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AdvertisementTraders see a 45% chance the Fed pauses rate cuts in December, up from 17% last week. The rising odds come as markets digest a win for Trump, whose policies could complicate the Fed's plans. After two consecutive interest rate cuts, markets think the Federal Reserve might be ready to hit pause. AdvertisementThe rising odds come as markets continue to digest a win for Donald Trump, and as Fed officials have sounded cautious on the path of future policy easing in recent remarks. AdvertisementThe rising odds of a pause also come as Fed speakers this week have struck a cautious tone.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, David Kelly, Jerome Powell, he'd, Trump, JPMorgan's Kelly, They're, Kelly, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Cook, Powell Organizations: Trump, Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Federal, University of Virginia Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Charlottesville, Dallas
The Federal Reserve would likely respond to inflation by raising interest rates to curb demand. In an economic chain reaction, households would then pay higher interest rates on borrowing of all kinds as the Fed moves to tame that newly rekindled inflation. That led to the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rising, meaning homebuyers are on track to see higher interest rates on loans. An analysis by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center found that Trump's policies would decrease posttax incomes by an average of $1,800 in 2025. Trump's win is also expected to influence the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions on interest rates.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Ramping, Trump's, it's, Jerome Powell, Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: Federal, Service, Biden, US Census Bureau, Trump, Peterson, Center, American Progress, Tax Foundation, Fed Locations: China
Twenty-three Nobel Prize-winning economists endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris over former President Donald Trump in a joint letter released Wednesday. The nearly two dozen economists said Trump's economic agenda, which includes hardline tariff proposals and a slate of aggressive tax cuts, would "lead to higher prices, larger deficits, and greater inequality." Joseph Stiglitz, who won the Nobel Prize for his market economics research in 2001, spearheaded the joint endorsement among his fellow laureates. Stiglitz led a similar effort to endorse President Joe Biden in June, publishing a letter signed by 16 Nobel laureates. That came just two days before the fateful presidential debate that ultimately derailed the president's reelection bid.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, Joe Biden Organizations: CNN
The U.S. Federal Reserve can afford to make a jumbo 50 basis point rate cut next week without spooking markets, an analyst has suggested, as opinion on the central bank's forthcoming meeting remains hotly divided. "I would not be surprised if they jumped all the way to 50 basis points," Yoshikami told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." "That would be considered, on one hand, a very positive sign the Fed is doing what is needed to support jobs growth," he said. "I think the Fed at this point is ready to get out ahead of this." His comment follow similar remarks Friday from Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz, who said the Fed should deliver a half-point interest rate cut at its next meeting, contending that it went "too far, too fast" with its previous policy tightening.
Persons: Michael Yoshikami, Yoshikami, CNBC's, Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: U.S . Federal, Destination Wealth Management
The Nobel-prize-winning economist called on the central bank to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its approaching policy meeting. AdvertisementFriday's weaker-than-expected reading did not completely ease concerns, putting pressure on the Fed to ease policy quickly. But Stiglitz, speaking ahead of the data's release, told CNBC that he would pursue deeper rate cuts regardless of Friday's report. Builder confidence also tanked to a December bottom, though experts anticipate that falling interest rates should eventually boost sentiment. AdvertisementMeanwhile, homebuyers appear sidelined as they wait for interest rate cuts to ease mortgage rates.
Persons: , Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, homebuyers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business
Where voters place their blame — and specifically whether it falls on Vice President Kamala Harris — could be one of the defining factors of the presidential election. Early polling suggests that Harris won't be able to entirely shed the blame that President Joe Biden has received for inflation. If Harris can avoid some of the blame Biden received for rising prices, it could improve her chances of winning over crucial swing state voters, Traugott said. However, Sarah Foster, a Bankrate analyst, thinks some voters could shift much of their frustrations about rising prices from Biden to Harris. To be sure, it's up for debate how much Biden, Harris, or even Trump are deserving of blame for the rising prices of the past few years.
