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☆ Many women are unsure about Trump’s style and agenda. They voted for him anyway
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

But even with Trump’s gains among men, women still had greater leverage to decide the election’s outcome. Both the exit polls and VoteCast showed her winning 57% of white women with at least a four-year college degree. Solid majorities of Black, Latina and college-educated White women described Trump in the exit poll as “too extreme,” as did over two-fifths of the White women without a college degree. But among the White women without a college degree who described Trump as “too extreme,” almost 1 in 5 voted for him anyway. Though many women are expressing unease about mass deportation, Trump’s claim that immigrants are driving crime may provide him considerable leeway to pursue his agenda, particularly among the blue-collar White women who proved most receptive to that argument.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Harris, ”, Jenifer Fernandez Ancona, Trump, –, Biden, Joe Rogan, NORC, VoteCast, Harris’s, John Kerry, George W, Bush, White, Chip Somodevilla, Court’s Dobbs, Voters “, ‘, ’, pollster Nicole McCleskey, Dobbs, Harris ’, “, pollster Christine Matthews, Jackie Payne, ” Payne, Will Lanzoni, Bill Clinton, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Mifepristone, Matthews, ambivalently, Tresa Undem, …, Trump’s, Fernandez Ancona, can’t, Hillary Clinton Organizations: CNN, Trump, Edison Research, AP, Gallup, Democratic, Biden, Santander Arena, Nationwide, Wall, White, Latina, Voters, Republican National Convention, Republican, GOP, Congressional, Republicans, White House, Trump ., Human Services Department, Pew Research Center, Pew, ” Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Reading , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Milwaukee , Wisconsin, America

☆ The unexpected gender dynamic shaping the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

CNN —All signs suggest that the partisan divide over changing gender roles in society could widen even further in the 2024 election, adding a new source of uncertainty to a contest already on a knife’s edge. That was only the latest example of his campaign signaling its support for traditional gender roles. “The messaging on gender coming out of the campaign broadly is very much about reaffirming traditional roles for women and for men,” Cassese said. In PRRI polling this year, nearly half of Republicans agreed with two absolutist statements about gender roles. His problem is that most voters outside the core GOP coalition are generally comfortable with the changes in gender roles and family dynamics since the “Father Knows Best” era in the 1950s.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, “, ”, Trump, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, it’s, Rosetta Stone, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, Daniel Cox, Cox, Matthews, Joe Biden, Louis, Dobbs, Harris, ” Erin Cassese, Chip Somodevilla, Hulk Hogan, Dana White, JD Vance, ” Cassese, Robert P, Jones, –, Ipsos, homemaking, Tresa Undem, ” Undem, that’s, ” Kamala Harris, Josh Edelson, ” Cox, Trump’s, I’ll, Donald Trump, Undem, ” Matthews, ‘, ’ ” Harris, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Suburban Housewives, America, GOP, Trump, University of Delaware, Fighting, Public Religion Research Institute, Pew Research Center, AEI, Politico, “, ”, Air Force, San Francisco International Airport, Getty, Democratic, ” “, Harvard Kennedy School Institute, Politics, White Locations: Trump, New York, Pennsylvania, St, Washington ,, “, AFP, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania

☆ How Harris may win back a critical group of voters who abandoned Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

With Harris at the top of the ticket, Democrats now see a chance to refocus voters on the issue and restore their margins among the abortion rights voters who had notably drifted away from Biden. In both the 2020 and 2022 campaigns, voters who backed legal abortion provided overwhelming support to Biden and other Democratic candidates. Across all of those battleground states, Biden this year was performing well below that level with voters who support legal abortion, polls have found. Those abortion rights voters also split about evenly on whether Biden or Trump was better for the economy. “Many of them aren’t single issue abortion voters; they are worried about the economy and inflation, they are worried about immigration,” McLaughlin said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, wasn’t, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Biden, ”, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, “ It’s, Dobbs, Charles Franklin, Tony Evers, Katie Hobbs, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Whitmer, Shapiro, Franklin, Trump, Roe, Wade, “, Lake, Melissa Williams, ” Harris, Tresa Undem, ‘ what’s, –, Greenberg, ” Greenberg, —, John Della Volpe, Della Volpe, energize, Jason Cabel Roe, ” Trump, He’s, “ Donald Trump, Jim McLaughlin, McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Williams, JD Vance, ” Williams Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Edison Research, Democratic House, Democrats, Marquette Law School, SSRS, Quinnipiac University, Yahoo, Quinnipiac, Trump, Times, YouGov, Biden, Catholic, ” Voters, GOP, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, Republican Party, “, Republicans, White House Locations: The Marquette, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, London, Harris, Iowa, America, Trump

