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☆ Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +21 min

Trump won the presidency in 2016 by stunning Democrat Hillary Clinton to win all three states by a combined margin of about 80,000 votes. But, as in other states, Democrats have been concerned about the risk of depressed turnout and some gains for Trump among Black voters in Philadelphia. Eight years later, the two states split again, when Roosevelt comfortably won Pennsylvania and Michigan narrowly went to Republican Wendell Willkie. This trio of states has arguably become the most consistent tipping point in American politics. In the nine elections since 1920 when they split their vote, the candidate who carried two of these three states won seven times.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump –, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris, Bob Shrum, Shrum, Tad Devine, “, Biden, PRRI, William Frey, Tim Marema, don’t, Mason, Dixon, Barack Obama, Tony Evers, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Dane County, Ben Wikler, Pete Giangreco, ”, You’ve, That’s, Gene Ulm, Roe, Wade, Whitmer, Branden Snyder, It’s, Clinton, Dante Chinni, White, ” Chinni, they’ve, They’ve, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, Ruffini, “ I’m, ” Ruffini, Geoff Garin, Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, James Buchanan, John C, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Herbert Hoover, Republican Wendell Willkie, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Theodore Roosevelt’s, Al Gore, John Kerry, Republican Thomas Dewey, Hubert Humphrey, Garin Organizations: CNN, White House, Democratic, Michigan, Wisconsin, AdImpact, Trump, Center, University of Southern, “, Republicans, Survey, Blacks, of Labor Statistics, Public Religion Research, Whites, GOP, Brookings Metro, for Rural, doesn’t, Keystone State, Republican, Center for Rural, Democrats, Biden, Black, White, Wisconsin , Michigan Democrats, Detroit, Electoral, American Communities Project, …, Democrat, Pennsylvania, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina , Arizona, Nevada, Flint , Michigan, University of Southern California, California , New York, Illinois, Texas, Florida, Ohio, . Michigan, Wisconsin’s, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Eau Claire, Appleton, La Crosse, Outagamie, Winnebago, Green Bay, Green, Chicago, Scranton, Wilkes, Barre, ” Michigan, “ Michigan, Gaza, Wisconsin , Michigan, United States, “ Pennsylvania, Ulm, Pittsburgh, Butler , Pennsylvania, Republican George H.W ., Fremont, North Carolina, Michigan , Pennsylvania, “

☆ No Apparent Motive in Arkansas Shooting, but the Reaction Is ‘So Personal’
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( David W. Chen | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

But the officers in the town of 3,400 who rushed there and eventually subdued the assailant could not have felt more connected. “They knew everyone personally, from the suspect to the victims on scene,” said Col. Mike Hagar, the director of the Arkansas State Police. Officers arrived at the Mad Butcher grocery store three minutes after the first shot was fired, then took down the gunman five minutes later. An additional person was identified late Saturday as having been injured by the gunman, bringing the total to 10. Of the five people who remained hospitalized, one woman was still in critical condition at a hospital in Little Rock, Mr. Hagar said.

Persons: ”, Mike Hagar, Mad Butcher, Callie Weems, Roy Sturgis, Shirley Taylor, Ellen Shrum, Hagar Organizations: Arkansas State Police, Mad Locations: Fordyce, Ark, Little Rock

The world has changed since Biden visited a familiar place to talk up familiar topics, though. Other domestic matters also are competing for political attention, with the fight over choosing the next Republican House speaker potentially imperiling continued U.S. aid to Ukraine and a United Auto Workers strike entering its fifth week. Biden's reelection campaign has joined the White House in stressing that being president always means juggling multiple pressing concerns. Whatever the message, the president can help himself politically Friday just by staying focused on Pennsylvania, said longtime Democratic strategist Robert Shrum. He returned to Philadelphia in July, visiting a shipyard where he talked up how organized labor would lead a major push toward embracing green energy.

Persons: Joe Biden, he'll, Biden, Hunter, ” Cathal Nolan, Nolan, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, you’ve, ”, Joel Rubin, Bernie Sanders, Benjamin Netanyahu, “, ” Biden, Rubin, Biden's, Karine Jean, Pierre said, Biden “, Israel ”, Jean, Robert Shrum, ” Shrum, he's, Mustafa Rashed Organizations: WASHINGTON, Biden, Hamas, Republican, United Auto Workers, Institute, Boston University, Obama, State Department, Israeli, Islamic, J, White, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Democratic, ALF, Labor Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Israel, Gaza, Ukraine, America, Colorado, U.S, Washington, Maryland, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Scranton , Pennsylvania

☆ Anguish in Camelot: Kennedy Campaign Roils Storied Political Family
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-06 | by ( Peter Baker | More About Peter Baker | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

“It must be painful for them,” said Bob Shrum, who for years was one of the leading advisers to Edward M. Kennedy, the senator and patriarch known as Ted. “He’s been through some struggles himself,” Mr. Shrum added of Bobby, “and I think they want to love him. It’s very sad at every level.”Robert Kennedy Jr. opted against discussing his relations with his family. In a statement to CNN in April shortly before kicking off his campaign, he acknowledged that some relatives do not support him. Amid reports of infidelity, he separated from his second wife, Mary Richardson Kennedy, who also battled addiction and died by suicide in 2012.

Persons: ”, Bob Shrum, Edward M, Kennedy, Ted, “ He’s, ” Mr, Shrum, Bobby, “, ” Robert Kennedy Jr, Mary Richardson Kennedy, Cheryl Hines Organizations: CNN

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