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With the Federal Reserve now cutting interest rates, investors are looking for stocks that can be super-charged by lower borrowing costs. Small and medium-sized companies tend to be the most closely affected by the direction of the economy and rates. Outflows were seen solely in large caps; small and mid-caps saw inflows." If money does keep flowing into small caps, will it come at the expense of large caps? .SPX mountain 2022-10-01 S & P 500 since Oct. 1, 2022 That said, if the move into the smaller caps stocks continues, we may start to see more competition for capital.
Persons: Russell, that's, it's, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang, Morgan Stanley's, We're, Canaccord Genuity, pare, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Federal Reserve, BMO Capital Markets, Bank of America, Nvidia, CNBC, Blackwell, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Devices, Broadcom, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Microsoft, Presidential, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S
Bank of America likes these stocks with secure dividends
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Savita Subramanian, equity and quantitative strategist, on Tuesday released a screen for the second quintile of the Russell 1000 by trailing dividend yield. "We advise investors to seek out companies with above-market and secure (not stretched) dividend yields." CNBC Pro then sorted for the names with the highest dividend yields: Zions had the highest dividend yield of the stocks on the screen at 3.47%. The bank stock has climbed around 15% this year, putting it on track to snap a two-year losing streak. Citigroup was further down the list, registering a 3.39% dividend yield.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Russell, Subramanian, Zions, LSEG, Jefferies, Julien Dumoulin, Smith Organizations: of America, Bank, CNBC Pro, AES, ZION AES, Citigroup
Small-cap stocks are showing signs of life
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Small-cap stocks are starting to show signs of life lately. While the IWM has delivered 12% this year, that is far below the S & P 500 gain of almost 23%. IWM YTD mountain IWM Many investors are uncertain how long the latest trend can continue. The Russell 2000 ETF is higher by 1.6% in October against 1.2% for the S & P 500, but over the past three months, the S & P 500 has outperformed, 3.6% to 3.3%. "We think Fed rate cuts have a strong ability to create a favorable backdrop for small-cap stocks," Michael Graham, analyst at Canaccord Genuity, wrote Tuesday.
Persons: Russell, What's, Brian Belski, Michael Graham, Genuity, Graham Organizations: Federal Reserve, BMO Capital Markets
Small stocks historically see big upward moves near presidential elections, Cantor Fitzgerald says. AdvertisementSmall-cap stocks are set for a catch-up amid a confluence of perfectly aligned factors ahead of the presidential election, Cantor Fitzgerald says. Johnston also forecasts increasingly higher odds of a Trump win, which would benefit small stocks even more. Those factors would increase investors' confidence and encourage more rotation into riskier, underperforming small stocks. AdvertisementJohnston's comments come as others have warned of uncertainty looming over markets ahead of the upcoming presidential election.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, , Russell, Donald Trump, Stocks, Eric Johnston, Johnston, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Democratic Locations: The Russell, RealClearPolitics, China
Frustrated small cap investors are turning to companies with profits as the bull market in big cap stocks starts its third year. Not so with the small-cap Russell 2000 : it didn't bottom until October 2023, and is only 35% off the low, still 9% shy of its historic high in November 2021. Including 2024, the S & P 500 has outperformed the small-cap Russell 2000 in 12 of the past 15 years. A similar fund that also tracks the S & P SmallCap 600 Index is the iShares Core S & P Small-Cap ETF (IJR). Other small cap funds with a profitability tilt have also seen strong inflows recently, including the Dimensional U.S. Small Cap ETF (DFAS) and the Avantis Small Cap Value ETF (AVUV).
Persons: Russell, hasn't, it's, SPSM, Rob Harvey, Ben Slavin, BNY Mellon Organizations: Russell, Health Technology, Technology Services, Technology, Street Global Advisors, U.S, Value, Dimensional Funds, BNY
The S&P 500 rose 0.9% to 5,751.07, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.22% to 18,137.85. Stocks rallied after data showed nonfarm payrolls grew by 254,000 jobs in September, far outpacing the forecasted gain of 150,000 from economists polled by Dow Jones. Financials were the top sector in the S&P 500 during the session, surging 1.6% and closing at a record. The S&P 500 finished up 0.22% on the week, while the Dow inched higher by 0.09%. Energy stocks have jumped this week as oil rallied, with the S&P 500 sector up 7%.