Persons: , Kamala Harris —, Harris, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, she'd, Michael Traugott, Kamala Harris, Trump, Traugott, Evan Roth Smith, Blueprint's, Semafor, Elizabeth Pancotti, Sarah Foster, It's, Joseph Stiglitz, University of Michigan's Traugott Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Democratic, University of Michigan, Republicans, Biden —, Roosevelt Institute, New York Times, Biden, FOX Business, University of Michigan's
Trump is sparking steep losses in areas of the market he's targeted, a group of researchers said. Researchers pointed to Trump's many "tantrums" against certain companies and sectors, which sparked sell-offs. AdvertisementThe market is in the midst of another "Trump Dump," a phenomenon where stocks see deep losses when the presidential hopeful targets them, according a group of researchers. Advertisement"As bad as turbulence has been, a second Trump term promises to be even more perilous for the stock market," they added, pointing to the potential consequences of Trump's economic policies. Other economists have criticized Trump's economic agenda.
Persons: Trump, , Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Whitney Tilson, Steven Tian —, Davidson, Powell, Donald Trump, Harris, Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Taiwan Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Clean Energy, Harley, Delta Airlines, Biden, Trump Locations: Taiwan, Trump's
Read previewFormer President Donald Trump has finally announced his running mate — and his choice means you'll likely hear a lot about tariffs on China in the coming months. Tariffs, or taxes on goods imported from another country, are intended to raise government revenue and bolster domestic manufacturing. As president, Trump was staunchly protectionist and used tariffs to enforce his "America First" policies — he imposed a series of tariffs on China that ultimately led to a trade war between the two economies. According to the Tax Foundation, Trump's tariffs raised taxes by nearly $80 billion. Biden's tariff policies have been more targeted than Trump's.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance —, Ohio —, Vance, Trump, Joe Biden, — Trump, Biden, they're, Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: Service, Trump, Republican, Trump Republican, Business, CBS News, Tax Foundation, CBS Locations: China, Ohio, United States, America, Pennsylvania, Michigan,
Experts hold drastically different views, creating a new hot-button topic that will continue to be debated up until the election in November. The camp staunchly opposed to Trump's policiesThe base argument against Trump's fiscal platform is that tariffs are, by nature, inflationary. AdvertisementIn a recent op-ed for the Financial Times, he cited the "benign" impact Trump's first-term tariffs had on the US economy. Looking ahead to a new term, Yardeni thinks Trump's most extreme pursuits will likely be watered down by Congress. AdvertisementRepublican donor Kyle Bass — who serves as the chief investment officer of Hayman Capital Management — has taken a different tact in his support of Trump's fiscal agenda.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump's, Trump, he's, David Kelly, Larry Summers, Paul Krugman, Goldman Sachs, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Steve Eisman, Kyle Bass —, Hayman Capital Management —, Joseph Stiglitz, Biden Organizations: Service, Donald Trump White House, Business, Trump, House Republicans, Foundation, New York Times, Peterson Institute, Yardeni Research, Financial Times, Congress, CNBC, Hayman Capital Management, Oxford Economics Locations: China, It's
Read previewNobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz told Business Insider in a June interview the US economy is "remarkably strong." "I think general consensus, not just my view, but almost anybody modeling what is going on would say the Trump administration would be more inflationary," Stiglitz told BI. Related storiesStiglitz noted Trump's promise of large increases in tariffs as one of the things that could make inflation worse. A third factor that could juice inflation would be the "drastic reductions in immigration" that Trump has proposed, Stiglitz said. AdvertisementOutside of the risks to inflation, Stiglitz said a Trump presidency could also mean a slowing GDP.
Persons: , Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, Trump, Axios, Trump's, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Democratic, Republican, Business, Republican National Committee, Trump, U.S, Republicans, CNN Locations: U.S
Read previewNobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz told Business Insider the US economy is "remarkably strong." "I think general consensus, not just my view, but almost anybody modeling what is going on would say the Trump administration would be more inflationary," Stiglitz told BI. AdvertisementStiglitz noted Trump's promise of large increases in tariffs as one of the things that could make inflation worse. AdvertisementA third factor that could juice inflation would be the "drastic reductions in immigration" that Trump has proposed, Stiglitz said. Outside of the risks to inflation, Stiglitz said a Trump presidency could also mean a slowing GDP.
