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Ms. Harris starts out with 226 likely electoral votes compared with 219 for Mr. Trump, with 93 votes up for grabs. Scenario 6 Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Scenario 7 … or North Carolina. Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump have been campaigning hard and often there, and Democrats hope that the favorable governor’s race could help them. Scenario 5 … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … Scenario 6 … or Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The Harris campaign is taking a similar approach, focusing on white college-educated women, who currently favor Ms. Harris by 29 points.

Persons: Brandon Bell, Harris, immovably, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Trump, Trump’s, Harris –, Trump’s resiliency, Harris’s, William Frey, Michael Dukakis, Josh Shapiro, JD Vance, Mr, Bill McInturff, there’s, –, Joe Rogan’s, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton Organizations: Trump, Electoral, Democrats, Republicans, Democratic, Mr, Sun, Electoral College, NBC, Black, Brookings Institution, Michigan, …, Republican, Biden Locations: Virginia, Minnesota, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wis, Mich, Pa, Nev, N.C, Ariz . Ga, Ariz ., Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin . Pennsylvania, …, … Georgia, Arizona , Michigan, Pennsylvania , Michigan

You’ve probably heard a lot about the gender gap in presidential politics by now. And this most of all: In modern presidential politics, the gender gap has never been wider, but it gets particularly large when we break out gender by educational attainment. KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump +40 Dem. KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump +40 Dem. The story of this election could well be the gender gap between those Americans who went to college and those who didn’t.

Persons: You’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton’s, —, Trump’s, JD Vance, ”, Vance, Biden, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, Joe Rogan’s, Joe Rogan, Brené Brown, Wade, Joe Biden’s, Amanda Iovino, Glenn Youngkin’s Organizations: Trump, Harris, women, Pew, Mr, Pew Research, Facebook, Democratic, Pew Research Center, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump, ., Election, Republicans, Republican Party, Democratic Party, America, Lake Research Partners, Democratic National Committee, WPA Intelligence, Republican, Republican National Convention, Democratic National Convention, YouTube Locations: American, New York, Roe

Now, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump appear to be in a dead heat in Michigan, and it’s once again crucial for winning the presidency. For our latest Times Opinion focus group, we gathered a cross-section of Michigan voters to assess the race in the home stretch. The takeaway isn’t especially positive for Ms. Harris. Others thought Mr. Trump didn’t understand what it meant to struggle financially. Perhaps most worrisome for Ms. Harris, nine of our 11 participants thought she would pursue policies similar to Mr. Biden’s.

Persons: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, it’s, Harris, Jill Stein, Trump, Biden’s, Muhammad, Biden, “, ” Muhammad Organizations: Democratic, Democrats, Green Party, Mr, Michigan Locations: Michigan, America, Israel, Trump

☆ How Liz Cheney tried to give GOP women permission to vote for Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —Republican women can vote for Kamala Harris — and they don’t need to tell anyone about it. Such voters need to be approached gently since she’s asking dissident Republican voters to shelve some of their most cherished political positions. Cheney’s appearances with Harris came as the vice president seeks to further widen a massive gender gap with the ex-president among women voters. A New York Times/Siena College poll this month showed Harris leading women voters by 56% to 40% over Trump. Trump’s struggles with women votersHarris’ events with Cheney raised the question of just how many Republican voters might be in reach for her.

Persons: Kamala Harris —, Liz Cheney’s, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, aren’t, Harris, Cheney, ” Cheney, “, she’s, Haley The Harris, Bush, Reagan, Dick Cheney, Nikki Haley, Trump, I’m, ” Cheney –, –, – it’s, He’s, He’s overbearingly, ”, Haley “, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Arnold Palmer’s, ’, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Kasie Hunt, “ Dick Cheney, ” Trump Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, Trump, GOP, South Carolina Gov, New York Times, Siena, White, South, White House, Republicans, Truth Locations: Waukesha County, Milwaukee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Detroit, Wyoming, Chester County , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Texas, Alabama, South Carolina, Arkansas, Iraq

☆ We are 15 days from the 2024 presidential election. Here's where things stand.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

The presidential race remains razor close, with control of the White House at a coin-flip. AdvertisementIn just over two weeks, Election Day 2024 will be here — a final cap to a wild, at times unprecedented presidential fight that, for the moment, remains far too close to call. Noted election forecaster Nate Silver's model now shows Trump with an extremely slight lead in what continues to remain a toss-up race. Harris trolled Trump on Friday for being "exhausted," referencing a string of interviews he has reportedly walked away from. In the overwhelmingly conservative state, there's a swing district, the Omaha-based Nebraska 2nd.

