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With Iranian ballistic missiles, Russia has a flexibility that could be a big problem for Ukraine. AdvertisementThe delivery of cheaper Iranian missiles creates new options. New missilesTwo European defense officials told Reuters in August that they expected Iran to deliver hundreds of Fath-360 short-range ballistic missiles to Russia, as well as some Ababil close-range ballistic missiles. He said that "while these Iranian missiles may not introduce a new capability to Russia's war effort, they will offer increased flexibility and, most importantly, additional quantity." Hinz also wrote in his analysis that Russia's missile purchase highlights its "continued inability to produce adequate quantities of comparable domestic systems."
Persons: Timothy Wright, Fath, Pat Ryder, Wright, Fabian Hofffman, Ryder, Hoffman, Fabian Hinz, Hinz, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, VLADIMIR SMIRNOV, Iran's, Donald Trump Organizations: Iranian, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Reuters, Pentagon, Pentagon Press, Air Force, Oslo Nuclear, North, Getty, Trump Locations: Iran, Russia, Ukraine, Fath, Oslo, Iranian, Russian, North Korea, Iran's Fath
Reuters —Russia appears to have suffered a “catastrophic failure” in a test of its Sarmat missile, a key weapon in the modernization of its nuclear arsenal, according to arms experts who have analyzed satellite images of the launch site. It’s a big hole in the ground,” said Pavel Podvig, an analyst based in Geneva, who runs the Russian Nuclear Forces project. A September 21 satellite image shows a closer view of the launch site after the apparent launch failure. Maxar TechnologiesIISS analyst Wright said a test failure did not necessarily mean that the Sarmat program was in jeopardy. “However, this is the fourth successive test failure of Sarmat which at the very least will push back its already delayed introduction into service even further and at most might raise questions about the program’s viability,” he said.
Persons: Maxar, , Pavel Podvig, Timothy Wright, James Acton, Vladimir Putin, Satan, Putin, Sergei Shoigu, Wright, Moscow –, Nikolai Sokov Organizations: Reuters, Plesetsk, Russian Nuclear Forces, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Technologies, SS, Design, Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology Locations: Russia, United States, Europe, Geneva, London, Ukraine, Moscow, Plesetsk, Arkhangelsk, Russian, Soviet
Experts told Business Insider the Ukraine war has underscored how some elements of modern air combat are radically changing. And in fights like Desert Storm and the Iraq War, the West established air superiority by taking out its opponent's air defenses. The Russian air force can't meet Western air forces air to air in a major attack without being "shot to pieces," Bronk said. "Nobody really wants an air war with Russia," said John Baum, a Mitchell Institute expert and retired US Air Force lieutenant colonel. "It is not a highly desirable thing, I think, from either side, to want to have this air war."
Persons: It's, Justin Bronk, hasn't, DIMITAR DILKOFF, Bronk, Andrew Curtis, Mark Cancian, Guy Snodgrass, Hoshang, Giorgio Di Mizio, David Allvin, it's, James Hecker, NATO hadn't, " Hecker, that's, Maxim Shemetov, Fabian Hinz, Riivo Valge, Mattias Eken, They're, Paula Bronstein, Anthony Sweeney, US Army Cancian, REUTERS Lockheed Martin, Timothy Wright, disaggregation, Schmuelgen Jarmo Lindberg, Evelyn Hockstein Valge, John Baum Organizations: Kyiv, NATO, Business, Royal United Services Institute, Western, Getty, US Air Force, Storm, Marine, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Russian Defense Ministry Press, AP Russia, AP, Hudson Institute nonresident, International Institute for Strategic Studies, REUTERS, RAND Corp, Patriots, US Army, West, Patriot, Ukraine, REUTERS Lockheed, Finnish Defense Forces, Eurofighter Typhoons, Mitchell Institute Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, AFP, Iraq, Europe, West, Afghanistan, Baltic, Western Europe, Estonian, Finnish, Finland, Washington
Read previewRussia's invasion of Ukraine has resulted in a surge in demand, orders, and manufacturing of Western weaponry, including decades-old equipment and even gear that had gone out of production. The result is more orders and manufacturing, even of Western equipment where production had stopped. Its maker, Lockheed Martin, is increasing production as well as its production of the antitank missile system. Russia has also ramped up its wartime production, which could aid it in the future and not just against Ukraine. One solution would have been countries ramping up their orders and production earlier in the war, Di Mizio said.