Persons: , Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, Trump, Axios, Joe Biden, Trump's, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Democratic, Republican, Business, Trump, U.S, Republicans, CNN Locations: U.S
In today's big story, we're looking at how young people are booking their summer vacations , finances be damned. AdvertisementSurveys from Credit Karma, Bankrate, and Bank of America show Gen Zers and millennials are willing to go on summer vacation at all costs… literally. Almost half of millennials surveyed (47%) were willing to take on debt to fund their travel plans, with Gen Z not far behind (42%). AdvertisementAlmost a quarter of young people surveyed by Credit Karma expected to rack up $2,000 in debt this summer. And about 10% of that group were willing to push it even further, surpassing $4,000 in summer debt.
Persons: , Joe Biden's, Donald Trump, Rebecca Zisser, John Towfighi, Zers, millennials, Gen, it's, you'll, Credit Karma, Klaus Vedfelt, That's, Rob Chisholm, Alyssa Powell, he's, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump, Stiglitz, Justin Sullivan, Chelsea Jia Feng, ChatGPT, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, — livestreaming, Twitch's Dan Clancy, Tyler Le, Gigi, Sackler, Ebrahim Raisi, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Biden, Business, Credit, Bank of America, Getty, SEC, Purdue Pharma, Dua Lipa, Coldplay Locations: Amalfi, Vegas, ., Glastonbury, New York, London
Add to that the noise surrounding the US election, and it could be a rougher second half. Central Banks in Canada and the eurozone have both cut interest rates, but inflation rose in both of those regions last month. Australia, meanwhile, saw its inflation rate rise to 4% this week, stoking fears that the Reserve Bank of Australia could soon move to raise rates again. It was already well known that no documentation was found to show who worked on the door plug. Without the bolts, the door plug incident was pretty much inevitable.
Persons: London CNN —, they’ve, Michelle Bowman, she’s, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsbee, stoking, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, , José Torres, Torres, wouldn’t, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump, Trump’s, Max, , Al Michaels, Michaels, Peacock, ” Michaels, , CNN Michaels, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, London CNN, Federal Reserve, foibles, San Francisco Fed, Chicago Fed, Central Banks, Reserve Bank of Australia, Interactive Brokers, Treasury, Trump, Peterson Institute, Oxford Economics, Allianz, CNN, Boeing, Alaska, Alaska Airlines, National Transportation Safety Board, Alaska Air, NBC, Summer Games, Olympics Locations: London, Canada, Australia, Renton , Washington, Paris,
Yet 16 Nobel Prize-winning economists are warning that Trump’s proposals wouldn’t just fail to fix inflation — they would make matters worse. “We the undersigned are deeply concerned about the risks of a second Trump administration for the US economy,” the economists wrote in the Tuesday letter, which was first reported by Axios. The letter, organized by famed economist Joseph Stiglitz, argued there are valid reasons to worry the Trump agenda will “reignite” inflation. Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at the Road to Majority conference in Washington, Saturday, June 22, 2024. Jae C. Hong/Pool/APIn the letter, the 16 Nobel economists expressed concern about the rule of law and stability if Trump wins the White House again.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Axios, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump’s, Manuel Balce Ceneta, Joe Biden, , Stiglitz, , Biden, Jae C, “ Donald Trump, Robert Shiller, Paul Romer, George Akerlof, Janet Yellen, Biden’s, Joe, Donald Trump’s, ” Karoline Leavitt, don’t, Harry Enten, Moody’s Organizations: CNN, Peterson Institute, Oxford Economics, Allianz, Republican, AP Trump, Congressional, Federal Reserve, Trump, World Bank, Biden, ABC, Voters Locations: Washington, China, U.S, Mexico, Nogales, Ariz
Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists signed a joint letter Tuesday warning of what they see as economic risks if former President Donald Trump were to serve a second term, including reheated inflation. "While each of us has different views on the particulars of various economic policies, we all agree that Joe Biden's economic agenda is vastly superior to Donald Trump's," the economists wrote. "There is rightly a worry that Donald Trump will reignite this inflation, with his fiscally irresponsible budgets," wrote the group of politically progressive academics. Joseph Stiglitz, who won the Nobel Prize in 2001, led the effort to publish Tuesday's letter. "Nonpartisan researchers, including at Evercore, Allianz, Oxford Economics, and the Peterson Institute, predict that if Donald Trump successfully enacts his agenda, it will increase inflation," the economists wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe, Donald Trump's, Axios, Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, George Akerlof, Sir Angus Deaton, Claudia Goldin, Sir Oliver Hart, Eric Maskin, Daniel McFadden, Paul Milgrom, Roger Myerson, Edmund Phelps, Paul Romer, Alvin Roth, William Sharpe, Robert Shiller, Christopher Sims, Robert Wilson Organizations: Federal Reserve Board, Wall Street, Evercore, Allianz, Oxford Economics, Peterson Institute Locations: China
Senator Chuck Grassley, a Republican from Iowa and ranking member of the Senate Budget Committee, during a hearing in Washington, DC, on Tuesday, March 12, 2024. As Congress wrestles with a looming decision over trillions in expiring tax breaks, lawmakers and experts in a Senate Budget Committee hearing debated several Democratic proposals for higher taxes on corporations and wealthy Americans. Proponents said the plans aim to address income inequality and the federal budget deficit. However, many of these proposals, such as reforms to carried interest, have failed to gain broad support even among Democrats, said Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa. While carried interest reform was originally included in the Inflation Reduction Act, those changes were removed before the bill passed in the Senate.
