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Georgia2012 margin: Romney +7.8%Advertisement2016 margin: Trump +5.1%2020 margin: Biden +0.2%Related storiesFor decades, Republicans could easily depend on the Peach State's electoral votes falling into their column. Two years later, Biden won Georgia by roughly 12,000 votes over Trump, followed by the dual 2021 runoff victories of Sens. Pennsylvania2012 margin: Obama +5.4%2016 margin: Trump +0.7%2020 margin: Biden +1.2%AdvertisementBiden's hometown of Scranton is dear to his heart so Pennsylvania was always going to be a key state for the party in 2024. Wisconsin2012 margin: Obama +6.9%2016 margin: Trump +0.8%Advertisement2020 margin: Biden +0.6%Wisconsin is one of the most politically divided states in the country. But Trump flipped Wisconsin to the GOP in 2016, the first time it had supported a Republican presidential nominee since 1984.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, , Joe Biden, Harris, Kevin McCarthy of, Mike Johnson of, suburbanites, Roe, Wade, Trump, Bill Clinton, Kansas Sen, Bob Dole, Barry Goldwater, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Katie Hobbs, MAGA, Kari Lake, Sen, Mark Kelly, Republican Blake Masters, Adrian Fontes, Hobbs, Mark Finchem, Ruben Gallego, Stacey Abrams —, Georgia —, Abrams, Sens, Raphael Warnock, Jon Ossoff, Kelly Loeffler, David Perdue, midterms, Warnock, Republican Herschel Walker, Walker, Brian Kemp, Gretchen Whitmer, Dana Nessel, Jocelyn Benson, Obama, Clinton, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, Steve Sisolak, reelecting Sen, Catherine Cortez Masto, Adam Laxalt, — Dina Titus, Steven Horsford, Susie Lee —, Arizona GOP Sen, John McCain, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Roy Cooper, Gov, John Fetterman, GOP Sen, Pat Toomey, Josh Shapiro, Tom Wolf, Al Gore, John Kerry eked, Tony Evers, Scott Walker —, Tammy Baldwin, Evers, Tim Michels, Ron Johnson, Mandela Barnes Organizations: Swing, Sun, Service, Democratic, Republican, House, Republicans, State, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Democratic Rep, GOP, Republican Party, Georgia, Gov, Michigan, Silver State, Democratic Gov, North Carolina, Arizona GOP, Romney, Democrats, Senate, Badger State Locations: Midwest, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Israel, Kevin McCarthy of California, Mike Johnson of Louisiana, Kansas, Massachusetts, Ruben Gallego . Georgia, Atlanta, Detroit, Gaza, Nevada, Silver, Clark, Clark County, North Carolina, North, Roy Cooper . Pennsylvania, Scranton, Philadelphia, Allegheny County, Pittsburgh
In today’s edition, national political correspondent Steve Kornacki breaks down the key areas where Donald Trump's standing with Puerto Rican voters will be tested. Where Trump’s support among Puerto Rican voters will be put to the testSteve KornackiDonald Trump’s campaign appearance in Allentown, Pa., this evening comes amid questions over whether the fallout from his Madison Square Garden rally will cost him support among Puerto Rican voters. Allentown is a majority-Hispanic city of 125,000, and about one-quarter of its overall population is of Puerto Rican descent — one of the highest concentrations of Puerto Ricans anywhere in the U.S. Pennsylvania’s polls will close at 8 p.m. EST on Election Night, but we may get a big clue about Trump’s Puerto Rican support before that. Majority-Hispanic Osceola County in Florida, just south of Orlando, is a large county (population about 450,000 — and growing) that’s about one-third Puerto Rican.
Persons: Steve Kornacki, Donald Trump's, Mat Dixon, Steve Kornacki Donald Trump’s, Trump, Kamala Harris, it’s, suburbanites, Matt Dixon “, Donald Trump, Harris, , Arnold Palmer, Read, Matt → Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Puerto Rican, Trump, Puerto Ricans, U.S, Democratic, Keystone State, Osceola, United Locations: Allentown, Pa, Madison, Puerto, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rican, Reading, Bethlehem, Lebanon, Hazleton, Easton, Puerto Ricans, Keystone, Osceola County, Florida, Orlando, Osceola, what’s, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, United States
He also found that women will comprise nearly 52% of all eligible voters, which should help Harris. (North Carolina is the sole swing state where he found that they had increased as a portion of eligible voters since 2020.) The groups that Harris needs to give her winning margins are the non-White and college-educated White voters (especially women in each case). “I think Gen Z women, including White women, are very committed to an inclusive democracy,” she said. But this history clearly shows it is likely that the changes in the composition of the eligible electorate Frey has documented will closely track the shifts in the configuration of the actual electorate.
Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, demographer William Frey, Frey, Whites, Liz Cheney, Trump, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, Harris, Harris ’, Trump’s, don’t, , Manuel Pastor, Pastor, , White, she’s, Joe Biden, Biden, Patrick Ruffini, Republican pollster, “ Trump, ” Ruffini, Gen, millennials, Melissa Deckman, ” Deckman, Michael McDonald, McDonald, Barack Obama, NORC, Catalist Organizations: CNN, GOP, White, Trump, Whites, Keystone State, Harris, Metro, Nevada . College, Equity Research, University of Southern, Republican, “ Party of, Religion Research Institute, College, University of Florida, Center for American Women, Rutgers University, Rutgers Center, Pew Research, Democratic, Pew, Edison Research Locations: Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, In Michigan, In Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, North Carolina . Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, University of Southern California, , , , White, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Trump
Opinion Guest Essay The 21 Slivers of America That Could Decide the Election Sebastian Siadecki for The New York TimesIn almost every presidential battleground state, polling suggests something close to a dead heat between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. For Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump, each could be a crucial building block in a winning swing-state coalition. In 2016, with Mr. Trump in the race, these areas began to march to national trends: Rural areas trended Republican, while Milwaukee’s well-off, close-in suburbs zoomed left. Still, loyalties remain potent in Wisconsin, from Democratic-leaning, ancestrally Scandinavian voters in the state’s rural west to middle-class suburban Republicans outside Milwaukee. Mr. Trump lost Nash County by just 0.2 points in 2020 and Wilson County by three points.
Persons: Sebastian Siadecki, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump ., Harris, Trump, Nate Silver’s, Joe Biden, Badger State . Arizona Battlegrounds, Mark Kelly, Biden, Trump’s, Patrick Ruffini Organizations: The New York Times, Pennsylvania, Keystone, Philadelphia, Democratic, Milwaukee —, Washington, Mr, Republican, Republicans, Milwaukee, Badger State, Senate, Northampton, “ Party of, Populist Coalition Locations: America, Pennsylvania, Appalachia, Philadelphia, Philadelphia’s, . Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Milwaukee — Waukesha, Ozaukee, Badger, Badger State . Arizona, Arizona, Phoenix, Florida and Texas, . North Carolina, North Carolina, Southern, Nash, Rocky, Wilson, Wilson County, Nash County, Northampton, Erie, Bethlehem, Georgia, Brown County, Green Bay, Outagamie County, Appleton, Winnebago County, Oshkosh, Maricopa County
Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign laid out what it sees as her path to victory in Pennsylvania in a memo shared exclusively with NBC News ahead of Monday night’s rally in bellwether Erie County. “The Harris campaign’s path to win Pennsylvania capitalizes on Trump’s unprecedented weakness in the suburbs,” the memo, which also highlighted the campaign’s focus on Haley voters, reads. “They can point to the suburbs, but they’re losing ground in places like Philadelphia,” a Trump campaign official said. Kush Desai, the Trump campaign’s Pennsylvania spokesperson, highlighted Obama’s visit as a sign the Harris team was scrambling. Speaking with NBC News, Pennsylvania state Sen. Vincent Hughes said he could “understand the frustration” Obama expressed.
Persons: Kamala Harris ’, Harris, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, , Haley, Trump, Brendan McPhillips, Tim Walz, Hillary Clinton, McPhillips, , Biden, Elon, It’s, We’ve, Barack, Obama, They’ve, Kush Desai, isn’t, ” Desai, ” Obama, Sen, Vincent Hughes, Let’s, Donald Trump’s, He’s, ” Hughes, it’s Organizations: NBC, Democratic, Pennsylvania, Trump, Philadelphia Inquirer, New York Times, Siena College, Marist College, Biden, Quinnipiac University, Times, Street, Minnesota Gov, America PAC, Trump campaign’s, Black, undecideds, NBC News Locations: Pennsylvania, bellwether Erie County, Siena, reddest, Harris ’ Pennsylvania, Johnstown, Lancaster, Rochester, Philadelphia, Bucks, Luzerne, Beaver, Trump, Pittsburgh
The trio of blue wall states offer promise to Vice President Harris and former President Trump. She's worked to rally union workers — a key voting bloc — around her campaign. But Loge also pointed to a newly-released Emerson College poll, which showed that Harris' union support varied by state. In the Quinnipiac poll, Michigan voters gave Trump an eight-point edge (53% to 45%) on the economy. And she's aiming to win over voters — especially union workers — in smaller cities where Trump found success in 2016.