Persons: —, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, iecuUVyJ5e, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Mark Robinson, Nate Silver's, Harris trolled Trump, Trump, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, She's, Mark Cuban, Liz Cheney, Obama, Bruce Springsteen, Clinton, Bon Jovi, He's, It's, Melania Trump, night's Al Smith, Mike Pence, cohosts, Nikki Haley, Elon Musk, Musk, Spencer Platt, Mary, there's, There's, Biden, Trump's, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Service, White, Labor, RCP, Trump, Gov, The New York Times, Democrats, GOP, Capitol, Fox, Tesla, PAC, Getty, Pennsylvania, North Carolina —, Democratic, Electoral, Nebraska, Nebraska Republicans Locations: North Carolina, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Siena, Georgia, Des Moines , Iowa, Philadelphia, New York, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Maine , Nebraska, Omaha, Minnesota , New Hampshire, New Mexico, Arizona

“The polls — public and private — are closer in this election than any I have ever seen,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a former aide to Barack Obama. Republican pollster Frank Luntz summed up the election with a single gif: A coin flip. The Trump era brought a return of uncertainty after most pollsters and prognosticators missed his 2016 victory, and 2024 is the narrowest polling election of all three of his runs. In 2020, the data correctly predicted Joe Biden’s victory, but Trump came much closer than many expected. “This race is remarkable for its closeness but also the insane stability of polls here in the closing weeks,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.

Persons: James Carville, ”, “, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Pfeiffer, Barack Obama, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Tim Malloy, ” “ It’s, ” Nate Silver, Republican pollster Frank Luntz, Matt Gorman, “ It’s, Bush, Gore, Gorman, “ There’s, Hope, decamping, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama’s, John McCain, Trump, prognosticators, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden’s, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, ” Murray, Obama, underestimating Harris, gaffes, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Carville Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Supreme, Trump, Monmouth University, Electoral College Locations: Manhattan, Florida, Erie County, Pennsylvania

What are some strengths that Kamala Harris brings to the table, even if you aren’t voting for her? What are some strengths that Kamala Harris brings to the table, even if you aren’t voting for her? At the same time, half of them said it was important that America have a female president in the next decade, and a few praised Kamala Harris. The women who liked Mr. Trump said they trusted him more on the economy and inflation and were skeptical that costs would go down under Ms. Harris because they blamed the Biden-Harris administration for the state of the economy now. In such a polarized election, we were struck that one woman had switched from Mr. Trump to Ms. Harris and another seemed to be leaning that way.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, ” Organizations: Trump, Democratic, Biden, Mr Locations: America, reconvene

(Harris, 59, is herself among the youngest baby boomers, born in 1964, the last year that’s considered part of the generation.) Smith and her husband have struggled to stretch their monthly Social Security income of around $4,000 as their costs have increased. The average Social Security check was around $2,000 at the start of the year and adjusts annually for inflation. About half of Social Security recipients make enough income to have their benefits taxed, according to the Social Security Administration. Polls show a tightening race between Trump and Harris among seniors, with Harris appearing to pick up support compared to Biden.

