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☆ How Trump's rich Cabinet members could save millions thanks to a little-known tax break
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Hayley Cuccinello | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementTwo of the reported candidates for Treasury Secretary made their fortunes on Wall Street, including billionaire Apollo CEO Marc Rowan. Eligible federal appointees can defer capital gains taxes indefinitely when they sell stock or other assets in order to avoid a conflict of interest. As a top earner in New York, they would normally have to pay more than $3 million in capital gains taxes. The sum that would have been spent on capital gains taxes is now free to compound and grow. The IRS allows investors to defer capital gains taxes in other scenarios that are deemed outside their control.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Major Trump, Chris Wright, Marc Rowan, Bush, Goldman Sachs, Henry Paulson, George H.W, Bob Willens, You've, Scott Bessent, frontrunners, eyeing Rowan, Kevin Warsh, Morgan Stanley, Warsh, Jane Lauder, Rowan, Ed Renn of Withersworldwide, Penny Pritzker, Mark Parthemer, Willens, Renn Organizations: Commerce, of Energy, Treasury, Executives, Columbia Business School, Federal Reserve, Government, IRS Locations: George H.W . Bush, New York

☆ The stock market could be a $50 trillion guardrail on Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Yet there is another force that could deter Trump from some of his most extreme instincts: the $50 trillion US stock market. A view of the New York Stock Exchange on Wall Street on November 13 in New York City. A view of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Wall Street November 13, 2024, in New York City. Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images“There is zero chance that he will take personally any negative feedback from the stock market,” said Sonnenfeld. While the stock market initially celebrated the election results, the bond market did not.

Persons: Donald Trump, Gary Cohn, Trump, Jack Smith, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, ”, Isaac Boltansky, Angela Weiss, Jerome Powell, Trump’s, Xi Jinping, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Alexander Hamilton, Chip Somodevilla, ” Lori Calvasina, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Republicans, Dow Jones, Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Trump, CNN, Yale, Leadership, Treasury, Fed, U.S . Department of Treasury, RBC Capital Markets Locations: New York, China, New York City, Argentina, Washington, “, Washington ,, recalibrate

Rowan and Warsh shake up Treasury raceFew of the unfilled positions in Donald Trump’s cabinet are as important as Treasury secretary. Allies of two candidates, Howard Lutnick, the transition co-chair, and Scott Bessent, a top economic adviser, publicly stumped for them this weekend. Musk threw his support behind Lutnick over the weekend, calling Bessent “business as usual,” an especially cutting criticism in the Trump camp. Loeb backed Bessent, arguing that choosing Lutnick might rattle investors, including in the $28 trillion market for Treasury bonds and notes. That said, Bessent is also being floated for positions such as chair of the White House’s National Economic Council.

Persons: Rowan, Warsh, Donald Trump’s, cloudier, Howard Lutnick, Scott Bessent, Marc Rowan, Kevin Warsh, Elon Musk, Dan Loeb, Musk, Bessent, Trump, Loeb Organizations: Times, Apollo Global Management, Fed, Treasury, White, Economic Council

☆ ETF world buzzing about new cash flooding into funds seen winning from Trump trades
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."

Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico

☆ How to profit if rates keep rising, going against the Fed and stock investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. government bond yields have surged too, puzzling many market participants. I am going to stick with the contrarian view and bet on rates continuing to move higher. I'll express that through a bearish bet on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) which tracks bond prices. Various inputs have driven yields higher, creating the opposite outcome for the Fed as they continue to try to land the proverbial plane. Jeffrey Gundlach stated (post Fed meeting) that interest rates could shoot even higher if Republicans end up controlling the House too.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, TLT Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury Bond ETF, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Mortgage rates are likely to stay high after Trump's election win—despite Fed rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Mike Winters | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Following Donald Trump's Presidential election win, 30-year fixed mortgage rates briefly surged, settling at 6.98% as of Thursday, according to Mortgage News Daily . Recent interest rate cuts have brought relief to credit card, personal loan and auto borrowers, but homebuyers are unlikely to catch a break as mortgage rates continue to climb. While mortgage rates often move in step with the Fed's benchmark rate, they're more directly tied to 10-year Treasury bond yields. These yields tend to rise when investors expect stronger economic growth and higher inflation — even when the Federal Reserve is cutting the federal funds rate. Either way, "continued deficit spending, coupled with discussions of additional tariffs on imports, is likely to keep [mortgage] rates elevated through the remainder of 2024," says Nourmand.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Melissa Cohn, William Raveis, Harris, Michael Nourmand, — Organizations: Reserve, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, William Raveis Mortgage, Trump, Associates, CNBC Locations: New York, Los Angeles

☆ Dow set to surge more than 1,200 points as Trump is reelected
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, ”, Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai

☆ Investors load up on bonds and bitcoin ahead of the U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors have been heavily buying two very different categories of assets ahead of next week's election: bonds and bitcoin . Bank of America credit strategist Yuri Seliger highlighted a shift toward bond buying among fund investors over the past week. A look at the list of most popular ETFs on FactSet over the past week shows that the demand for bonds has been broad across categories. Funds for investment grade corporate bonds, municipal bonds, mortgage backed securities, long-term Treasury bonds and high yield bonds are all in the top 20 funds by inflows over the past week. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has raked in more than $2 billion of inflows over the past week, according to FactSet.

Persons: Yuri Seliger, Seliger, outflows Organizations: Bank of, HG, HY, Bank of America, —, JPMorgan

☆ A market hedge for those worried neither Trump nor Harris will do anything about the growing fiscal deficit
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

By contrast, Vice President Kamala Harris's tax plan is expected to increase tax revenues by $1.7 trillion over 10 years, but at a cost of negative 2% to long-run GDP and 786,000 jobs. The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania estimates that, including her spending proposals, the primary deficits would increase by $1.2 trillion, and accounting for adverse economic feedback effects, primary deficits increase to $2 trillion. Higher deficits and higher debts, just with different paths to get there. One candidate proposes cutting taxes to improve economic activity but increase deficits, and the other proposes raising taxes and increasing spending by even more and growing deficits. If the deficit keeps increasing faster than our economy grows, so will the debt, inflation, and interest rates.

Persons: We'll, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris's, Harris, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Treasuries Organizations: Tax Foundation, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Medicare, Green New Deal, TLT, Treasury Bond ETF, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: United States, Europe

☆ U.S. Treasury yields edge higher as traders await key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was less than one basis point higher at 4.27%. The 2-year Treasury note yield added one basis point to 4.16%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose as traders reviewed the gross domestic product reading for the third quarter and looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the session. A report on weekly jobless claims and the third-quarter reading on the employment cost index are also scheduled for release on Thursday.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as traders look to break out of 3-day slump
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A rise in tech stocks fueled the indexes higher after Tesla reported strong earnings. Jobless claims from last week fell unexpectedly to 227,000, a drop of 15,000 from the week before. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed Thursday morning, as the market tried to break out of a three-day slump following this week's bond sell-off. Investors' exposure to the S&P 500 is the highest since mid-2023 in a signal that's previously preceded a 10% slump, Citi says. Apple stock tumbles after analyst says iPhone 16 orders cut by 10 million units, sees "no evidence" of AI boosting demand.

Persons: Tesla, — Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Treasury, Nasdaq, Investors, Citi, Apple

☆ The bond market is selling off after traders got their Fed forecasts wrong
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Bonds have sold off as traders reassess the path of Fed Reserve rate cuts. AdvertisementThe bond market is in sell-off mode as traders reassess the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. That would be a big surprise to traders, with the market pricing in a 90% chance of a 25-basis point interest rate cut from the Fed next month. AdvertisementFed officials, for their part, have indicated they're likely to move cautiously, though more rate cuts are still their base case. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she expects interest rates will fall "gradually," and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid endorsed a "cautious and gradual" approach to cutting interest rates.

