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☆ How to buy a little insurance if the 2024 market boom loses some steam into year-end
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 has now seen seven consecutive weeks of inflows, keeping the post-election momentum intact. I want to use the S & P 500 SPDR Trust ETF (SPY) to hedge these gains and bet against the consensus of markets finishing the year on a high note. SPY YTD mountain SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust, YTD Investors have rejoiced with expectations for a more business-friendly economy ahead following President Elect Donald Trump's victory in early November. My short-term view of a shallow repricing in the S & P 500 might come to fruition now that we have Nvidia's earnings in the rearview mirror. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Long Organizations: Bank of America, SPDR, Trust, YTD Investors, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ This one-time Covid darling is undergoing a bearish-to-bullish reversal, according to Carter Worth
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Zoom Video Communications (ZM) , a Covid darling and post-Covid dog, is judged to be an excellent opportunity on the long side going into earnings next week. THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Video Communications, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Troubling signs under the hood: Charts point to possible market selloff around corner
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

While the S & P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have both pushed to new all-time highs in November, market breadth indicators have mostly not confirmed those recent highs. Market breadth indicators like these are equal-weighted, meaning they simply count the number of stocks fulfilling a certain requirement. The change in that indicator over the last six weeks tells us that about 20% of the S & P 500 members have registered a sell signal on their point & figure charts! This chart shows the percent of stocks above their 200-day moving average, as well as the percent of stocks above their 50-day moving average as we quoted above. The S & P 500 continues to make higher lows, but a push below 5,850 would break that pattern which has been in place since August.

Persons: David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A bearish options trade on Apple as stock struggles to keep up with broader market
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Back in late September, I laid out a bearish thesis on Apple and the trade expired last Friday and resulted in a 100% gain. Apple (AAPL) continues to face significant headwinds, with disappointing iPhone 16 sales, growing competition in augmented reality, and underwhelming progress in artificial intelligence (AI). China's slowing economy has weighed heavily on Apple, exacerbating challenges in one of its largest markets. While Apple boasts industry-leading net margins of 24%, its expected EPS growth of 11.6% and revenue growth of 6.9% provide limited justification for this valuation premium. With iPhone sales growth faltering and the lack of a clear catalyst from AI or AR/VR initiatives, AAPL's premium valuation remains increasingly difficult to sustain.

Persons: AAPL Organizations: Apple, Apple Intelligence, Meta, Microsoft, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: OptionsPlay

☆ This lithium stock is an under-the-radar turnaround story, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

On the day that Nvidia is reporting earnings post-close, there isn't much attention on anything else, especially not chemical companies. There's no use in trying to bottom fish a stock that continues to make new lows… until it actually shows a marked change of character. If the stock can, in fact, see an upside follow through soon, then the measured move target would be up at $138. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but patterns have the tendency to repeat – both over the short-term and long-term. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: it's, ALB Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Albemarle, ALB

☆ How to capitalize on the November dip-buying opportunity in gold
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has shown remarkable strength in 2024, soaring 40% between January and October. For those who missed the rally, November offers a potential opportunity as GLD has pulled back 8% from its all-time highs, creating a dip-buying scenario. DMI (Directional Movement Index): The DMI is composed of three lines: DI+ (green line), DI- (red line), and ADX (blue line). When the DI- (red line) is above the DI+ (green line), it indicates a downtrend. Note that both DI- and DI+ are changing direction, which provides the first indication of a possible trend change.

Persons: GLD, Nishant Pant Organizations: RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: GLD

☆ What the charts say about Nvidia before earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Since early last year Nvidia (NVDA) has become the Super Bowl of earnings and like the actual big game, it comes right at the end of the season. Fundamental outlook The analyst community is looking for Nvidia to report 75 cents in EPS on $33.13 billion in revenue, according to FactSet. Nvidia charts The prior quarter's growth rates are coming down from astronomical levels of multiple hundreds of percentage points. As a result Nvidia sold off on Aug 28 from around the $130 level all the way down to $101.50. Hedge on Nvidia, just in case We're looking at buying a Nov 22nd expiration $140 / $130 put debit spread, currently trading at $2.88.

