), the company that owns the Truth Social media platform. Shares of Tesla, the electric automaker owned by Elon Musk, also saw a sizable gain — up 12%. Finally, the price of bitcoin saw an increase of 6.5%, briefly touching an all-time-high of more than $75,000. Trump served as keynote speaker at this year's annual Bitcoin conference in Nashville. Trump has generally pledged to extend or enact major tax cuts while loosening regulations, something that the business community is set to embrace.
Persons: Donald Trump —, Trump, Elon Musk, Musk, Kamala Harris, Isaac Boltansky Organizations: Trump Media, Technology, Social, TMTG, Tesla, Elon, Democratic, Trump Locations: Nashville
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 325 shares of HON, decreasing its weighting to 2% from 2.45%. With Honeywell shares rallying Wednesday alongside other industrials as part of the "Trump Trade," it's an opportunity to sell into strength a stock that has disappointed. We will realize a small gain of about 2% on stock purchased in late 2021. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Jim, Republican Donald Trump, Andrew Kelly Organizations: Honeywell, Republican, U.S, NBC, Trump Trade, CNBC, Home Depot, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wells Fargo, Depot, U.S, New York City
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