Persons: Teresa Smith, Smith, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, she’s, “, he’d, “ He’s, Harris, that’s, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, ”, Bob Ward, Fabrizio Ward, Biden, hasn’t, ” Trump, Medicare —, Walz, Seth Schuster, Trump, Phil Martin, Martin, Pam, “ Trump’s, Denise Meyer, ” Meyer, Kamala, Gary Schlossberg, Dick Edgecombe, Edgecombe, we’re, Gary Allen, Allen, Kristen Soltis Anderson Organizations: White House, Democratic, Trump, Republicans, Biden, AARP, Social Security, Social, Social Security Administration, Medicare, Pew Research Center, NBC, FedEx, Wells, Investment Institute, Republican, “ Locations: Georgia, North Carolina, Charlotte, Wells Fargo, “, Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh, ”, Michigan

☆ America sort of likes Kamala Harris – and that might just be enough
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The 2024 White House race remains too close to call, but Vice President Kamala Harris' momentum is evident when you look just a little past the horse race. Earlier this week, Harris' favorability emerged above water for the first time since shortly after President Joe Biden took office. Soltis Anderson discussed a poll that the interest group commissioned, which found Harris has expanded Biden's once-meager lead over women voters aged 50 and over. Unlike Clinton, Walsh pointed out Harris hasn't spent decades in the spotlight and isn't faced with assuaging voters' fears of a potential political dynasty. Harris' favorability was up slightly in both Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, favorability, Joe Biden, She's, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Soltis Anderson, Debbie Walsh, Tim Malloy, Likability, Barack Obama's, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Gabe Fleisher, reexamined, Trump, Nate Silver's, Walsh, There's, Clinton, Harris hasn't, isn't, Clinton's favorability, Obama's, Mark Robinson, Robinson, Sen, JD Vance, he's, Malloy Organizations: Service, AARP, Business, Center for American Women, Politics, Quinnipiac University Poll, Democratic, Research, Pew Research, State, Rutgers University, Gov, CNN, Republicans, Trump Tower, Trump Locations: North Carolina, Nazi, Nebraska, FiveThirtyEight's, Trump, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin

☆ Why are we still talking about cat memes in the 2024 campaign?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —Far be it from anyone to identify a defined strategy in the cat memes that have overtaken the American political conversation in a pivotal election year. Never mind the state’s Republican governor, who also counseled against a campaign visit, called out state troopers to city schools to ease concern about scores of bomb threats. Intentional or not, the insult cued a new round of stories about how the Trump campaign doesn’t seem to mind turning off women voters. Women voters have shifted away from Trump since Harris entered the race, according to polls. “Every time I do a focus group with swing voters, they bring up JD Vance talking about childless cat ladies.

Persons: “, Donald Trump’s, Ramaswamy, Vivek Ramaswamy, Roberto Schmidt, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Kamala Harris, Sanders, Harris, ” Harris, Kristen Soltis Anderson, ” That’s, Harris ”, Anderson, Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Harry Enten, we’ve, Enten, Nicky Jam, He’s, Taylor Swift’s, Billie Eilish’s, Lance Trover, Doug Burgum, Trover, “ I’m, ” Trover, it’s, ” Anderson, Vance, Sarah Longwell, CNN’s Jake Tapper, “ I’ve, ” Longwell Organizations: CNN, Republican, he’d, AFP, Getty, Arkansas Gov, Trump, New York Times, Siena College, Puerto, Pennsylvania doesn’t, North Dakota Gov, The New York Times, Trump Republican Locations: Ohio, Springfield, Springfield , Ohio, Michigan, Puerto Rican, Las Vegas, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

☆ Opinion | What the Polls Say About Harris Erasing Trump’s Lead on the Economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Kristen Soltis Anderson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Whatever other obstacles Mr. Trump and his campaign have faced, more voters have tended to trust him with the economy than the Biden-Harris ticket. According to at least one poll, though, voters’ attitudes may have changed. In a new survey conducted for The Financial Times, by a single point, Vice President Kamala Harris edges out Mr. Trump on the question of who voters trust more to handle the economy. But Ms. Harris’s slight edge on the economy in that Financial Times poll exists in the context of the numbers that came before it. To see the shift from Mr. Trump winning on the top issue to it being a jump ball will be an eye-opening finding if it is replicated in other polls.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Kamala Harris Organizations: Biden, The Financial, White, Financial

