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Crude oil futures fell nearly 2% on Monday after OPEC cut its demand forecast for 2024 for the third time in a row. OPEC now sees demand growing by 1.9 million barrels per day in 2024, down from 2 million bpd in its previous forecast, according to a report released Monday. The group expects demand to grow by 1.6 million bpd in 2025, compared with 1.7 million bpd previously. U.S. officials told NBC News that Israel has narrowed down the targets it plans to hit. These include military targets and energy infrastructure, the officials told NBC.
Persons: Tamas Varga Organizations: Traders, NBC News, NBC Locations: China, Israel, Iran, U.S
Crude oil futures fell about 2% on Tuesday, as the rally on geopolitical risk took a pause while the market waits for Israel to strike back against Iran. "Oil can keep ascending only for so long purely based on perceptions and not actual supply disruption," Tamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, said in a Tuesday note. Oil prices have surged about 13% through Monday's close since Iran fired around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel last week, raising fears that Israel might retaliate by hitting Iran's crude industry. ET:The market was also disappointed that Chinese officials did not announce any new stimulus plans at a press briefing Tuesday. In early September, oil prices hit their lowest level since December 2021.
Persons: Tamas Varga, Israel, Phil Flynn Organizations: Iran, Price Futures Locations: Israel, Iran, China
Iran, which is a member of OPEC, is a major player in the global oil market. It's estimated that as much as 4% of global supply could be at risk if Israel targets Iran's oil facilities. For some analysts, the reason crude prices have yet to move even higher is because the oil market is short. watch nowTamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, told CNBC via email on Thursday that the oil market was pricing in some risk premium given the geopolitical concerns. These fears, however, will be greatly alleviated in [the] coming days unless oil supply from the region or traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are materially impacted," he added.
Persons: Fatemeh, Goldman Sachs, SEB, Jeff Currie, Carlyle, CNBC's, it's, Currie, we've, Amrita Sen, We've, Sen, Joe Biden, Biden, Tamas Varga, " Varga, Benjamin Netanyahu, Masoud Pezeshkian Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Energy, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CNBC, White House, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Persian, Nurphoto Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, Swedish, backwardation, bearishness, U.S, Hormuz, Oman, Tehran, Qatar, Persian, Bushehr, Bushehr province
Oil prices crept higher on Wednesday, though Brent still languished near seven-month lows, pressured by concerns over weak demand and fears of recession in the United States. The threat of conflict escalating in the Middle East and endangering oil production has supported prices since Tuesday. Brent crude futures were up 45 cents, or 0.6%, to $76.93 a barrel at 0823 GMT. U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillate inventories rose last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. But both oil benchmarks broke a three-session declining streak on Tuesday, as tensions in the Middle East stoked supply concerns.
Persons: Brent, Tamas Varga, Antony Blinken, Daniel Hynes Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, PVM, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration, ANZ Locations: United States, U.S, Iran, Gaza
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia pulled back 7% and Microsoft fell 0.9% during the normal session before reporting earnings after the bell. Still, Microsoft beat estimates as quarterly revenue increased 15% from a year ago to $64.73 billion and net income rose to $22.04 billion. Starbucks missStarbucks' quarterly revenue slid 1% to $9.11 billion, missing forecasts as same-store sales declined for the second straight quarter. Net income fell to $1.05 billion from $1.14 billion a year ago, though it met analysts' expectations.
Persons: Tamas Varga, PVM, Tom Lee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Big Tech, Nasdaq, megacaps Meta, Apple, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Fed, Microsoft Microsoft, West Texas Intermediate, Brent Locations: New York City, U.S, China
Seagrass on the beach frames an offshore gas rig at dusk on May 10, 2024, near Fort Morgan, AL. U.S. crude oil futures on Tuesday fell to the lowest levels since early June as worries about China's economy overshadow a new round of escalation in the Middle East. "Macroeconomic considerations keep shaping investors' sentiment and oil slid through technical supports like hot knife through butter," Tamas Varga, analyst with oil broker PVM, wrote in a Tuesday note. "Chinese economic turmoil, including sluggish growth and falling crude oil imports, is still a major driving force for our market," Varga said. Israeli officials told Reuters on Monday that Israel wants to hurt Hezbollah, but avoid all-out war.
