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☆ Russian economists and officials foresee a hard struggle in 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russian officials and business leaders met at an economic forum this week. Russia's main interest rate is at 21% and could be hiked further still. Officials and business leaders shared pessimistic economic outlooks for 2025 at the Russian Economic Forum, held this week in Chelyabinsk, in central Russia. Andrei Klepach, chief economist at the state-run development entity VEB.RF, predicted that economic growth would fall from an estimated 2.5% to around 2% in 2025. Some, he said, would benefit from a subsidized interest rate of 1% to 5%.

Persons: —, Andrei Klepach, Alexander Shokhin, Shokhin, Mikhail Mishustin, Alexander Novak, Kirill Tremasov Organizations: Service, Russian Economic, Central Bank of Russia, Industrialists, Russian, Russia's Locations: Chelyabinsk, Russia, Ukraine, Russian Union, Russian

☆ Russia's central bank and lenders tell each other to resolve the country's yuan supply squeeze
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Russian banks are urging the country's central bank to boost yuan liquidity amid shortages. But Russia's central bank is advising lenders to limit yuan-denominated loans. The Russian central bank said currency swaps are a short-term, not a long-term solution to yuan supply. But Russia's central bank is passing the buck back to the country's banks. In a report published on Friday, Russia's central bank advised lenders to limit the issuance of yuan-denominated loans.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Central Bank of Russia, Business Locations: Russian, Russia's

☆ The West can't completely isolate Russian banks because it would be disastrous beyond Russia
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

There's one major thing the West could, but won't, do: kill all Russian banks' access to the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, or SWIFT. 'Russia's economy is in deep, deep trouble'Despite the West's frustration with how Russia's economy still appears to be holding up, the sanctions appear to be finally working. "In five years, you're going see a really disastrous slowdown in the Russian economy," said Portes, who called for stronger sanctions enforcement. AdvertisementIn April 2022, Russia's central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina warned Russia's reserves can't last forever. "A significant problem is that they are running out of foreign exchange reserves, and you can't create foreign reserves," Portes added.

Persons: —, hasn't, SWIFT, Alex Capri, Richard Portes, Portes, Alexander Kolyandr, Elvira Nabiullina, Russia's Organizations: Service, West, Society, Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, Business, SWIFT, European Union, National University of Singapore, US Customs Service, London Business School, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Central Bank of Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Russian, SWIFT, Capri, Asia Pacific, Europe, India, China, Central Bank of Russia, Russia's

☆ Russia says its economy is off to a — mostly — roaring 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Central Bank of Russia is maintaining a 16% interest rate due to a thriving economy. AdvertisementRussia's economy is running so hot the Central Bank of Russia is holding rates at 16% to keep inflation in check. Even the Russian central bank appeared to be taken aback by how well the economy was doing. Consumer sentiment is also positive and people are increasingly inclined to make large purchases, according to the Russian central bank. On Friday, Russia's central bank said it sees limited options other than the Chinese yuan for its reserves.

Persons: —, Elvira Nabiullina Organizations: Central Bank of Russia, Service, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia, Russia's

☆ Biden warns Xi Jinping about China's ongoing support for Russia amid Ukraine war
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US President Joe Biden and China's leader Xi Jinping spoke in a Tuesday phone call. The leaders discussed global conflicts, including China's support for Russia amid the Ukraine war. Russia has managed to maintain its economy thanks in part to its trade partnership with China. AdvertisementUS President Joe Biden warned China's leader Xi Jinping about his government's ongoing support for Russia amid the war in Ukraine during a Tuesday phone call between the two world leaders. AdvertisementDespite alienating itself from the majority of the world, Russia continues to maintain an economic ally in China, whose ongoing support has helped Russia rebuild its defense industry during a vital moment in the war.

Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, —, China's, Biden, Xi, Vladimir Putin, Putin Organizations: Service, Central Bank of, Beijing Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China, California, India, Beijing, Central Bank of Russia, Taiwan, South China, Israel, Gaza, Bali

☆ Russia's economy is now so isolated that it has few options other than the Chinese yuan for its reserves
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russia's central bank says it has few alternatives other than the Chinese yuan as a key reserve asset. "These factors predetermine the key role of the Chinese yuan in the formation of reserve assets," it said. AdvertisementA state of increasing isolationRussia's increasing reliance on the yuan shows its economy is becoming increasingly isolated in the international trade and finance system. Moscow's reliance on the Chinese yuan comes with risks. Russian companies that borrow in the Chinese yuan are facing increased lending costs, Bloomberg reported last month.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin, SWIFT Organizations: Service, Central Bank of Russia, Bloomberg Locations: Russia, Russian, Ukraine, India, China, Moscow, EU

☆ Merely winning has never been enough for Putin — and this year's presidential election is no different
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

There's little doubt Putin, 71, will win, even as the Ukraine war drags into its third year, analysts say. After all, his challengers — who were approved to run by the country's election commission — are far from his level of clout and influence. But for Putin, merely winning has never been enough — and 2024 looks no different. Putin needs to show that Russians really want him to leadFor Putin, it's not about winning. As Thomas Graham, a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, wrote on March 7, "Just winning has never been enough for Putin.

Persons: —, There's, Putin, it's, It's, Thomas Graham, David Szakonyi, Elvira Nabiullina, Nabiullina, they're, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Business, International Monetary Fund, Council, Foreign Relations, George Washington University, Profit, Central Bank of Russia, Putin Locations: Ukraine, Russian, Policymaking, Russia, Polish

MOSCOW (AP) — The Central Bank of Russia raised its key lending rate by one percentage point to 13% on Friday, a month after imposing an even larger hike, as concerns about inflation persist and the ruble continues to struggle against the dollar. The increase comes as annualized inflation rose in September to 5.5% and the bank said it expected it would reach 6%-7% by the end of the year. "Therefore, it is required to additionally tighten monetary conditions.”The bank in August increased the lending rate to 12% — a jump of 3.5 percentage points — as the ruble fell to 100 against the dollar. Although the ruble's exchange rate improved mildly after the rate hike, it remains around 95 to the dollar, significantly weaker than a year ago when it was trading at around 60 to the U.S. currency. Importing more and exporting less means a smaller trade surplus, which typically weighs on a country’s currency.

Organizations: MOSCOW, Central Bank of Russia Locations: Russian, Russia

☆ Russia's inflation spike sets Kremlin and central bank on collision course
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Russia's President Vladimir Putin (L) and Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina Alexei Nikolsky\TASS via Getty ImagesRussia's rising inflation and plunging currency have spotlighted an emerging discord between the Kremlin and the country's central bank. Analysts suggested the government's direct strong-arming of the central bank into monetary policy action was a sign of the problems faced by the country's economy. In other words, the Russian currency has entered a vicious circle that it will struggle to escape from." This is because the negative factors behind the weakening currency are largely outside the control of the Central Bank of Russia." She added that blaming the central bank has therefore become an "easy tactic" for the Kremlin in the absence of any tangible options through which to improve the situation.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina Alexei Nikolsky, Vladimir Putin's, Maxim Oreshkin, Anatoly Aksakov, Agathe Demarais, Demarais, Stephanie Kennedy, Julius Baer, Kennedy Organizations: Russian Central Bank Governor, Getty, Kremlin, Central Bank of Russia, Bank, Bank of Russia, Financial, Bank of, Economist Intelligence Unit, CNBC, CBR, U.S . Locations: Russia, Bank of Russia, Ukraine

The shares have been held in Russia by a different depositary bank. DRs are certificates issued by a bank representing shares in a foreign company traded on a local stock exchange. Swapping DRs for shares in the Russian company is a first step towards an effort to recover their money. Deutsche Bank is now allowing investors to swap DRs for shares as part of its plans to exit all Russia business, one source said. JPMorgan & Chase (JPM.N), Citigroup (C.N) and BNY Mellon (BK.N) act as depositary banks for most other Russian depositary receipt programs, according to Clearstream.

