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Read previewUkraine has dealt a massive blow to Russia's Black Sea Fleet in Crimea. Russia has retained control of Crimea since invading and annexing the peninsula in 2014 and secured Sevastopol as the headquarters for its Black Sea Fleet. Related stories"Without an amphibious naval force to land in Crimea, how can Ukraine project enough troops onto the peninsula to claim its control?" Ukraine has resorted to hitting Russia's air defenses in Crimea with missiles and long-range weapons, including US-supplied Army Tactical Missile Systems, known as ATACMS. "Even with F-16s, I don't think Ukraine has the ability to provide its ground forces effective close air support, given Russian air defense capability," he told BI.
Persons: , steeled, Mark Cancian, who's, Basil Germond, Ulf Mauder, Cancian, Mark Temnycky, Ukraine's, Mikhail Razvozhaev, Temnycky, Benjamin Friedman, VIKTOR KOROTAYEV, Sergej Sumlenny, Sumlenny, Operation Barbarossa, Friedman Organizations: Service, Business, US Marine, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Lancaster University, Getty, Council's Eurasia Center, Ukraine, Army Tactical Missile Systems, The Institute, Defense, Resilience Initiative, Soviet Union's Red Army, Russians, Red Army, Soviet Union —, Soviet Union Locations: Ukraine, Crimea, Russia, Sevastopol, Russian, Kerch, Feodosia, Novorossiysk, Kherson, Ukrainian, Pereko, Suvorikin, Soviet, Soviet Union, Operation, Soviet Ukraine, Pereko —
Significant pressure on productionThe US and Europe have ramped up artillery production rates to try to outgun Russia and meet Ukraine's battlefield needs. However, he noted that Israel would fight a "very" different type of war with Hezbollah than Ukraine is fighting with Russia. Ukraine could pay a priceCancian doesn't believe that Ukraine would run out of artillery projectiles. Levantovscaia said diverting artillery to Israel could potentially cost Ukraine the war, but said she wasn't "100% sold," and that Ukraine's innovation and determination could counterbalance that. Even so, Temnycky said that any new limits on arms and ammunition would "certainly" make the objective of winning the war in Ukraine harder.
Persons: , Daniel Hagari, Raphael Cohen, Kathryn Levantovscaia, Jeff Jurgensen, Levantovscaia, Mark Temnycky, RAND's Cohen, Israel, Mark Cancian, Cohen, Temnycky Organizations: Service, Hezbollah, Israel Defense Forces, Business, Israel's Air Force, Russia, RAND Project Air Force, Forward Defense, Strategy, Defense Ministry, Pentagon, CNN, Council's Eurasia, Hamas, Marine, Center for Strategic, International Studies, RAND, Israel, Ukraine Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Gaza, Ukraine, Europe, Russia, United States
The sea, which borders occupied southern Ukraine, is connected to the Black Sea via the Kerch Strait, and, crucially, Russia controls its coastline. AdvertisementUkraine's attacks have forced Russian warships to withdraw from Crimea and relocate to safer waters, where they have also come under attack. But this doesn't mean ships there will be safe from Ukraine's aerial drones and missiles, experts told BI. But he added that "Russia's warships in the Azov Sea are still at the mercy of Ukrainian missiles and aerial drones." AdvertisementMeanwhile, Russian "missiles can reach most of Ukraine from the Sea of Azov and ports along the Russian Black Sea coast," Clark said.
Persons: , Dmitry Pletenchuk, Pletenchuk, Matthew Boyse, Basil Germond, Mark Temnycky, Scott Savitz, Bryan Clark, Clark, Steven Horrell, Igor Delanoë, Savitz Organizations: Service, Kyiv Independent, Business, Naval Forces of, Armed Forces of, Hudson Institute's Center, Lancaster University, Council's Eurasia Center, RAND, US Navy, Hudson Institute, Transatlantic Defense, Security, Center for Locations: Russian, Azov, Kyiv, Ukraine, Kerch, Russia, Crimea, Armed Forces of Ukraine, Europe, Eurasia, Ukrainian, Western
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