The stop by Ms. Harris at the Planned Parenthood clinic was believed to be the first official visit by a vice president to an abortion clinic. We have to be a nation that trusts women.”Image Ms. Harris visited a Planned Parenthood clinic in St. Paul, Minn., on Thursday. Nebraska, North Dakota and South Dakota were almost bare — all have restricted abortion access since the overturning of Roe. But the fall of Roe upended those politics, energizing a new generation of voters energized by their support for abortion rights. “Please do understand that when we talk about a clinic such as this, it is absolutely about health care and reproductive health care.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Minn, Harris, ”, “, Jenn Ackerman, Roe, Wade, energizing, Biden, Lake, Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, Ms, Undem, Mr, Paul, Sarah Traxler, Tim Walz Organizations: Minn, ., The New York Times, Democrats, Democratic, Paul Health Center, Administration, Gov, The, of Family, State Legislature, Biden Locations: St, Paul, Minnesota, . Minnesota, Iowa . Nebraska , North Dakota, South Dakota, Gaza, KFF, Democratic, Vandalia, “ Minnesota, States

☆ Mike Johnson symbolizes a new turn for the religious right
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

CNN —The arc of Rep. Mike Johnson’s career encapsulates the shifting priorities of the religious right in the era of Donald Trump. More than half of White evangelicals agreed with that statement as well – the only major religious denomination in which it found majority support. Yet both groups are much more influential inside the GOP coalition, with evangelicals representing nearly one-third of Republican voters and all White Christians about two-thirds. But in Congress, Johnson has also identified more with some of the party’s Trump-era priorities that revolve around demographic change. But each man appears equally committed to a vision of America that elevates the moral and political preferences of conservative White Christians over any other group.

Persons: Mike Johnson’s, Donald Trump, Barack Obama’s, Johnson, MAGA, Long, Trump’s, Trump, Robert P, Jones, Johnson “, ”, Mike Podhorzer, ” Podhorzer, Jimmy Carter, Jerry Falwell, Pat Robertson, James Dobson, ” Jones, Dobson, CNN’s KFile, KFile, he’s, Ron DeSantis, Marjorie Taylor, it’s, ” Johnson, He’s, “, Biden, who’s, PRRI, there’s, Tresa Undem, Undem, White, George W, Bush, Obama, Pete Wehner, Wehner, David Barton, Barton, that’s, ” Wehner, ‘, ” Barton Organizations: CNN, Louisiana Republican, Republican, GOP, Yorker, Trump, Survey, Religion Research Institute, White, AFL, CIO, Republicans, Representatives, Alliance Defense Fund, Defending, Gov, Georgia Rep, Whites, Trinity Forum, ”, NBC News, Trump - Locations: Louisiana, America, White, “, Florida, Mexico

☆ Why the Republican defense of Trump points to more turbulence ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

In the Republican coalition, it is a moment that has culminated decades of change – and one that points to years of turbulence ahead. Overwhelming majorities of Republican voters dismiss the charges against Trump. In Gallup’s latest annual survey of trust in institutions, Republicans expressed less faith in 10 of the 16 measured. Veteran GOP pollster Whit Ayres points to another, more personal, reason so many GOP voters have discounted the charges against Trump. Trump is the Republican most effectively riding that wave now, but it seems unlikely to recede whenever he fades from the political scene.

Persons: Donald Trump, ”, Trump, Tresa Undem, –, Stormy Daniels, “ Trump, …, Ronald Reagan, “ There’s, Amy Fried, Goldwater, Reagan, Fried, Steve Bannon, Eric Plutzer, ” Plutzer, Hillary Clinton, “ Efrem Zimbalist Jr, Plutzer, “, MAGA, Undem, ” Trump, He’s, ” he’s, George Floyd, It’s, ” Robert P, Jones, winks, ’ Trump, ” “ MAGA, ” Jones, Daniel Cox, —, ” Cox, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Will Hurd, Hunter Biden, Cox, wasn’t Hunter Biden, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Donald Trump’s, aspersions, That’s, ’, Long Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, Trump, Whites, Bright Line, Republicans, CBS, University of Maine, Government, National Rifle Association, NRA, Penn State University, Institute for Democracy, Department, FBI, ABC, Justice Department, Pew Research Center, Gallup, Black, Religion Research Institute, White, American Enterprise Institute, Trump —, Prestige, Senate, Trump . Veteran GOP, “, Democratic Locations: “, Vietnam, stoke, Russia, Manhattan, Fulton County , Georgia, New York, Undem, America

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