Persons: Harris, Trump, , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Hillary Clinton, She's, Tim Walz, Clinton, Joe Biden, Republican Party —, Liz Cheney, Biden, she's, Gen Zers, millennials, Donald Trump, Bill Pugliano, Democrats isn't, he's, Biden —, Peter Loge, Loge, Shawn Fain, GEOFF ROBINS, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers, Fain, Gretchen Whitmer, didn't, David Dulio, JIM WATSON Organizations: Trump, Service, Democrats, , Democratic, White House, Republican Party, Wyoming GOP, Marquette University Law, Quinnipiac University, AFL, CIO, Democratic Party, Biden, School of Media, Public Affairs, George Washington University, Emerson College, Teamsters, United Auto Workers, Getty Images, Democratic Rep, GOP, UAW, Michigan, Center for Civic, Oakland University, New York Times, Siena College, Quinnipiac, Getty Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, West Allis, Wis, Milwaukee, Minnesota, Midwest, White House . Wisconsin, Eau Claire, Madison, Ripon, Wyoming, Flint, Mich, United States, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Johnstown, Wilkes, Barre, Quinnipiac
By contrast, the modern day Democrats’ historic success at winning the popular vote hasn’t translated into nearly as much governing power for them. Over this record run of popular vote success, Democrats have already twice lost the Electoral College – and thus the White House – while winning more votes. Amazingly, Republicans won unified control of government in two elections when Democrats won a plurality of the national presidential vote: 2000 and 2016. The Democrats’ popular vote winning stretch began in 1992 with Clinton’s victory over George H.W. The highest share of the popular vote Democrats have won over this period is the 52.9% that Obama garnered in 2008.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D, Roosevelt, , , Paul Pierson, Harris isn’t, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Evan Vucci, Grover Cleveland, Kyle Kondik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Biden, Lee Drutman, Dwight Eisenhower, Eisenhower, Truman, , Pierson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Mark Schiefelbein, George H.W, Clinton, Al Gore, Obama, Hillary Clinton, George W . Bush, William McKinley, Teddy Roosevelt’s, William Howard Taft’s, Warren Harding, Calvin Coolidge, Herbert Hoover, Harding, Lyndon B, FDR, John Sides, Lynn Vavreck, Michael Tesler, Kondik, that’s, Drutman, Mitch McConnell, ” Drutman, Mitt Romney’s, Nikki Haley, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, centrists, Jim Kessler, Reagan, H.W, H.W . Bush, haven’t, ” Pierson, Ruffini Organizations: CNN, Democrats, Deal, TR Republicans, FDR Democrats, Electoral College –, TR, Supreme, University of California, Electoral, House, Senate, AP, Republican Senate, Democratic, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, FDR, White, White House, “ Republicans, New America, Republicans, Republican, Dort Financial, Electoral College, Trump, GOP, kinks, Democratic Party, “ Party, The Locations: Berkeley, Butler , Pennsylvania, LBJ, Dort, Flint , Michigan, George H.W . Bush, Bush, Vermont, Arkansas, North Carolina, , , H.W .
CNN —A Georgia judge has struck down the state’s six-week abortion ban, declaring it unconstitutional. In a ruling issued on Monday, Judge Robert McBurney said Georgia’s Living Infants Fairness and Equality Act, or LIFE Act, infringes on a woman’s state constitutional rights. When originally signed into law, the LIFE Act criminalized most abortions after an embryo generates detectable cardiac activity, typically around six weeks into a pregnancy. When the US Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022 and ended a national right to abortion, it opened the door for state bans. Democrats argue such deaths were a predictable outcome of laws that took effect after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade.
Persons: CNN —, Robert McBurney, ” McBurney, Roe, Wade, Kara Murray, Chris Carr, , , Brian Kemp, Kemp, ” Kemp, Court’s, McBurney, Monica Simpson, “ Today’s, there’s, hasn’t, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, It’s, Harris, ProPublica, Joe Biden Organizations: CNN, SisterSong, LIFE, Georgia, Republican Gov, Society of Family Planning, United States, United, American Civil Liberties Union, Trump, Democratic, Associated Press Locations: Georgia, North Carolina, Illinois, United States, Atlanta
Which Battleground State Voters Could Sway the Election? It says that in order for Democrats to win, Black voters must make up 30 percent of all voters and at least 30 percent of white voters must vote Democratic. Black voters, who cast nearly a third of the ballots in 2020, overwhelmingly favored Mr. Biden — by almost 90 percent. That’s because educational attainment divides mostly white voters, and many of Nevada’s less-educated voters are not white. Even so, that wasn’t enough for him to overcome the coalition of white voters with a college degree and voters of color who delivered Mr. Biden a victory.
