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“I really do believe Erie is the top bellwether county in Pennsylvania. Certainly top five in the nation,” Fetterman said, citing its mix of urban and rural areas. Tim Walz, the vice presidential nominee, will campaign this week in Wisconsin and western Pennsylvania, the Harris official said. The Trump campaign is seeking to capitalize on a new wave of polls that indicate Harris’ edge is shrinking. Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg said Harris should work to limit the margins of defeat in rural areas.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Trump, Joe Biden, ”, Sen, John Fetterman, “, ” Fetterman, Harris, Obama, Josh Shapiro, Fetterman, “ Trump, Taylor, Biden, Governor Walz, Harris can’t, Tuesday’s, Tim Walz, Tony Fabrizio, Chris LaCivita, Susie Wiles, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, Hillary Clinton, Walz, Nikki Haley, Paulette Aniskoff, Liz Cheney, ” Aniskoff Organizations: Pennsylvania, Democratic, Republican, Erie County, Senate, Census, Gov, Trump, Sun, Harris, Black, Minnesota Gov, Congressional, GOP Locations: ERIE, Pa, Erie County, Pennsylvania, “ Pennsylvania, Erie, Lake Erie, Ohio, New York, Pittsburgh, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Detroit, Grand Rapids, Lansing, Oakland County, Milwaukee, La Crosse, Green Bay, Minnesota, Nebraska’s, Omaha, America, California

Harris’ campaign is pouring more money and effort into advertising, targeted messaging and on-the-ground organizing. “One in five Latino voters in this election are going to be voting for the first time, so they’re forming their opinions about the candidates. English is predominantly our first language,” Enriquez said on a Trump campaign press call earlier this month. “A full 55% of Latino voters had not heard from anybody, not just candidates, but nonpartisan or any other type of organization. The Latino Victory Fund on Saturday kicked off a plan to bus volunteers from New York to Pennsylvania to engage with the state’s more than 400,000 eligible Latino voters.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, “ Harris, ” Mya Brady, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Clarissa Martinez De Castro, ” De Castro, they’ve, Harris ’, —, Abraham Enriquez, ”, ” Enriquez, Tony Fabrizio, ” Fabrizio, Vianca Rodriguez, “, Anuel AA, Emmanuel Gazmey Santiago, ” Trump, Nicky Jam, Nick Rivera Caminero, “ It’s, Nicky, Caminero, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Walz, ” Rodriguez, Miguel Cardona, Xavier Becerra, Rodriguez, Sen, Ben Ray Luján, Adriano Espaillat, Canelo Alvarez, Edgar Berlanga, Victor Martinez, It’s, Maca Casado, ” Harris, Liza Colón, Zayas, Anthony Ramos, Tim Walz, Hurricane Maria, Colón, “ Trump, can’t, De Castro, “ You’ve Organizations: NBC, Democrats, NBC News, Telemundo, CNBC, Latino, Republicans, ”, Trump, “ Republicans, Republican Party, Black, Puerto Ricans, Trump ., Puerto, Dominican, Let’s, Latina, Education, Human Services, New York, Harris, Fund Locations: TUCSON, Ariz, West, Pittsburgh, UnidosUS, Nevada and Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Puerto Rican, Johnstown , Pennsylvania, Trump . ” Pennsylvania, Las Vegas, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, New, Spanish, Douglas , Arizona, Lehigh County , Pennsylvania, Hurricane, Puerto Rico, New York

☆ The pros and cons of a condensed campaign for Harris: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +7 min

In today’s edition, "Meet the Press" moderator Kristen Welker examines whether a shortened campaign calendar will help or hurt Vice President Kamala Harris. Plus, we dive into Robert F. Kennedy's decision to suspend his third-party bid and back former President Donald Trump. I’m speaking, of course, of Donald Trump,” Kennedy added. Still, the initial conservations started earlier, about a week before the Republican convention, with right-wing commentator Tucker Carlson connecting Trump Jr. with Kennedy. From there, Trump Jr. and donor Omeed Malik served as go-betweens to help close the deal.