☆ Opinion | What the Latest Polling Tells Us About the 2024 Race
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Kristen Soltis Anderson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Right out of the gate comes Tim Saler, a data consultant for Mr. Trump’s campaign, who takes issue with the latest CBS News/YouGov poll showing Ms. Harris ahead of Mr. Trump by one point nationally and running very close to Mr. Trump in the key battleground states. Without this manipulation, President Trump would be maintaining a 51-49 lead in their Aug. 4 survey. As a result, we adjust our data to align with known benchmarks, a process known as weighting. Weighting a survey by factors like age and race is quite standard and is a basic matter of good research practice. Pollsters have robust and friendly debates over the best ways to keep a poll from over- or under-sampling people of a certain party.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tim Saler, Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Vance, Saler, let’s, “, Brian Hughes Organizations: CBS, Trump, New York Times, Siena College

☆ Opinion | What Polling Tells Us About a Kamala Harris Candidacy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Kristen Soltis Anderson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Time: The idea of Ms. Harris as the presumptive Democratic nominee will take a few days to ripple through the public consciousness. Now, one party has answered the call, and one question becomes: Is Ms. Harris that longed-for alternative, or is she seen as simply a continuation of the much-maligned Biden candidacy? Ms. Harris will drive abortion messaging more sharply. Against Ms. Harris, Republicans could fall into the “very online” trap. It’s hard to overstate the extent to which Republicans view Ms. Harris as unappealing.

Persons: There’s, Biden, Kamala Harris, I’m, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Trump’s, Harris, —, they’ll, Mr, Will, ” Ms, Trump, Roe, Wade Organizations: Republican National Convention, Democratic, pollsters, Mr, Harris Voters, Trump

☆ Electoral votes and swing state margins, explained
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-20 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | Renée Rigdon | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

California gets 54 electoral votes (it has two senators and 52 congressional districts). The winner is the candidate who gets 270 or more electoral votes. If no candidate gets to 270 electoral votes, the House of Representatives picks the winner from among the candidates who got electoral votes. The campaigns will focus more attention on the fewer than one-third of all electoral votes they consider to be up for grabs or winnable by either party. Two states, Maine and Nebraska, apportion some of their electoral votes by congressional district rather than giving all of them to the state winner.

Persons: CNN —, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, “, Kristen Soltis Anderson, ”, Biden, Trump, Hillary Clinton Organizations: CNN, Republican, Republican National Convention, House, Electoral, District of Columbia, Wisconsin –, Trump, Constitution, Democrats Locations: . Washington, California, . Texas, Florida, New York, Maine, – Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Constitution . North Carolina , Colorado, Nebraska

☆ Opinion | ‘It Was Trump Untethered’: Best and Worst Moments From His Acceptance Speech
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( New York Times Opinion | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

In this special feature, Times Opinion writers rate the evening on a scale of 0 to 10: 0 means the night was a disaster for Donald Trump; 10 means it could lead to a big polling bump. Here’s what our columnists and contributors thought of the event, which culminated in Trump’s acceptance speech. Best MomentKristen Soltis Anderson, contributing Opinion writer Donald Trump gave a compelling and moving description of what it was like to be under fire and pledged to represent all of America, not just half of America. David Brooks, Times columnist The first 20 minutes of the Trump speech. Jane Coaston, contributing Opinion writer Hulk Hogan’s speech was his best performance since he beat Macho Man Randy Savage at WrestleMania V.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kristen Soltis Anderson, David Brooks, Trump, he’d, Jane Coaston, Hulk, Macho, Randy Savage Organizations: Republican National Convention Locations: America

☆ Opinion | ‘J.D. Vance Brought What Team Trump Needed’: Best and Worst Moments From Night 3
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( New York Times Opinion | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

In this special feature, Times Opinion writers rate the evening on a scale of 0 to 10: 0 means the night was a disaster for Donald Trump; 10 means it could lead to a big polling bump. Best MomentKristen Soltis Anderson, contributing Opinion writer How can you not feel the heartbreak of the Gold Star families? A powerful reminder of the chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal, as well as President Biden’s incorrect assertion during the debate that no service members died overseas on his watch. Most important, a powerful reminder of the price of freedom. Vance, and the veterans and families of soldiers killed or taken captive — they were the most effective and affecting speakers.