Persons: they’ve, Biden, Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, , Mark Kelly, , Samara Klara, Charles S, Bullock, Kamala Harris, Andra Gillespie, , “ There’s, Matt Grossmann, David Damore, suburbanites, Chris Cooper, Trump’s, Charles Franklin Organizations: Hispanic, The New York Times, White Hispanic, Democratic Senate, Mr, Biden, University of Arizona ., White, University of Georgia, Democratic, Black, Georgia, Emory University . Georgia, Suburban, Arab American, Michigan, , Michigan State University, Israel, Democratic Party, University of Nevada, Rural, Voters, North, Western Carolina University, Wisconsin, University of Wisconsin ., Marquette Law Locations: The, Arizona, U.S, University of Arizona . Georgia, Georgia, Michigan, Detroit, American, Gaza, Nevada, Las Vegas, , Carolina, North Carolina, Greensboro, Asheville, Trump, ” Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania’s, Philadelphia, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Madison, University of Wisconsin . Wisconsin, Dane County
Meanwhile, Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a tight race in North Carolina. AdvertisementThat year, Trump also won North Carolina — albeit narrowly — against now-President Joe Biden. Former President Donald Trump is banking on a victory for his campaign in North Carolina. The GOP is up against a Harris campaign that's flush with cash and has 26 field offices and over 200 paid staffers in North Carolina. But North Carolina is critical for Trump.
Persons: , Mark Robinson —, Donald Trump —, Robinson, Josh Stein, Trump, Kamala Harris, Roy Cooper, Joe Biden, eked, Stein, Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Dale Folwell, doesn't bode, Harris, Biden, The Harris, Martin Luther King, Anderson Clayton, MSNBC's Chris Hayes, she'll, Harris doesn't, didn't Organizations: Service, North Carolina Republican, Gov, Business, GOP, CNN, Democratic, Greensboro City Council, Democratic Gov, North Carolina, New York Times, Siena, Quinnipiac University, Emerson, News & Observer, Trump, North Carolina Democratic Party Locations: North Carolina, Greensboro, Southern, Wilmington
Opinion | Nate Silver on How Kamala Harris Changed the Odds
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ezra Klein | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +81 min
You know, Hillary Clinton, who was, I think, kind of a terrible candidate, won the popular vote by two points. So I don’t think they gave her a very good hand to play. It doesn’t matter who you are, it matters that you’re right and you’re able to prove it or bet on it in some way. What wasn’t in the Harris model that should have been?” “Yeah, maybe you really can meme your way to victory. And there’s something in it that I don’t think she can explain how she does it, but it makes her a fascinating leader.
Persons: Nate Silver, , ESPN’s Nate Silver, Silver, He’s, “ Savage, ” “, he’s, Ezra, Harris, we’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, There’s, Hillary Clinton, she’s, She’s, Gavin Newsom, It’s, Biden, I’m, you’re, Joe Biden, Democratic Party Harris, Liz, , , Donald Trump, that’s, George W, Bush, Donald Trump wasn’t, it’s, Michael Jackson, Woody Allen, , Chick, don’t, George Floyd, ‘ COVID, COVID, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, Michael Moritz, Elon, Mark Cuban, Thiel, Max Chafkin, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Marc Andreessen, Ted Cruz, Sam Bankman, Tom Brady, SBF, Carrick Flynn, Oregon’s, I’m Carrick Flynn, Tara MacAulay, vouched, Bill Clinton, Tyler Cowen, they’ve, Jane, JD Vance, Peter Thiel’s, Vance, Trump, Steve Bannon, Don Trump, Jr, Tucker Carlson, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, Tell, you’ve, Shapiro, Walz, I’ve, Iglesias, Obama, Susan Collins, Joe Manchin —, Jon Tester, ” “ Sherrod Brown, I’d, Dana White, Hulk Hogan, Joe Biden’s, — let’s, Mike Donilon, Kennedy, ” “ Tim Alberta, Georgia —, Brian Kemp, Blake Masters, Rick Scott, ” “ Trump, Doug Burgum, Black, didn’t, — Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, Michael Jordan, everyone’s, Nancy Pelosi’s, Nancy Pelosi, Joe ’, we’re, I’ll, John Coates, Richard Rhodes, Natasha Schüll, Natasha Organizations: Oracle, Trump, Democratic Party, Facebook, Twitter, The New York Times, ’ Harvard University, Democratic White House, Republican White House, Democratic, Silver, George, Vegas, Poker, extroversion, Elon, Sequoia Capital, McLaren, Paypal, Republican, New, PAC, Alameda, Las, Ohio Senate, underperform, White, UFC, RNC, Biden, Biden ., National Association of Black Journalists, Deutsche Bank, Manhattan Project, Design Locations: Nate, Russian, Russia, , Elon, Florida, predestiny, Bahamas, Sam, Africa, New York, Oregon, Las Vegas, Petersburg, United States, Ohio, Trump, Minnesota, ” “ Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Gaza, Chicago, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Biden . Georgia, Carolina, Arizona, Ukraine, LA, It’s, Vegas
