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Someone apparently forgot to tell mutual fund managers that they are supposed to be worried right now. Professional fund managers have been increasing their bets on stocks since the fourth quarter got underway earlier this month, according to Bank of America. "Watching mutual fund cash levels is typically like watching paint dry, but not this month. That shift is notable ahead of the election and suggests that some fund managers are unconcerned about short-term volatility as votes roll in. Fund managers are underweight that area relative to history, and could rotate into those stocks if they gain more confidence, according to Subramanian.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Cash, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America . Equity, Investment Company Institute
The S & P 500 is toting a 1.3% gain in October, but it's up more than 22% in 2024. He said his team expects the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) , a measure of expected volatility, to remain elevated around 20 until after Election Day. Individual investors are already expressing some worries about how the markets might behave in the run-up to Nov. 5 – and the days that follow. Cash-secured puts can offer investors an opportunity to put cash to work and generate some income, he said. Covered call strategies have also come into play as a potential way for investors to contend with concentrated positions, he added.
Persons: Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Logan Queck, I'm, Malcolm Ethridge, Ethridge, they've, Ashton Lawrence, Cash, Lawrence Organizations: Wealth, CFP, Capital, IRS, Investment Company Institute, Mariner Wealth Advisors Locations: West Des Moines , Iowa, Washington ,, Greenville , South Carolina
Income investors have a lot riding on the outcome of next week's presidential election, according to RBC Global Asset Management. Positioning if Harris wins A win by Harris would be constructive for fixed-income, Skiba said. With money markets close to multi-year highs, there is a lot of money that investors can put to work, he noted. There is $6.51 trillion sitting in money market funds as of the week ended Oct. 23, according to the Investment Company Institute . "There actually might be a window of opportunity for fixed-income investors to reposition their portfolios without too much pain incurred in the process," Skiba said.
Persons: Andrzej Skiba, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Skiba, Harris Organizations: RBC Global Asset Management, Federal, Trump, Investors, Investment Company Institute Locations: U.S
Total money market fund assets have ballooned to more than $6.5 trillion, according to the Investment Company Institute. Traditional money market fund transactions take place at the end of each trading day, while ETFs trade constantly during market hours. How it works The Texas Capital ETF holds very short-term fixed income instruments, similar to traditional money market funds. It will abide by rule 2a-7 , a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regulation that governs the liquidity of holdings in traditional money market funds. Looking forward The potential market for a money market ETF is massive.
Persons: Michael Carbone, That's, Richard Leimgruber, Jeff Schwartz, Brad Roth, Roth Organizations: Texas Capital, Money Market, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, CNBC, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Wealth, ICI, The Texas Capital, Thor Financial Technologies Locations: Texas, Chelmsford, Mass, Tarrytown , New York
Momo Productions | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesWhile many investors have flocked to exchange-traded funds, they haven't gained much ground with 401(k) plan participants. The report found that 401(k) plans used ETFs most readily for sector and commodity funds — but even then, they did so just 3% of the time. Key benefits are 'irrelevant'Mutual funds, collective investment trust funds and separately managed accounts held the lion's share of the 401(k) assets across all investment categories, PSCA data shows. However, those benefits are "irrelevant" in 401(k) plans, Blanchett said. Blanchett said 401(k) plans are also long-term accounts in which frequent trading is generally not encouraged.
Persons: Momo, David Blanchett, hasn't, Philip Chao, Chao, Warren Buffett's, Blanchett Organizations: Exchange, Mutual, Morningstar, Investment Company Institute, ICI, of America, Vanguard Locations: John , Maryland
The Federal Reserve is about a month into its rate-cutting cycle, and money market fund yields are already starting to pay less. That's where short and ultra-short duration bond funds and ETFs may come into play. An eye on duration Duration is a measure of a bond's price sensitivity when interest rates fluctuate. In that case, ultra-short bond funds and short-term bond funds might be "a natural landing spot for that cash." Those ultra-short bond funds have one to three years of duration and offer some stability day to day, Bartolini added.
Persons: Brett Sheely, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, AllianceBernstein's Sheely, , Vincent Caintic Organizations: Federal, Investment Company Institute, State Street Global Advisors, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Bond, SEC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, . Locations: SPDR Americas
Americans' love affair with cash may be costing them in the long run, according to Wells Fargo. A record $6.42 trillion is sitting in money market funds, as of Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute . The seven-day annualized yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is currently 4.75%. During Fed rate decreases, direct money market investments, like Treasury bills, will absorb the cuts quicker than money market funds. "A long-term risk of relying on money market funds as a sizable allocation is the cash drag over our strategic time horizon," she said.