Persons: Blackwell, NVDA, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Philadelphia Semiconductor, Inside Edge Capital Management, NVDA, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA

☆ There's trouble brewing in the chip sector outside of Nvidia, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: LRCX, Katie Stockton Organizations: Nvidia, ASML Holdings, Lam Research, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: U.S

☆ This Costco competitor looks cheap. How to bet on it using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

It builds on the P/E ratio (price-earnings ratio) by incorporating the expected long term earnings growth rate, providing a more dynamic perspective. Using a two-axis growth of a similar relative scale, we can normalize and compare BJ's revenue growth to Costco's. Costco's growth rate is better than that of its smaller competitors, but is the stock itself a better value? Over the past five years, Costco has experienced a growth rate of 11%, and BJ's is a more modest but still respectable 7%. BJ's PEG ratio is 21/7 = 3.

Persons: BJ, I've, BJ Jan Organizations: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, BJ's, Costco, Walmart, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Marlborough , Massachusetts, East Coast, Midwest

☆ This uranium play is toying with a breakout to a 20-year high, says Carter Worth
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

It's game time for the world's largest publicly traded uranium company, Cameco (CCJ) . Long-term: CCJ 20-Year Monthly Bar Chart "The lines draw themselves." The stock is at a major inflection point, toying not only with the prospect of a breakout near-term, to a new 52-week high (see the 2-year chart), but also toying with the prospect of a breakout to a new 20-year high and all-time high (see the 20-year chart). THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: ., toying, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A bearish healthcare stocks bet using options as lagging sector hit by RFK scrutiny concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

President-elect Donald Trump selected Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Health and Human Services Department, the United States' top health agency. This cabinet appointment has created jitters among various healthcare stocks. I want to find a way to hedge my healthcare exposure and also capitalize on further potential downside in the lagging healthcare sector by using options in Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) . The trade I want to buy a put spread to express my short-term bearish view on healthcare. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, SPDR, Eli Lily, UnitedHealthcare, Johnson Organizations: Health, Human Services Department, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: United States, crosshairs

☆ Chase is driving the future of banking through a digital and tech overhaul
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Sponsored Chase | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Chase, with Chief Product Officer Rohan Amin and CIO Gill Haus at the helm, is focused on advancing technology and modernizing digital experiences. Tech, product, design, data, and digital teams collaborate to serve customer needs, operating as a product-focused organizationInternally called PXT, the organization is the heart and brain driving the future of digital banking at Chase. This prompted rapid deployment of tech solutions for employees supporting digital experiences. This prompted rapid deployment of tech solutions for employees supporting digital experiences. Enhanced customer experience: Improved satisfaction ratings in the Chase Mobile ® app and other digital platforms.

Persons: Chase, Rohan Amin, Gill Haus, Rohan, Gill, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Chase, Chase Mobile, Insider Studios, JPMorgan, Disability, JPMorgan Chase & Locations: United States, Mobile

☆ A smart way to follow value investor David Einhorn into his latest play that generates income to boot
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Value investors believe these companies are undervalued due to temporary issues, market overreactions, or broader economic conditions. The approach is long-term, as value investors wait for the market to recognize the company's actual value, which may take time. On a podcast earlier this year, well-known hedge fund manager David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital lamented that modern-day passive investors pay no attention to "value" of the companies they buy. Outcome Scenarios : If the stock price stays above the strike price, the option expires worthless, allowing the investor to keep the premium as profit. If the stock price falls below the strike price, the option buyer will likely exercise it, obligating the seller to buy the stock at the strike price.

