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☆ Iran's big gamble on ballistic missiles is being tested like never before
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

At the same time, it has still prioritized building offensive ballistic missiles to deter and strike its adversaries. Several reports go so far as to report that Iran's entire arsenal of Russian-built S-300 air defense systems was hit. Related storiesThere are reasons to be skeptical about the extent of damage to Iran's air defenses. Israel's attack was retaliation for Iran's enormous October 1 ballistic missile strike. Unlike its foe Israel, which has built one of the world's most advanced air defense systems, Iran has focused on developing strike missiles.

Persons: —, Tehran's, Joe Biden's, Amos Hochstein, hasn't, Arash Azizi, Boston University's Frederick S, James Devine, Israel, Farzin, Nadimi, Azizi, Devine Organizations: Service, Boston University's, Pardee Center, Iran's, Department of Politics, Relations, Mount Allison University, Washington Institute for Near East, AIM, Phoenix, Soviet Union, American Hawk Locations: Iran, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, Tehran, Moscow, Iraq, Soviet, American, China, North Korea

☆ Iran is now dangerously vulnerable to the consequences of another attack on Israel
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Jake Epstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Israel carried out a series of precision strikes on military targets in Iran late last month. AdvertisementIran is signaling that it will deliver a harsh response to Israel's late-October strikes, which were revenge for Tehran's retaliatory ballistic missile attack at the start of the month. However, another direct Iranian attack on Israel — which would be its third ever — invites additional Israeli strikes at a time when Tehran is dangerously unprepared. Israel struck several S-300s, a Russian-made surface-to-air missile system considered to be the most advanced air-defense battery that Iran operates. He said last week that the strikes on Iran's air-defense network create "a huge disadvantage for the enemy when we will want to strike later."

Persons: Israel, —, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Israel —, Salemi, Vahid, Yoav Gallant Organizations: Service, AP, Institute for, Embassy, Israeli, Planet Labs PBC, Israel, US, Pentagon Locations: Iran, Israel, Tehran, Russian, Washington, Iran's

☆ Oil prices steady on shrinking U.S. crude inventories
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices stabilized on Wednesday on industry data showing a surprise drop in U.S. crude and gasoline inventories, following two previous sessions of losses on the prospect of hostilities easing in the Middle East. U.S. crude oil and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said on Tuesday, citing American Petroleum Institute figures. Crude stocks dipped by 573,000 barrels in the week ended Oct. 25, the sources said on condition of anonymity. Gasoline inventories lost 282,000 barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 1.46 million barrels, the sources said. On Monday, prices lost about 6% after Israel's retaliatory strike on Iran over the weekend missed Tehran's oil infrastructure.

Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S, Israeli Locations: Midland , Texas, Lebanon, Iran

☆ A familiar-looking Houthi torpedo could be derived from captured US tech, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The weapon resembles a US sea drone the group captured years ago, analysts told BI. AdvertisementThe Houthi rebels in Yemen have a new torpedo to show off — and it looks familiar. Martin Kelly of the UK advisory firm EOS Risk Group, said the torpedo could derive from a US REMUS 600 drone lost in 2018. Houthi forcesPer Kelly, Iranian scientists could have turned a captive example into a "blueprint" for the homegrown weapon seen this week. He told BI that the torpedo looked like models put on display at an Iranian navy exhibition in Tehran in December 2023.

Persons: —, Al Qar'iah, Martin Kelly, REMUS, US REMUS, Per Kelly, Kelly, Mohammed Albasha Organizations: Service, EOS Risk, US MIM, US, US Defense Intelligence Agency, Geneva Graduate Institute, BI, US Navy, Pentagon, Drewry Locations: Iran, Yemen, US, Russia, Ukraine, Tehran, Iranian, Red, Israel, Gaza, Albasha

☆ Israeli strikes dealt a serious blow to Iran's missile operations but far from destroyed them
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Jake Epstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Satellite images show the strikes caused damage at sites linked to Iran's missile program. Officials and analysts say Iran's missile operations took a hit, but it's unclear how badly. The strikes were a long-awaited response to Iran's massive ballistic missile attack against Israel on October 1, the second such attack this year. AdvertisementHowever, Nadimi said Iran's missile industry is large, dispersed, and hardened underground. The Israeli strikes "can only delay certain processes for weeks or months at best," he said, adding that follow-up strikes likely three times as large would be needed to have lasting effects.