Persons: Bonds, —, Donald Trump, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Mary Daly, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Bloomberg, Bond, Treasury Bond ETF, Federal, Market, San Francisco Fed, Minneapolis, Dallas, Kansas City, House Locations: Atlanta

☆ Paul Tudor Jones says market reckoning coming on spending after election: 'We are going to be broke'
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones is raising alarms about the U.S. government's current fiscal deficit and the increased spending promised by both presidential candidates, saying the bond market may force the government's hand after the election in addressing it. "We are going to be broke really quickly unless we get serious about dealing with our spending issues," Jones told CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin on Tuesday. The founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment said he was worried that government spending could cause a big sell-off in the bond market, spiking interest rates. He said he plans to not own fixed income and will be betting against the longer-dated part of the bond market. Jones founded his hedge fund more than four decades ago and rose to prominence by correctly predicting the stock market crash of 1987.

Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Jones, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Tudor Investment, Treasury Department, Wall Street, Trump Locations: United States

☆ America's New Economic Supercycle: Growth, Prices, Stock Market Chaos
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

First, higher interest rates will reward savers, making it more expensive to take risks. And with interest rates so low, companies could suddenly load up on debt: From 2007 to 2017, global nonfinancial corporate debt doubled, to $66 trillion. Now, with the arrival of a new supercycle, money managers are once again being forced to adapt to a changing set of economic realities. Normally, when the Fed hikes interest rates rapidly, the stock market tanks. Rising interest rates will make loans more expensive, forcing businesses to make more-thoughtful decisions about debt.

Persons: Josh Hirt, Silas Myers, Myers, Hirt, you've, Joe Quinlan, they'll, Quinlan Organizations: Investors, Vanguard, Mar Vista Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital, . Venture, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Big Tech, Federal Trade Commission, Treasury, European Union, Aerospace Locations: Washington, China, Unemployment, Europe, America, Japan, United States

☆ China could raise nearly $1 trillion of fresh debt in the next 3 years to revive its economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Chinese media reported that China could rack up $850 billion in debt to help revive its economy. China has vowed to roll out more fiscal stimulus, but key details were missing in a recent update. AdvertisementChina's fiscal stimulus efforts could include racking up almost $1 trillion in fresh debt over the next several years, according to local media. The money could be used as fiscal stimulus and to help "off-the-books debt" in local governments, the people added. One researcher recently estimated that the direct effects of China's latest stimulus package may not be felt until 2025, mainly because more fiscal stimulus needs to be unlocked before the policies can bolster the nation's economy.

Persons: —, Lan Fo'an Organizations: Service, China's, Finance, CNBC, Bloomberg, CSI Locations: China, Beijing, Hong Kong

☆ Dollar at over two-month high, yen near 150 per dollar
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The U.S. central bank kicked off its easing cycle with an aggressive 50 basis points at its last policy meeting in September. The dollar got a lift after Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday called for "more caution" on interest rate cuts ahead, citing recent economic data. That has cast doubts over when Japan's central bank will next tighten policy.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Kazuo Ueda, Shigeru Ishiba, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Traders, Boeing, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Caixin Global, Treasury, IG, China National, Congress Locations: U.S, Japan, China

☆ Gold prices flat as investors await fresh impetus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold was flat on Tuesday as investors await fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's stance on U.S. interest rate reductions for further direction on bullion prices. Gold was flat on Tuesday as investors await fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's stance on U.S. interest rate reductions for further direction on bullion prices. "Gold prices have been surprisingly resilient, refusing to succumb to a stronger U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields," IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong said. Fed Governor Christopher Waller called for "more caution" on interest rate cuts ahead. While, Fed Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said more rate reductions likely lie ahead for the U.S. central bank as the 2% inflation target looms into sight.

Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Fed, Fed Bank of Minneapolis, U.S, London Locations: China

☆ China state planner lays out further actions to boost economy but no new plans for major stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Two women sit on the sidewalk of Qiansimen Jialing River Bridge, decorated with Chinese national flags, on October 3, 2024 in Chongqing, China. National Day Golden Week is a holiday in China commemorates the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949. But he stopped short of announcing any new major stimulus plans, underwhelming investors and weakening the rally in the mainland Chinese markets. China will speed up special purpose bond issuance to local governments to support regional economic growth, the senior NDRC official said. Zheng said ultra-long special sovereign bonds, totaling 1 trillion yuan, have been fully deployed to fund local projects, and he vowed that China will continue to issue ultra-long special treasury bonds next year.

Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Zheng Organizations: National, Reform, Golden, CSI Locations: Chongqing, China, People's Republic of China, Shanghai

☆ China’s economy is in bad shape. Can its ‘whatever-it-takes’ stimulus effort turn things around?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Juliana Liu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The stimulus measures should have come far sooner, says Lun, but better late than never. Beijing has largely held back on unveiling fiscal measures, which can include the use of taxation or other measures to impact public spending. Another one trillion yuan may be set aside for recapitalizing banks or helping indebted local governments to issue bonds. Jia said China’s economy had expanded sufficiently since then to support the issuance of Treasury bond financing between four trillion to 10 trillion yuan. Any meaningful stimulus measures must tackle the problem of oversupply in the property market, experts said.

Persons: Francis Lun, he’s, Lun, ”, we’re, Juliana Liu, Ray Dalio, Pan Gongsheng, Li Yunze, Wu Qing, Pan, Jing Liu, it’s, Xi, Jia Kang, Jia, Chi Lo Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Index, CNN, Geo Securities, Nikko Asset Management, Bridgewater Associates, National Development Reform Commission, People’s Bank of China, Financial Regulatory, China Securities Regulatory, HSBC, Reuters, Ministry, Finance, Ministry of Finance, China Academy of New, Barclays, BNP, Management Locations: China, Hong Kong, Causeway, Beijing, Renhuai

☆ This strategy can maximize yield even as interest rates fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The strategy is meant to minimize interest rate risks, explained Saraja Samant, a manager research analyst at Morningstar. Wisdom Tree has two Treasury ladder ETFs: a one- to three-year fund and a seven- to 10-year fund. Schwab has Treasury bond ladder strategies in separately managed accounts operated by its Wasmer Schroeder Strategies' team. "They can add to or take from the entire bond ladder all at once, which is challenging to do with an individual bond ladder." The 'comfort' of a ladder To build a Treasury ladder, investors can go to Treasury Direct or use a broker dealer and tailor it to their needs, Samant said.

Persons: you'll, Saraja Samant, Robert Scrudato, Schwab, Schroeder, Barry Glassman, Morningstar's Samant, Samant, Michael Kessler, Glassman, Kessler, he's Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Treasury, BlackRock, Securities and Exchange Commission, Wealth, Albion Financial, AAA Locations: Vienna , Virginia, Salt Lake City

☆ ExodusPoint led multistrategy hedge funds in September. Here's where rivals like Citadel, Millennium, and others stand.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Bradley Saacks | Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

ExodusPoint led multimanager hedge funds with a 1.5% gain last month and is up 6.5% in 2024. Millennium and Schonfeld had strong returns; Citadel, Balyasny, and Walleye lagged behind. AdvertisementIn the last month before a new cash hurdle forces the firm to outperform for performance fees, ExodusPoint led the way among multistrategy hedge funds. The $11 billion manager was up 1.5% last month, bringing its 2024 numbers to 6.5%, a person close to Michael Gelband's fund said. The firm was down 0.2% last month, though it is still up 11.1% on the year, a person close to the firm said.