Persons: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, David Einhorn, CNH Organizations: Greenlight, Deere & Co, Agco Corp, Farmers, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Buying opportunity or time to bail? What to do with gold following the postelection selloff
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

First, let's recognize the strength of the uptrend in gold leading into November 2024. While the two trends were both higher in October, a post-election surge in the US Dollar appeared to signal the end of the golden era of gold in 2024. And while the long-term chart of gold remains in decent shape, the short-term reversal in recent weeks has pushed gold stocks down to key price support. Now the GDX is testing its 200-day moving average, which also represents a 50% retracement of the 2024 bull phase. In terms of a longer-term inflection point for gold, it's all about finding signs of accumulation.

Persons: it's, wasn't, we'd, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Gold Miners, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A big-cap tech has been surprisingly lagging the software stock breakout. That may be about to change
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has been getting a lot of attention, and rightly so. Things have recently accelerated in November, and Tuesday, the IGV Software ETF was one of just three ETFs we track to make new all-time highs. Within the IGV Software ETF, it also has the third biggest weighting, but it's behind both CRM and ORCL. More importantly, MSFT has been noticeably lagging the IGV ETF across various time frames. The potential good news is that: 1. the ratio line remains in a long-term uptrend and 2. the last two oversold conditions happened near major relative trading lows.

Persons: IGV, MSFT, it's Organizations: Software Sector, Technology Trust, IGV Software, Microsoft, NASDAQ, Software, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: MSFT

☆ This small-cap ETF is a swing trader's dream. How to trade it following the Trump pop
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is particularly interesting for swing traders, as it tends to trade within predictable ranges over extended periods. Given that IWM is trading at the top of the new trading range, I'm considering a bearish trade on IWM. With $242 as the upper bound of the range, I'll sell a $245 call option, just above the current resistance level. The trade As mentioned earlier, the trade structure I am using here is called a "bear call spread," also known as a "call credit spread". To construct my trade, I need to sell a $245 call option and buy a $250 call option as a single unit.

Persons: Russell, IWM, Nishant Pant Organizations: Trump, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The bullish Meta trade is paying off. How to keep exposure while limiting risk with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

As we approach the expiration of our Meta Platforms (META) trade from early October we have successfully captured 78% of the total maximum gain. On the fundamentals, META stands out as a leader in profitability and growth compared to its industry peers. And with analysts expecting EPS growth of 23% and revenue growth at 16%, META outpaces the industry averages by a significant margin. Additionally, META trades at 23x forward earnings, which is a 15% discount relative to its peers, presenting a substantial upside potential. The breakeven point is $571.77, meaning the trade remains profitable as long as Meta stays above this level.

Persons: AAPL Organizations: Apple, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: OptionsPlay

☆ Small-cap stocks set to roar even higher, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The small cap Russell 2000 index contains domestic companies that should benefit in a protectionist, on-shoring environment as long as inflation and rates stay contained. The monthly chart of the Russell 2000 shows a pending breakout from all-time highs of 2,459. Put in simpler terms the Russell 2000 small cap index has underperformed the large cap S & P 500 index for the past 13 years. The small cap Industrial ETF just broke from a consolidation around $135 and is still in the earlier stages of the expansion. The forward valuation is 28 times 2025 earnings so not egregious for this high growth small cap industrial name.

Persons: Russell, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon, POWL Organizations: Utilities, MGE Energy, Powell Industries, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Katie Stockton says bitcoin could be headed to $98,000 next after some short-term consolidation
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

We recommend letting bitcoin digest its strong gains of late in a short-term consolidation phase before adding exposure. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.

Persons: bitcoin, Katie Stockton Organizations: Trump, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: bitcoin

☆ A consumer turnaround story that could take a while. How to play it with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

There's a struggling auto parts stock where a notable activist is involved that could be ripe for a turnaround... but it may take some time. Although Advance Auto was the smallest of the three at the end of 2021, these companies, ostensibly selling similar products, were within the same order of magnitude as of 2021. AAP 1Y mountain Advance Auto Parts, 1 year Between the company's poor operating performance and the stock's sharp declines, it is unsurprising that sell-side analysts aren't enthusiastic. Advance Auto Parts seems a good candidate, and scanning the holders of AAP, it seems some well-known activists, such as Third Point agree . While the activist's strategy may be sound, it might be challenging to implement due to market conditions or capital constraints.

