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☆ As Trump vows mass deportation, polls suggest growing support – but not a mandate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN’s national exit polling this year found that immigration was a strong issue for Trump in this election, but it doesn’t suggest a mandate for mass deportation. Voters gave Trump a roughly 9-point advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris on trust to handle immigration, according to the latest data. Complicating those findings is the fact that polling this year has found widely disparate levels of support for deportation. Surveys that ask respondents to choose between deportation and a path to citizenship, meanwhile, often find more support for the latter. Regardless of framing, however, national polls agree on a rise in support for deportation policies over recent years, coupled with a broader increase in nativist sentiment.

Persons: Donald Trump, –, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, “, ”, Michael Tesler, Joe, Biden, CNN’s Henry Gertmenian Organizations: CNN, Trump, Voters, Gallup, Marquette Law School, CBS, Pew Research Center Locations: United States, Marquette, U.S

“Joe Biden should be ashamed of himself, if he knows what he’s even doing,” Trump said from the garbage truck. Former President Donald Trump held a press conference from inside a garbage truck at Green Bay Austin Straubel International Airport on Wednesday. Rep. Adam Schiff, D-California, attended the Harris rally after stumping on the trail with Baldwin. He sidestepped a question about Biden’s remarks on Tuesday and Trump’s garbage truck gag response, saying he wasn’t focused on the matter. But to Harris supporters, Trump’s outrage over Biden’s comments rang hollow.

Persons: Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Biden, Harris, Hillary Clinton, Puerto Rico ”, Tony Hinchcliffe, “ Joe Biden, ” Trump, Donald Trump, Chip Somodevilla, Brett Favre, “, ”, Favre, Elon Musk, “ I’m, ” Harris, Tony Evers, Sen, Tammy Baldwin, Gracie Abrams —, Abrams, Mumford, Walz, ” Kamala Harris, Morry Gash, Adam Schiff, Baldwin, Schiff, wasn’t, Charles Franklin, Linda Gator, “ You’ve, he’s, Cyrus Obut, ” Obut Organizations: University of Wisconsin, Trump, White, Madison, Green Bay Austin, Green, Green Bay Packers, Gov, Sons, Badgers, Harris, NBC News, Washington , D.C, Marquette University Law School, Marquette Law Locations: GREEN, Wis, —, Green Bay, Madison, battlegrounds, . Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Puerto Rico, North Carolina, Green, Mississippi, United States, Gaza, California, Washington ,, Sheboygan

☆ Kamala Harris defends her economic plan and insists she won't be more of Joe Biden in a tense interview with Fox News
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Brad Davis | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Host Bret Baier pressed Harris on a survey in which respondents said the US was on the wrong track. Harris touted her economic plans and said her presidency wouldn't be a continuation of Joe Biden's. AdvertisementKamala Harris faced off with Fox News host Bret Baier on Wednesday — and things got tense quickly. Harris said Trump's economic plan would "ignite inflation" and lead to a recession by the middle of next year. Related storiesBaier, who hosts "Special Report with Bret Baier," again cited the poll and pushed Harris to explain how she'd be different from Biden.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Bret Baier, Harris, wouldn't, Joe Biden's, —, Baier, Donald Trump, he'd, what's, Joe Biden, I'm, Harris didn't, Trump Organizations: Fox News, Service, Biden, Marquette Law, Trump, Republicans Locations: Mexico