Persons: Stocks, payrolls, Dow Jones, , Michelle Cluver, Tesla, Financials, Wells Fargo, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Netflix, JPMorgan Chase, Dow, Israel . Energy Locations: U.S, East, Iran, Israel
Banerji: Buckle up for today's jobs report.
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBanerji: Buckle up for today's jobs report. Gunjan Banerji, Lead Writer for Markets Live at The Wall Street Journal, notes that the market is steady but expects volatility from the upcoming jobs report, with traders anticipating a 1% move in the S&P 500 and 1.9% in the Russell 2000.
Persons: Buckle, Gunjan, Russell Organizations: Wall Street
India's recent stock market surge has investors viewing the country as an emerging market poised for long-term outperformance. The India NSE Nifty 50 Index , the country's domestic stock market benchmark, has soared 18.7% this year, hitting record levels. "The data show that, historically, the Indian market has offered robust returns with reduced volatility." Going back to 2015, INDA has seen bigger annual gains and smaller declines than the broader emerging market fund. How to play the Indian market Financials are among investors' favorite spots in India's booming stock market.
Persons: It's, Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, GlobalX, Russell, , EEM, INDA, Amr Abdel Khalek, Khalek, Jerome Powell, Venugopal Garre, Krishna Mohanraj, You've, Mohanraj Organizations: India NSE, Global, CNBC, U.S, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, China, MRB Partners, Traders, Barclays, Diamond Hill Capital Management, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, ICICI, HDFC, Whitehaven Coal, Prestige Estates Locations: India, China, Dorson, U.S, Whitehaven
Although it is very volatile and exhibits wild swings, in the 1-year daily chart shown below, it becomes evident how confined its movement is within a well-defined trading range. Whenever it breaches one of these levels, it quickly stabilizes in a new trading range. Based on this analysis, I am considering a bearish set-up while keeping the top of its current trading range in mind. The trade Given the bearish outlook, I'm using a call credit spread as my trade structure. If the index stays below $2,260 by the expiration date, the trade will yield an ROI of 42% on the capital risked.
Persons: Russell, Nishant Pant Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Favorable valuations Small-cap stocks are one area Dietze is watching closely, given that they are trading at a "discount." Interest in small-cap stocks picked up in July and while the outlook has been mixed, he likes that "valuations are favorable" right now. Emerging markets Another popular segment Dietze is focusing on is emerging markets, thanks to the potential from their rapidly growing population numbers. Countries classified as emerging markets include China, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Brazil. Year-to-date, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up 0.56%.
Persons: Dow Jones, David Dietze, CNBC's, Dietze's, Russell, Jerome, Dietze, Hershey, , Jesse Pound Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, mull, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC, Myers Squibb, BHP Group Locations: U.S ., U.S, China, India, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Bristol
In fact, the S & P 500 is on pace for a winning September — its first since 2019 — with a gain of more than 1%. The month is typically the worst stretch of the year on average for all three major averages and the Russell 2000, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Some of September's strength could be attributed to the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut last week . The S & P 500 notched a fresh record close on Monday and an intraday all-time high on Tuesday. The benchmark S & P 500 typically pulls back nearly 1% on average in October in election years, per the Stock Trader's Almanac.
Persons: , Russell, Gary Pzegeo Organizations: Federal, CIBC Private Wealth Management
Goldman SachsWage growth is down from 6% in August 2022 to 3.9%, according to Goldman Sachs. Still, Goldman Sachs thinks the US unemployment rate will drift down to 4% in 2025, which would be a healthy figure. An influx of immigrants may have affected this trend, Goldman Sachs economists say. Goldman SachsLabor costs rose 7% in 2023 for S&P 500 companies and 5% for firms in the Russell 2000, Goldman found. Goldman Sachs shared a sector-neutral list of 50 stocks in the S&P 500 that have high labor costs, which should disproportionately benefit as wage inflation slows as raises become rarer.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Russell, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Goldman, Chief US, Goldman Sachs Labor, Companies Locations: Goldman Sachs
Stocks with smaller market capitalizations are set to reap the benefits from the start of the Federal Reserve's latest rate-cutting campaign. Sarepta's total debt is more than one-and-a-half times bigger than its total equity. Civitas' total debt recently stood at about 79% of total equity. Chart's total debt currently eclipses its total equity by 1.4 times. "GTLS's core portfolio is comprised of natural gas, energy transition and renewables applications, where our outlook remains constructive," wrote analyst Devin McDermott.