Persons: —, Yoav Gallant, Nadimi, ISW, Michael Allen, Bush, Morteza Nikoubazl, Getty Images Allen, Israel Organizations: Iran, Service, Israel, Israeli Air Force, Israel Defense Forces Iran, Israeli, Planet Labs PBC, Business, Planet, Planet Labs PBC Farzin, The Washington Institute for Near East, Planet Labs PBC Nadimi, Institute for, National Security Council, Getty Images, Royal United Services Institute Locations: Israel, Iran, Tehran, Shahroud, Washington, Russia

☆ Oil slips more than 4% after Iran downplays Israeli strikes
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A pump jack operates in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. Oil prices tumbled more than $3 a barrel on Monday after Israel's retaliatory strike on Iran over the weekend bypassed Tehran's oil and nuclear facilities and did not disrupt energy supplies, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Both Brent and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures hit their lowest levels since Oct. 1 at the open. The geopolitical risk premium that had built in oil prices in anticipation of Israel's retaliatory attack came off, analysts said. In October, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, a group known as OPEC+, kept their oil output policy unchanged including a plan to start raising output from December.

Persons: Brent, WTI, Saul Kavonic, Tim Evans Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, U.S . West Texas, Evans Energy, Organization of, Petroleum Locations: Midland , Texas, Iran, U.S, Tehran, OPEC

☆ Israel strikes Iran military targets, Tehran says damage 'limited'
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

TEHRAN, IRAN - OCTOBER 26: A view of Iran's capital, Tehran, following the Israeli army's announcement of strikes targeting 'military objectives' in Iran on October 26, 2024. Israeli army stated, 'In response to the ongoing attacks against Israel in recent months, precise strikes are currently being conducted on military targets in Iran.' A semi-official Iranian news agency vowed a "proportional reaction" to the Israeli strikes. Tensions between Iran and Israel have grown rapidly since the Oct. 7, 2023 attack on Israel by Iran-backed Hamas. Israel's military, signalling it did not expect an immediate Iranian response, said there was no change to public safety restrictions across the country.

Persons: Israel, Fatemeh Bahrami Organizations: Getty Images, West Bank, Iran's, Hezbollah, United, Tehran's Locations: TEHRAN, IRAN, Tehran, Iran, Anadolu, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, United States

☆ Oil heads for weekly gain as Middle East tensions keep traders on edge
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices rose on Friday and are on track for a weekly gain of more than 1%, as tensions in the world's top oil-producing region, the Middle East, and a restart in Gaza ceasefire talks in the coming days kept traders on edge. Both benchmarks settled down 58 cents a barrel in the previous session after prices fluctuated against expectations of heightened or reduced tensions in the Middle East. Oil traders are waiting for Israel's response to a missile attack by Iran on Oct. 1 that may involve hitting Tehran's oil infrastructure and disrupt supplies, although reports said Israel would strike Iranian military, not nuclear or oil, targets. U.S. and Israeli officials are set to restart talks for a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza in the coming days. Ceasefire talks have a small net negative impact on oil prices, Sycamore said, adding the focus is more on the conflict in Lebanon and Israel's potential response to Iran.

Persons: Tony Sycamore, Israel, Antony Blinken, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, West Texas, NPC, East ., U.S Locations: Gaza, East, Iran, United States, Lebanon, France, China