Persons: , it's, Jan Kallberg, hasn't, Lockheed Martin, Diehl, Timothy Wright, Mark Cancian, Vladimir Putin, Mikhail Klimentyev, Mattias Eken, Cancian, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Giorgio Di Mizio, Kallberg, Di Mizio Organizations: Service, Business, Manufacturing, Center for, Army Cyber Institute, US Army, Air Missile System, High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, Getty, IRIS, Patriot, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Financial Times, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Russia Western, Military, Sputnik, REUTERS, Ukraine, Russia, RAND Corporation, Anadolu Agency Locations: Ukraine, Russia, West, Norway, Europe, Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast, France, Kremlin, REUTERS Russia
Ukraine's use of the US-made Patriot system has been celebrated. A mixed pastThe MIM-104 Patriot missile system is a ground-based, mobile surface-to-air missile battery that can down crewed and uncrewed aircraft, cruise missiles, and short-range and tactical ballistic missiles. AdvertisementNone of Ukraine's Patriot missile systems have been confirmed destroyed, though there have been Russian claims, but the system has been involved in confirmed kills of Russian aircraft and missiles. "We were again, very much surprised by what we see now, what the effectiveness of the Patriot system seems to be," he said. The problem with Patriot missiles for Ukraine mirrors its main obstacle in trying to fight Russia: A critical shortage of supplies and ammunition.
Persons: , Frederik Mertens, Justin Bronk, Mertens, Joe Raedle, Bronk, Timothy Wright, Nathan White, Mick Ryan, Gilles BASSIGNAC, Houthi, Wright, Jeffrey Lewis, Tom Karako, ANDREW CABALLERO, REYNOLDS, Ryan, Karako, it's, BI's Jake Epstein, Rajan Menon, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Ukraine Bronk, Jan Kallberg, Ukraine Oleksandr Gusev Organizations: Service, Patriots, Patriot, U.S . Army Security, Hague, Strategic Studies, Royal United Services Institute, Iraq's, US Army, Raytheon, Iraqi, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Australian Army, Getty Images, Middlebury Institute of International Studies, Missile Defense, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Airforce, Getty, Defense, NATO, Emergency Service, Centre for, Kyiv, Pentagon Locations: Ukraine, Russia, United States, Iraq, Iraqi, Saudi Arabia, Getty Images Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Monterey, Prince, Al, Kyiv, Russian, UAE
Russia appears to have put decoy flares on its cruise missiles, a world first. AdvertisementRussia appears to be putting decoy flares on its cruise missiles to reduce how often Ukraine successfully shoots them down. A video at the end of December appeared to show a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile using decoy flares during an attack. Ballistic missiles, which are typically faster than cruise missiles and can have larger warheads, have used such flares in the past. Russia is trying to stop losing missilesRussia has been firing vast numbers of cruise missiles across Ukraine during its invasion.
Persons: , Timothy Wright, Fabian Hoffmann, Hoffmann, It's, JUAN BARRETO, Wright, they'll, William Alberque, Alberque Organizations: Service, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Norway's University of Oslo, Russia, Getty Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Ukrainian, Bakhmut, Donetsk
AdvertisementRussia has changed its longstanding missile strategy to one that could have worse effects for Ukraine's effort on the battlefield, experts say. During its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia has used its guided missiles to knock out the heating and electrical systems Ukrainians need to get through the winter. A local resident takes a photo of a missile crater and debris of a private house ruined in the Russian missile attack in Kyiv, Ukraine, in December 2023. Related storiesThat involves targeting Ukraine's equipment, either at the manufacturing plants or while it is en route the front line. But Russia is increasing its missile production, and Ukraine says it desperately needs more air defense systems, as Russia tries to wear them down.
Persons: , I'm, Fabian Hoffmann, Hoffmann, it's, Ukraine Vitalii, Timothy Wright, Russia's Organizations: Service, AP, University of Oslo, Ukrainian Armed Forces, Getty, International Institute for Strategic Studies Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian, Kyiv, Norway, Poland
Moscow will have to weigh how to best protect its vulnerable targets without limiting their usage. "If these helicopters are now pulled out of ATACMS range entirely, this will significantly limit the amount of time they can be deployed in front line action," he said. Alternatively, as it has done in other situations, Moscow may push vulnerable assets to locations beyond the range of Ukraine's ATACMS. In any capacity, advocates have asserted that the deadly missiles can help Ukraine put even more pressure on Russia's valuable targets in the rear. Ukraine is going to one-by-one take out all the high-value Russian targets in occupied Ukraine."
Persons: Ukraine's, , It's, Mykola Bielieskov, Bielieskov, Gwadera, Timothy Wright, Wright, Dan Rice Organizations: Service, MGM, Tactical Missile Systems, Russia, Ukraine's National Institute for Strategic Studies, Atlantic Council, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Army Tactical Missile, South Korea Defense Ministry, AP, Artillery Rocket Systems, Fleet, American University Kyiv Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Washington, Russian, British, South Korea, Europe
The assessment of China's military said China's fleet of six Jin-class ballistic missile submarines were operating "near-continuous" patrols from Hainan Island into the South China Sea. Equipped with a new, longer-range ballistic missile, they can hit the continental United States, analysts say. Communications are crucial and complex for ballistic missile subs, which must remain hidden as part of their mission. The Chinese military has emphasised that the Central Military Commission, headed by President Xi Jinping, is the only nuclear command authority. Russia is thought to keep most of its 11 ballistic missile submarines largely in bastions off its Arctic coasts, while U.S., French and British boats roam more widely, three analysts said.
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