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Japan's third-quarter real gross domestic product expanded 0.3% year on year, snapping two straight quarters of year-on-year decline, according to government data released Friday. The GDP reading marked a reversal from the revised 1.1% decline seen in the second quarter. The data comes against the backdrop of the Bank of Japan raising rates from 0.1% to 0.25% in July — its highest level since 2008. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP rose 0.2%, in line with Reuters poll estimates, but lower than the 0.5% growth in the second quarter. On an annualized basis, the economy expanded 0.9%, beating estimates of a 0.7% expansion.
Organizations: Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan needs to increase interest rates to defend the Japanese yen: StrategistAmir Anvarzadeh of Asymmetric Advisors discusses the outlook of the Japanese economy and what role the Bank of Japan can play to strengthen the Yen.
Persons: Amir Anvarzadeh Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Advisors, Bank of Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ may be 'cornered' into raising rates if yen depreciates quickly after Trump victory: MizuhoShoki Omori, chief Japan desk strategist at Mizuho Securities, says if the yen starts to hit the 158-160 level, the Bank of Japan may be forced to raise rates earlier than it intended.
Persons: Omori Organizations: Trump, Mizuho, Mizuho Securities, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan
People visit a riverside in front of the Lujiazui financial district, during the National People's Congress (NPC) in Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. Aly Song | ReutersAsia-Pacific markets were set to climb on Tuesday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and major U.S. indexes continued their postelection rally. In Japan, the country will be releasing spending data for September, which will offer clues to the policy path ahead for the Bank of Japan. Strong spending data would support the case for the BOJ to raise rates, and vice versa. If stocks follow futures, the Hong Kong index will hit its highest level in about a month.
Persons: Aly Song, Australia's Organizations: National People's Congress, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, China's National People Congress, Bank of Japan, Nikkei Locations: Shanghai, China, Reuters Asia, Pacific, U.S, Asia, Japan, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong
A screen displays the Nikkei 225 Stock Average figure on the trading floor at the Nomura Securities Co. headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Jan. 11, 2024. SINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Wednesday after Wall Street surged overnight ahead of the U.S. presidential election results. Japan's Nikkei 225 opened up 0.7%, while the Topix gained 0.4%. The Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting minutes will be released later in the day, which could give insights on where the members stand on the bank's policy path. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.7% higher.
Persons: Kospi Organizations: Nomura Securities Co, U.S, Nikkei, People's Congress Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific
After a messy election, the Bank of Japan decided to hold its benchmark policy rate at 0.25%, as expected. These outlook risks highlight that the timing of the next BOJ rate hike could depend heavily on developments overseas, as well as the exchange rate and its impact on the Japanese economy, Otani added. He added that it would surpass the 13 trillion yen ($84.6 billion) allocated in last year's supplementary budget. When Ishiba returns, he is expected to hold an extraordinary Diet session, during which he hopes to pass the supplementary budget plan, according to local news. Then I would probably rule out a rate hike in December, because that would create a lot of uncertainty about the fiscal situation."
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Stefan Angrick, Angrick, Akira Otani, Goldman Sachs, Otani, Marcel Thieliant, Shigeru Ishiba, Ishibia, Ishiba, Thieliant Organizations: Japan, Bank of Japan, Moody's, Liberal Democratic Party, Asia Pacific, Capital Economics, CNBC, Democratic Party Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Brazil
Dollar steady as investors eye U.S. jobs report, election
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar steadied against major peers on Friday, as investors awaited the U.S. jobs report to confirm economic resiliency heading into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and a close-call U.S. presidential election next week. The dollar steadied against major peers on Friday, as investors awaited the U.S. jobs report to confirm economic resiliency heading into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and a close-call U.S. presidential election next week. The U.S. dollar started November off at a lower level after coming under pressure against the yen and euro on Thursday. (Kazuo) Ueda's press conference," Morgan Stanley MUFG economists Takeshi Yamaguchi and Masayuki Inui wrote in a report on Thursday. The Fed's monetary policy decision next week comes just days after the U.S. presidential election on Tuesday.
