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Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's election victory over Vice President Kamala Harris marks a historic return to the White House — an extraordinary political comeback that is likely to have seismic ramifications for the global economy. The former president's litany of campaign pledges include steep tariffs, tax cuts, deregulation and a push to withdraw from key global agreements. Trump's favorite wordTrump has previously described "tariff" as his favorite word, calling it "the most beautiful word in the dictionary." And we don't see Trump's secondary tariff pledge — that baseline tariff, which would hurt European companies — as being all that feasible," Galbraith said. Analysts have warned that Trump's plan to impose universal tariffs are highly likely to raise prices for consumers and slow spending.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump, Lizzy Galbraith, Abrdn, Galbraith, CNBC's, Donald Trump, Ben May, Mitchell Reiss Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, European Union, Bloomberg, Trump, Oxford Economics, Signum Global Advisors, Macquarie Group, Royal United Services Institute Locations: Binzhou, China, Florida, U.S, Mexico, Greensboro , North Carolina, Ukraine, Europe, Asia, Qingdao Port, Shandong province, Qingdao, American
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHarris is expected to win both the popular and electoral votes: Advisory firmLew Lukens of Signum Global Advisors discusses the key factors to propelling Harris' potential win and expectations for voting swing states.
Persons: Harris, Lew Lukens Organizations: Signum Global Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's apparent assassination attempt will not have an impact on the polls, advisory firm saysLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors, discusses an apparent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump and what it means for the U.S. elections.
Persons: Lew Lukens, Donald Trump Organizations: Signum Global Advisors
The Democrats had been headed for a "landslide defeat" in November, but now, they stand a chance, said Ian Bremmer, President and Founder of Eurasia Group. "They've turned [this race] around, and President Biden has given the Democrats a fighting chance," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Monday. How Harris helps DemocratsAccording to experts that spoke to CNBC, Harris comes with a number of advantages in comparison to her former running mate. A recent poll showed that some 85% of the population believed Biden was too old to serve another four years. However, according to Myers, the race has been thrown into "complete disarray" with Harris set to give Trump a "real run for his money."
Persons: Kamala Harris, Peter Zay, Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, Ian Bremmer, They've, CNBC's, Harris, Bremmer, Steven Okun, Allan Lichtman, Okun, Trump, Eurasia's Bremmer, That's, , Charles Myers, Signum, Myers Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Democratic, Eurasia Group, Democratic National Convention, APAC Advisors, Trump, CNBC, Republicans, Signum Global, Markets Locations: North Carolina, Fayetteville NC, United States, Chicago, today's America
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a political event at the Air Zoo Aerospace & Science Experience in Portage, Michigan, on July 17, 2024. Jeff Kowalsky | AFP | Getty ImagesThe pressure is on Vice President Kamala Harris to turn around her political fortunes and win the Democratic Party's nomination, analysts say, after U.S. President Joe Biden dropped out of the presidential race. "I'm not saying it's going to be easy for Kamala Harris ... but I do think we have to give her the opportunity to be the candidate," he noted. "The vice presidential role, by its very definition, is very much behind the scenes, playing second fiddle to the president. The "Biden for President" campaign committee has officially been renamed the "Harris for President" committee, affording Harris the use of Biden team's infrastructure, staff and its $98 million in cash reserves.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Jeff Kowalsky, Joe Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Lew Lukens, I'm, she's, Lukens, CNBC's, Biden, they're, Inderjeet Parmar, Parmar, Kamala, Xavier Becerra, Jonathan Ernst, Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton, hasn't, Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, Allan Lichtman, Lichtman Organizations: Air Zoo Aerospace, Science, AFP, Getty, Democratic, U.S, Signum Global Advisors, CNBC, Politics, City , University of London, Republicans, White, Reuters, Republican, NBC, Trump, Democratic National Convention, Democratic Party, American University, Biden Locations: Portage , Michigan, America, U.S, California, Mexico, Washington , U.S, Chicago
No 'smooth road' ahead for the Democrats, advisory firm says
  + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo 'smooth road' ahead for the Democrats, advisory firm saysLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors, discusses the challenges facing the Democratic Party and Vice President Kamala Harris as she launches her campaign to become the Democratic nominee.
Persons: Lew Lukens, Kamala Harris Organizations: Signum Global Advisors, Democratic Party, Democratic
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailElection ramifications of the assassination attempt on Donald TrumpRob Casey, partner at Signum Global, joins "Squawk Box Europe" to discuss the fallout and electoral ramifications after an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump.
Persons: Donald Trump Rob Casey, Donald Trump Organizations: Signum
Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at the Butler Farm Show in Butler, Pennsylvania, U.S., July 13, 2024. Brendan Mcdermid | ReutersU.S. stocks are expected to get a short-term boost in the aftermath of the failed assassination of former president Donald Trump over the weekend, as analysts say the likelihood of his re-election in November has increased. "The events on Saturday, if they do anything, they strengthen the case for President Donald Trump to win the election in November. watch nowPolls showed Trump retaining his lead over President Joe Biden a day after the shooting at a Republican rally in Pennsylvania. "These events, as unfortunate as they are in terms of political change, do not really change the direction of global markets and the global economy," he said Monday.
