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☆ Dollar reigns as Europe's central banks spring some surprises
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"It punctures the balloon on terminal rates and also creates more second guessing on the quality of the (economic) landings". With a crucial Bank of Japan meeting still to come this week, Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to its highest in a decade. Ben Luk, senior multi-asset strategist at State Street Global Markets said the overall tone of the Fed's meeting on Wednesday, while not overly hawkish, included two surprises. The median forecast for the federal funds rate is 5.1% by year-end, up from 4.6% estimated in June. Additional reporting by Xie Yu in Hong Kong Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Tomasz JanowskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: BoE, Bond, John Hardy, Hardy, Goldman Sachs, Tom Hopkins, Ben Luk, Wall, Brent, clawing, Gold, Xie Yu, Shri Navaratnam, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Sterling, Swiss, U.S . Federal Reserve, Dealers, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Saxo Bank, BRI Wealth Management, Treasury, Reuters Graphics, Apple, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, of Japan, State Street Global Markets, Thomson Locations: Europe, Britain, Sweden, Norway, Turkey, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Hong Kong

☆ Dollar marches to over two-month peak ahead of Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, rose 0.173% to 104.25, the highest since June 7. The index is up more than 2% in August and is set to snap its two-month losing streak. Wong said Powell is likely to stress that policy outcome remains highly dependent on economic data. "He does not need to be dovish but a less hawkish speech could see dollar ease off." The Australian dollar eased 0.20% to $0.641, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.27% to $0.590.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Powell, Christopher Wong, Wong, Patrick Harker, Susan Collins, Tom Hopkins, I'd, Ankur Banerjee, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Federal, Jackson, Federal Reserve, Philadelphia Fed, Boston Fed, BRI Wealth Management, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: U.S, Singapore, Japan's Tokyo, Tokyo

☆ Dollar loiters at two-month peak ahead of Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar sat at an over two-month peak on Friday, on course for its sixth straight week of gains as markets await a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to gauge the path of monetary policy. Investors will parse through Powell's address on monetary policy at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium at 10:05 a.m. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, rose 0.019% to 104.11, the highest since June 7. "He does not need to be dovish but a less hawkish speech could see dollar ease off." The Australian dollar eased 0.05% to $0.642, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.02% to $0.592.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Christopher Wong, Wong, Patrick Harker, Susan Collins —, Tom Hopkins, I'd Organizations: U.S, Federal, Jackson, Federal Reserve, Fed, Boston Fed, BRI Wealth Management, New Zealand Locations: U.S, Singapore

☆ VIEW Bank of England raises rates for a 14th time
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The BoE raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.25% and said high inflation meant it was unlikely to stop raising rates any time soon. However, with Thursday's decision, traders began to price in a lower peak in UK rates. MONEY MARKETS: Interest-rate derivatives showed traders believe UK rates will peak around 5.67% by March, compared with an expected peak of 5.73% in the run-up to the decision. Rising interest rates means higher borrowing costs, which will lead to larger monthly mortgage payments for many homeowners." The Bank of England remains committed to bringing inflation down, unfortunately raising interest rates is one of the only tools the Bank can use to sap demand out of the economy."

Persons: BoE, Sterling, VIVEK PAUL, we’ll, STUART COLE, JEREMY BATSTONE, CARR, RAYMOND JAMES, MARCUS BROOKES, ” SEEMA SHAH, Rishi Sunak, GILES COGHLAN, THOMAS PUGH, JOHN LEIPER, Amanda Cooper, Samuel Indyk Organizations: Bank of England, FTSE, BLACKROCK, LONDON, TOM HOPKINS, Bank of, RSM, Bank, EMEA, Thomson Locations: LONDON, EUROPEAN, U.S

☆ Instant View: US April CPI rise gives Fed little room for pivot soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% last month after gaining 0.1% in March, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through April, the CPI increased 4.9% after advancing 5.0% on a year-on-year basis in March. Ahead of this reading Fed President John Williams warned that they were not done raising rates. I think the Fed will raise rates again in June and then pause. "There will be another CPI report before the Fed meets, and expectations are you will start to see the effect of rents easing."

☆ US April CPI rise gives Fed little room for pivot soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% last month after gaining 0.1% in March, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through April, the CPI increased 4.9% after advancing 5.0% on a year-on-year basis in March. Ahead of this reading Fed President John Williams warned that they were not done raising rates. "There will be another CPI report before the Fed meets, and expectations are you will start to see the effect of rents easing." The other thing is shelter, a huge component of CPI and it came in a little bit weaker."

☆ UK inflation is just not going down as cost of living crisis offers 'no respite'
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON — U.K. inflation remained stubbornly in double digits in March, driven largely by soaring food prices, while the country's cost-of-living crisis shows little sign of abating. The British government still provides residential energy subsidies, guaranteeing a cap on average household energy bills of £2,500 per year until the end of June, along with targeted support to certain vulnerable homes. Consulting, said that the Wednesday figures showed "there is currently no respite from cost of living pressures." "Consumers are doing their best to make savings on essentials in order to maintain discretionary spending — this fragile equilibrium is underwritten by the ongoing energy subsidies without which a tipping point might be reached," he said. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices, rose by 6.2% over the 12 months, unchanged from the annual climb of February.

☆ UK economy rebounds with stronger-than-expected January GDP print
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON — The U.K. economy grew by 0.3% in January, official figures showed on Friday, exceeding expectations as it continues to fend off what economists see as an inevitable recession. The U.K. economy showed no growth in the final quarter of 2022 to narrowly avoid a recession — commonly defined as two quarters of negative growth — but shrunk by 0.5% in December. The ONS said Friday that monthly GDP is now estimated to be 0.2% below its pre-pandemic levels. Despite the better-than-expected January print, economists still broadly believe activity is on a downward trajectory, as high inflation eats into household incomes and business activity. While extending energy support will provide some relief to struggling households, aggressive tax rises would risk eliminating any lingering momentum from the economy," Thiru said.

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