☆ Why working-class White women could be so decisive this fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Those working-class White women loom as a critical, potentially even decisive, factor in Trump’s third White House bid. But while White women with a college degree have trended toward the Democrats in the presidential campaigns since then, the White women without a college degree have moved sharply in the opposite direction. She acknowledges that Trump’s alarms have resonated among working-class White women, especially older ones. Not only college-educated White women, but also the equivalent White men were much more likely than the blue-collar White women to express positive views about Harris and negative ones about Trump, Gallup found. “I think there is a lot of implicit [gender] bias with” these working-class White women, Lake said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Harris, Harris doesn’t, ”, Lake, “, Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters “, Bradley Beychok, Beychok, gee, ” Beychok, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Bill Clinton, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Chip Somodevilla, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Biden, – Harris, ” Lake, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, William Frey, ” Trump, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, –, Jackie Payne, Payne, pollsters, Jon McHenry, McHenry, Joe Biden, Mathews, Matthews, Vance, ” Matthews, White, Gallup Organizations: CNN, White, Electoral, Democrats, Trump, Democratic, PAC, Reuters, American, Republican, Edison Research, Pew Research, Michigan, Quinnipiac University, Marquette Law School, Metro, Dodge, Airport, Biden, New York Times, ”, Times, Gallup Poll, Gallup Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Flint , Michigan, Reading , Pennsylvania, Southern, Philadelphia, Juneau , Wisconsin, Siena, White, Wilkes, Barre , Pennsylvania

Which Battleground State Voters Could Sway the Election? It says that in order for Democrats to win, Black voters must make up 30 percent of all voters and at least 30 percent of white voters must vote Democratic. Black voters, who cast nearly a third of the ballots in 2020, overwhelmingly favored Mr. Biden — by almost 90 percent. That’s because educational attainment divides mostly white voters, and many of Nevada’s less-educated voters are not white. Even so, that wasn’t enough for him to overcome the coalition of white voters with a college degree and voters of color who delivered Mr. Biden a victory.

Persons: they’ve, Biden, Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, “, Mark Kelly, ”, Samara Klara, Charles S, Bullock, Kamala Harris, Andra Gillespie, —, “ There’s, Matt Grossmann, David Damore, suburbanites, Chris Cooper, Trump’s, Charles Franklin Organizations: Hispanic, The New York Times, White Hispanic, Democratic Senate, Mr, Biden, University of Arizona ., White, University of Georgia, Democratic, Black, Georgia, Emory University . Georgia, Suburban, Arab American, Michigan, ’, Michigan State University, Israel, Democratic Party, University of Nevada, Rural, Voters, North, Western Carolina University, Wisconsin, University of Wisconsin ., Marquette Law Locations: The, Arizona, U.S, University of Arizona . Georgia, Georgia, Michigan, Detroit, American, Gaza, Nevada, Las Vegas, ”, Carolina, North Carolina, Greensboro, Asheville, Trump, ” Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania’s, Philadelphia, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Madison, University of Wisconsin . Wisconsin, Dane County

☆ Harris Has a Polling Edge in Wisconsin, but Democrats Don’t Trust It
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Reid J. Epstein | More About Reid J. Epstein | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

On paper, Vice President Kamala Harris should be feeling hopeful about Wisconsin. The last 40 public polls included in The New York Times polling average of the vital battleground state show her leading in 28, tied in four and trailing former President Donald J. Trump in eight. Ms. Harris, who is set to hold a rally in Madison on Friday evening, was up by four percentage points in the latest survey from Marquette Law School, widely considered the gold standard of Wisconsin polling. The Times polling average has shown her leading every day, albeit narrowly, since Aug. 6. And yet, in what has appeared to be Democrats’ strongest battleground state even when President Biden was still in the race, Democrats, Republicans and even the state’s pollsters can agree on one thing: They don’t fully trust the polling and don’t believe Ms. Harris is ahead by as much as some of the surveys say.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald J, Trump, Harris, Biden, ”, Charles Franklin Organizations: Wisconsin, The New York Times, Marquette Law School, Republicans Locations: Madison, Wisconsin

☆ How Harris is reversing Biden’s biggest weakness in the campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