Persons: Nonfarm, Tapas Strickland, Kazuo, Ueda's, Morgan Stanley, Takeshi Yamaguchi, Masayuki Inui, Sterling, Rachel Reeves, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump's Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, U.S ., Reuters, National Australia Bank, Gov, U.S, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), speaks during a news conference at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo, JapanAsia-Pacific markets are set for a mixed open on Thursday as investors look to the Bank of Japan's rate decision, as well as key business activity figures from China. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOJ will hold rates at 0.25%, although the statement will be parsed for any clues on the timing of its next rate hike. In China, the National Bureau of Statistics is set to release the country's official purchasing managers index numbers for September, with the manufacturing PMI forecast to come in at 49.9, a softer contraction than the 49.8 the month before. Still, that would be the sixth straight month of contraction for the country's manufacturing sector.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bank of, Reuters, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Tokyo, Japan Asia, Pacific, China
Yen under pressure as BOJ keeps rates steady
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The yen remained under pressure on Thursday as the Bank of Japan kept ultra-low interest rates steady, while the U.S. dollar consolidated ahead of jobs data later this week and the U.S. presidential election next week. The BOJ kept interest rates steady on Thursday and roughly maintained its forecast that inflation will hover near its 2% inflation target in coming years, signaling its readiness to continue rolling back its massive monetary stimulus. Analysts are divided over the prospect of additional interest rate hikes by year-end, putting the focus on BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting briefing for clues on the pace and timing of further increases. "Any strengthening of the yen at present would likely result from a general weakening of the U.S. dollar if interest rates begin to align," said Sean Teo, a sales trader at Saxo.
Persons: Yen, Kazuo Ueda's, Sean Teo, payrolls, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Sterling Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S ., U.S, Treasury, Saxo, National Statistics, PMI, Westpac, European Central Bank, Australian, Analysts, New Zealand Locations: China, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan paused its interest rate normalization to wait for the outcome of the U.S. electionShigeto Nagai of Oxford Economics says the Bank of Japan cannot explicitly state so, but the main concern and reason behind its monetary policy decision is how the U.S. elections might affect the Yen.
Persons: Shigeto Nagai Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Oxford Economics, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S
The outcome of this snap election signals that Ishiba may face difficulties in getting his party's policies passed in parliament. These include "more fiscal stimulus measures," and a cut in tax rates, Okamura added. His comments come amid expectations of the Bank of Japan leaving its rates unchanged at its meeting on Oct. 31. 'High-quality companies' Okamura is now betting on "higher quality companies with good pricing power." The five are also among the top holdings in the 19.1 billion yen (124.6 million) Japan Equity Engagement Fund .
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Izumi Devalier, CNBC's, Neuberger Berman's Kei Okamura, Okamura —, , Okamura, bode Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of America, Nikkei, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bank of Japan's, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of Japan, Hitachi, Mitsubishi Logistics, Tokyo Marine Holdings, Japan Equity, Tokyo Marine Locations: Japan, Tokyo, shareholdings
TOKYO — The makeup of Japan’s future government was in flux on Monday after voters punished Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s scandal-tainted ruling coalition in a weekend election, leaving no party with a clear mandate to lead the world’s fourth-largest economy. The biggest winner of the night, the main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ), had 148 seats, up from 98 previously, but also still well short of the 233 majority. But days before the vote, a newspaper affiliated with the Japan Communist Party reported that the party had provided campaign funds to branches headed by non-endorsed candidates. “LDP’s payments to branches show utter lack of care for public image,” ran an editorial in the influential Asahi newspaper two days before the election. In one bright spot, a record 73 women were elected into Japan’s male-dominated parliament, surpassing 54 at the 2009 election.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba’s, , Ishiba, Komeito, Keiichi Ishii, , Tobias Harris, Yoshihiko Noda, Fumio Kishida, Yuichiro Tamaki, Nobuyuki Baba, Rintaro Nishimura, Masakazu Tokura Organizations: U.S, Ishiba’s Liberal Democratic Party, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, Japan Foresight, LDP, Japan Communist Party, Asahi, Democratic Party for, People, Japan Innovation Party, DPP, Bank of Japan, Asia, Komeito Locations: TOKYO, China, North Korea, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets trying to understand BOJ & yen position post-elections: StrategistThe Nikkei 225 rockets higher after a surprising defeat for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. We ask Daniel Gerard from State Street Global Markets what that says about market sentiment, and where it leaves the Bank of Japan and the Japanese yen.
