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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S. economic tailwinds look to be very strong, says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the Fed, economy and his market outlook.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlok: We have not seen any signs of a slowdown since the Fed started raising rates in 2022Apollo Global chief economist Torsten Slok says the data over the past several weeks and months shows the U.S. economy continues to do just fine, and this week's jobs report will go a long way towards what the Fed does next week.
Persons: Torsten Slok Organizations: Fed, Apollo Global Locations: U.S
Bonds have sold off as traders reassess the path of Fed Reserve rate cuts. AdvertisementThe bond market is in sell-off mode as traders reassess the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. That would be a big surprise to traders, with the market pricing in a 90% chance of a 25-basis point interest rate cut from the Fed next month. AdvertisementFed officials, for their part, have indicated they're likely to move cautiously, though more rate cuts are still their base case. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she expects interest rates will fall "gradually," and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid endorsed a "cautious and gradual" approach to cutting interest rates.
Persons: Bonds, , Donald Trump, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Mary Daly, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Bloomberg, Bond, Treasury Bond ETF, Federal, Market, San Francisco Fed, Minneapolis, Dallas, Kansas City, House Locations: Atlanta
In a note to clients, Slok issued a more positive outlook on the US job market, even as hiring has slowed this year. "It is inconsistent to say that the incoming economic data is strong but the labor market is weakening," Slok wrote. AdvertisementHowever, consumption and business spending data have been strong in recent months. If the 30-year fixed rate slumps to around 5%, that could that could spark a rebound in home sales, providing a boost to the economy and job market, Slok said. AdvertisementThe outlook for the job market, though, remains mixed, with some commentators warning that hiring could continue to slow due to the lagged impact of the Fed's rate hikes.
Persons: , Torsten Slok, Slok, Freddie Mac, David Rosenberg, who's Organizations: Service, Apollo Global Management, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Challenger, IRA, Atlanta Fed Locations: Atlanta
The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.
Persons: , There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, , Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed cutting 25bps next week should be 'more than enough', says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve's rate decision next week.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
Business Insider's Brent D. Griffiths has a rundown on everything you need to know heading into tonight . A newly released Times/Siena poll shows Trump holding just a one-point advantage over Harris among likely voters. For Trump, the focus will likely be the economy, which is a high priority for voters and also a sore spot for Harris. The latest Times poll showed Trump (55%) held a big advantage over Harris (42%) regarding who would be better equipped to handle the economy. Trump will also likely target Harris' biggest vulnerabilities , which may include trying to define her shifting views as disingenuous flip-flops, Brent writes.
Persons: , he'll, it's, Jose Luis Pelaez, Michael Ciaglo, Getty, Tom Williams, Tyler Le, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, Harris, BI's John L Dorman, Trump, Brent, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, BI's Bradley Saacks, It's, BI's Alice Tecotzky, Sébastien Thibault, Goldman Sachs, Torsten Sløk, Anson Chan, Brian Niccol, hasn't, Putin, Andrew Cuomo, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Elon, Business, Jose Luis Pelaez Inc, Trump, BI Bitcoin, Arab League Locations: Philadelphia, Siena, Silicon Valley, China, America, Russia, Ukraine, Cairo, Israel, Gaza, New York, London
The US economy is not facing a recession, says Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk. Sløk cites strong employment data, wage growth, and consumer spending as key indicators. AdvertisementThe US economy is cruising toward a soft landing with no recession on the table, according to Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk. "Daily data for debit card transactions shows that consumer spending has been accelerating in recent weeks," Sløk said. That's not something you see right before a recession hits the economy, according to Sløk.