Trump’s plan for blunting Harris’ momentum, some Democrats believe, could reprise elements of the 1988 presidential campaign that George H.W. “I think the Harris campaign has to be prepared for it.”The two sides are already hotly contesting the terrain of strength. Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster who conducted surveys for Biden’s 2020 campaign, said his strength deficit to Trump had become a nearly insurmountable obstacle for his 2024 campaign. The surveys have also found a huge gender gap in the assessments of whether Harris and Trump are strong. Most important, voters have reached these initial assessments of Harris’ strength before Republicans have really begun their campaign to portray her as weak.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, –, Harris, Trump, ”, Democratic pollster Evan Roth Smith, “ Kamala Harris, …, it’s, blunting Harris, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Lee Atwater, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Dukakis, “, She’ll, ” Trump, ” Harris, Kamala Harris, Biden —, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Nikki Haley, Marquette, “ Trump, Whit Ayres, Ayres, Harris blunts, ” Lake, “ Joe Biden, White, she’ll, MAGA, Devine, Republicans pilloried Dukakis, Willie Horton, Horton, Bush, ” Devine, ” Ayres, won’t, Roth Smith, ’, Hulk Hogan, Kid Rock, Dana White Organizations: CNN, White, Voters, Democratic, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Fox News, Marquette Law School, Biden, Marquette Poll, CBS, New York Times, Gallup, Republican, Siena, Republicans, MAGA Inc, Politico, ”, Fighting Locations: George H.W ., Marquette, Siena, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Celinda, Massachusetts, San Francisco, California, “ San Francisco

☆ Wide swath of America remains opposed to Supreme Court’s ruling overturning Roe v. Wade, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( John Fritze | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Sixty-seven percent of respondents in the Marquette poll supported the court’s decision in the abortion pill case. Americans still unhappy with the court overallAlso consistent over the past couple of years has been overall near-record dissatisfaction with the Supreme Court. The latest Marquette poll found 57% of Americans disapprove of the court, compared with 61% who felt that way two years ago. The Marquette poll was conducted from July 24 to August 1 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The survey found that views on the Supreme Court depended heavily on partisan affiliation, with just 24% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents viewing the court favorably compared with 73% of Republicans.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Tim Walz, “ Donald Trump, ” Harris, Trump, ” Trump, Dobbs, Marquette Organizations: CNN, White House, Marquette Law School, Minnesota Gov, Jackson, Health Organization, Food, Pew Research, Democratic Locations: Pennsylvania, America, Dobbs v, Florida, Idaho, Marquette

☆ How Harris may win back a critical group of voters who abandoned Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

With Harris at the top of the ticket, Democrats now see a chance to refocus voters on the issue and restore their margins among the abortion rights voters who had notably drifted away from Biden. In both the 2020 and 2022 campaigns, voters who backed legal abortion provided overwhelming support to Biden and other Democratic candidates. Across all of those battleground states, Biden this year was performing well below that level with voters who support legal abortion, polls have found. Those abortion rights voters also split about evenly on whether Biden or Trump was better for the economy. “Many of them aren’t single issue abortion voters; they are worried about the economy and inflation, they are worried about immigration,” McLaughlin said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, wasn’t, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Biden, ”, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, “ It’s, Dobbs, Charles Franklin, Tony Evers, Katie Hobbs, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Whitmer, Shapiro, Franklin, Trump, Roe, Wade, “, Lake, Melissa Williams, ” Harris, Tresa Undem, ‘ what’s, –, Greenberg, ” Greenberg, —, John Della Volpe, Della Volpe, energize, Jason Cabel Roe, ” Trump, He’s, “ Donald Trump, Jim McLaughlin, McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Williams, JD Vance, ” Williams Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Edison Research, Democratic House, Democrats, Marquette Law School, SSRS, Quinnipiac University, Yahoo, Quinnipiac, Trump, Times, YouGov, Biden, Catholic, ” Voters, GOP, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, Republican Party, “, Republicans, White House Locations: The Marquette, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, London, Harris, Iowa, America, Trump

☆ How the GOP’s rightward shift on immigration helps explain Trump’s primary success
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