Persons: Kristen Welker, Kamala Harris, Robert F, Donald Trump, — Harris, Joe Biden’s, Kennedy Jr, Harris, Tim Walz, Vance, Harris ’, Biden, —, Chuck Todd, Hillary Clinton, ” Harris, Alex Seitz, Wald, Read, Matt Dixon, Henry J, Gomez, →, Trump, Katherine Koretski, Ben Kamisar, Garrett Haake, Dasha Burns PHOENIX — Robert F, “, Kennedy, ”, ” Kennedy, Mary Beth Cahill, “ Donald Trump isn’t, he’s, Donald Trump Jr, Tony Fabrizio, Tucker Carlson, Omeed Malik Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Democratic, Trump, → RFK, Democrats, Democratic Party, Democratic National Committee, RFK Jr, GOP, Trump ”, Republican, Trump Jr Locations: Oakland, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Ukraine

☆ Opinion | The Mystery of JD Vance Is Unraveling
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Thomas B. Edsall | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

JD Vance embodies the pros and cons of political competition in a divided America. Vance’s reputation as defender of the globalization-battered working class can help Trump in the electorally crucial Midwest industrial belt states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. But Vance is also an absolutist on restricting abortion, the Republican’s biggest current weakness, according to polls. He has adopted Trump’s line that abortion rules should be left to the states, but his voting record is striking. In an interview with the Youngstown Ohio Vindicator, Vance contended that there was extensive fraud in 2020 including a “big-tech” conspiracy directed by Mark Zuckerberg, the chief executive of Facebook.

Persons: Vance, minuses, Donald Trump’s ‘, —, Sean O’Brien, ” That’s, Trump, Tony Fabrizio, ”, ” Vance, Mark Zuckerberg Organizations: GZERO Media, Republican National Convention, Republican, Teamsters, Ohio Republican Senate, Trump, Youngstown Ohio Vindicator, Facebook Locations: America, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Michigan

☆ Trump reemerges in Charlotte to a new opponent and a political landscape reshaped once again by the extraordinary
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Steve Contorno | Kristen Holmes | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Charlotte, North Carolina CNN —Donald Trump will step out onto the campaign trail Wednesday to an entirely new race and a political landscape once again irrevocably altered by an unprecedented election year. Meanwhile, Trump and his campaign are working to reimagine a playbook and operation launched to take on an unpopular 81-year-old incumbent. He predicted that Harris would start “gaining on or even leading President Trump” in the polls, though he also insisted that the “honeymoon” period would end. Trump’s appearance in Charlotte will provide his first opportunity to contrast himself with Harris before voters in a battleground state. But it was left off the list of states that the Biden campaign viewed as most winnable in a sobering post-debate assessment of the race.

Persons: North Carolina CNN — Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, –, “ Biden, ”, Biden, ” Trump, Trump’s, Harris ’, Tony Fabrizio, Trump ”, Fabrizio, ” Fabrizio, Harris “, Joe Biden’s, “, ” Harris, CNN’s Kate Sullivan Organizations: North Carolina CNN, Trump, Democratic Party, Democratic, Fox, The Democratic National Committee, Biden, San, Democrat, MAGA Inc Locations: Charlotte, North Carolina, Georgia, Minnesota, California, San Francisco, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania

☆ Trump pollster is already warning his rattled team that Harris is going to jump ahead in the polls
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewBeware the "Harris Honeymoon," a Trump team pollster said in an internal memo. In the message, Tony Fabrizio cautioned that though Kamala Harris will likely see a bump in national polls in the upcoming week, nobody should panic because nothing major has changed for them. Pouring salt on the wound, Harris' campaign announced record fundraising numbers in its first 24 hours and is racking up key endorsements. Related storiesThough it's barely been 48 hours since Biden ended his reelection campaign, some pollsters have already started testing Harris against Trump. Harris' very womanhood may pose a challenge for Trump, who often crosses the line when criticizing women and may alienate female voters.

Persons: —, pollster, Tony Fabrizio, Kamala Harris, Fabrizio, Harris, Biden, JD Vance, Trump, it's Organizations: Service, Trump, Democratic National Convention, Business, Reuters, Democratic Locations: MAGA

☆ Campaign Updates: At the R.N.C. donor retreat, Trump calls the Biden administration the ‘Gestapo.’
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-05 | by ( Maggie Haberman | Shane Goldmacher | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +8 min

