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The “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have paved the path to the White House for the last two Democratic presidents. Recent discussions have centered on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with just part of the blue wall breaking its way. “We absolutely are competing to win Michigan,” Harris campaign spokeswoman Lauren Hitt said, noting Harris’ presence there this week. The blue wall states have been pivotal to elect presidents in the last several elections. “Those three, the blue wall states, almost always stay together, but this year it’s an extraordinarily tight race.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, ”, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, —, “, ” Harris, Lauren Hitt, Mark Robinson’s, Josh Stein, Joe Biden, Biden, Dan Kanninen, Helene, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Harris ’, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Devine, Elissa Slotkin, Dane County, Tim Walz, Obama, Bill Clinton, Matt Baretto, Republicans —, ” Baretto Organizations: White House, Democratic, Pennsylvania, White, Detroit News, Washington Post, Michigan, Trump, Republican, Republicans, Wisconsin, Biden, Democrats Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada, Hurricane, Arizona , Nevada, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Arizona, Gaza, In Wisconsin, Dane, Milwaukee

☆ Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +21 min

Trump won the presidency in 2016 by stunning Democrat Hillary Clinton to win all three states by a combined margin of about 80,000 votes. But, as in other states, Democrats have been concerned about the risk of depressed turnout and some gains for Trump among Black voters in Philadelphia. Eight years later, the two states split again, when Roosevelt comfortably won Pennsylvania and Michigan narrowly went to Republican Wendell Willkie. This trio of states has arguably become the most consistent tipping point in American politics. In the nine elections since 1920 when they split their vote, the candidate who carried two of these three states won seven times.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump –, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris, Bob Shrum, Shrum, Tad Devine, “, Biden, PRRI, William Frey, Tim Marema, don’t, Mason, Dixon, Barack Obama, Tony Evers, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Dane County, Ben Wikler, Pete Giangreco, ”, You’ve, That’s, Gene Ulm, Roe, Wade, Whitmer, Branden Snyder, It’s, Clinton, Dante Chinni, White, ” Chinni, they’ve, They’ve, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, Ruffini, “ I’m, ” Ruffini, Geoff Garin, Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, James Buchanan, John C, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Herbert Hoover, Republican Wendell Willkie, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Theodore Roosevelt’s, Al Gore, John Kerry, Republican Thomas Dewey, Hubert Humphrey, Garin Organizations: CNN, White House, Democratic, Michigan, Wisconsin, AdImpact, Trump, Center, University of Southern, “, Republicans, Survey, Blacks, of Labor Statistics, Public Religion Research, Whites, GOP, Brookings Metro, for Rural, doesn’t, Keystone State, Republican, Center for Rural, Democrats, Biden, Black, White, Wisconsin , Michigan Democrats, Detroit, Electoral, American Communities Project, …, Democrat, Pennsylvania, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina , Arizona, Nevada, Flint , Michigan, University of Southern California, California , New York, Illinois, Texas, Florida, Ohio, . Michigan, Wisconsin’s, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Eau Claire, Appleton, La Crosse, Outagamie, Winnebago, Green Bay, Green, Chicago, Scranton, Wilkes, Barre, ” Michigan, “ Michigan, Gaza, Wisconsin , Michigan, United States, “ Pennsylvania, Ulm, Pittsburgh, Butler , Pennsylvania, Republican George H.W ., Fremont, North Carolina, Michigan , Pennsylvania, “

☆ How Harris is reversing Biden’s biggest weakness in the campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

Trump’s plan for blunting Harris’ momentum, some Democrats believe, could reprise elements of the 1988 presidential campaign that George H.W. “I think the Harris campaign has to be prepared for it.”The two sides are already hotly contesting the terrain of strength. Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster who conducted surveys for Biden’s 2020 campaign, said his strength deficit to Trump had become a nearly insurmountable obstacle for his 2024 campaign. The surveys have also found a huge gender gap in the assessments of whether Harris and Trump are strong. Most important, voters have reached these initial assessments of Harris’ strength before Republicans have really begun their campaign to portray her as weak.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, –, Harris, Trump, ”, Democratic pollster Evan Roth Smith, “ Kamala Harris, …, it’s, blunting Harris, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Lee Atwater, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Dukakis, “, She’ll, ” Trump, ” Harris, Kamala Harris, Biden —, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Nikki Haley, Marquette, “ Trump, Whit Ayres, Ayres, Harris blunts, ” Lake, “ Joe Biden, White, she’ll, MAGA, Devine, Republicans pilloried Dukakis, Willie Horton, Horton, Bush, ” Devine, ” Ayres, won’t, Roth Smith, ’, Hulk Hogan, Kid Rock, Dana White Organizations: CNN, White, Voters, Democratic, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Fox News, Marquette Law School, Biden, Marquette Poll, CBS, New York Times, Gallup, Republican, Siena, Republicans, MAGA Inc, Politico, ”, Fighting Locations: George H.W ., Marquette, Siena, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Celinda, Massachusetts, San Francisco, California, “ San Francisco

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