Persons: Daniel Gerard Organizations: Nikkei, Liberal Democratic Party, State Street Global, Bank of Japan
Japan's longtime ruling Liberal Democratic Party may have suffered an election shock, but analysts said that's unlikely to deter the Bank of Japan from its interest rate hike cycle. In Sunday's elections, the LDP lost its majority in Japan's lower house for the first time since 2009. Besides its junior coalition partner Komeito, the LDP will need to work with other parties to form a government. The political turmoil comes ahead of a Bank of Japan meeting this week. Roughly 86% of economists polled by Reuters expect the central bank to leave its rates unchanged when it announces its decision Thursday.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Japan's, Komeito, David Boling, CNBC's, they're, Izumi Devalier, Devalier, you've Organizations: Japan, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of Japan, LDP, Eurasia Group, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington , U.S, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapanese economy is 'weak and sluggish,' former BOJ board member saysSayuri Shirai, a former board member of the Bank of Japan, discusses Japan's currency and economic policies.
Persons: Sayuri Shirai Organizations: Bank of Japan
The yen touched a three-month low on Monday as Japan's ruling coalition lost its parliamentary majority and investors figured that would likely slow future interest rate hikes, while the dollar headed for a monthly gain on rising U.S. yields. On the dollar, the yen hit its weakest since late July at 153.3 in early-morning trade and it touched the same milestone at 165.36 to the euro . That was down from the 279 seats they held previously and marked the coalition's worst result since it briefly lost power in 2009. The U.S. dollar index has climbed 3.6% during October, its sharpest monthly rise since April 2022. The New Zealand dollar traded near a three-month low of $0.5974, down nearly 6% for the month.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Donald Trump, Sterling Organizations: Shigeru Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party, NHK, Bank of Japan, Nomura, U.S, gilts, Australian, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S, Europe, Australia, China
Japan votes in election expected to punish PM Ishiba's coalition
  + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
TOPSHOT - Officials look on as people vote during the general election at a polling station set up at a local school in Tokyo on October 27, 2024. Japan voted on October 27 in its tightest election in years, with new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and his juggernaut Liberal Democratic Party facing potentially their worst result since 2009. (Photo by Richard A. Brooks / AFP) (Photo by RICHARD A. BROOKS/AFP via Getty Images)Japan's voters decide the fate of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's government on Sunday in an election expected to punish his coalition over a funding scandal and inflation, potentially ending a decade of dominance for his Liberal Democratic Party. Political wrangling could roil markets and be a headache for the Bank of Japan, if Ishiba chooses a partner that favours maintaining near-zero interest rates when the central bank wants to gradually raise them. "That's basically the scenario for 'sell Japan'," as investors ponder how the outcome could affect fiscal and monetary policy, said Naka Matsuzawa, chief macro strategist at Nomura Securities.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Richard A, Brooks, RICHARD A, BROOKS, Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Ishiba, Jeffrey Hall, That's, Naka Matsuzawa Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Getty, LDP, Bank of Japan, Kanda University of International Studies, Asahi, Nomura Securities, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan Locations: Tokyo, Japan, AFP, China
Yen wobbles, vulnerable to political reverberations
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese yen banknotes of various denominations are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on July 22, 2015. The yen was last 0.1% lower at 152 per dollar and was looking at a 1.5% loss for the week. The yen has fallen roughly 5.5% for the month thus far, setting it up for its worst monthly decline since April 2022. Against the dollar, the euro last bought $1.08225, some distance away from its low of $1.076125 hit earlier this week. The dollar index last ticked up 0.04% to 104.09, after having scaled a roughly three-month high of 104.57 earlier in the week.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Katsunobu Kato, Janet Yellen, Donald Trump, Nick Rees, Sterling Organizations: of Japan's, Treasury, Liberal Democratic Party, LDP, National Australia Bank, country's Finance, FX, Monex, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Japanese, Germany —
Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Friday, with investors awaiting Japan's general election over the weekend. Japan also released its October inflation numbers for the capital city of Tokyo on Friday, its last key economic data before the election. Tokyo's inflation is widely considered a leading indicator of nationwide trends. The city's headline inflation rate fell to 1.8% in October from 2.2% the month before, with core inflation — which strips out prices of fresh food — also coming in at 1.8%, down from 2%. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the core inflation rate in Tokyo to slow to 1.7% in October.