But the race between Vance and Ryan remained extremely competitive until the end, even as other statewide Republicans had easy victories that year. While Vance won the race that November, the extent of his struggles was on full display on election night. AdvertisementRyan was undoubtedly a strong candidate, but Vance's underperformance relative to other Ohio Republicans was quite stark. But in urban and suburban communities across Ohio, Vance was swamped by Ryan in the Senate race. In the Cincinnati area, where Vance lives, Ryan won populous Hamilton County by nearly 16 points.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Trump, Tim Ryan, Ryan, Ohioan Sen, Sherrod Brown, Joe Biden, Mike DeWine, Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley, Dave Yost, Frank LaRose, DeWine's coattails, Ukraine — Vance, Roe, Wade —, Mitch McConnell of, John Thune of, Republicans aren't Organizations: Service, Ohio Republican, GOP, Democratic, Business, Republicans, Democrats, Ohio, Buckeye State, Republican, Dayton Mayor, Ohio Republicans, Independents, Senate, Ukraine Locations: Ohio, Mahoning, Michigan , Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, exurban, Cincinnati, Hamilton County, Franklin County, Columbus, Cuyahoga County, Cleveland, The Ohio, Ukraine, Sens, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, John Thune of South Dakota, Trump, Rust
Where did all the lifeguards go?
  + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Kelli María Korducki | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +11 min
My girlfriends, a year or two older, were most interested in catching the eye of the male lifeguards. The swim disparities also influenced the scope of a lifeguard's job. While the lack of qualified lifeguards may partly stem from this problem, getting more lifeguards on stands could turn things around. As we enter our fourth year without enough lifeguards, it's hard to imagine them retaking the podium as the cultural idol of American summer. When more cities prioritize safe water access for the masses — and pay lifeguards accordingly — the mighty lifeguard just may rise again.
Persons: Marco Polo, I'd, fawning, Wyatt Werneth, Werneth, , Jessi Adler, Adler, hasn't, lifeguarding, Jason Russell, it's, Russell, Jeff Wiltse, Wiltse, KENA BETANCUR, Suburbanites Organizations: American Lifeguard Association, Getty, Lyndon, Johnson, SUNY Empire State, World, Association, American, of Public Health, New, Civil Rights Movement, Employers Locations: Milwaukee, America, Southern California, Michigan, Central Texas, Canada, New York City, Chicago, Denver, Baltimore, San Antonio
Former President Donald Trump has promised to attack President Joe Biden specifically on inflation. Even as the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates, demand and prices have stayed high, keeping housing inflation stubbornly elevated. Where Trump standsAs president, Trump didn't pursue as many policies directly intended to make housing more affordable. While in office, Trump's proposed budgets included significant cuts to agencies that provide federal housing subsidies, including the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Trump hasn't talked much about housing policy on the campaign trail, despite arguing that Biden hasn't done enough to control housing costs.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, , James Marshall, I'm, Kamala Harris, Janet Yellen, haven't, Trump's, suburbanites, Obama, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Business, Harvard, Federal Reserve, Tax, Union, Republicans, Biden, Department of Housing, Urban Development, Center, Budget, Trump, Homeless, NPR Locations: homeownership, Vegas, State, Nevada, Las Vegas
Opinion | Justice Alito Is a True Believer
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
In a large part of American political discourse, overt cynicism is the currency of sophistication. It is a sign of political savviness, even worldliness, to know that politicians are creatures of pure self-interest, with no solid beliefs, concerns or preoccupations. For years, the savviest position was the cynical one: Their vocal opposition notwithstanding, neither Republican lawmakers nor conservative judges would actually try to overturn Roe v. Wade. And public cynicism notwithstanding, they want to do this even if it costs them votes in the short term. The same was and remains true for Republicans and abortion.