Persons: There's, O'Reilly, Autozone, Russell, Shane O'Kelly Organizations: Parts, Autozone, O'Reilly Automotive, AAP, Advance, Auto, Advance Auto, Carlyle Group, Home, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Jan

☆ How to profit if rates keep rising, going against the Fed and stock investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. government bond yields have surged too, puzzling many market participants. I am going to stick with the contrarian view and bet on rates continuing to move higher. I'll express that through a bearish bet on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) which tracks bond prices. Various inputs have driven yields higher, creating the opposite outcome for the Fed as they continue to try to land the proverbial plane. Jeffrey Gundlach stated (post Fed meeting) that interest rates could shoot even higher if Republicans end up controlling the House too.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, TLT Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury Bond ETF, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ One chart that should make Apple bulls worry and think about trimming
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The almighty Apple, despite making new 52-week highs and all-time highs as recently as two weeks ago, continues to struggle versus its peer group. In fact, Apple's relative performance to the tech sector peaked more than two years ago — in Q3 2022 — and has not improved in any meaningful way. The exact date of Apple's relative performance peak was Sept. 27 2022. Since then, Apple (AAPL) is +49.9% while the SPDR Technology Select Sector ETF (XLK) is +92.7%. The relative performance chart below tells the tale.

Persons: Said, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Apple, Technology, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ This software stock is well-positioned to benefit from Trump's agenda, trader says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A pro-business agenda, regulatory flexibility, and potential tax incentives under his administration could once again set the stage for technology stocks to outperform. Adobe (ADBE) , a leader in AI-enhanced creative solutions, is particularly well-positioned to capitalize on this environment. With its superior growth rates and operational margins that set it apart from peers, Adobe's valuation presents a compelling entry point amid strong fundamentals and a supportive administration. This signals that sellers are starting to get exhausted and presents an opportunity for buyers to start stepping in for a strong counter-trend rally. To capitalize on a potential rally in Adobe, consider buying the December 20, 2024, $500/550 Call Vertical @ $18.05 Debit.

Persons: Donald Trump's, ADBE Organizations: Adobe, Digital Media, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Why a breakout in this software stock may be just beginning, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But after a strong October, TTWO appears to be setting up for a significant breakout that yields a healthy upside price target. After reaching a peak of around $170 in early February, the stock pulled back to just below its 200-day moving average. We can determine an initial upside target simply by measuring the price range of the basing pattern, in this case from $140 to $170. That 61.8% retracement sits right around $167, forming the upper end of the price range we outlined on the daily chart. So a breakout above $170, while an important signal on the daily chart based on the basing pattern, also represents a significant break above a major Fibonacci retracement level.

Persons: TTWO, Alan Shaw, David Keller Organizations: CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Playing some oil and gas stocks that could get a Trump boost using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Traditionally Republicans have been more significant friends of the oil and gas industry. Increasing domestic oil production would theoretically achieve several goals for the new administration: increase domestic economic activity and employment, increase domestic energy security, and lower oil and gas prices. Interestingly, oil and gas production in the United States right now, the world's largest producer, has never been higher, and oil and gas prices, while well above pre-COVID levels, have stabilized. The incoming Trump administration will likely reduce federal regulations on drilling, pipeline development, and environmental protections that limit the expansion of oil and gas projects. This infrastructure investment benefits the oil services industry by enabling more accessible transport and new development projects, which Biden canceled.

Persons: Trump, Kamala Harris's, Biden, YTD We'll Organizations: Republicans, Trump, Keystone XL, Dakota, Schlumberger, Schlumberger Ltd, HAL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Pennsylvania, United States, North, Halliburton, North America

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