Persons: Peter Crane, Crane, Michelle Wan, Wan, Wells Fargo, Brian Rehling Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, Crane Locations: Wells Fargo
"The Fed rate cuts are likely to support inflows to money market funds over the course of the next year," Antoniewicz said. While retail investors may slow their pace of investment, institutional flows tend to ramp up since yields on money market funds lag the funds rate, she noted. That cash can stay in a money market fund, a high yield saving account or certificates of deposit. The bucket for three to five years has about 70% in fixed income, with a small amount of high yield bonds added that have durations under five years. He'll dip more into high yield, as well as private credit, in the six to 10-year fixed income category.
Persons: haven't, Shelly Antoniewicz, Antoniewicz, Chuck Failla, you'll, Bond, Failla, Marcus, Kathy Jones, It's, Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, Sovereign Financial Group, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Treasury, nab Locations: Wells
With the Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle expected to begin and the November election just around the corner, now could be a good time to invest in municipal bonds. Interest earned on municipal bonds are free from federal tax. Close said he is already seeing financial advisors start to position their muni portfolios in anticipation of changes. Unlike the Treasury market, the muni market yield curve is upward sloping, Close said. In addition, there's room for lower-rated municipalities to outperform, such as A, BBB and high yield, Norton said.
Persons: Matthew Norton, Norton, Dan Close, Close, It's, Paul Malloy, Malloy, it's, Vanguard's Malloy, Nuveen's Organizations: Federal, Democratic, White House, Congress, municipals, Vanguard, BBB, AAA, AA, Treasury, Investment Company Institute, Fed Locations: Nuveen, California , New York, New Jersey, New York, California, AllianceBernstein
Assets in money market funds hit $6.3 trillion the week that ended Wednesday, another record high, according to the Investment Company Institute . The annualized 7-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is currently 5.08%. History shows that when investors do move out of money market funds, they move into fixed income over equities, he said. Institutional investors will also continue to move into money market funds as the Fed cuts rates because any cash they have in direct money market investments, such as Treasury bills, will be hit by rate cuts quicker than money market funds, explained Peter Crane, founder of Crane Data, a firm that tracks the industry. Once you have the appropriate cash needs set aside, consider moving any excess funds into fixed income, Jenkin said.
Persons: Mark Cabana, Peter Crane, Crane, Ted Jenkin, Jenkin, Leslie Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Falconio Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Institutional, Crane, CNBC, American Express, Bread Financial, UBS, U.S . Locations: UBS Americas
Exchange-traded fund inflows have already topped monthly records in 2024, and managers think inflows could see an impact from the money market fund boom before year-end. "Whether it be flows into REIT ETFs or just the broader ETF market, that's going to be a real potential catalyst here to watch." Total assets in money market funds set a new high of $6.24 trillion this past week, according to the Investment Company Institute. "If that yield comes down, the return on money market funds should come down as well," said State Street Global Advisors' Matt Bartolini in the same interview. "Assuming stocks don't experience a massive pullback, I think investors will continue to allocate here, and ETF inflows can break that record," he said.
Persons: Nate Geraci, CNBC's, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, They've, Geraci Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Assets, Federal, Global Advisors, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research Locations: SPDR Americas
With Federal Reserve rate cuts expected to begin in September, income investors may want to make sure their portfolio is in check. Instruments like money market funds and high-yield savings accounts will react pretty quickly to rate cuts. Some $6.24 trillion is currently sitting in money market funds, as of the week ended Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute . Clark Bellin, chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth in Lincoln, Nebraska, is bullish in investment-grade corporate bonds right now. He prefers individual bonds over bond funds because the investor has more control.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Rick Rieder, Lawrence, Clark Bellin, Bellin, he'll, Fidelity's Michael Plage, Treasurys, Patience, BlackRock's Rieder Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, BlackRock, Investment Company Institute Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Hauppauge, Lincoln , Nebraska
Cash has poured into money market funds since the Federal Reserve began its rate hiking cycle. Short-term debt has been a popular investment over the past few years, and money market funds are a top example. For perspective, there was roughly $4 trillion in total money market funds as of the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the St. Louis Fed . Money market funds hold very short-term debt, and many currently offer a yield above 5%. "Historically, you don't tend to see money market inflows stop or convert to outflows until you get below say 3% on those rates.
