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☆ Why Black men's job situation is worse than it looks
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

That means that the tens of thousands of Black men who are incarcerated aren't being included in these calculations, effectively boosting the Black male employment rate. As of July, the BLS estimated a there were 16.2 million US Black men in the noninstitutional population, compared to 18.8 million Black women. AdvertisementThe bottom line: If the survey data had a more complete picture of Black men, Holzer said the Black male employment rate would likely be "considerably worse." Education differences and discrimination can work against Black menEducation is one factor that can help explain the lower employment rate of Black men, Wilson said. A strong job market and workforce development programs could drive progressThere are several things that might help get more Black men into the workforce.

Persons: —, there's, it's, Harry Holzer, aren't, Holzer, Valerie Wilson, Wilson, Jared, Black, didn't, weren't, " Holzer Organizations: Service, Business, Georgetown University, US Department of Labor, Pew, BLS, Black, University of California, University of Chicago, BI, Harvard, Stanford, Initiative Locations: Berkeley

☆ Trading Fed rate cuts: These banks are primed to outperform when rates fall, Evercore ISI says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A few well-known regional banks are poised to benefit from the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate cuts, according to Evercore ISI. Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated on Friday that the central bank is ready for interest rate cuts ahead , although he declined to provide the exact timing or extent of the cuts. As investors await the Fed's moves, Evercore ISI used its updated asset/liability committee scenarios and several banks' net interest income commentary to find which names appear strongest in a lower interest rate environment. According to the note, Comerica, U.S. Bancorp and Fifth Third each forecast two interest rate cuts this year. Comerica shares dipped more than 10% on July 19 after the company posted its second-quarter results.

Persons: Jerome Powell, John Pancari, Pancari, Curtis Farmer, Truist Organizations: Federal, ISI, Comerica, Truist Financial, U.S . Bancorp, Fifth Third Bancorp, FactSet Locations: U.S

☆ Why dividend stocks should be a hot play into fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Ellie Stevens | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It appears more investors are eyeing dividend stocks ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in September. Paul Baiocchi of SS&C ALPS Advisors thinks it is a sound strategy because he sees the Fed easing rates. ALPS is the issuer of several dividend exchange-traded funds including the ALPS O'Shares U.S. Quality Dividend ETF (OUSA) and its counterpart, the ALPS O'Shares U.S. Small-Cap Quality Dividend ETF (OUSM). Relative to the S&P 500 , both dividend ETFs are overweight health care, financials and industrials , according to Baiocchi. Mike Akins, ETF Action's founding partner, views OUSA and OUSM as defensive strategies because the stocks generally have clean balance sheets.

Persons: Paul Baiocchi, CNBC's, Baiocchi, Mike Akins, OUSA, Akins Organizations: C Locations: U.S

☆ Bank of England's Bailey: 'More restrictive policy' could still be needed due to labor market shocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, waits to deliver a lecture at the London School of Economics in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will hail the progress made in dampening inflation in the U.K. in a Friday speech, but also caution that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive for longer than expected due to shocks from the labor market. Headline price rises in the U.K. hit the BOE's 2% target for two months this year, before rising to 2.2% in July. However, he will caution that two less "benign" scenarios remain possible that will require the Bank of England to "maintain restriction for longer." It comes after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday gave his firmest comments yet indicating that interest rate cuts lie ahead for the world's biggest central bank, stating: "The time has come for policy to adjust."

Persons: Andrew Bailey, Bailey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, London School of Economics, U.S, Bank of Locations: London, U.S . Federal, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Bank of England

☆ Is Nvidia's earnings report really make or break? Here's why we don't think so
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

While expectations are high and caution is certainly warranted, we don't think it's quite that simple. While the Oscillator and Williams' work do point to possible selling pressure ahead, we don't want to get too bearish. However, we don't think the risks are so elevated as to warrant more than a small cash raise. We still view Nvidia as an "own it, don't trade it" stock, but we also don't keep our heads in the sand. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Larry Williams, Williams, Jim, Estee Lauder, Morgan Stanley, hasn't, they've, We're, Jim Cramer's, Dominika Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Blackwell, Apple, Microsoft, Super Six, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Williams

Economists like to say the cure for high prices is high prices. In other words, consumers eventually start to hold back on spending when they are faced with increasing costs. On Monday, the New York Federal Reserve reported that consumers' three-year inflation outlook hit a record low. Many economists credit the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates starting in the spring of 2022 with helping to curb the upswing. It is that last factor that the Federal Reserve is keenly focused on.