Persons: Donald Trump, Brendan Mcdermid, Rob Casey, CNBC's, Trump, Casey, Brian Gardner, Joe Biden, Biden, Guillaume Menuet, It's Organizations: Reuters, Trump, Global Advisors, Republican, Democratic, BMI, Fitch Solutions, CNBC, EMEA, Citi Global Wealth Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, U.S, Reuters U.S, Washington, Pennsylvania
Trump Media shares surged 50% in premarket trading Monday following the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday. Shares in Trump Media & Technology Group were 50% higher in premarket trading at 6:29 a.m. "I also call for the federal government to provide any security resources requested by President Trump to guarantee his safety," he added. Trump Media, the parent company of social media platform Truth Social, has seen volatile trading throughout the election race. In its first-quarter earnings report, filed in May, Trump Media posted a net loss of $327.6 million and total revenue of $770,500.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Devin Nunes, Nunes, President Trump, Rob Casey, CNBC's Organizations: Republican, Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump, Signum Global Advisors, Truth Locations: Chesapeake , Virginia, Pennsylvania, TMTG
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPresident Biden's amassed 'good will' has ran out, political analyst saysRob Casey, senior analyst at Signum Global Advisors, comments on the fate of the U.S. Democratic party after the latest presidential debate left Americans dubious as to whether President Joe Biden can run for another term.
Persons: Biden's, Rob Casey, Joe Biden Organizations: Signum Global Advisors, U.S . Democratic
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNN Biden-Trump debate: Both will probably try to get each other 'fired up,' advisory firm saysLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors, says "the hope, of course, is that both men will actually talk about policy."
Persons: Lew Lukens Organizations: Email CNN Biden, Trump, Signum Global Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDonald Trump more likely to receive a fine rather than jail time, analyst saysRob Casey, partner and senior analyst at Signum Global Advisors, says Donald Trump is a "first-time offender."
Persons: Donald Trump, Rob Casey Organizations: Signum Global Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. China tariffs will probably cover 'a whole range' of goods, advisory firm saysLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors, says, however, that its tariffs on electric vehicles is "more symbolic than anything else."
Persons: Lew Lukens Organizations: U.S, Signum Global Advisors Locations: China
Israel and Iran: All-out war, or measured retaliation?
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Atta Kenare | AFP | Getty Imageswatch nowBut a full-blown conventional war would be devastating to both sides and highly destabilizing for the Middle East. Are these tit-for-tat blows between Israel and Iran clear evidence of all-out war, or carefully calibrated retaliation strikes? "With Israel's apparent strikes on Iran today, retaliating for Iran's attack on Israel last Sunday, we now have a direct nation-on-nation hot war," he told CNBC's "Capital Connection" Friday. 'Ball is back in Iran's court'Not everyone agrees that the line into wider war has been crossed, however. Within hours of the Israeli strikes, risk assets were already on their way back down, with international oil benchmark Brent crude turning lower for the session after a brief spike.
Persons: Atta Kenare, Benjamin Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Netanyahu, Ebrahim Raisi, Clay Seigle, CNBC's, Ehud Olmert, CNBC's Dan Murphy, Olmert, Ian Bremmer, Michael Singh, Israel, Rob Casey, Casey Organizations: AFP, Getty, Washington, Rapidan Energy Group, Israeli, Military, Israel, Eurasia Group, National Security Council, Wall Street, Signum Global Advisors, Anadolu, International Atomic Energy Agency, Brent Locations: Palestine Square, Tehran, Israel, Iran, U.S, Damascus, Gulf of Oman, Hormuz, Anadolu
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIsrael-Iran conflict: Israel strike 'not the most' escalatory path it could've taken, analyst saysRob Casey, partner and senior analyst at Signum Global Advisors, says "the ball is back in Iran's court."
Persons: Rob Casey Organizations: Israel, Signum Global Advisors Locations: Iran, Israel, Iran's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNikki Haley has 'no path' to the Republican nomination, former U.S. ambassador saysLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors and former U.S. ambassador, says "this is Trump's nomination at this point."
Persons: Nikki Haley, Lew Lukens Organizations: Republican, Signum Global Advisors Locations: U.S
Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree claimed the group's responsibility for the attack, calling it their most severe yet. The group claim to support Palestinian civilians amid Israel's retaliatory military campaign in the Gaza Strip. Simultaneously, fighting is raging between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip with no sign of abating despite diplomatic efforts by a number of countries. INTERNATIONAL WATERS RED SEA, YEMEN - NOVEMBER 20: This handout screen grab captured from a video shows Yemen's Houthi fighters' takeover of the Galaxy Leader Cargo in the Red Sea coast off Hudaydah, on November 20, 2023 in the Red Sea, Yemen. EU foreign ministers called in a joint statement for an immediate humanitarian pause that would lead to a lasting cease-fire.