“You have to respect the office of the presidency,” Mr. Trump said. “When you are Democrat, you start off essentially at 40 percent because you have civil service, you have the unions and you have welfare,” Mr. Trump said on Saturday. director whom Mr. Trump fired amid an investigation into Mr. Trump and his campaign, was connected to the Blagojevich investigation. Mr. Trump also mocked the physical appearance of Jack Smith, the special counsel who has indicted him twice. At another point, Mr. Trump said that if anyone wanted to donate $1 million to the R.N.C.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden’s, ” Mr, Trump baselessly, Biden, “, Mr, ”, William P, Barr, Michael Whatley, Mitt Romney, Hope Hicks, Rod Blagojevich, Blagojevich’s, James B, Blagojevich, Jack Smith, Smith, Mike Johnson, Roe, Wade, Trump’s, — Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Tony Fabrizio — Organizations: Republican National Committee, The New York Times, Trump, Democratic, Mr, Sun Locations: New York, Florida, Palm Beach, Fla, Manhattan, Illinois, Minnesota, Virginia, Nevada , Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin

A spokesman for Mr. Rosendale declined to comment. In those seven campaigns over 12 years, Mr. Rosendale has won five contests and lost two. Mr. Rosendale finished three points behind Mr. Tester in that race after narrowly winning the primary with 34 percent of the vote. Mr. Rosendale has been a frequent guest on Mr. Bannon’s “War Room” podcast, which is popular with conservatives. A third super PAC supporting Mr. Sheehy, known as More Jobs, Less Government, has been underwritten by a few wealthy Wall Street executives.

Persons: Matt Rosendale, torching, Jon Tester, Tester, Donald J, Trump, Tim Sheehy, Tester’s, Steve Daines, Sheehy, Daines, John Barrasso of, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Trump’s, hasn’t, Rachel Leathe, Rosendale, Alex Bruesewitz, Chad F, Donald Trump Jr, Bruesewitz, “, Ted Cruz, “ I’ve, he’s, ”, Biden, Caroline Wren, Matt Gaetz, Gaetz, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Greene, Stephen K, Bannon, Bannon’s, Mr, Mitch McConnell, Karl Rove —, Kenneth Griffin, Paul Singer, Stephen A, Schwarzman, Tony Fabrizio, Andy Surabian, Maggie Haberman Organizations: Senate, Montana Republicans, Republican, National Republican Senatorial Committee, Republicans, Trump, Bozeman Daily Chronicle, Associated Press, Montana Republican, U.S . House, Montana Senate, Mr, Trump White House, Navy SEAL, Republicans —, Fund, Wall Street, PAC, Democratic Locations: Montana, Rosendale, Helena, Washington, John Barrasso of Wyoming, Georgia, Iowa, Bozeman, MAGA, U.S, Ted Cruz of Texas, Arizona and Ohio

☆ Why People Feel So Much Angst When the Economy Is So Good
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-13 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Tony Fabrizio, left, discussing political polling at The Wall Street Journal CEO Council Summit. Photo: Ralph Alswang for The Wall Street JournalThe economic news is getting better—but President Biden’s approval ratings are sinking, and large swaths of the electorate are pessimistic about the future. What’s going on? And how will these trends play out next November?

Persons: Tony Fabrizio, Ralph Alswang, Biden’s, What’s Organizations: Wall Street

[1/2] File photo: Bob Vander Plaats, President and CEO of The Family Leader, speaks during the Family Leadership Summit at the Iowa Events Center in Des Moines, Iowa, U.S., July 14, 2023. DeSantis had courted Vander Plaats, president and CEO of the Christian advocacy group the Family Leader, in recent months. "If President Trump wins Iowa here, I think it's going to be awfully hard to make the case that you can beat President Trump. Recent polls have shown Trump with about a 30-percentage-point edge in Iowa over DeSantis and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley. As he has before, Vander Plaats in the interview denied any connection between the funds and his support.

Persons: Bob Vander Plaats, Scott Morgan, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Iowa’s, Vander Plaats, Trump, Joe Biden, DeSantis, Iowans, Nikki Haley, Ted Cruz, Trump’s pollster, Tony Fabrizio, Kim Reynolds, Haley, James Oliphant, Alexandra Ulmer, Gram Slattery, Daniel Wallis, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: Iowa, REUTERS, Republican, Fox News, Democrat, Reuters, DeSantis, United Nations, U.S, Trump, Thomson Locations: Des Moines , Iowa, U.S, Florida, Iowa, DeSantis

☆ Biden gets low marks on economy and major concerns about his age as he looks to Trump rematch, new poll shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A 60% majority of registered voters indicated in the poll that they do not consider Biden "mentally up for the job" of being president. Majorities of registered voters said they disapproved of how Biden has handled the economy (59%), inflation (63%) and growth of the middle class (58%), according to the poll. Nearly two-thirds of registered voters, 63%, said they viewed the strength of the U.S. economy negatively, including 36% who called it "poor." Inflation is a major pain point: 74% of respondents said it has moved in the wrong direction over the past year. Most voters, 86%, said the cost of housing has gone in the wrong direction over the past year.