Persons: Tamas Varga, PVM, Varga, Israel Organizations: AL, Hezbollah, Reuters Locations: Fort Morgan, Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Golan Heights
Oil prices held firm Wednesday as OPEC sees solid demand supported by stronger economic growth this year. OPEC maintained its oil demand growth forecast of 2.2 million barrels per day for 2024. Here are today's energy prices:The oil market is waiting to see if U.S. inventory data will confirm expectations that the market is tightening. Summer fuel demand has had a soft start, but a big draw of 12.2 million barrels of crude and 2.2 million barrels of gasoline for the week ended June 28 indicated that activity was picking up. Analysts polled by Reuters expect crude stocks fell by 1.3 million barrels last week, and gasoline inventories declined by 600,000 barrels.
Persons: Tamas Varga, Varga Organizations: OPEC, Reuters, Department, Energy Locations: Stanton , Texas, Brazil, Russia, India, China, Israel, Houston
Brent crude trades above $87, sets highest levels since April
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices for Brent crude hit their highest level since April on Thursday, holding above $87 after data the previous day showed a decline in U.S. inventories. Oil prices for Brent crude hit their highest level since April on Thursday, holding above $87 after data the previous day showed a decline in U.S. inventories. Brent crude futures were up 21 cents, or 0.2%, at $87.55 a barrel by 1922 GMT. In the previous session, Brent gained 1.3% to settle at $87.34 for its highest close since April 30. Those gains followed a larger than expected decline in U.S. crude stocks.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Martin King, King, Tamas Varga, Rosneft Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S, Independence, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Reuters, RBN Energy, U.S . Federal Reserve, Saudi Aramco, OPEC, UBS Locations: Gaza, France, United Kingdom, Novorossiisk, Saudi, Asia, Oman, Dubai, OPEC, Swiss
Oil prices pulled back Friday, snapping a recent winning streak, but closed out the week nearly 3% higher. West Texas Intermediate and Brent are on pace for a monthly gain of 5.3% and 4.7%, respectively. U.S. crude oil booked its worst month of the year in May, but prices have bounced back on hopes that the market will tighten on summer fuel demand. Ryan McKay, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, said supply risks are now back in focus as tensions are building on the Israel-Lebanon border. Israel and the Iran-backed militia group Hezbollah have traded threats of war in recent weeks.
Persons: Brent, Tamas Varga, Ryan McKay, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, McKay, WTI Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, TD Securities, Hezbollah Locations: East, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Gaza
U.S. crude oil held above $80 per barrel on Tuesday, after starting the week with strong gains. In a note to clients, Bob Yawger, executive director of energy futures at Mizuho Securities, cautioned that the rally in energy prices may largely be speculators covering short positions. Yesterday was the exception that proved the rule," Tamas Varga, an analyst with oil broker PVM, wrote in a note Tuesday. Oil prices had recently declined partly because of a decision by OPEC+ members to start rolling barrels back onto the market in the fourth quarter. Now oil is rising as analysts see the market tightening in the third quarter on expectations that summer fuel demand will draw down inventories.
Persons: Bob Yawger, Tamas Varga, PVM, Ryan McKay Organizations: West Texas, Oil, Mizuho Securities, TD Securities Locations: China, OPEC
Crude oil futures rose Monday following their best week since April as traders sifted through mixed economic data out of China. U.S. crude oil and global benchmark Brent closed out last week nearly 4% higher, as analysts expect the market to tighten in the third quarter as summer fuel demand draws down inventories. Oil stockpiles should fall by 850,000 barrels per day in the third quarter, said Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. "It's more of a sense that this market is likely to get tighter as we go deeper in summer," Croft told CNBC's "Closing Bell Overtime" on Friday. Here are today's energy prices:"After three weeks of losses the oil complex finally made amends and gained some traction," said Tamas Varga, analyst at oil broker PVM.