Persons: Donald Trump, Peter Navarro, Kimberly Guilfoyle, Vance, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Biden’s, Charles M, Usha Vance, J.D Organizations: Republican National Convention, Gold Star Locations: Afghanistan, Blow

☆ The Best and Worst Moments From Night 2 of the R.N.C. - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( New York Times Opinion | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Welcome to Opinion’s commentary for Night 2 of the Republican National Convention. In this special feature, Times Opinion writers rate the evening on a scale of 0 to 10: 0 means the night was a disaster for Donald Trump; 10 means it could lead to a big polling bump. Here’s what our columnists and contributors thought of the event, which included speeches from Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy and Elise Stefanik. Best MomentKristen Soltis Anderson, contributing Opinion writer I’d be remiss not to mention Gov. But she rewrote it, and what she delivered made a positive, personal case for Donald Trump.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Elise Stefanik, Kristen Soltis Anderson, I’d, Jim Justice’s, Lara Trump’s, Trump Organizations: Republican National Convention, Gov

☆ Opinion | What Polls Tell Us About the State of the 2024 Race
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Kristen Soltis Anderson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

As Republicans head into the second day of their convention in Milwaukee, they are energized. Serious concerns about President Biden’s electoral hopes loomed even before the events of the weekend transpired. Mr. Biden’s advanced age and attendant campaign trail challenges remain. And now the iconic images of a bloodied Mr. Trump, fist in the air, seem to have raised Democrats’ concerns that they have no good options, only a slow march toward defeat. At the same time, with so many of Mr. Biden’s voters fiercely opposed to Mr. Trump returning to power, I suggested that we might actually not see polls move too much.

Persons: Donald Trump —, Trump, Biden’s, there’s, Biden “, ” Organizations: Biden, Trump, Mr Locations: Milwaukee, Pennsylvania

While President Biden enjoys strong support from Black voters, Donald Trump has chipped away at that crucial Democratic base: He won 12 percent of Black voters in the 2020 election and did especially well with Black men, winning 19 percent. Some pollsters think Mr. Trump may do even better in November. This focus group was held last week, before the assassination attempt on Mr. Trump. But they also said that some of their friends and relatives sharply disagreed with them about Mr. Trump. For these men, Mr. Trump is not just the more appealing choice but also the sole realistic option, given “how off track the president is mentally,” as one participant said.

Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, ”, Rashad, Mr Organizations: Black, Democratic, Democratic Party Locations: Pennsylvania

The Southern Baptist Convention last month condemned in vitro fertilization, adding to the debate in many conservative and religious circles about the process. In this audio essay, the contributing Opinion writer Kristen Soltis Anderson shares her experience undergoing I.V.F. and argues that families should be able to use it to bring children into the world. “I’m a person of faith and I believe children are miraculous blessings,” she says. “I’m also of the mind that science is one way that miracles are made possible.”(A full transcript of this audio essay will be available within 24 hours of publication in the audio player above.)

Persons: Kristen Soltis Anderson, ”, “ I’m Organizations: Southern Baptist Convention

☆ Opinion | When Oprah Loved Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Kristen Soltis Anderson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

There is one question about Donald Trump that I’m asked above all others, as someone whose professional life is devoted to studying voter behavior and, in particular, what drives Republicans. My answer starts with a story about how Oprah Winfrey once saw Mr. Trump. Ms. Winfrey elevated and endorsed Senator Barack Obama for the presidency; Mr. Trump built a political following around false allegations and conspiracy theories about Mr. Obama’s birth. By the time Mr. Trump was President Trump, Ms. Winfrey considered becoming Mr. Trump’s rival rather than his running mate. She called up Senator Mitt Romney to discuss ideas about taking on Mr. Trump in some fashion.