Persons: Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Organizations: Service, Sløk, Atlanta
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy isn't slowing down in a way that justifies the number of rate cuts: Apollo's Torsten SlokMichael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler chief investment strategist, and Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the state of the economy, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
While there was some demand for protection against the prospect of volatility reemerging, overall sentiment across Wall Street had gotten more bullish. Until Wall Street can be sure that the consumer will hold on (or not), conviction is easily shaken. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. What happened on Monday was a sudden realization that the new structure may assert itself before Wall Street imagined it would.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, we've, they'd, corporates, Dow, Mandy Xu, Cboe's, Wall, Torsten Slok, Slok, Shake, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they've Organizations: Dow Jones, Bank of Japan, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Wall, Apollo Global Management, Corporations, Companies Locations: Asia, Japan, Mexico
Stock futures pointed to a mild market bounceback following a significant sell-off Monday that left major indexes with their worst day in nearly two years. ET Tuesday, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures, S&P 500 futures, and and Nasdaq futures were each up about 0.4%. The recovery comes as Japan's Nikkei stock index, which saw its worst day in a generation Monday, rallied for its best day since 2008, surging 10.2%Still, Tuesday's gains are unlikely to make up for the losses stocks suffered Monday. Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said in a note Tuesday that the economy remains in decent shape. "If the economy were crashing, default rates would be spiking higher, and that is not what the data shows.” he wrote.
Persons: Dow, Goldman Sachs, Torsten Slok, Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal, Citibank, Federal Reserve, Citi, Fed, Apollo Global Management Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomic data still justifies a soft landing, says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action and what the recent round of economic data signals.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
Now the central bank is mulling over when to do something it hasn’t done since the darkest days of the pandemic: cut interest rates. “A rate cut could be on the table in the September meeting,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday, immediately jolting markets. When will the Fed cut rates? Rate cut probabilityThat said, investors are entirely convinced the Fed will cut rates at their September meeting, according to Fed funds futures data. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, we’re, It’s, Powell, , ” Powell, Torsten Slok, Apollo Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank, CNN Locations: New York,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat the latest Fed decision could mean for the markets and your moneyTorsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, and Gunjan Banerji, Lead Writer at the Wall Street Journal, discuss the latest Fed decision and its impact on the markets and the economy.
Persons: Torsten Slok, Gunjan Organizations: Apollo Global Management, Wall Street
New York CNN —The Federal Reserve is all but certain to hold interest rates steady at its meeting this week. That’s why Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year. “There are still two more CPI releases before the September 18 [Fed] meeting, so we have to wait and see if the downtrend in inflation continues,” he told CNN. Fed officials have signaled that September will be when they finally lower interest rates. The difference between a few months for that initial cut “really doesn’t matter unless there’s some big shock that hits the economy in that time,” Fed Governor Christopher Waller said earlier this month.
Persons: Alan Blinder, Paul Krugman —, Blinder, what’s, Brandon Bell, Torsten Slok, Apollo, , Sean Snaith, it’s, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, CNN, ” University of Central, Locations: New York, ” University of Central Florida, Iran, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStill premature to talk about a dramatic amount of rate cuts coming, says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the June's PCE inflation data, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, state of the economy, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
Commercial real estate values have been on the decline in the US. Related storiesBanks, meanwhile, are quietly shedding exposure to commercial real estate debt. AdvertisementInvestors have been watching the commercial real estate industry since the pandemic when the work-from-home trend cleared offices of workers. Some real estate veterans are calling for a major correction in the industry. The commercial property sector, in particular, could see a wave of bankruptcies and properties with forced sales, according to Kiran Raichura, the deputy chief property economist at Capital Economics.
Persons: , Banks, Goldman Sachs, Torsten Slok, Moody's, Kiran Raichura, Raichura Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business, Deutsche Bank, New York Times, Capital Economics Locations: North America, American
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'No reason for Fed to cut rates at this moment', says Apollo Global's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the economy's trajectory for the second half of the year and if a rate cut is imminent or off the table.
Persons: Apollo Global's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
AdvertisementThis was Belgium at their finest, and Romania raised the level of their game in the second half to try to equalise. If Austria wanted to have any chance of qualifying to the round of 16 they had to beat Poland in their second group game. The wide areas were where Ukraine focused their attacks, and Oleksandr Zinchenko’s square pass to Mykola Shaparenko made it 1-1 in the second half. However, Samet Akaydin and Altay Bayindir’s mishap on the second goal decreased Turkey’s probability of a comeback. More off-ball runs in the second half led to the third, and by then the match was done and dusted.