Persons: Helima Croft, Croft, CNBC's, Tamas Varga Organizations: Brent, RBC Capital Markets Locations: China . U.S
Oil prices have gained about 4% this week, recovering from a sell-off last week on an OPEC+ plan to increase production in the fourth quarter. Oil market analysts generally viewed the sell-off as an overreaction. Lower interest rates typically boost economic growth and lift crude oil demand. The U.S. reported a surprise oil stockpile build of 3.7 million barrels, whereas analysts had expected inventories would fall. A growing number of analysts see the oil market tightening at least through the third quarter before loosening in 2025.
Persons: Tamas Varga, " Varga, Peter Low Organizations: Fed, Labor Department, U.S Locations: U.S, OPEC
Crude oil futures rose for a second day Thursday as weak jobs data has boosted investor that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. Separately, the European Central Bank trimmed its interest rates for the first time since 2019. Lower interest rates bring the hope of more robust economic growth and stronger oil demand. Moreover, rising oil inventories are expected to shift to draws in the third quarter with the OPEC+ cuts remaining in place at least until October, according to JPMorgan. "We think oil markets have overreacted to the mildly negative OPEC+ meeting outcome," Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh told clients in a Thursday note.
Persons: payrolls, Tamas Varga, PVM, Amarpreet Singh Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, JPMorgan, Barclays Locations: West, Iraan , Texas, U.S, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia
Thomas Coex | Afp | Getty ImagesThe oil-producing Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies could extend existing output cuts this week, delegates and analysts told CNBC, even as focus shifts from Middle East tensions to summer demand. OPEC+ producers are currently implementing a combined 5.86 million barrels per day of supply cuts. And then August is the peak month for tightness," Viktor Katona, lead crude analyst at Kpler, told CNBC. "However, I think that the market right now has priced in a full extension of the voluntary cuts. A high-inflation environment and tight monetary policy in turn reined in oil demand, but central banks have signaled readiness to lower interest rates in the second half of the year.
Persons: Thomas Coex, Viktor Katona, overproducers, Jorge Leon, Yemen's, Tamas Varga Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Energy, Market Research, PVM Oil Associates, United Arab Emirates Locations: OPEC, Vienna, China, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Paris, Ukraine, Gaza, Red, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Guyana, Brazil, Canada
An oil pumpjack is pictured in the Permian Basin in the Loco Hills regions, New Mexico, on April 6, 2023. U.S. crude oil was little changed Thursday but is on pace for its worst month of the year and a second consecutive monthly loss. U.S. crude oil is down 3.2% in May, its worst performance since December. Brent has lost nearly 5% this month, putting the global benchmark on pace for its first negative month in five. Demand in China appears to have softened in the first quarter, Singh told clients in a note.
Persons: Brent, Amarpreet Singh, Singh, Tamas Varga Organizations: Barclays, Demand Locations: New Mexico, China
U.S. crude oil gained more than 1% on Tuesday after booking a loss last week as the market focuses on an upcoming key OPEC+ meeting. OPEC+ will hold a virtual meeting on Sunday to review its production policy. Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh said OPEC+ countries are unlikely to raise production given that the current price of Brent is closer to $80 per barrel than $90 per barrel. Tamas Varga, analyst with oil broker PVM, said he expects "no changes in production will be forthcoming" because the meeting is virtual. And the stabilization of U.S. production since September has given OPEC some room to maneuver, he said.
Persons: Michael Hsueh, Brent, Tamas Varga, Hsueh Organizations: Deutsche Bank Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia
Crude oil futures fell to three-month lows on Friday and are heading to a weekly loss as the summer driving season gets underway with the Memorial Day holiday. U.S. crude oil hit an intraday low of $76.15, the lowest level since Feb. 26. Global benchmark Brent fell to $80.65, the lowest level since Feb. 8. The two benchmarks are on pace for a weekly loss of about 4% and 3%, respectively. Here are today's energy prices:"Macroeconomic developments have been failing to provide meaningful support for oil, which has its own problems to deal with," said Tamas Varga, analyst at oil broker PVM, pointing to Russia overproducing in April despite commitments to slash production along with other OPEC+ members.