Persons: Japan's Organizations: Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, Tokyo
IMF's Asia director compares Japan & China's fiscal challenges
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Asia director compares Japan & China's fiscal challengesKrishna Srinivasan, Director of IMF of Asia and Pacific Department, talks to CNBC's Martin Soong about Japan and China's fiscal positions, as the Bank of Japan normalizes its monetary policy and China embarks on measures to prop up the country's economy.
Persons: Krishna Srinivasan, CNBC's Martin Soong Organizations: IMF's, Japan, Pacific Department, Bank of Japan Locations: IMF's Asia, Asia, Japan, China
A queue of people forms outside a money changer (L) as people wait to buy and sell the Japanese yen against foreign currency, along a street in central Tokyo on April 29, 2024. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar. The Japanese yen is hovering near three-month lows against the U.S. dollar, after hitting 153.18 late Wednesday. "The annualised 1-month deposit rate for yen is +0.03%, while it is 4.76% for the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Alvin Tan, Homin Lee, Lombard Odier, Donald Trump, Lee, RBC's Tan, Hugh Chung Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, U.S, U.S ., Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Swiss, U.S
The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. This week, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said he would prefer to "avoid outsized moves", and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker backed "a slow, methodical approach" to further easing. The dollar has now "punched through key technical resistance levels" against the yen, "opening the door for higher levels", Catril said. Although opinion polls indicate a neck-and-neck race with Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, cryptocurrency-prediction exchange Polymarket has seen a sharp rise in bets for a Trump win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeffrey Schmid, Patrick Harker, Rodrigo Catril, Catril, Trump, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde, Mario Centeno Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Kansas, Philadelphia Fed, Treasury, National Australia Bank, UST, Republican, Democratic, Trump, of, Traders, European Central Bank, Wednesday Locations: Japan, Sunday's
Fed outlook pushes dollar to 2-1/2 month peak; yen under pressure
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar hovered at a 2-1/2-month peak on Wednesday as investors adjusted bets toward a gradual reduction of interest rates while keeping an eye on a close presidential election race. The yen remained under pressure as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields marched higher, pushing it to a three-month low. That less dovish outlook for the Fed has helped buoy Treasury yields. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was last up 0.11% at 104.18 after ticking up to 104.19, its highest since Aug. 2. The rise in U.S. Treasury yields kept the heat on the yen which sank to a three-month low of 151.72 against the greenback.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, there's, Index's Simpson, Komeito, Sterling Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican, Reuters, Democratic U.S, Markets, Trump, greenback, Liberal Democratic Party, of, European Central Bank Locations: Harris, U.S, Japan
Morgan Stanley shares soared to all-time highs Wednesday after third-quarter beats on the bank's top and bottom lines, with strength seen across the board. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD Club stock Morgan Stanley was up 7.5%. Morgan Stanley outpaced expectations in just about every aspect of each operating division and put up very strong quarterly results in terms of firmwide key performance indicators. Given its 15.1% CET1 ratio, Morgan Stanley has plenty of excess capital at its disposal to both continue investing in growth and return excess capital to shareholders. Morgan Stanley Why we own it : We own Morgan Stanley for the rebound taking place in IPO and M & A activity along with growth in wealth management, which provides more durable fee-based revenues.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley's, Sharon Yeshaya, Morgan Stanley repurchased, Goldman Sachs, Ted Pick, Morgan, Yeshaya, That's, Eaton Vance, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Bing Guan Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, Morgan Stanley YTD, Investment, Bloomberg, Institutional Securities, Bank of Japan, CNBC, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo
The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.
Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
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