☆ Russia says it has no intention of abandoning Iran as it faces Israel's wrath
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Alexander Shcherbak | Afp | Getty ImagesThe Kremlin said it has no intention of abandoning Iran as it faces a widely-expected direct attack from Israel. He did not directly answer whether Iran had asked Russia for support against Israel. Peskov told CNBC that Russia "maintains a dialogue with all parties involved in the conflict in the Middle East." Russia and Iran's 'strategic' dealTo see just how Russia could look to support Iran, all eyes are now on the BRICS summit that's taking place in Kazan, southwestern Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin (R) shakes hands with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian (L) during their meeting, October 11, 2024, in Ashgabat, Turkmenistan.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Masoud Pezeshkian, Magtymguly, Alexander Shcherbak, Dmitry Peskov, Sergei Ilnitsky, Peskov, Ali Akbar Ahmadian, Vyacheslav Prokofyev, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu's, Ozcelik Organizations: Sputnik, Afp, Getty, Ukraine, CNBC, Kremlin, Google, Israel, Commonwealth of Independent States, CIS, Reuters, United, United Arab Emirates, Iran's, National Security Council, Middle, International Security, Royal United Services Institute, U.S, Global, UN Security Council Locations: Russian, Ashgabat, Iran, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Republic, Russia, Tehran, Moscow, Reuters Russia, Saudi Arabia, Syria, United Arab, Ukraine, Saint Petersburg, Kazan, Brazil, India, China, South Africa, what's, Turkmenistan

☆ Iran aided Russia against Ukraine. Now it needs to call in the favor
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Russia is unlikely to offer military intervention against Israel on behalf of the Iranians, Saab said, given it is already "too bogged down in Ukraine." In return for Iran's support, Russia has bolstered Iran's military capabilities in several areas, they noted: "Iran has made notable progress in acquiring advanced conventional weaponry from Russia, allowing it to achieve some of its defense officials' long-standing goals. Iranian protesters shout anti-Israeli slogans while burning an Israeli flag in a celebration for Iran's missile attack against Israel, in Tehran, Iran, on October 1, 2024. That shared antipathy toward the U.S. and desire to create a "new world order" are what largely binds Iran and Russia. Russia cannot — and will not — save Iran in its confrontation with Israel and the United States," he noted.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Masoud Pezeshkian, Israel, Bilal Y, They've, Saab, It's, Karim Sadjadpour, Nicole Grajewski, Su, John Kirby, Morteza, Mikhail Svetlov, Bashar al, Nikita Smagin, Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Saab, North Africa, Israel, Kremlin, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Security, Ukraine, Nurphoto, United, Base, Russian International Affairs Council, Saudi Arabian Crown, Royal, Anadolu Locations: Ashgabat, Turkmenistan, Iran, Ukraine, Tehran, Russia, Islamic Republic, East, United States, Russian, U.S, Ukrainian, Gaza, Lebanon, Israel, Iranian, Yemen, Syria, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Syria's, Moscow, Saudi, Al Yamamah, Riyadh

☆ Russia weighs fighter jet and missile deals that would expand Iran's military power
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Paul Iddon | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Advanced air defenses and anti-ship cruise missiles may also be on the table. Iran has ordered Su-35 fighters and also wants S-400 Triumf air defenses to, among other things, face Israel's superior missiles and air force. If all these deals do go forward, they would enhance the military capabilities of Iran and its allied militias. While the type of equipment was not specified, it could be the S-400 Iran has long sought. Iran is seeking Russia's S-400 air defenses.

Persons: —, Su, Justin Bronk, Bronk, Anton Mardasov, hasn't, Mardasov, parry, Israel, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Iran, Technology, Military Sciences, United Kingdom's Royal United Services Institute, The New York Times, Russian Defense Ministry, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Moscow, Iran's Locations: Russia, Iran, Israel, Ukraine, Tehran, East, Syria, Moscow, Saudi Arabia, United States, Russian, Kyiv, Panamanian, Lebanon

☆ Oil edges up, but on track for biggest weekly loss in over a month
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Crude oil futures inched higher on Friday, supported by a surprise drop in U.S. oil inventories and simmering Middle East tensions, but prices were headed for their biggest weekly loss in more than a month on worries of lower demand. Both contracts settled higher on Thursday for the first time in five sessions after data from the Energy Information Administration showed that U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillate inventories fell last week. "Speculative positioning across the ICE Brent complex strengthened from historically low levels, on heightened geopolitical risk of a potential Israeli strike on Iran's oil infrastructure," Citi analysts said in a note. Citi expects global oil demand to slow to 900,000 bpd in 2025 from 1 million bpd this year on an economic slowdown and as more electric vehicles hit the road. The "potential impact of China's emerging economic stimulus plans on oil demand is uncertain, and more robust support may only result in a limited boost," it added.