Persons: Mechel, underscoring, Irina Tsukerman, Grigory Marinichev, Morgan Lewis, BNY Mellon, Sinead Cruise, Alexander Marrow, Elisa Martinuzzi, Megan Davies, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Moscow LONDON, Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Deutsche, Aeroflot, LSR, Novolipetsk, The Central Bank of Russia, Depository, JPMorgan, Chase, Citigroup, BNY, Commission, Control, Foreign Investments, Thomson Locations: Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Washington, London, Carolina, New York

☆ 'No sane investor' could be fooled by Putin's charade of optimism for Russia's economy, researcher says
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Putin's show of Russia's economic strength won't fool any "sane investor," Carnegie scholar Alexandra Prokopenko said. She pointed to Russia's growing budget deficit and labor shortage as its war on Ukraine drags on. Experts have warned of trouble for Russia's economy as war and sanctions bite into the nation's finances. GDP could grow as much as 2% this year, Putin estimated, adding that the nation's military spending had only resulted in a "small" budget deficit so far. The Kremlin's official statistics also give a misleading view of Russia's economy, she said.

Persons: Alexandra Prokopenko, —, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Prokopenko, it's, SPIEF Organizations: Carnegie, Service, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Central Bank of Russia, St ., Economic, Carnegie Endowment, International, Defense Ministry, Yale Locations: Ukraine, St, St . Petersburg, Russian

LONDON, Jan 27 (Reuters) - The High Court in London ruled on Friday that a prominent Russian businessman could not pause an $850 million fraud lawsuit brought by two Russian banks because of British sanctions. Boris Mints and his sons Dmitry, Alexander and Igor are being sued by National Bank Trust, which is 99% owned by the Central Bank of Russia, on behalf of Bank Otkritie, once Russia’s largest private lender before it collapsed in 2017. The judge said her written ruling containing her reasons for refusing to pause the case would be published on Friday afternoon. She also granted permission to appeal against her decision to both the Mints family and the banks, saying: "It is plainly a case with far wider implications." Reporting by Sam Tobin; Editing by Elizabeth Piper and Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ First on CNN: Defense bill takes aim at Russia’s pot of gold
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN Business —A must-pass defense bill now being negotiated in Congress includes new sanctions designed to trip up Russia’s war machine by targeting Moscow’s mountain of gold. If passed, the defense bill would directly sanction any American entities that knowingly transact with or transport gold from Russia’s central bank holdings. As of mid-2021, Russia’s central bank held $127 billion worth of gold, according to the Central Bank of Russia. The gold is stored at vaults within the territory of the Russian Federation, the Russian central bank has said. In June, President Joe Biden announced the United States and the rest of the G7 would impose a ban on imports of Russian gold.

☆ Oil is all that Putin has left, U.S. presidential advisor Amos Hochstein says
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( Anmar Frangoul | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil is all Russia's economy has left following its invasion of Ukraine earlier this year, according to Amos Hochstein, special presidential coordinator for President Joe Biden. "Oil is the only thing they have left in that economy … Putin has destroyed the rest of the economy," Hochstein told CNBC's Hadley Gamble Monday. "All he's got left is the stuff that comes out of the ground. He won't sell his gas to Europe anymore, so all he has is oil, so that's what funds this war." The Russian economy shrunk by 4% year-on-year over the second quarter, and the Central Bank of Russia expects the downturn to deepen in the quarters ahead.

☆ Putin called an additional 300,000 men into the military a month ago, and it's taking a toll on the economy
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Putin's mobilization of men for the Ukraine war could hit the economy, the Russian central bank said. More than 300,000 Russian men and their families have fled the country since the mobilization order. "The recovery of economic activity stalled in September," the research department of the Central Bank of Russia said in a report on Wednesday. Russia's central bank did not reference those escaping from the call-up, but said the mobilization has created new challenges for production processes and output maintenance. "September's events will not necessarily push Russia into an immediate recession, but challenges are mounting," Morning Consult analysts said.

☆ No catastrophe, but sanctions on Moscow are working, says Russian economy veteran
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-20 | by ( Darya Korsunskaya | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Former First Deputy Chairman of the Central Bank of Russia Oleg Vyugin leaves the bank headquarters in Moscow, Russia February 8, 2018. "If there were no sanctions, the Russian economy could have grown 6% this year," Vyugin, who served as deputy finance minister and deputy central bank governor during his career before he retired from a Moscow Exchange post this year, told Reuters in an interview. Russian officials have been at pains to praise Russia's economic strength in the face of sanctions. Meanwhile, China is reaping the rewards of cheaper energy supplies from Russia, as Moscow looks east in search of alternative markets. read moreVyugin expects some sanctions impact to be felt with a delay, namely in the technology sector, where the reliance on imports is high.

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