"Something very strange has happened" in the economy that is preventing a recession, Societe Generale said.
The bank highlighted that as the Fed raised interest rates over the past year, corporate net interest payments actually fell.
According to Societe Generale, "something very strange has happened" that explains why a US recession has been delayed, and it has to do with some timely moves made by corporations.
The bank highlighted that going back to at least 1975, corporate net interest payments would rise as the Fed raised interest rates.
"Normally when interest rates rise, so too do net debt payments, squeezing profit margins and slowing the economy.
Persons:
Societe Generale's Albert Edwards, SocGen's Edwards, Edwards
Organizations:
Societe Generale, Service, Federal Reserve, Societe Generale's, Bank of America, Companies
Locations:
Wall, Silicon