Persons: “, Andrew Jassy, Wells Fargo, Mark Hamrick, ” Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, New York Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, BLS, Gallup, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, York

☆ Why you shouldn't worry about the job market and a recession just yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewThe labor market is trending in the wrong direction, but it might not be time to sound the alarm just yet. The unemployment rate has risen for four consecutive months and at 4.3%, it's the highest it's been in nearly three years. However, there are some reasons it might be too soon to freak out about the labor market. AdvertisementSatyam Panday, chief US economist for S&P Global Ratings, said in a note published on August 6 that the slowing labor market appears to suggest a "normalization" of a previously red-hot labor market, rather than an "economy that's about to slip into a recession." The labor market might get worseTo be sure, there are plenty of reasons to remain concerned about the state of the labor market.

Persons: —, there's, it's, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Manuel Abecasis, they've, It's, Goldman Sachs that's, Satyam Panday, Michael Gapen, JP Morgan, Claudia Sahm Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, Federal, Satyam, Bank of America, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, New Century Advisors Locations: US

☆ Gold prices inch lower as U.S. inflation data looms
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. producer prices increased less than expected in July, reinforcing market view that cooling inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he wants to see "a little more data" before he's ready to support lowering interest rates. Gold, often used as a hedge against geopolitical risks, thrives when interest rates are low.

Persons: Kyle Rodda, Raphael Bostic, Ismail Haniyeh Organizations: Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve, Traders, Atlanta Fed, Investors Locations: U.S, Iran, Gaza, Israel

☆ Gold dips as investors book profits, U.S. inflation data in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Prices rose more than 1% in the previous session. "Prices will benefit if the U.S. inflation data comes in on the softer side of the ledger, which would reignite hopes of an aggressive rate cut from the Fed in September." The CPI data is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. Markets see about 50% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "If markets become more optimistic of a 50 bp cut coming to fruition, this could propel the gold price to make a run at the $2,500 level," Waterer said.

Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Tim Waterer, Waterer, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM, Fed, Traders Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S, Gaza

☆ Trump called inflation a disaster for consumers — and Musk blamed it on government waste
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Donald Trump and Elon Musk called out the pain caused by high levels of inflation in recent years. Trump bemoaned that people can't afford groceries and savers have been "decimated" by rising prices. Musk blamed inflation on government overspending and pushed for deregulation to bring down costs. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementDonald Trump and Elon Musk lamented the brutal impact of rising prices in their X Spaces conversation on Monday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, — Organizations: Service, Elon, Business

☆ Looking to buy a home? Redfin's research lead says a flood of housing supply is set to hit the market by the end of 2025 as locked-in homeowners finally start selling
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewProspective homebuyers are painfully aware of just how bad the housing market is right now. Mortgage rates have doubled since 2022 following the Federal Reserve's initiative to raise rates and curb inflation. In an interview with Business Insider, she shared her predictions for the housing market and mortgage rates. Advertisement"That can help to alleviate some of the pain associated with getting a higher rate," Zhao said. The housing market isn't going to unlock overnight, but Zhao is optimistic that conditions will improve for homebuyers going forward.

Persons: —, Chen Zhao, … Zhao, Zhao, it'll, Zhao doesn't Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Fed, Bank of America Locations: Florida

☆ Home Depot may need an interest rate cut to boost its sales
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Melissa Repko | In Melissa-Repko | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

That waiting game has only intensified with a potential interest rate cut in sight. "What our customers tell their pros is, 'Everything I read tells me interest rates will be lower in three to six months,'" McPhail said. An interest rate cut could help move the needle for Home Depot as sales slow. The Federal Reserve has dropped hints that an interest rate cut could come soon. Even with an interest rate cut, Decker said, "people still might pause a little bit until some of this gets sorted out."

Persons: Richard McPhail, McPhail, Ted Decker, Jerome Powell, Decker, —, Diana Olick Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Depot, Mortgage News Locations: El Cerrito , California

☆ Looking to buy a home? Redfin's research lead says a flood of housing supply is set to hit the market by the end of 2025 as locked-in homeowners finally start selling.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Persons: —, Chen Zhao, … Zhao, Zhao, It's, Zhao doesn't Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Fed, Bank of America Locations: Florida

☆ Gold subdued as investors focus on U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Gold prices struggled for momentum on Monday as investors looked forward to a key inflation report that could shed more light on the U.S. central bank's next policy move. Spot gold eased 0.13% to $2,427.86 per ounce by 0352 GMT, trading in a narrow $10 price range. The U.S. consumer price index data, due on Wednesday, is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. "Further inflation progress reflected in the upcoming CPI data could see gold eye for a retest of its all-time high once more," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Among other metals, spot silver fell 0.3% to $27.36 per ounce, platinum shed 0.47% to $917.83 and palladium fell 0.2% to $903.48.