Persons: Mohammed Huwais, Yemen's, Yahya Saree, Saree, Charles Myers, CNBC's, Myers, Hungary —, Israel's, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, hasn't, Mohammed Abed Organizations: Hamas, Afp, Getty, U.S . Central Command, Global Advisors, SEA, Galaxy Leader Cargo, Handout, Security, Palestinian Locations: Israel, Sanaa, Gaza, Red, Belize, Gulf, Aden, Iranian, Yemen, U.S, Gulf Aden, Rafah, Gaza's, YEMEN, Red Sea, Lebanon, Iran, Beirut, Hungary
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIowa Caucus will reveal if Nikki Haley can be real threat to Donald Trump: Signum Global AdvisorsLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors, discusses the U.S. Iowa Caucus, its impact on the upcoming elections, and what each candidate will need to do to appeal to voters.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Lew Lukens Organizations: Iowa, Signum, Signum Global Advisors, U.S . Iowa Caucus
A growing legal headache for early frontrunner Donald Trump could pave the way for a "dark horse" Republican presidential candidate to win the backing of the party in the race for the White House. That's the view of one former U.S. ambassador ahead of the Republican Party's second televised presidential debate on Wednesday evening. The former president, who skipped the first Republican Party presidential debate in Wisconsin last month, boasts a lead of more than 40 points over his nearest competition, according to a recent national NBC News poll. Trump has said he doesn't plan to take part in the second Republican debate on Wednesday evening and will instead deliver a speech to autoworkers in Detroit. Republican Party donors have encouraged Youngkin to enter the race and challenge Trump's sizable lead in the polls.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ronald Reagan, Trump, Donald Trump's, Lew Lukens, CNBC's, Lukens, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis —, Glenn Youngkin, Youngkin Organizations: Republican, White, Republican Party's, Foundation & Institute, Trump —, NBC News, Signum Global Advisors, Republican Party, Florida Governor, Trump Locations: U.S, Simi Valley , California, Wisconsin, Detroit, Virginia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's the possibility of a dark-horse candidate in the Republican presidential race: Former U.S. ambassadorLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors and former U.S. ambassador, discusses the race to become the Republican presidential candidate.
Persons: Lew Lukens Organizations: Republican, Signum Global Advisors Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Trump's presence will be acutely felt' at the first GOP debate, strategist saysLewis Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors, discusses the upcoming Republican primary debate and says that some candidates will "want the support of Trump's base," while others could make the calculated decision to distance themselves.
Persons: Lewis Lukens Organizations: GOP, Signum Global Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailG7's security pledges for Ukraine are a 'momentous' event, says former U.S. diplomatLew Lukens, senior partner at Signum Global Advisors and former U.S. diplomat, discusses the "two big takeaways" from the NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania.
Persons: Lew Lukens Organizations: Signum Global Advisors, NATO Locations: Ukraine, U.S, Vilnius, Lithuania
LONDON, June 12 (Reuters) - Central banks like the Bank of England will find it hard to communicate the end of their rate-tightening cycle and should not sweat over this at the expense of taking steps to bring down inflation, BoE policymaker Catherine Mann said on Monday. "Fine-tuning is something that monetary policy is not very good at if the ultimate objective is to focus on inflation," Mann said at an event hosted by U.S. political strategists Signum Global Advisors. Many economists, by contrast, expect the BoE to stop sooner - or if not, to pause to assess the impact of the rapid series of rate rises. "Inflation expectations, in fact, are on the downswing even as some of these core and services prints have been more robust than we would have hoped for," Mann said. Economic activity had also continued to grow modestly and in line with expectations, Mann added.
Persons: BoE policymaker Catherine Mann, Mann, Signum, BoE, Jonathan Haskel, it's, David Milliken, Suban Abdulla, William James, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Bank of England, Signum Global Advisors, Bank of Canada, Monetary, MPC, Thomson Locations: Central, Britain, United States
Big donors in the business world started rallying around President Joe Biden soon after he announced Tuesday that he's running for reelection next year. A Biden campaign spokesperson didn't return a request for comment before publication. Katzenberg told CNBC in an exclusive interview Tuesday night that he believes the Biden campaign will raise more this time around than in 2020. Biden's campaign raised over $400 million from donors that gave under $200 during his last run for president, according to OpenSecrets. Venture capitalist Ron Conway has told friends he will help the president's campaign, according to a person close to him.
Cooperman says he voted for Biden in 2020, but he accused Democrats of deliberately misleading people about how the billionaire tax proposal would work. The billionaire tax proposal is "completely dead on arrival," said Charles Myers, a 2020 bundler for Biden's presidential campaign and the chairman of Signum Global, an investment advisory firm. Myers said the purpose of Biden's billionaire tax announcement, however, was never to jumpstart a negotiation in Congress. But for some in the party, Biden's billionaire tax contains a fatal flaw. With plans for a billionaire tax stalled in Washington, wealth tax advocates and activists are turning to the states.
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