Persons: Brent, Tamas Varga Organizations: Russia overproducing Locations: Russia
An oil pumpjack is pictured in the Permian basin, Loco Hills regions, New Mexico, U.S., April 6, 2023. Liz Hampton | ReutersU.S. crude oil edged higher on Thursday after selling off to a seven-week low on a surge in petroleum inventories on softening demand. Here are today's energy prices: West Texas IntermediateBrentRBOB Gasoline June: $2.59 a gallon, up 0.57%. Natural Gas Oil prices tumbled more than 3% on Wednesday after U.S. commercial crude inventories, which exclude the strategic petroleum reserves, surged by 7.3 million barrels to 461 million barrels total last week. The rate at which refiners process crude and the average demand for gasoline is lower than the year-ago period despite summer driving season rapidly approaching.
Persons: Liz Hampton, Brent Those, Bob Yawger, Tamas Varga Organizations: Reuters, West Texas Intermediate Brent, Natural Gas, Mizuho Americas, Federal Reserve Locations: Loco Hills, New Mexico, U.S
A flare stack burns beyond oil storage tanks at the Taneco Oil Refining and Petrochemical complex, operated by Tatneft PJSC, in Nizhnekamsk, Tatarstan, Russia, on Tuesday, March 5, 2019. Oil prices on Tuesday rose to their highest level since October as investors closely monitored fresh supply threats amid an escalating conflict in the Middle East and a Ukrainian drone strike on a major Russian oil refinery. International benchmark Brent crude futures for June delivery traded at $88.58 per barrel at 1:15 p.m. London time, up $1.2 per barrel from the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures with May expiry stood at $84.97 per barrel, roughly $1.3 per barrel higher. PVM's Varga warned that the potential for direct Iranian involvement in the Israel-Hamas war could spark a "region-wide conflict with plausible impact on oil supply."
Persons: Tatneft PJSC, Brent, Tamas Varga, Israel, PVM's Varga, Rustam Minnikhanov, Minnikhanov, Russia —, — CNBC's Elliot Smith Organizations: Oil Refining, Petrochemical, Brent, . West Texas, Sky News, Organization of, Petroleum Locations: Nizhnekamsk, Tatarstan, Russia, Ukrainian, London, haven't, Iran, Syrian, Damascus, Tehran, Israel, Ukraine, Moscow, OPEC
U.S. crude oil futures hovered near three-month highs Tuesday as the conflict in the Middle East rages on. U.S. crude gained 3% last week to settle Friday at its highest price, $79.19 a barrel, since Nov. 6. The global benchmark rose 1.5% for the week to settle at its highest price since Jan. 26. Houthi militants on Monday attacked another cargo ship in the Bab el-Mandeb strait, forcing the crew to abandon the vessel. The attack highlights the ongoing threats to commercial vessels in the Red Sea, which has forced shipping giants such as Maersk to divert cargo around the Cape of Good Hope in Africa.
Persons: Brent, Tamas Varga, PVM Organizations: The West Texas Intermediate, International Energy Agency, Monday Locations: Suez, Ismailia, Egypt, East, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Rafah, U.S, Iran, Red, Hope, Africa, Aden
Oil prices rose Tuesday as investors weighed efforts to negotiate a truce in Gaza against a U.S. vow to take further action against militants in the Middle East. Blinken is consulting with allies in the region in an effort to secure a truce in Gaza and prevent the war from spilling over in to a broader regional conflict. Blinken's trip to the region comes after the U.S. again launched airstrikes against Iranian forces and allied militants in Iraq, Syria and Yemen over the weekend. White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said Sunday that the U.S. will take additional, "further action" after the latest weekend strikes. "The heightened tension will undoubtedly entail renewed Houthi hostilities in the Red Sea ensuring persistent re-routing of oil traffic around the Cape of Good Hope," Varga wrote.