Persons: Brent, WTI Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Energy, Administration, of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, ICE, Citi Locations: San Joaquin Valley, McKittrick , California, OPEC, Israel, Iran

☆ US says B-2 stealth bombers struck hidden Houthi weapons, sending a message to foes that nothing is out of reach
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Jake Epstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The strikes targeted Houthi weapons storage facilities, according to the Pentagon. US B-2 bombers were part of the operation, marking their first known involvement in the Houthi conflict. AdvertisementThe US military hit Houthi targets in Yemen with multiple "precision strikes," the Pentagon announced late Wednesday evening. The strikes on Wednesday — early Thursday local time — mark the latest US bombardment of Houthi targets in Yemen. American forces targeted the rebels earlier this month.

Persons: —, Defense Lloyd Austin, Austin Organizations: Pentagon, Service, Defense, Navy, US Air Force, of Defense, US Central Command, US Locations: Yemen, Iran, United States, Gulf of Aden, Israel

☆ Israeli military says it is investigating the possible killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Ruxandra Iordache | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Israeli military on Thursday said it was investigating the "possibility" that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar was among three militants killed in an operation in the Gaza Strip. The Israeli Defense Forces added that the identity of the three casualties could not be confirmed at this time. "The forces that are operating in the area are continuing to operate with the required caution," it added in a social media post. In a social media update posted after the IDF communication, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said, "You will pursue your enemies and they will fall before you by the sword. Sinwar assumed overall command of the Iran-backed Hamas in August, following the assassination of former political chief Ismail Haniyeh.

Persons: Yahya Sinwar, Yoav Gallant, John Kirby, Washington, Sinwar, Ismail Haniyeh, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Houthis, Hassan Nasrallah Organizations: Israeli Defense Forces, CNBC, Israeli, National Security, NBC News, Hezbollah Locations: Gaza, Iran, Israel, Tehran, Lebanese, Beirut, U.S, Asia, Pacific

☆ Oil eases though investors wary over potential Mideast supply disruption
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil eased on Friday after a rally the previous day, but prices remained set for a second straight weekly gain as investors weighed the impact of hurricane damage on U.S. demand against any broad supply disruption if Israel attacks Iranian oil sites. Brent crude oil futures fell 39 cents, or 0.5%, to $79.01 a barrel by 0152 GMT. "Oil prices are likely to hover around the current 200-day average levels, with the primary concern being whether Israel will retaliate against Iranian oil facilities," he said. Crude benchmarks spiked this month after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel on Oct. 1, raising the prospect of retaliation against Iranian oil facilities. Israel has yet to respond, and crude benchmarks have eased and remained relatively flat through the week.

Persons: Hurricane Milton, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Brent, WTI, Yoav Gallant Organizations: . West Texas, NS, Nissan Securities, Israeli, Hezbollah, Reuters, National Oil Corporation Locations: Norway, Brent, United States, Hurricane, Florida, Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Hamas, Gaza, Yemen, Beirut, Gulf, Washington

☆ Why oil and gas markets are dreading the risk of supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In 2022, oil flow in the Strait of Hormuz averaged 21 million barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Saul Kavonic, senior research analyst at MST Financial, said supply disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices significantly higher. Oil prices traded more than 3% on Monday, extending gains even after notching their sharpest weekly gain since early 2023 last week. "But seeing where the oil price sits right now the market doesn't seem to hold much probability for such a development at all," he added. "A significant disruption to these flows would be enough to push oil prices to new record highs, surpassing the record high of close to $150/bbl in 2008," he added.

Persons: Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, CNBC's, Iraq —, Gelder, Saul Kavonic, Kavonic, Bjarne Schieldrop, SEB, Brent, Schieldrop, Warren Patterson, Patterson Organizations: Nurphoto, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Energy, Brent, U.S, West Texas, ING, bbl, United Arab Emirates, Space Shuttle Columbia Locations: Persian, Bushehr, Iran, Hormuz, Oman, Strait, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, UAE, Gulf, Muscat

☆ S&P's Dan Yergin warns of 'dangerous time' for global economy as Middle East tensions fester
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Iran fired hundreds of ballistic missiles and drones at Israel in retaliation for an attack on an Iranian diplomatic facility in Syria. The global economy is entering a "dangerous time" like never before as Middle East tensions remain elevated, said S&P Global's vice chairman Daniel Yergin. When asked if the global economy is on the precipice of another supply shock resulting from Middle East tensions, Yergin said it's a precarious time for markets. "The betting is that the Israelis would not attack, try to attack, the nuclear facilities at this time. It is a strategically important waterway linking crude producers in the Middle East with key markets across the world.