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London CNN —Dairy farmers in Denmark face having to pay an annual tax of 672 krone ($96) per cow for the planet-heating emissions they generate. The country’s coalition government agreed this week to introduce the world’s first carbon emissions tax on agriculture. On average, Danish dairy cows, which account for much of the cattle population, emit 5.6 tonnes of CO2-equivalent per year, according to Concito, a green think tank in Denmark. Using the lower tax rate of 120 krone results in a charge of 672 krone per cow, or $96. With the tax break in place, that levy will rise to 1,680 krone per cow in 2035 ($241).
Persons: Lars Lokke Rasmussen, , , Torsten Hasforth, Landbrug, Peter Kiær, ” Peder Tuborgh, Kristian Hundeboll Organizations: London CNN — Dairy, , United Nations, Food, Agriculture Organization, CNN, Arla Foods, DLG, Initiative Locations: Denmark, Danish, Europe
Nvidia continued to rally after recently claiming the title as the world's most valuable company. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stock averages rose on Thursday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on track for another record. These easier conditions have at least partly neutralized the effects of the Fed hikes, paving the way for a reacceleration in both economic growth and inflation." Sløk said that easier financial conditions should help continue to offset the effects of tighter Fed policy for at least the next three quarters.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Torsten Sløk, Sløk Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Nasdaq, Traders, Microsoft, Federal Reserve Locations: Here's
People are exiting the stock market in droves
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
The US stock market is shrinking, and investors are pulling their money out at a near-record pace as storm clouds gather over the US economy. A shrinking market: The stock market isn’t the economy (for the most part). Fear is currently driving the US market, according to CNN’s Fear and Greed Index. “We really need to consider: Is this the outcome we want?”CEOs are making almost 200 times what workers areCEOs raked in fat pay packages last year as the US stock market boomed, reports my colleague Matt Egan. Economists were expecting job openings to register 8.36 million, according to FactSet estimates.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Lisa Shatlett, We’ve, Torsten Slok, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , Matt Egan, Bosses, Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, titans, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Federal, Dow, Apollo Global Management, Privately, JPMorgan, Associated Press, Workers, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Nantucket, That’s
Apollo Global's Slok: I don't expect rate hikes this year
  + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApollo Global's Slok: I don't expect rate hikes this yearTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether home pricing plays a part in inflation, if the Fed should wait for housing inflation progress if they can't control why they're higher, and much more.
Persons: Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
And I think if somebody doesn't fix the problem, we could be gone," Malcolm Collins previously told BI in 2022. Malcolm Collins resumed his conversation with the stunned reporter after telling his child: "I love you but you gotta be nice in restaurants. Related storiesSoon afterward, the episode went viral on X — the platform owned by Elon Musk, whom Malcolm Collins was incidentally gushing over moments before striking his toddler. This is all to say that yes, 100%, Torsten was pushing boundaries and not acting unintentionally," Simone Collins wrote. AdvertisementOver the phone, Malcolm Collins told Business Insider that he "bopped" his son on the nose to jar him, not to hurt him.
Persons: Malcolm, Simone Collins, Malcolm Collins, Jenny Kleeman, Elon Musk, Christ, Torsten Savage, Torsten Organizations: Service, Business, Guardian, Elon, CNN Locations: Pennsylvania
According to the Apollo chief economist, that's because current strength stems from high debt loads, both among US consumers and the corporate world. Slok pointed out that delinquencies are rising on credit cards and auto loans, despite an economy with low unemployment. But while that keeps a hard landing on the table, the next few quarters will still deliver solid performance, he said. Advertisement"We still have behind us a very strong tailwind. We still have strong spending in the pipeline from the Chips Act, Inflation Reduction Act, the Infrastructure Act."
Persons: , Torsten Slok, Slok Organizations: Service, Apollo, Business, Bloomberg, Fitch, Reserve Locations: headwinds
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