Persons: Cash, Louis Fed, Sam Huszczo, Huszczo, Todd Sohn, Ken Brodkowitz, weren't, Brodkowitz, Strategas, Sohn, " Sohn, Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, SGH Wealth Management, Federal, Bond, SEC, Gries Financial Partners, Fidelity, Income, Morningstar, US Treasury, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Ritholtz Locations: Detroit , Michigan, BlackRock
Investors who are camped out in cash are nabbing sweet yields, but the clock is ticking on that attractive income. Money market fund assets totaled $6.14 trillion as of the week ended July 24, according to the Investment Company Institute . The largest money market funds are offering an annualized 7-day current yield of 5.12%, per the Crane 100 Money Fund Index. "Investors must also remember that the liquid securities held in money market funds have maturities capped at slightly over a year," he said. While these short-term bonds may be an attractive alternative to hiding out in cash, investors should avoid making them the lion's share of their fixed income holdings.
Persons: Daniel Siluk, Janus Henderson, Matthew Mish, Siluk Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Federal, UBS, SEC, BBB, Treasury Bond ETF
Investors enjoying juicy yields on their cash should start preparing to shift their strategy, according to Goldman Sachs. People piled into cash instruments like Treasury bills and money market funds as the short end of the yield curve rose alongside Federal Reserve interest rate increases starting in early 2022. Now some $6.15 trillion is sitting in money market funds, as of July 2, according to the Investment Company Institute . There's a "real probability" that could start in September, said Lindsay Rosner, head of multi-sector investing at Goldman Sachs Asset and Wealth Management. While the average spread is around 800 basis points over Treasurys, the bonds are either trading around 300 basis points — too tight for junk bond ratings — or 1,000 basis points or more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lindsay Rosner, , Rosner, " Rosner Organizations: Federal, Investment Company Institute, Goldman, Wealth Management, Fed, riskier Locations: Goldman Sachs, Treasurys
The prospect of "higher for longer" rates has also made short-term fixed income assets especially attractive. "We had a lot of investors who were in, if not cash, then sub-2-year duration fixed income at the start of the year." Takeaways for investors It doesn't hurt for retail investors to review their fixed income allocation now that the year is halfway over. A combination of fixed income assets may be what it takes to benefit from today's higher rates, lock in yields and capture rising prices once the Fed cuts. "We don't buy that there's one fixed income asset class that you should tilt toward," said Calcagni.
Persons: , Don Calcagni, it's, Shannon Saccocia, Neuberger Berman, Michael Rosen, Rosen, Janus Henderson, Vishal Khanduja, Eaton Vance, Khanduja, Callie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Investment Company Institute, Money, Mercer Advisors, Investors, Municipal, Angeles Investment Advisors, AAA CLOs, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Bond, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Stay Locations: Santa Monica, Calif
High interest rates have been a boon to Americans holding cash, but many on Wall Street are cautioning investors to start thinking ahead. People have been piling into cash vehicles like money market funds and certificates of deposit since the Federal Reserve started hiking interest rates. Interest rates appear to be staying higher for longer, with the Federal Reserve on Wednesday projecting only one rate cut this year. Agency MBS have a duration of about six years, per the Bloomberg US MBS Index as of June 3, Jones noted. Right now, the residential mortgage-backed securities sector looks attractive because of its relative value compared to investment-grade corporate bonds, he said.
Persons: Jones, Leslie Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Wells Fargo, Luis Alvarado, Alvarado, Falconio Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Agency MBS, Bloomberg, MBS, UBS, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Investors, corporates, UBS America's, AAA Locations: UBS Americas, Wells, Wells Fargo
The 60/40 portfolio isn't dead — in fact, it tends to outperform over the long term, according to UBS. The strategy revolves around a simple balanced portfolio, allocating 60% to stocks and 40% to fixed income. That theory was tested when both equities and fixed income slumped in 2022. Crafting a balanced portfolio Falconio expects the new 60/40 construction to look a little different with the rise in popularity of alternative assets. When it comes to traditional fixed income assets, UBS suggests holding strategic, diversified exposure throughout fixed income.
Persons: Cash, Mark Haefele, Leslie Falconio, Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Darla Mercado Organizations: UBS, Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, U.S . Locations: UBS Americas,
The era of hiding out in cash is coming to an end, according to UBS. While investors have been earning yields of more than 5% on instruments like money market funds and certificates of deposit, those rates aren't expected to stick around much longer. "We believe investors should limit their overall cash balances as falling interest rates this year and beyond will diminish returns on cash," Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note Monday. Investors flooded into money market funds as the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022. UBS also moved out on the curve on TIPS earlier this month after initially buying 5-year inflation-protected securities in August.