Amid widespread discontent over President Joe Biden’s management of the border, the overall electorate is moving rightward on immigration too, polls show. For now, there’s no question that hardening GOP attitudes on immigration have been critical to Trump’s strong performance through the early primaries. Then, 56% of GOP primary voters said undocumented immigrants should be offered legal status; in last month’s primary, 55% said they should be deported. Immigration ranked as the most important issue for most GOP primary voters in South Carolina, and finished close behind the economy in both Iowa and New Hampshire. McLaughlin said Trump’s dominance among the GOP primary voters most concerned about immigration encapsulates a broader reason for his early success: widespread satisfaction among Republicans about his record in office.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden’s, Trump, What’s, “, Donald Trump, ”, Jim McLaughlin, Joe Biden, ’, Nikki Haley, Trump’s, Haley, Leah Askarinam, McLaughlin, Robert P, Jones, Charles Franklin, Adolf Hitler, ” Biden, Biden, Stephen Miller, Charlie Kirk, Miller, Dwight D, Eisenhower, Matt Barreto, Barreto, Democratic pollster, ” Barreto, Maria Cardona, Tom Suozzi, George Santos, Suozzi, Bill Clinton Organizations: CNN, GOP, Republican, Trump, Biden, Edison Research, Immigration, Former South Carolina Gov, Quinnipiac University, Survey, Religion Research Institute, Marquette Law School, Marquette, Gallup, Republicans, CBS, National Guard, Democratic, UCLA, New, Republican Rep, White, House Republicans Locations: Alabama, Mississippi, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, New York, Wisconsin, Mexico, United States, American, Trump, Marquette, America, Texas, Celinda, Arizona, Nevada, Mexico ”, week’s State, Brownsville

The commission voted 5-1 Thursday, with Republican Commissioner Bob Spindell opposed, to adopt the new guidance for absentee ballot envelopes with a “missing” address, the Wisconsin State Journal reported. Under previous guidance, clerks were required to reach out to voters to correct absentee ballot envelopes that had “incomplete or insufficient” witness address information before those ballots could be accepted. Every vote is critical in Wisconsin, where each of the last two presidential elections in Wisconsin was decided by fewer than 23,000 votes. Ever since Trump’s defeat in Wisconsin in 2020, Republicans have been fighting in court to tighten the rules to limit how many absentee ballots can be accepted. State law requires absentee ballots to be submitted with a witness’s signature and address on the outside envelope that contains the ballot.

Persons: Bob Spindell, Spindell, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dane County, Ryan Nilsestuen, Nilsestuen, ”, ” “ Organizations: Republican, Wisconsin State, Democratic, USA, The Marquette University Law, Rise Inc, League of Women Voters, Wisconsin Supreme, Legislative Locations: MADISON, Wis, The Wisconsin, Wisconsin

☆ Biden’s Age, Trump’s Indictments and Other Fallacies Pulled From the Polls
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Susan Milligan | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +10 min

Will Americans toss out President Joe Biden for being too old and see Vice President Kamala Harris as a worse option? "The indictments of Donald Trump have not boosted him in the polls, either for favorability or for his support in the GOP primary. The impact of Biden's age and Vice President Kamala Harris' presence on the ticket has also been misrepresented, pollsters say. The Biden-Harris campaign is sending the vice president to speak at college campuses in the coming months. "I do think that having Vice President Harris is a net plus for the ticket," says youth voting activist Victor Shi, a Biden 2020 delegate.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Biden, Trump, Charles Franklin, Franklin, Donald Trump, Trump's, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, pollster Ben Lazarus, Lazarus, that's, –, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Marianne Williamson, Nate Birkhead, Birkhead, Harris, Newt Gingrich, Harris –, Victor Shi, Biden's, Shi, it's, Laura Kelly, Kelly, YouGov, Dobbs Organizations: Trump, Republican, Democratic, Marquette Law School, GOP, District of, Florida Gov, Pew Research Center, Donald Trump View, Biden, CBS, Kansas State University, Democratic Gov, Gallup, Republicans Locations: Wisconsin, New York, Florida, District, District of Columbia, Georgia’s Fulton County, Trump, United States, Ukraine, Russia, American, Kansas