Persons: Roe, Wade, , William Saletan, suburbanites, pare Organizations: Republican, Democratic Party, Democratic Locations: Slate
The last GOP presidential nominee to win Nevada was George W. Bush in November 2004 — nearly 20 years ago. Biden will have to work hard to address some of the top concerns of Nevada voters: inflation, housing affordability, and health care. A plurality of Nevada voters (22%) listed the economy as their top issue, and a whopping 82% of voters said that the economy was "only fair" or "poor." Only 17% of Nevada voters rated the economy as "good" or "excellent." And by a 61% to 32% margin, Nevada voters believe Trump would be better at handling the economy.
Persons: , Sen, Harry Reid, Barack Obama's, Catherine Cortez Masto's, Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Jill Stein, plummets, Stein, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Democratic Party, Business, Nevada, Vegas, Biden, GOP, Trump, New York Times, Siena College, Green Party, , Safer Communities Locations: Nevada, Las Vegas, Reno, Siena
The latest New York Times/Siena College poll showed a tightening race between Biden and Trump. Trump now leads Biden 46% to 45% among registered voters, a decline from February's 48% to 43% lead. Biden is winning over more of his 2020 supporters and boasts leads with women and suburbanites. AdvertisementPresident Joe Biden has gained ground on former President Donald Trump in the latest New York Times/Siena College poll, cutting into a persistent lead that the ex-president has held for months. Last month, both Biden and Trump secured enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees ahead of their party conventions and the November election.
Persons: Trump, Biden, , Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Biden, Trump, Service, Siena College, Business
Opinion | The Great Tension Inside the Trump G.O.P.
  + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( Ross Douthat | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
How might these commitments be paid for if these pro-government Republicans had their way? A different poll, from Bloomberg and Morning Consult, suggested one possible answer: Surveying voters in seven swing states, it found that 58 percent of self-described conservative Republicans strongly or somewhat supported raising taxes on Americans making $400,000 or more a year. These populist perspectives — tax the upper class and spend on health care and income support — aren’t especially surprising, given the Republican Party’s slow transformation into a more downscale coalition, a process in which it has gained blue-collar and non-college-educated supporters and lost affluent suburbanites to the Democratic Party. But good luck finding evidence of this populist transformation in the party’s current policy proposals. Consider, for instance, the latest budget proposal from the Republican Study Committee, the conservative House caucus that claims about 80 percent of Republican representatives as members.
Persons: Newt Gingrich, Paul Ryan Organizations: American Compass, Republican, Social Security, Republicans, Bloomberg, Morning, Democratic Party, Committee, House, Trump
CHICAGO (AP) — Voters are set to cast their ballots Tuesday to decide competitive U.S. House races during the Illinois presidential primary. Democratic incumbents in at least two Chicago-area congressional races are locked in energetic challenges in the strongly Democratic territory. “We plan on finishing what we started.”It’s a crowded five-candidate primary field, including Chicago City Treasurer Melissa Conyears-Ervin, a former Davis ally who now says it’s time for him to be voted out. “I’m running to use my knowledges, my expertise, my intellect.”He has backing from top Illinois Democrats. Also running are Chicago educator Nikhil Bhatia and Kouri Marshall, a former deputy director for Pritzker.