Persons: Marcelli, Leslie Falconio, Falconio Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Investors, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, AAA, AAA CMBS Locations: UBS Americas
It’s fueling a huge rollout of new retirement products — but they’re not all golden tickets. “We didn’t really save much of anything.”However, jobs offering pension plans are harder to come by compared to previous decades. Over the past 40 years, defined contribution plans, also known as 401(k) plans, have taken their place. Americans currently hold over $7 trillion in 401(k) plans, according to data from the Investment Company Institute, a trade association. These types of retirement plans put the job of saving and investing on the employee.
Persons: CNN —, Jennifer Messina, “ I’m, ” Messina, ” Teresa Ghilarducci, ” Eric Stevenson, Roth, Ghilarducci, you’re, , There’s, she’s, we’ll, Messina Organizations: CNN, Alliance for Lifetime, Investment Company Institute, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Federal, The New School for Social Research, BlackRock, Nationwide, Messina Locations: Nutley , New Jersey, BlackRock, New Jersey, South Carolina, North Dakota
That means those saving cash in money market funds and Treasury bills can expect to see their rates stay higher for longer. The annualized seven-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is currently 5.13%. The appetite for money market funds is evident in the record amount of cash pouring into the products. Last week, there was $6.11 trillion sitting in money market funds, according to the Investment Company Institute , up from $5.87 trillion in mid-December. Then there are moderate risk investors with longer time horizons, which Vanguard surveys show are the majority of investors, he said.
Persons: They've, Peter Crane, Shelly Antoniewicz, Marguerita Cheng, you'll, Cheng, Roth, Barry Glassman, Glassman, he's, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Vanguard's, Cash, Aliaga Organizations: Federal, Crane, Investment Company Institute, Blue, Global, CNBC, Wealth, Treasury, Vanguard
"We believe the recent back up in rates is probably the last best opportunity to extend duration," wrote Gargi Pal Chaudhuri, chief investment and portfolio strategist, Americas, at BlackRock. Generally speaking, the value of a bond goes up as interest rates go down, with longer-dated bonds seeing the biggest gains. While bond funds have been seeing inflows this year, there are still plenty of investors with excess cash in short-term accounts. Different funds that offer that type of exposure include the iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) , the SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (SPTI) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (VGIT) . Investors shouldn't go overboard with adding duration, because the long-term bonds on the market carry extra risk, Akullian said.
Persons: BlackRock's, Gargi Pal Chaudhuri, Kristy Akullian, It's, Akullian, Investors shouldn't Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investment Company Institute, BlackRock, CNBC, Treasury Bond ETF, Research, Investors Locations: Americas, BlackRock, US10Y
Total assets in money market funds have hit a new record high, according to the latest data from the Investment Company Institute. The funds, which still have yields above 5%, saw total assets hit $6.06 trillion for the week ended Feb. 28, the firm said . While some on Wall Street think some of the cash in money markets will move into stocks, Crane has said there is no correlation between the two. Instead, money markets are competing with bank deposits, he believes. The annualized seven-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is currently 5.14%.
Persons: Peter Crane, January's, Moody's, Crane, Teresa Ho Organizations: Investment Company Institute, New York Community Bancorp, Crane, New, New York Community, Fitch, JPMorgan, CNBC Locations: New, New York
Money market fund assets had $6 trillion as of Jan. 31, according to the Investment Company Institute . "Retirees have shifted assets to cash for income, but an easing cycle could drive them to equity income funds. AT & T has the highest current dividend yield of those six stocks, at more than 6%. However, Bank of America projects big dividend hikes in the coming years, and the stock is already up 15% in 2024. It is unclear how much of the cash parked in money market funds will flow back into the stock market.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Ford, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bank of America, Investment Company Institute, Dow Inc, Simon Property Group, Merck, Simon Property, Ford
The inflows this year come at a time when, historically, money funds see seasonal outflows. Ho calculates about $5.5 trillion of the assets sitting in money market funds are core liquidity for companies and cash savings for retail investors. In fact, the most recent push into money market funds is coming from institutional investors, according to the ICI. Assets of institutional money market funds increased by $33.06 billion to $3.65 trillion, while retail money market funds rose by $8.62 billion to $2.35 trillion, the organization found. That's because yields on money market funds lag behind Fed moves.
Persons: Teresa Ho, Ho, Powell, Shelly Antoniewicz, Jerome Powell, AllianceBernstein, Monika Carlson, Carlson, Amy Arnott, Arnott, Rob Williams, Charles Schwab Organizations: JPMorgan, Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, CNBC, ICI, Fed, Treasury, Morningstar, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: Treasurys
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