Persons: Brent, Antony Blinken, Blinken, Jordan, Jake Sullivan, Tamas Varga, Varga, Good Hope Organizations: Palestinian, Hamas, The West Texas Intermediate, Iranian, White, National Locations: Rafah, Gaza, Israel, The, Egypt, Saudi, U.S, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Iran, Good
Oil prices are on pace for the first monthly gain since September as the U.S. and Iran stand on the brink of a more direct confrontation in the Middle East. The West Texas Intermediate contract for March was last down $1.09, or 1.40%, to trade at $76.73 a barrel on Wednesday. The Brent contract for March was trading at $81.90 a barrel, down 97 cents or 1.17%. Prices fell Tuesday after China factory activity contracted for the fourth consecutive month. The market is also waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates Wednesday as well as crude inventory data in the U.S.
Persons: Brent, Tamas Varga Organizations: The West Texas Intermediate, Federal Locations: Iran, The, China, Brent, U.S
Oil prices edged lower Wednesday as U.S. gasoline stocks rose significantly, suggesting demand might be faltering in the world's largest economy. U.S. crude oil inventories tumbled by 6.67 million barrels for the week ending Jan. 19, but gasoline stocks surged by 7.18 million barrels, according to the American Petroleum Institute. Rising gasoline stocks are a signal that demand might be weakening as supply returns to the market after disruptions in Libya and North Dakota. Geopolitical risk is largely already factored into prices, according to Dwivedi. The market is waiting for the Energy Information Agency to release the latest weekly U.S. crude supply data at 10:30 am ET.
Persons: Brent, Vikas Dwivedi, Tamas Varga Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, American Petroleum Institute, U.S, Macquarie, PVM Oil Associates, Energy Information Agency Locations: Libya, North Dakota
A Repsol Oil Operations oil drilling rig pounds into the desert searching through thousands of feet for and oil reserve in El-Sharara, Libya. Oil prices were little changed on Monday as the market weighed the reopening of a key oilfield in Libya against ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Libya's National Oil Corporation resumed full production at the Sharara oilfield on Sunday after protests shut down output for two weeks. "The sentiment is sourer this morning because the force majeure on Libya's Sharara oil field has been lifted," Tamas Varga with PVM Oil Associates wrote in a note. OPEC, on the other hand, has presented a stronger outlook with oil demand forecast to grow by 2.2 million barrels per day, while production outside OPEC will grow by 1.3 million barrels per day.
Persons: Brent, Tamas Varga Organizations: Operations, The West Texas Intermediate, National Oil Corporation, PVM Oil Associates, U.S, U.S . Central Command, Houthi, International Energy Agency Locations: El, Sharara, Libya, The, Iran, Iraq, U.S, Syria, Gaza
Oil prices rise on Middle East tensions
  + stars: | 2024-01-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices gained on Friday, as U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken prepared to visit the Middle East to try and prevent the Israel-Gaza conflict from widening. The price rebound serves as "a reminder of the risk that is rooted in ever-growing tension in the Middle East," PVM analyst Tamas Varga said in a note. As the threat of the conflict expanding persists, Blinken was set to travel to the Middle East for a week of diplomacy, the State Department said. "There is still plenty of tension in the Middle East with Houthi rebels launching a sea drone in the Red Sea, a U.S. airstrike in Baghdad," ING analysts said in a report on Friday. Euro zone inflation rose in December and could continue rising in early 2024, which would ease pressure on the European Central Bank to start cutting rates.
Persons: pumpjack, Antony Blinken, Tamas Varga, Blinken, Investors Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, State Department, ING, European Central Bank, Federal Locations: Bakersfield, Kern County , California, USA, Israel, Gaza, Red, U.S, Baghdad
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