Persons: Ilya Spivak, Yeap Jun Rong, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Metals, U.S, Federal, Hamas Locations: Krasnoyarsk, Russia, bank's, U.S, Gaza

☆ 3 reasons why recession alarms are flashing a false positive, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Fresh anxiety might also spring from the fact that the yield curve is finally disinverting, which is a recessionary signal on its own. "In other words, the Credit Crisis Cycle may be on pause this time." AdvertisementStable credit conditions also contradict a typical reason for why the yield curve inverted in the first place. They are usually correct, Yardeni noted, but not this time around. AdvertisementBut when this happens, shorter-term Treasurys typically roll off quicker than longer ones, Yardeni noted.

Persons: —, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Federal, Valley Bank, ICE

☆ Gen Z Women Are Getting Into Personal Finance Tips to Invest and Save
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Emilie Friedlander | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

These women talk openly about being rich and wanting to help other women become rich too. She also launched a platform called Treasury, which says it has helped women invest over $80 million in the stock market. "I couldn't really find anyone who was teaching money the way that I wanted to learn it," Sacks said. And it's probably getting really smart about how you save money, taking the money that you are saving and investing it and building wealth." Young women, on the other hand, are turning to more tried-and-true tactics.

Persons: Dave Ramsey, Tori Dunlap, It's, Dunlap, Dow Jones, Simran Kaur, Rachel Rodgers, Z, Kaur, Zers, Haley Sacks, Sacks, Cartier, Kylie Jenner, Suze Orman, it's, they're, Rita Soledad Fernández Paulino, Leah Sheppard, Gen Zers, —, Rita Soledad Fernández Paulino Sacks, Kyla Scanlon, Scanlon, aren't, Fernández Paulino, weren't Organizations: Economic, Institute, Washington State, Carson College of Business, GameStop, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve's Survey, Consumer Finances Locations: Tacoma , Washington, Dunlap, Instagram, Zealand, York, California

☆ Americans who locked in a job, home, and stocks are thriving. Everyone else missed out on their ticket to wealth.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Did you have a job, own a home, and have significant investments in the stock market? If the answer was yes to all three, then there's a decent chance you're feeling OK about the current state of your finances. But the job market has slowed over the past year. To be sure, not everyone has enough extra cash to invest in the stock market. This is among the reasons a growing share of Americans have dipped their toes into the stock market.

Persons: —, haven't, there's, There's, It's, what's, Roland Hesmondhalgh, he's, Republicans —, Tiffany Bell, didn't, Bell, she's, she'll Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Republicans, Federal Locations: Virginia, Pennsylvania, Houston

☆ Morgan Stanley says buying these quality defensive stocks is the best option for investors right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Morgan Stanley's preference for defensive quality stocks has only increased since June, even as major U.S. indexes have continued to reach new highs. Wilson highlighted his stock screen of quality and defensive names, which are long ideas with overweight ratings from the firm's analysts that are also in the top 1,000 universe by market cap. Take a look at some of Morgan Stanley's favorite names below: AbbVie made the cut as one of the firm's top quality and defensive stocks. Analysts surveyed by FactSet have a price target on AbbVie shares that suggest just 3.2% upside from its latest close. Other Morgan Stanley defensive and quality favorites include consumer discretionary names Walmart and Lowe's .

Persons: Morgan, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, AbbVie, Northrop Grumman, Morgan Stanley, Kristine Liwag, Brian Nowak, Meta Organizations: Public Service Enterprise Group, Northrop Grumman, Federal, Aerospace, U.S, Walmart

☆ A millennial couple who make $250,000 say they can't find a home in their budget: 'We refuse to become house-poor'
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

They want to keep their monthly mortgage payment between $3,000 and $3,500 — or around 30% of their monthly take-home income of about $11,000. However, rising home prices and mortgage rates in recent years have made this goal difficult to accomplish. "We refuse to become 'house-poor' and, like many others, are choosing to sit it out until the housing market is reasonable again," Laura said. With an 11% downpayment, they estimated their monthly mortgage payment would be about $5,000 — about 43% of the couple's take-home monthly pay. AdvertisementGoing forward, Laura said they plan to continue monitoring the housing market for a home they like that's in their budget.

Persons: —, Laura Graves, Samuel, they'd, Laura, they've, they're, it's, There's, Samuel aren't, We'll Organizations: Service, Business, Federal, Housing Locations: Portland, Wilsonville , Oregon, Wilsonville, Spokane , Washington

☆ These low-volatility stocks have a winning record and are attractively valued
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

These stocks have low share price volatility over the past five years, and their total return — including share price gains and dividends — are greater than the S & P 500's over the past five years. Take a look at the names below: Health-care companies Amgen , UnitedHealth Group and AbbVie are among the names with low volatility and strong returns in recent years. Pharmaceutical company AbbVie's roughly 262% gain over the past five years is the highest of the stocks in the group. Amgen's share price has a 5-year total return of 104%, making it a steady grower, but still the slowest of the list. Other stocks with low volatility and attractive valuations include automotive replacement parts retailer AutoZone and insurance company Aflac .