Persons: Russell, Gavin Clark, Gartner, Clark, Zach Parham, Parham, Morgan Stanley, Devin McDermott Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, CNBC, Sarepta Therapeutics, ISI, Civitas Resources, Wednesday, JPMorgan, Civitas, Industries Locations: U.S, Cambridge, Sarepta, Friday's
"That's what gets them to a market cap big enough to be of interest. The resulting portfolio is effectively a small cap value fund with upside. Illiquid deletions "Deletions tend to be thinly traded, small cap, illiquid. To be sure, the strategy doesn't work for every stock that falls out of a large cap index. That's roughly the picture we have for deletions," Arnott said.
Persons: Rob Arnott, Stocks, they've, Arnott, Russell, NIXT Organizations: Airlines, Rad Laboratories, Research, American Airlines, Architects
Today is triple witching expiration , the quarterly expiration of single stock and index options, and index futures. It's occurring at an unusual moment: the S & P 500 is at an historic high. Week after triple witch: poor Unfortunately, the week after the September triple witch is historically among the weakest of the year. S & P 500 rebalancing today The S & P 500 will see three new entrants at the close today, each of which will begin trading as part of the S & P on Monday: Dell Technologies , Erie Indemnity and Palantir Technologies . Finally, while the S & P 500 is at a new high, the Russell 2000 smallcap index is not far behind.
Persons: Chris Murphy, Jeff Hirsch, Dow Industrials, Hirsch, Dell, Russell Organizations: Stock, Nasdaq, Dell Technologies, Erie, Palantir Technologies, Etsy, Rad Laboratories, American Airlines Group Locations: Susquehanna
Small-cap stocks are poised for a significant rally, Goldman Sachs' Greg Tuorto said. The portfolio manager pointed to lower interest rates and a promising economic backdrop for small-caps. The presidential election could also be a positive catalyst, leading to a catch-up rally, he said. That's according to Greg Tuorto, a portfolio manager at Goldman Sachs Asset Management who says he sees a big "catch-up" rally coming for small-cap stocks. AdvertisementThe Russell 2000 surged 2% after the Fed cut interest rates on Wednesday, with the small-cap index up 12% year-to-date.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Greg Tuorto, , Tuorto, it's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs, Management, CNBC, Atlanta Fed
This trade was the biggest post-Fed winner
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
It looks like small caps were the winning trade following the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut on Wednesday . With that, the fund has climbed 3.1% this week and 10.2% in the third quarter alone, double the return of the S & P 500 in each period. Large-cap stocks easily outperformed small caps in five of eight instances when the Fed was lowering rates, small caps outperformed twice and in one case, 1995, there was virtually no difference. Regime Indicator to 'Downturn' all support our preference for large vs small [stocks]," the analysts wrote. In Thursday's session, the S & P jumped 1.7% to a fresh all-time high, topping the 5,700 mark for the first time.
Persons: Russell, Clinton Organizations: Fed, Strategas Securities, Federal, Bank of America, U.S
With that seasonal volatility in mind, Evercore ISI screened for stocks that may continue to outperform in the current climate. The investment bank combed through the Russell 3000 for stocks that are in the top quintiles for momentum, sentiment and buybacks. One company that made the Evercore ISI screen was mobile tech company AppLovin . Evercore ISI also highlighted Sprouts Farmers Market as a potential outperformer. Evercore ISI upgraded Sprouts to outperform from in line this week.
Persons: Russell, LSEG, BTIG, Benjamin Budish, Robinhood, Michael Montani Organizations: Stock, Federal, UBS, FactSet, Financial, LSEG, Barclays, ISI
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Traders and investors are debating if the Federal Reserve will cut 25 basis points or 50 basis points when the decision comes at 2pm eastern time. "25 or 50 (basis points), we see a credible case for either. "The Fed is likely to adjust policy by 200 to 250 basis points over the coming year. Garewal also said this rate cut was part of a "normalization" cycle and shared research that yields on the 2-year fall 65 basis points on average after a first Fed cut.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mark Smith, Wells, stagflation, Smith, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Russell, Johnson, Goldman Sachs, Garewal, Piper Sandler's Johnson, Huntington, Kevin Murphy Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Traders, Federal Reserve, Advisors, Worldwide Exchange, Blackstone, Mastercard, Visa, Ameris Bancorp, Fed, Ferguson Enterprises
Business: International Money Express is an omnichannel money remittance services company. IMXI offers money transfer services digitally through a network of agent retailers in the United States, Canada, Spain, Italy and Germany. It offers money remittance services to Latin America and the Caribbean countries, mainly Mexico and Guatemala. International Money Express is a money remittance services provider which enables consumers to send money from the United States, Canada, Spain, Italy and Germany to Mexico, Guatemala and other countries in Latin America, Africa and Asia. If the IMXI does not execute on a strategic plan, Voss will likely consider director nominations.