Persons: Danny Davis, Kina Collins, Davis, ” Collins, , , Melissa Conyears, Ervin, Conyears, “ I’m, I’m, J.B . Pritzker, Nikhil Bhatia, Kouri Marshall, Pritzker, “ Chuy ” Garcia, Chicago Alderman Raymond Lopez, Lopez, Garcia, “ He’s, hasn’t, suburbanites Organizations: CHICAGO, , Democratic, DISTRICT U.S . Rep, Chicago Democrat, Chicago, Chicago Teachers Union, Chicago ) Bears, Illinois, Gov, Chicago Alderman, City Council, Democrat, Chicago police, Republican Locations: Chicago, , Mexico
Takeaways from Super Tuesday 2024
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Eric Bradner | Gregory Krieg | Simone Pathe | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +14 min
CNN —President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump took big steps toward making their seemingly inevitable rematch official, as both notched huge Super Tuesday wins. Here are takeaways from Super Tuesday:Trump wins bigThe former president continued his run of dominance in the Republican nominating contest, despite losing one state, Vermont, to Nikki Haley. His approval ratings remain low, and the general election horse race polling is worrisome for Democrats. But on Super Tuesday, like every other primary day, he has dominated his few rivals – typically winning around 80% of the vote. “Tonight’s numbers showed that President Biden cannot earn back our votes with just rhetoric,” Vote Uncommitted MN spokesperson Asma Nizami said in a statement.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, “ uncommitted, Biden, suburbanites, Haley, Nikki Haley, CNN’s, there’s, ” Trump, Evan Vucci, Haley —, , Marianne Williamson, Dean Phillips, who’s, Tapper, Warren, , uncommitted ”, Uncommitted, Asma Nizami, , “ uncommitted ”, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, he’s, They’ve, South Carolina Sen, Lindsey Graham —, , CNN’s Dana Bash, , Nikki, ” Graham, Graham, Haley’s, Mark Levin, She’s, — Biden, Jason Palmer, Palmer, hasn’t, Michael Bloomberg, ” Phillips, Biden’s, Mark Robinson, Josh Stein, Roy Cooper, Bill Graham, “ Mark Robinson, Laurie Buckhout’s, Don Davis, Sandy Smith, Smith, Dan Conston, Buckhout, Davis, Nathan L, Gonzales Organizations: CNN, Biden, Tuesday, Trump, Republican, , AP, GOP, Trump . College, South Carolina, South Carolina Republican, News, American Samoa —, Democratic, Democratic National Convention, New York City, Minnesota Rep, Democratic Party loyalists, Gov, Democratic Gov, North Carolina Republicans, North, Republicans, Congressional, Fund, House GOP, Freedom Caucus, Capitol, Air Force Locations: Vermont, Lago, Palm Beach, Mar, Fla, Gaza, North Carolina, Virginia, Michigan, Israel, Minnesota, Ilhan Omar’s, Minneapolis, Nevada, New Hampshire, South Carolina, … Vermont, American Samoa, New York, Congress, Tarheel State, state’s, North Carolina’s, Washington
But there’s also the loud minority of “Never Trump” Republicans, represented by figures like former Illinois Rep. Adam Kinzinger or former New Jersey Gov. In North Carolina, exit polls suggest Trump won a slim majority of Republican voters with a college degree. But there’s a third camp: the reluctant Republican stalwarts who are neither Always Trump nor Never Trump. In general, these Republicans tend to seek traditionally defined conservative policy victories – from school choice to tax cuts to a strong national defense. But they can also see the potential for conservative policy victories in a second Trump administration.
Persons: Patrick T, Brown, Joe Biden, pollsters, Donald Trump, denialism, suburbanites, MAGA, , there’s, Adam Kinzinger, Christine Todd Whitman, Trump’s, they’ve, Trump, Nikki Haley, Glenn Youngkin, Brian Kemp, aren’t, , Inez Feltscher Stepman, Biden, FDR, Harris, Roe, Wade –, Dobbs, Wade, slog Organizations: Public Policy Center, Economic, Twitter, CNN, Biden, Trump, GOP, Republican, , Trump ” Republicans, Illinois Rep, New, New Jersey Gov, Hilton, Republicans, Virginia Gov, Georgia Gov, Supreme, Independent, American, Democratic, Super Locations: Washington , DC, America, South Carolina, New Jersey, North Carolina, Charleston, Columbia, Georgia, Afghanistan, Ukraine, Gaza
The suburbs are home to the vast majority of Americans, including millennials priced out of cities. AdvertisementThese days, the American suburbs are seeing something of a revival after a few decades of the back-to-the-city movement, in which mostly young people flocked to urban centers. The rise of remote work coupled with the soaring costs of urban housing has pulled, or pushed, lots of millennials and others to the suburbs and even far-flung exurbs. Exclusive, isolating, and inconvenient suburbsThe American suburbs have always been flawed in a host of ways. Kotkin says the American suburbs have “won the battle” with cities, reigning as the more economically and demographically dominant place.