Persons: Yergin, CNBC's, Joe Biden, Daniel Yergin, it's, —, Pavel Molchanov, Raymond James, Iran's Organizations: White House, Cuban Missile, Iran Watch, Wisconsin, U.S . Energy Information Administration Locations: Iran, Israel, Iranian, Syria, China, Hormuz, Oman

☆ U.S. crude oil jumps 2%, trades near $76 as market waits for Israel strike against Iran
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. crude oil rose about 2% on Monday, as the market waited for Israel to strike Iran. Oil prices spiked last week on fears that Israel could hit Iran's oil industry in retaliation for Tehran's ballistic missile attack. The impact on the oil market would be significant if Israel struck Kharg Island, through which 90% of Iran's crude exports pass, Croft said. The worst-case scenario is a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's crude exports flow, Gelder said. Iran might target the strait in response to an Israeli strike, which would have a far more dramatic effect on crude prices, the analyst said.

Persons: Israel, Joe Biden, Biden, Helima Croft, Croft, CNBC's, Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, Gelder Organizations: Texas Intermediate, Brent, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Israel, Iran, U.S, Kharg, Wood, Strait, Hormuz

☆ Goldman Sachs says crude could spike by $20 on Iran oil shock
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The oil tanker 'Devon' prepares to transfer crude oil from Kharg Island oil terminal to India in the Persian Gulf, Iran, on March 23, 2018. Oil prices could shoot up $20 per barrel if Iranian production sees a hit resulting from Israeli retaliation, according to Goldman Sachs. U.S. crude oil prices just saw a third consecutive session of gains after Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel, heightening tensions in the region. If Israel hits Iran's oil industry, supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could become of concern, other analysts echoed. This strategically significant waterway connects crude oil producers in the Middle East with major global markets.

Persons: Struyven, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's, Saul Kavonic, Joe Biden, Brent Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, Oil, CNBC, White, bbl, USD150, Fitch Solutions, BMI Locations: Devon, India, Persian Gulf, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, U.S, China, Hormuz, Strait, Oman, OPEC

☆ U.S. crude oil has risen nearly 9% this week as traders fear Middle East supply disruption
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Just how high prices would go depends on whether OPEC uses its spare oil capacity to plug the gap, Struyven said. Here are today's energy prices:Though oil prices have surged this week on geopolitical tensions, they have risen from a low baseline. "The risk to the oil price outlook are definitely significant," Struyven told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" Friday. The oil market had largely ignored the escalating war in the Middle East until Iran launched nearly 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday. The risk premium has been modest because there haven't been sustained supply disruptions over the past two years despite high geopolitical tensions, Struyven said.

Persons: Joe Biden, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, Struyven, CNBC's, Brent, haven't Organizations: OPEC Locations: Israel, Israeli, China, East, Iran

☆ Satellite imagery shows Iranian oil tankers at country’s major terminal disappearing amid fears of Israeli counterattack
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A general view of the Port of Kharg Island Oil Terminal in Iran on March 12, 2017. Fatemeh Bahrami | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesSatellite imagery revealed a number of oil tankers vacating the waters around Iran's key Kharg Island oil loading terminal, amid fears of an Israeli counterattack on Tehran's energy infrastructure. Their empty VLCC supertankers vacated the country's largest oil terminal, Kharg Island, yesterday," tracking firm TankerTrackers.com wrote in a post on the X social media platform on Thursday evening. VLCC tankers are specifically designed to transport large volumes of crude oil. Kharg Island: Iran's largest oil terminalLocated fifteen miles off Iran's northwestern coast, the Kharg Island terminal handles more than 90% of the country's crude exports.