Persons: Stocks, They're, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Mohit Bansal, TD Cowen, Kannan Venkateshwar, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: CNBC, UnitedHealth, Pharmaceutical, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Humira, Barclays, Mobile

☆ Harris leads Trump in three major election battlegrounds, new poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The poll found Harris beating Trump 50% to 46% among likely voters in all three states, though those leads are within the survey's margins of error. Likely voters are a subset of the entire pool of registered voters surveyed. From Monday to Thursday, the poll surveyed 619 registered voters in Michigan and 661 registered voters in Wisconsin. Trump has a nine-point lead with voters on his handling of the economy compared to Harris, according to the Times/Siena poll. The Times/Siena poll found Walz had a 36% favorability rating among registered voters, the same as Trump's running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Recessionary, Tim Walz, Walz, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Vance Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Trump, The Times, Democratic, Times, Republican, Minnesota Gov Locations: Michigan , Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Siena, Philadelphia

☆ Harris responds to Trump Fed comments, will release economic plan in coming days
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks with members of the media before boarding Air Force Two at Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport in Romulus, Michigan, U.S., August 7, 2024. "I couldn't ... disagree more strongly," Harris told reporters in Arizona, referring to the Republican presidential nominee's comments. "The Fed is an independent entity, and as president, I would never interfere in the decisions that the Fed makes." With just 87 days until the election, the vice president also told reporters that she is preparing to unveil an official economic policy platform in the coming days. Harris' comments drew a stark contrast between her and Trump, who said this week that the president should "have at least [a] say" in Fed policy.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Harris, Trump Organizations: Democratic, Air Force, Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport, Saturday, Republican, Fed, Federal Reserve Locations: Romulus , Michigan, U.S, Arizona, Lago

☆ Wall Street will get key insight on the consumer, inflation in the week ahead as recession fears swirl
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The wildest week of 2024 has investors bracing for more volatility in the week ahead, with key insight on the consumer and inflation coming at a time when recession fears are top of mind. Inflation, labor data Next week's inflation data could get less attention than it has over the past year when the Fed's fight against pricing pressures put inflation reports on center stage. Recently, it's been the labor market getting the most attention. "The market's caring much more about about labor markets and growth, than they do inflation right now," Ladner said. Week ahead calendar All times ET Monday, Aug. 12 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (July) Tuesday, Aug. 13 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (July) Earnings: Home Depot Wednesday, Aug. 14 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (July) 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Scott Ladner, it's, Ladner, —, Strategas, Ryan Grabinski, RJ Assaly, Jeremy Siegel, Chen Zhao, Zhao, Price Organizations: Federal, Walmart, Home, Horizon Investments, Bank of Japan, Wharton, Fed, UBS, Investments, Treasury Budget, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Materials, Tapestry, Deere, Co, Housing Locations: U.S, NAHB, Michigan

☆ Gold rises more than 1% on safe-haven demand, Fed rate-cut optimism
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Prices of safe-haven gold edged higher on Thursday, supported by Middle East tensions and optimism surrounding U.S. rate cuts, while traders awaited economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, supported by firm safe-haven demand and growing expectations for a sizeable interest rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September. Spot gold rose 1.27% to settle at $2,463.3. Brokerages including J.P.Morgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo have forecast a 50-basis-point interest rate cut by the Fed in September after last week's U.S. jobs data. Gold prices fell as much as 3% on Monday, caught in a global sell-off driven by fears of a U.S. recession.

Persons: Alex Ebkarian, Bullion Organizations: Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve, J.P.Morgan, Citigroup, Fed Locations: Iran, Israel, Wells, U.S

☆ JPMorgan raises 2024 recession odds to 35%
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bank raised its probability for a U.S. or global recession to 35% by year end, chief global economist Bruce Kasman told clients in a Wednesday note. Meanwhile, JPMorgan kept its odds for a recessionary period by the second half of 2025 at 45%. But traders got better news on the labor market front on Thursday, with the volume of weekly jobless claims coming in lower than economists expected. To be sure, despite raising his odds, Kasman said investors should not assume all signs point to a recession. In fact, Kasman described his increase to near-term recession risk as modest.

Persons: Bruce Kasman, Kasman, Goldman Sachs Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Fed Locations: U.S

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