Persons: IMXI, Voss, Madison, Benefytt, Russell, Michael Purcell, Ken Squire Organizations: Express, Caribbean, La Nacional, Capital Management, MoneyGram, Benefytt Technologies, Madison Dearborn Partners, 13D Locations: United States, Canada, Spain, Italy, Germany, Puerto Rico, America, Caribbean, Mexico, Guatemala, Latin America, Africa, Asia, Dominican Republic, United Kingdom, Voss, Madison Dearborn, Western Union, Benefytt
Now, a copy of that letter, also signed by Einstein, has sold at a Christie's auction for $3.9 million. Though Einstein didn't write the letter, his worldwide esteem meant his signature added significance and credibility to the letter. Einstein's influence on the Manhattan ProjectEinstein's letter to Roosevelt sold for nearly $3.9 million at auction. Related storiesFor Szilard and Einstein, the possibility of the Germans creating a nuclear weapon was reason enough to write President Roosevelt. AdvertisementOnce Germany surrendered, however, Szilard and Einstein no longer felt the use of nuclear weapons was justified.
Persons: , Albert Einstein, Franklin Roosevelt, Einstein, Roosevelt, Franklin, Peter Klarnet, Christie's, Einstein didn't, Paul Allen, Allen, Malcolm Forbes, Leo Szilard's, Szilard, Adolf Hitler's, Bertrand Russell, Russell Organizations: Service, Business, Manhattan Project, Microsoft, Guardian, Manhattan, US Army Intelligence, Einstein Locations: New York, Christie's, Germany, Hungarian, Europe, Hiroshima, Nagasaki, Japan
Then on July 11, things really got started as June CPI came in below expectations and the outlook for the first Fed rate cut became significantly more likely. Let's drill down into the sectors that makeup the Russell 2000 to see who's leading and lagging since that July 5th turning point. Let's find out who is actually profitable and could maintain the rally after the initial shine of a fresh rate cut wears off. Where to look in small caps A big component of the Russell 2000 based on market capitalization representation is health care at 18.7%. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone after the first rate cut I will be shopping for quality names.
Persons: Russell, Piper Sandler, Hamilton Lane, Jefferies, JEF, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ARES Organizations: Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC PRO, Ares Management, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: financials
The tides are changing on Wall Street thanks to a closely watched market-moving figure: Jerome Powell. The Federal Reserve chair on Friday pointed to rate cuts on the horizon during his keynote address at the central bank's annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks." The Nasdaq Composite outperformed the major indexes, rallying about 1% due to gains in popular artificial intelligence and semiconductor names. "This keeps a tailwind at the market's back into year-end, making it harder to expect a retest of this month's lows," said David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Chris Rupkey, Russell, Powell, David Russell Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Covid
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on July 26, 2024. Stocks have endured a brutal stretch, with the Nasdaq now flirting with correction territory since reaching an all-time high on July 10. Even so, a long-awaited rotation out of tech and into small caps — a trend that kicked off a few weeks ago — could still have legs. While all indexes have taken a beating in recent trading sessions, the Russell 2000 had shown signs of life before the so-called carry trade and worries about the U.S. economy disrupted its best run in years. What that means for youTwo things need to happen for small caps to regain momentum.
Persons: Stocks, Russell, Harris, Kamala Harris Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Finance, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Read previewAfter over two years of underperformance, it seems like small-cap stocks are finally poised to take off. Because there is such a wide variety of small-cap companies, Tuorto believes investors have to do some digging to identify the best opportunities. Some of the best opportunities are way, way down in cap. Healthy small-cap companies have a clear path to profitability and reinvest cash back into their business to drive growth, he said. Tuorto's top small-cap picksBelow are Tuorto's top six picks for high-quality small-cap companies with strong fundamentals and market caps under $10 billion.
Persons: , Russell, Greg Tuorto, Tuorto, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Business, Big Tech, Nvidia, Core Equity ETF
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