Persons: Joe Biden, Joe Biden's, Donald Trump, Biden, —, Trump, Democratic pollster Michael Bocian, Tony Fabrizio, Bocian, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley Organizations: Labor, State Labor, Metal Workers, Local, Wall Street, Democratic, Voters, Biden, Trump, Republican, Florida Gov, GOP, United Nations Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, Ukraine, China, Philadelphia, Park, Scranton , Pennsylvania

☆ Even Trump’s indictments haven’t shattered the deadlock between the parties. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

The poll found voters divided exactly in half over whether they intended to vote for Democrats or Republicans in the next Congressional election. While surveys now usually show Biden leading Trump, the president’s margin rarely exceeds his four-point margin of victory from 2020. Instead, the pandemic quickly evolved into just another front in the preexisting culture war lines of division between the parties. Yet Biden, as noted above, still maintained his 2020 lead over Trump in these seats of four percentage points. Surveys have found widespread concern among voters that Biden is too old to effectively handle the presidency.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden, ”, Lynn Vavreck, Franklin Roosevelt, Tony Fabrizio, John Anzalone, Biden, Fabrizio, Bill McInturff, “, ” McInturff, McInturff, Vavreck, John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch, ” Vavreck, Stormy Daniels, Anzalone, ” Anzalone, it’s Trump, Simon Rosenberg, ” Rosenberg, Rosenberg Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, UCLA, Electoral College, GOP, Senate, Trump, Biden, AARP, Republicans, NBC, Bright Line, NPR, PBS, Marist, White, Whites, Democrats, Wisconsin – Locations: Anzalone, Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Trump

☆ Jason Miller returns as Trump advisor for campaign struggling to generate much excitement compared to 2016
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( Joshua Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Jason Miller will advise Donald Trump on the strategy of his 2024 presidential bid. He previously left the Trump campaign to become CEO of the right-wing social media platform Gettr. Miller is joining a team that is struggling to generate the same excitement as past campaigns. "It was always a matter of when and not if I returned to help re-elect President Trump in 2024," Miller said in a statement, per Politico. Former Trump White House press aide Sarah Matthews described the campaign launch in a tweet as "low-energy" and "uninspiring."

☆ How Trump’s legacy became ‘pure poison’ for independents
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

Among female independents, Trump’s ratings were even worse: just 23% favorable and 72% unfavorable, according to previously unpublished exit poll results provided by the CNN polling unit. Trump’s unfavorable rating hit a comparable 69% among independents with at least a four-year college degree. That was a significantly smaller advantage than the double-digit lead among independents Democrats enjoyed in both the 2020 presidential race and the 2018 contest for the House. While Democrats held the presidency, Republicans won independents by double-digits in House elections in the midterms of 2014, 2010 and 1994. Gretchen Whitmer won 59% of the independents with degrees and 56% of women independents.

☆ 50-plus voters were the deciders.' How seniors influenced key congressional districts in the midterm elections
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-22 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Amalia Conner registers to vote so she can cast her ballot in midterm elections at the Bay Ridge Civic Association in Annapolis, November 8, 2022. An expected "red wave" of votes for Republican candidates did not come to fruition in the November midterm elections. The survey was conducted in November immediately after the election by bipartisan polling team Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research. Inflation and rising prices topped the list of overall voter concerns, with 33%, followed by abortion, 28%, and threats to democracy, 25%. Democratic candidates ranked high with voters who are concerned most with abortion and threats to democracy.

☆ Gov. Ron DeSantis cruises to re-election, solidifying GOP hold on Florida politics
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-09 | by ( Marc Caputo | Marc Caputo Is A Senior National Political Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +11 min

Ron DeSantis speaks during the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit in Tampa, Fla. on July 22, 2022. One survey in the nation’s first primary state, New Hampshire, showed the two statistically tied in a primary, but another survey show Trump with a lead. Some Florida polls have also shown DeSantis leading Trump in a one-on-one primary. The poll also showed DeSantis might win a majority of Hispanic voters in Florida, which no Republican governor has done in 20 years. “In that event, Ron has a different set of issues he has to contend with if he wants to run against Trump.”

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