Persons: , , Andrew Justus, ” Justus, “ We’ve, Adie Tomer, Tomer, Joe Sohm, Joel Kotkin, Kotkin, , ” Tomer, Tayana Panova, ” Panova Organizations: Service, Niskanen, Brookings Institution, MIT, Chapman University, National Review, metros Locations: American, it’s, Paoli , Indiana, America’s, Somerville , Massachusetts, Shaker Heights , Ohio, Orange , California, Bronxville, Westchester County, Woodlands, Texas, Houston, , walkable, Suburban
Lost Images Reveal the History of Rio’s Carnival
  + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Jack Nicas | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +6 min
Lost Images Reveal the History of Rio’s CarnivalRafael Cosme was at a Rio de Janeiro antique fair six years ago when he found a pile of film negatives on the ground. It is Rio’s annual collective exhalation — a four-day eruption of art and music, costumes and joy — that began again on Saturday. “I realized there are endless stories I could tell about this city,” Mr. Cosme said about his discovery of Rio’s lost photos. Around that time, Rio’s rich elites began parading around the city during Carnival in open cars, according to Maria Clementina Pereira Cunha, a historian who has written books about Rio’s Carnival. Today the parade remains the centerpiece of Rio’s Carnival, held in a dedicated stadium built in 1984.
Persons: Rafael Cosme, , , Mr, Cosme, , Rio’s, ” Dado Galdieri, Maria Clementina Pereira Cunha, suburbanites, Ms, Pereira Cunha, “ bate bola, Felipe Ferreira, “ blocos Organizations: Rio’s, Rio, The New York Times, State University of Rio Locations: Rio, Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Europe, Rio’s, , State University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazilian, Black
The DeSantis and Haley camps each believed they would benefit if the other left the field and created an unambiguous one-on-one race with Trump. In fact, both the Trump and DeSantis campaigns believe that more of the Florida governor’s supporters will likely pick Trump. Any gain or loss for Haley among voters from DeSantis’ decision seems likely to affect the race only marginally, many GOP observers believe. Even at that point in the 2016 race, Trump had won only a cumulative 40% of the votes cast in the GOP primaries. His theory that he could peel away a meaningful number of previous Trump voters simply proved wrong.
Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Trump, Joe Biden, Haley doesn’t, Biden, winnowing, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, George Conway, “ Trump, David Kochel, , he’s, , Trump’s, , Alex Stroman, Trump’s MAGA, MAGA, CNN DeSantis, “ DeSantis, Scott Reed, Bob Dole’s, John Connally, suburbanites, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump’s, ” Stroman, Jean Carroll, Mike Murphy, – Haley, Sen, Marco Rubio, she’s, Mike Dennehy, John McCain’s, Bill Kristol, Kristol, ” Kristol, Matt Gaetz, Ginger Heald, Ayres, Grover Cleveland, Republican Benjamin Harrison, Reed, Dole, Mike Pence, Pence, ” Reed, “ He’s Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, Florida Gov, GOP, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Trump, CNN, New Hampshire, Democratic, South, University of New Hampshire, Republicans, Texas, nonurban Whites, The, South Carolina Republican Party, Edison Research, Trump Trump, Biden, New Hampshire GOP, Florida Republican, Merrimack Republican, Committee, DeSantis Locations: Manchester, New Hampshire, Florida, South Carolina, New, Iowa, DeSantis, As, Hampshire, New York, Trump, The Florida, Trump’s, Texas, Charleston, Polk County, Trump’s Manchester , New Hampshire, Ukraine, Israel,
Local restrictions in Michigan derailed more than two dozen utility-scale renewable energy projects as of last May, according to a study by the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law at Columbia University. Nationwide, and at least 228 restrictions in 35 states have been imposed to stop green energy projects. The shift has sparked a political backlash that may escalate as more states seek to simplify getting green energy projects approved and built. But many local officials say giving states the power to site large-scale energy projects clashes with cherished U.S. political principles. In Kansas, Osage County’s moratorium on commercial solar and wind projects came in 2022 after multiple hearings.
Persons: Clara Ostrander, Ostrander, , Dan Scripps, Gretchen Whitmer, Biden, Jay Bailey, can’t, Elise Caplan, Scripps, suburbanites, Josh Svaty, Svaty, ” ___ Hanna Organizations: Leasing, Sabin, Climate, Columbia University . Nationwide, Public Service Commission, Scripps, Michigan, Democratic Gov, . Michigan, Republican, American Council, Renewable Energy, Columbia University, Local, Kansas Statehouse Locations: LANSING, Mich, Montcalm County, Monroe County, Michigan, Connecticut, New York , Oregon, Minnesota, Rhode Island, In Kansas, Osage, Flint Hills, Kansas, Monroe, ” Michigan, Illinois, California , Connecticut , New York, Maryland , Massachusetts, Minnesota , New Jersey, New Mexico, Florida, South Dakota, , Topeka , Kansas
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