Persons: Chuck Grassley, Joseph Stiglitz, Sen, Mitt Romney Organizations: Republican, Finance, Biden, Trump, Columbia University, Senate Locations: Iowa, Washington ,, R, Utah
If former President Donald Trump wins a second term in the November election, expect him to try to stay in power beyond his allotted four years, says Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz. Right now, a second Trump term is a real possibility. AdvertisementInstead, Trump is more likely to declare a state of emergency, Stiglitz said, in an attempt to delay or cancel elections. The executive branch has no power to move the date of elections, according to the National Constitution Center. AdvertisementChanging an election date via Congress would need the approval of both the Senate and the House of Representatives, and the two chambers would have to come up with a new election date, per the National Constitution Center.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, Putin, Orbán, Bolsonaro, Stiglitz, Trump, Joe Biden, Brad Raffensperger, Mike Pence, I'm, Pence, Ronald Reagan Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, RealClearPolitics, Georgia, Capitol, Republican Senate, Congress, National Constitution Center, Senate, Representatives, Constitution Center, Congressional Research Service, CRS, :, Good Society Locations: Ohio
The US economic expansion should continue in the months ahead, assuming there are no major external shocks, according to Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz. Consumer spending, which makes up about two-thirds of the US economy, is still positive, and job gains have been robust. AdvertisementDespite his generally upbeat outlook, however, Stiglitz is concerned about a number of risks. 4 economic risks to watchThe first is that economic slowdowns happening elsewhere could seep into the US. Congress could shut down again, we might not get some of the necessary bills that we need to continue government," Stiglitz said.
Persons: Joseph Stiglitz, we've, Stiglitz, Brent, Mike Johnson, Trump, Putin Organizations: Service, Columbia University, Conference, Business, Republican Locations: Europe, China, Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Iran, Ukraine, Russia, Taiwan, Eastern Europe
We're entering advertising's new era
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at the biggest topic at this year's TV upfronts , and how it's a sign of advertising's new era. What's on deck:Markets: Morgan Stanley's new wealth boss outlines the bank's playbook for hitting $10 trillion in client assets. Andy Kiersz/Business InsiderYou might be wondering what retail data has to do with television advertising.
Persons: , Morgan, Don Draper's, Burton, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Business Insider's Lara O'Reilly, Lucia Moses, Andy Kiersz, Andy Jassy, hasn't, Finn, Morgan Stanley, Michael M, Tyler Le, Jed Finn, Andy Saperstein, there's, Joseph Stiglitz, Jerome Powell, Justin Sullivan, Wells Fargo, Kevin Scott, Satya Nadella, Bill Gates, Pablo Declan, Shari Redstone's, tanked, BI's Peter Kafka, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Tech, Wall, Getty, Google, Amazon, Disney, Kroger, Walmart, Big Tech, US Department of Labor, Apple, Department, Paramount, Trump Media Locations: China, OpenAI, New York, London
If Trump is elected again, Stiglitz said, he could well pull support for Ukraine, sending grain prices soaring. For Stiglitz, the 2001 winner of the Nobel Prize in economics, America's appetite for Trump can be traced back a little more than four decades ago to the election of Ronald Reagan. "We've had 40 years of a neoliberal experiment: Strip away the regulations and lower the taxes — taxes are much lower than they used to be. But Komlos and Stiglitz don't place blame solely on Reagan for the growing economic inequality. Every European country that's had a wealth tax has walked away from it, by and large."
Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump, Stiglitz, Joe Biden, Ronald Reagan, , that's, Reagan, We've, Dina Litovsky, Friedrich Hayek, Milton Friedman, That's, Stiglitz doesn't, John Komlos, Komlos, Joe, Bill Clinton, Clinton, Barack Obama, insurrectionists, Desmond Lachman, Carter, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, George W, John McCain's, Holtz, America Stiglitz, Hayek, Friedman, Claudia Sahm, you've, what's Organizations: Columbia Business School, Business, Capitol, Biden, Trump, :, Good Society, America's, Federal Reserve, Budget, Bank, University of Munich, Duke University, University of North, Democratic, North American Free Trade, World Trade Organization, American Enterprise Institute, Bush's, Economic Advisers Locations: Manhattan, Ukraine, Russia, China, Beijing, Taiwan, University of North Carolina, Spain, America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz: Fed rate hikes didn't get at source of inflationJoseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize-winning economist, Columbia University professor and ‘The Road to Freedom: Economics and the Good Society’ author, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Organizations: Columbia University, :, Society
Billionaires worldwide should have to pay a 2% wealth tax, the EU Tax Observatory says. AdvertisementAdvertisementBillionaires should have to pay a 2% global minimum tax imposed by governments, researchers at the EU Tax Observatory say. They listed the tax as a key proposal in their Global Tax Evasion Report and argued that it would raise close to $250 billion annually. Its researchers said that the tax would mimic the 15% global minimum tax introduced for multinational companies. Currently the world's billionaires collectively pay around $44 billion a year in individual income taxes and wealth taxes, the researchers wrote.
Persons: Joseph Stiglitz, , Stiglitz Organizations: EU, Service, European Union, Paris School of Economics, London School of Economics, King's College Locations: King's College London
Mike Green | CNBCThe Federal Reserve "didn't do their homework" and mischaracterized the spike in inflation that has plagued the U.S. economy over the last two years, according to Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz. The Fed didn't start hiking rates until March 2022 and Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly insisted that inflation was "transitory," indicating that it could be easily tamed. watch nowInstead, Stiglitz said that the price rises were often driven by other factors, such as a shortage of key components like semiconductor chips. In an effort to drag inflation back down towards its 2% target, the Fed has now hiked interest rates 11 times in total to a target range of 5.25%-5.5%, the highest level for more than 22 years. American auto companies forgot to put in orders for chips, and for want of a chip, you can't make a car."
Persons: Mike Green, Joseph Stiglitz, Jerome Powell, Stiglitz, CNBC's Steve Sedgwick Organizations: CNBC, Federal, Fed Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJoseph Stiglitz says the Fed 'didn't do their homework' on inflationSpeaking to CNBC on the sidelines of the Ambrosetti Forum, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz shares his views on the Federal Reserve's handling of U.S. inflation.
Persons: Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: CNBC, Ambrosetti
Reducing inequality by 2030 was one of the 17 UN Sustainable Development Goals adopted by most governments in 2015. But five years later, global inequality — measured as the difference in average incomes between countries — saw the largest annual rise in three decades, driven by the Covid-19 pandemic, according to the World Bank. The goal to reduce inequality “remains largely ignored,” Monday’s letter said. We ask you to seize this opportunity to back stronger goals.”A spokesperson for the World Bank welcomed the ideas proposed in the letter. At a meeting at the UN headquarters in New York Tuesday, due to be attended by representatives from governments, a group that includes Oxfam and UNAIDS will launch a “call to action” on global inequality.
Persons: London CNN —, António Guterres, Ajay Banga, Ban, Helen Clark, Joseph Stiglitz, Jayati Ghosh, Thomas Piketty, ” Guterres, , , , Vasco Cotovio Organizations: London CNN, United Nations, World Bank, UN, New Zealand, Sustainable, CNN, Oxfam, UNAIDS Locations: Russia, Ukraine, New York
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