☆ The chance of Trump winning another term is very real
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Similarly, Clinton’s edge was in the single digits over Obama in South Carolina at this stage of the campaign. Of course, winning the primary is one thing for Trump, who has led in almost every single Republican primary poll published in the past eight years. A poll out last week from Marquette University Law School had Biden and Trump tied percentage-wise (with a statistically insignificant few more respondents choosing Trump). The good news for Democrats is that general election polling, unlike primary polling, is not predictive at this point. But for now, the chance that Trump is president in less than two years time is a very real possibility.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Democrat Al Gore, Republican George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton, Gore, Clinton, Ron DeSantis, George McGovern, Jimmy Carter, Barack Obama, Obama, Republican John McCain, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Romney couldn’t, McCain, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democrat, Florida Gov, Trump, Marquette University Law School, Biden, ABC News, Washington Post, Quinnipiac University, Democrats Locations: Bush, Trump’s, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, Clinton, Iowa, New Hampshire, Marquette, Pennsylvania, Erie, Quinnipiac

☆ Ron DeSantis finally gets some good news thanks to a new Wisconsin poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis got some good news thanks to a new poll of Wisconsin Republicans. According to the Marquette University Law School Poll, DeSantis is in a dead heat with Trump. Ron DeSantis received some good news from a poll on Wednesday, with a Marquette University Law School Poll finding DeSantis and Trump are in a statistical dead heat among Wisconsin Republicans. The poll found that among those Republicans and independents who lean Republicans in the state, Trump is at 31%, and DeSantis is at 30%. The Marquette University Law School Poll was conducted from June 8-13, 2023.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, —, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Mike Pence, Sen, Tim Scott of, Nikkie Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, Trump's, Rick Scott Organizations: Wisconsin Republicans, Marquette University Law School, Trump, Service, Gov, Marquette University Law, Florida, GOP, UN, New, New Jersey Gov, Republican, DeSantis, The Marquette University Law Locations: Wisconsin, Florida, Marquette, he's, Tim Scott of South Carolina, New Jersey, New Hampshire

In 2017, with Mr. Connors’ help, Mr. Maichle started his own company, Precision Compliance Consulting. ‘Boss Man’Mr. Connors, Mr. Lewis and Mr. Maichle were all active in college conservative politics in Wisconsin about 15 years ago, when Mr. Connors was the leader of campus Republicans at Marquette University. Of that, about $102,000 went to Campaign Now, the firm started by Mr. Connors, and another $112,000 to companies where Mr. Connors, Mr. Maichle or Mr. Lewis was either the owner or a partner, tax records show. Most of the money — more than $4.4 million — went to fund-raising companies via tens of thousands of small payments. Most of the money — more than $4.4 million — went to fund-raising companies via tens of thousands of small payments.

☆ Opinion: Texas judge’s stunning ruling caps extraordinary week
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-09 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

We’re looking back at the strongest, smartest opinion takes of the week from CNN and other outlets. Tennessee legislators targeted three members of the state House for joining a gun control protest in the chamber, expelling two young Black men while failing to oust a 60-year-old White woman. (He gave the Biden administration a week to appeal the ruling before it goes into effect. Thus, the week that began with Trump facing a judge in Manhattan ended with a Trump-appointed judge overturning more than two decades of medical practice. “They go far too fast to be safe on the sidewalk” and aren’t right for bike lanes or roads either.

On key issues like abortion and election denialism, Tim Michels, the Republican nominee for governor of Wisconsin, is not moving toward the political middle down the homestretch to Election Day. Michels, following a pattern of other Republican candidates in governor’s races in states like Arizona and Pennsylvania, has not done so. "A change on the abortion issue might even be counterproductive, doesn’t help him with the base and doesn’t help him with moderates or independents." It lets him speak to the base and to independents at the same time.”Michels is locked in a close race with Gov. Michels campaign adviser Chris Walker did not respond to questions about Michels’ strategy on abortion or election issues.

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