Persons: ExodusPoint, Schonfeld, —, Michael Gelband's, Ken Griffin's Organizations: Citadel, Walleye, Service, Business Locations: Balyasny, York, Wellington, Miami

☆ China's massive stimulus is missing a key ingredient: a way to revive the nation's consumers
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-28 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But the past week's stimulus blitz did not offer fiscal support to China's discouraged consumers. AdvertisementChina's latest stimulus blitz offers everything but one key fix: new incentives to revive consumers. While Tuesday's stimulus package didn't address fiscal support, Chinese officials appear to be getting around to it. Even if China commits to bigger fiscal support in the near term, it could be too late to change things this year, Huang said. For instance, Chinese consumers are staying away from new housing projects even as China has introduced looser mortgage rates and downpayment rules.

Persons: —, Liz Young Thomas, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Investment, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Reuters, Communist, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: China, Beijing

☆ A $28 trillion problem is about to get much worse. Harris and Trump are ignoring it
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

But now, as the dangers of a widening deficit and mounting debt grow, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are making little effort to address it. A budget deficit occurs when a country’s spending exceeds what it collects in revenue, primarily through taxes. The deficit is expected to widen under the status quo and could get even worse under proposals by both Harris and Trump, if enacted. During the Trump-Harris presidential debate earlier this month, the budget deficit was mentioned just twice, when Harris jabbed Trump for his proposals, which are expected to add considerably more to the deficit than hers. In the 2021 fiscal year, during which Trump left office, the country ran a $2.8 trillion deficit.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, Jerome Powell, “ It’s, ” Powell, Harris jabbed Trump, ”, Maya MacGuineas, “, Barack Obama, we’ve, I’ve, Obama, Mitt Romney, ” Obama, Romney, Hillary Clinton, Powell, MacGuineas, There’s, Kent Smetters, aren’t Trump, Smetters, aren’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, Trump, Republican, Democratic, Congressional, CNN, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Penn Wharton Budget, ”, Republicans, Democrats, “ Locations: New York, China, Japan

☆ China needs more than rate cuts to boost economic growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's slowing economy needs more than interest rate cuts to boost growth, analysts said. He expects Beijing will likely ramp up fiscal stimulus due to weak growth, despite reluctance so far. "The market is forming a medium to long-term expectation on the U.S. growth rate, the inflation rate. As for Chinese government bonds, Ding said the firm has a "neutral" view and expects the Chinese yields to remain relatively low. He pointed out that monetary easing still requires fiscal stimulus "to achieve the effect of expanding credit and transmitting money to the real economy."

Persons: Larry Hu, That's, Edmund Goh, Yifei Ding, Ding, CF40, Pan Gongsheng, Haizhong Chang, Chang Organizations: China Resources, Getty, BEIJING, People's Bank of China, Macquarie, U.S, of Finance, PBOC, Ministry of Finance, Fitch Locations: China, Nanjing, Jiangsu province, abrdn, Beijing, U.S, Invesco

☆ Baby boomers have a ton of their wealth tied up in stocks and housing. Here's why that's a risk to the economy.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Khurana thinks what has made boomers the wealthiest generation — stocks and housing — also makes them a risk to economic stability. AdvertisementSuch a scenario is an '"underappreciated risk," he said, given how much boomers' spending habits have fueled economic growth in recent years. The demographic spends around $548 billion a year, more than any other generation, according to a report from marketing research firm Epsilon. AdvertisementBroken down by each generation's holdings of property and stocks, boomers accounted for 42% of all real estate ownership and 54% of all corporate equity and mutual fund ownership. That's not to say boomers will cause the next recession, but the risk during a recession is dialed up under the current paradigm, Khurana said.

Persons: —, America's, Brij, Khurana, boomers, they've, John Hussman, That's Organizations: Service, Wellington Management, Business, McKinsey & Company, New York Fed, Epsilon, New, Boomers, Federal Reserve, Governors Boomers, Governors Locations: New, New York, Florida and Texas

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