Persons: Fatemeh, TankerTrackers.com, Hassan Nasrallah —, Samir Madani, Sara Vakhshouri, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: Anadolu Agency, Getty, National Iranian Tanker Company, Copernicus, Sentinel, Sentinel Hub CNBC, CNBC, Kharg, SVB Energy, Brent, West Texas Locations: Kharg, Iran, Israel, Persian, London

☆ U.S. crude oil rises for third day as traders fear Middle East escalation that disrupts supplies
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. crude oil prices rose nearly 2% on Thursday for a third consecutive session of gains, as the market braces for Israel to retaliate against Iran. The risk of oil supply disruptions increases as fighting in the Middle East intensifies, but OPEC+ is sitting on a large amount of spare crude that could step into the breach, according to Claudio Galimberti, chief economist at Rystad Energy. U.S. crude oil has gained 5% this week. "That would add a significant risk premium to oil," he told CNBC's "Street Signs Europe." As a consequence, oil prices could surge to $200 per barrel if Israel hits Iran's oil infrastructure, he said.

Persons: Claudio Galimberti, Galimberti, Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, CNBC's Organizations: Rystad Energy Locations: Israel, Iran, OPEC, Swedish, Strait, Hormuz

☆ What is happening between Israel and Iran and how might Israel respond to the latest attacks?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Helen Regan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

It’s the second time Iran has launched an aerial attack on Israel this year, but Tuesday’s barrage was of a different magnitude. Israel's anti-missile system intercepts rockets after Iran fired a salvo of ballistic missiles, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel, on October 1, 2024. While the Israeli military said most of the missiles were intercepted, some landed on Israeli soil and appeared to cause damage. Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty ImagesIn Gaza, Israel’s war against Hamas grinds on almost a year after the Palestinian militant group’s attack on Israel. Since Israel’s war in Gaza began, US troops have also been the target of escalating attacks by Iran-backed proxy groups.

Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, Hassan Nasrallah, Israel –, Amir Cohen, Pat Ryder, “, Nasrallah, Jonathan Panikoff, Hezbollah's, Atta Kenare, Ismail Haniyeh, PMO, Netanyahu, Naftali Bennett, Masoud Pezeshkian, Alexi J . Rosenfeld, Matthew Miller, Lloyd Austin Organizations: CNN, Israel, Reuters, Air Base, Tel Nof Air Base, Pentagon, Hezbollah, Getty, Hamas grinds, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Israeli, New, State Department, US Navy, US Army, US, Israel . Defense Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Beirut, Here’s, Syria, Ashkelon, Reuters Iran, Tehran, Tel Aviv, Israel’s, Washington, Yemen, Tehran's Palestine, AFP, Gaza, Iranian, Iraq, East, New York City, Eshkol Region, Jordan

☆ Oil prices rise on escalating attacks in the Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Storage tanks and oil processing facilities operate at Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and terminal in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, on Oct. 1, 2018. Oil prices rose on Wednesday on fears conflict in the Middle East could turn into a wider war and disrupt oil supply from the key producing region after Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel. Iran's oil output rose to a six-year high of 3.7 million barrels per day in August, ANZ added. "Iran accounts for about 4% of global oil output, but an important consideration will be whether Saudi Arabia increases production if Iranian supplies were disrupted." "Any suggestion that production hikes will proceed could offset concerns of supply disruptions in the Middle East," ANZ's note said.

Persons: Brent, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Joe Biden Organizations: U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, ANZ Research, ANZ, Israel, . Security, American Petroleum Institute Locations: Saudi, Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Tehran, OPEC, Russia, U.S

☆ Crude oil jumps nearly 3% as Israel vows 'painful' response to Iran missile attack
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. crude oil rose nearly 3% on Wednesday as traders fear Israel could target Iran's oil infrastructure in retaliation for a ballistic missile attack. Israel's ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, vowed late Tuesday that Israel will exact a "painful" response against Iran. Danon's threat came hours after the Islamic Republic launched around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation for the assassination of top Hamas and Hezbollah leaders. Israel might take aim at Iran's oil industry to hit Tehran's income and degrade its ability wage war, they said. OPEC+ is planning to increase oil production in December, and U.S. output has been set records.

Persons: Danny Danon, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs, Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby Organizations: United Nations, Islamic Locations: Israel, Iran, Islamic Republic, Persian, China

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