Persons: Donald Trump, I’m, —, Oprah Winfrey, Trump, ”, Winfrey, Barack Obama, Obama’s, President Trump, Mitt Romney Organizations: Trump, Oprah

☆ Donald Trump, Joe Biden and the 2024 Election: 12 Women Discuss - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Patrick Healy | Kristen Soltis Anderson | Mr. Healy Is The Deputy Opinion Editor. Ms. Soltis Anderson Is A Pollster. | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

When you think about Donald Trump, what’s the first word that comes to mind? When you think about Donald Trump, what’s the first word that comes to mind? But all of them said they wished someone other than Mr. Biden would be the Democratic presidential nominee this year. This focus group is a companion to that Biden group: We spoke with 12 women who voted for Mr. Trump in 2020 to discuss how they saw him now. But disdain for Mr. Trump’s personality was exceeded by frustration with Mr. Biden on policy and competence.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Trump’s, Mr, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, “ Organizations: Democratic, Biden, Mr, Trump Locations: Arizona

What’s clear is that Mr. Trump is no longer the outsider voice that resonated with these voters in 2016. Still, their concerns about him do not necessarily make Mr. Biden or Democrats look better by comparison. For all but one of these voters, Mr. Trump’s shortcomings do not translate into increased support for Mr. Biden at this point. But could Mr. Biden win some of them over, especially those whose top issue in this election is protecting and defending democracy? We put that question to these lapsed Trump voters, and the scale of Mr. Biden’s challenge was clear in their answers.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, MAGA, Lago, Biden, Mr, Biden’s Organizations: Republican, Republican Party, Republicans, Mr, Trump

☆ Super Tuesday may underline Trump’s transformation of the GOP
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

His performance so far reflects his success at transforming the Republican Party in his image. The most important message from the primaries is the most straightforward: Trump’s coalition is the dominant faction in the GOP. Like McConnell’s announcement, the choices by GOP elected officials in the primary contest signal their acknowledgement of the party’s direction. The share of GOP elected officials who have endorsed Haley isn’t anywhere near as large as her share of the total vote. But a deeper factor also explains the imbalance in support among GOP elected officials.

Persons: Donald Trump, He’s, Ronald Reagan, Nikki Haley, –, Trump, Reagan, Bob Dole, George W, Bush, Mitt Romney, Whit Ayres, Democrat Grover Cleveland, Republican Benjamin Harrison, ” Ayres, Ayres, Grover Cleveland, ” Chris Wilson, Ron DeSantis, “, ”, Gary Langer, he’s, Kyle Kondik, “ It’s, William Mayer, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Democrat Al Gore, Haley, Dwight Eisenhower, Sen, Robert Taft, Mitch McConnell, Haley isn’t, Chris Sununu, Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Liz Cheney, Wilson, Mike Johnson, McConnell, Kevin McCarthy, Jennifer Horn, Biden, William Galston, Galston, ’, ‘, Kristen Soltis Anderson, isn’t, Eisenhower, “ Trump, ” Galston, ” Trump, Missouri GOP Sen, Eric Schmitt, wouldn’t, he’d Organizations: CNN, Republican, Republican Party, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Washington, Trump, Veteran GOP, White, Democrat, Democratic, Florida Gov, ”, ABC, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, Northeastern University, Republican internationalists, Republicans, Chicago Council, Global Affairs, Trump’s GOP, New Hampshire Gov, South, Brookings Institution, Biden, Republican National Committee, Missouri GOP Locations: Sunday’s, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, Michigan, George H.W ., Southern, Iowa, New Hampshire, Oakland, Washtenaw, Kent, Ukraine, Trump’s, Missouri

☆ I.V.F. Made Me a Mom. Why Has This Issue Tripped Up Republicans? - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Kristen Soltis Anderson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The grief of infertility can be all-consuming, but also hard to fully grasp for anyone who has blessedly never experienced it. It is an unusual grief, a grief about lives not yet begun rather than lives that have come to an end. I am also of the mind that science is one way that miracles are made possible in this world. To the extent that Alabama’s laws have now been interpreted in such a way that I.V.F. is at least temporarily unavailable, I am hopeful that policymakers in the state will take rapid action to put policies in place to protect it.

Locations: Alabama

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