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Japan's exports posted a 3.1% rise in October compared to a year ago, rebounding from a fall in September that marked a 43-month low. The climb beat expectations of a 2.2% rise from economists polled by Reuters, and is a reversal from the 1.7% fall in September. Government data showed that Japanese exports increased the most to the Middle East region, recording a 35.4% rise, compared to the same period a year ago. He added: "Any escalation of tensions between the U.S. and China on tariffs and trade is likely to weigh upon global trade and global growth. Japan, as an open and cyclical economy, will be impacted by any deterioration in global trade and the global economy."
Persons: September's, Daniel Hurley, Rowe Price, Donald Trump's Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Trump Locations: Yokohama, Japan, East, China
Donald Trump's proposed tariffs will dent U.S. economic growth going into 2026, said Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth Carpenter. In the event that they are enacted all at once, they could result in a "big negative shock" to the economy, Carpenter told CNBC's Sri Jegarajah on the sidelines of Morgan Stanley's annual Asia Pacific Summit in Singapore. Carpenter, who maintained Morgan Stanley's base case of these tariffs being spread over 2025, said they would lead to higher inflation. "Then into 2026, we think growth starts to come down a great deal in the U.S. because of those tariffs and some of the other policies," he cautioned. Very clear, tariffs are a drag on growth for the U.S., not just for the countries that the tariffs are put on," Carpenter added.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Morgan Stanley's, Seth Carpenter, Trump, Carpenter, CNBC's Sri, Morgan, Mark Malek, Siebert, Joe Biden, Trump's, Malek, Ben Emons Organizations: Asia Pacific Summit, Microsoft, Apple, U.S . Federal Reserve, FedWatch Advisors Locations: China, CNBC's Sri Jegarajah, Morgan Stanley's, Singapore, U.S
Jim Cramer said Wednesday he's feeling even better about Apple after a new piece of Wall Street research. "This piece makes me feel more confident [about Apple]," Jim said Wednesday. "They are transitioning in a very deft way from making China by far their biggest market to India," Jim said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. An Apple logo is displayed on a smartphone with stock market values in the background.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, , Jim, Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Apple, JPMorgan, Apple's, F1Q25, UBS, Apple Intelligence, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, India, Philippines, Indonesia
Figures released Monday by the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement show the casinos and their online partners won $213.6 million in October, surpassing September's previous record of $208 million. The swing toward internet gambling and away from in-person casino gambling accelerated during the pandemic, and is becoming a more permanent feature of New Jersey's gambling landscape. He also noted that internet gambling revenue exceeded $200 million for the second straight month. In terms of in-person gambling revenue, Borgata won $53.4 million, down 6.1% from a year earlier; Hard Rock won $40.8 million, down 1%; Ocean won $32.8 million, down over 24%; Tropicana won $17.6 million, up 7.4%; Harrah's won $15.7 million, down 11.5%; Caesars won just under $15 million, up 4.1%; Resorts won $12 million, down over 9%; Bally's won $11.4 million, down 7.8%; and Golden Nugget won $9.6 million, down over 20%. When internet and sports betting money is included, Borgata won $106.1 million, up 5.8%; Resorts won $88.7 million, up nearly 19%; Golden Nugget won $76.7 million, up nearly 25%; Hard Rock won $55.1 million, up 6.2%; Ocean won $39 million, down nearly 19%; Bally's won $23.1 million, up 17.2%; Tropicana won $17.7 million, up 9.1%; Harrah's won $15.8 million, down 10.6%; and Caesars won $15.2 million, up 1.5%.
Persons: Ocean —, Jane Bokunewicz, Lloyd Levenson, , James Plousis, Borgata, Harrah's, Bally's, Wayne Parry Organizations: CITY, Atlantic, New, New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement, Ocean, Stockton University, New Jersey Casino Control, Tropicana, Caesars, Resorts, Golden Nugget, Golden, Associated Press Locations: N.J, Atlantic City, New Jersey
5 things we're watching in the stock market in the week ahead
  + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +10 min
October retail sales, released Friday morning, came in slightly ahead of expectations, indicating a 0.4% monthly increase, versus a 0.3% increase expected. Disney's reported strong earnings and its stock advanced more than 16% for the week as a result. In the week ahead, we will get earnings from three Club names, including the highly anticipated quarter from Nvidia, and a couple of housing market-related updates. The Street is looking for Nvidia sales of $33.1 billion in its fiscal Q3 and earnings of 75 cents per share. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Donald Trump, Friday's, Jerome Powell, Powell, That's, YTD We're, we're, Jensen, Trump, Nvidia's, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Angela Weiss Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Fed, Disney, Depot, Nvidia, TJX Companies, Home Goods, Blackwell, Palo Alto Networks, Home Depot, Stanley, Walmart, Viking Holdings, Sonoma, WSM, Baidu, PDD Holdings, Deere & Co, Warner Music Group, Intuit, Ross Stores, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: Maxx, U.S, China, Palo, VIK, Williams, New York City
For investment options, she referred to the firm's survey of China stocks the investment bank's analysts already cover. Morgan Stanley's basket of bear case stocks only includes overweight-rated names with a dividend yield above 4% this year. The companies must not be on Morgan Stanley's lists of stocks at a disadvantage from Republican policy and supply chain diversification. Morgan Stanley expects Tingyi's earnings per share to grow 12% this year and 11% in 2025. Sinotruk earnings can grow 18% this year and 17% next year, according to Morgan Stanley estimates.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley's Wang, Morningstar, Claire Liang, Liang, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Kong, PepsiCo, Services, Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation, China, CNBC, Republican Party, U.S . Congress Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, Europe, Mexico
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Breaking from Wall Street, Asia-Pacific stocks mostly rose on Friday. On a quarterly basis, GDP rose 0.2%, in line with estimates from a Reuters poll, but that's lower than the second quarter's 0.5% increase. China retail sales pick back upChina's retail sales in October rose 4.8% year on year, reported the National Bureau of Statistics.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Music, Fair, CNBC, Trump, Nikkei, CSI, U.S . Federal, National Bureau of Statistics, Nvidia, Citi Locations: Dallas , Texas, Street, Asia, Pacific, China
Price growth ticked higher in October as voters began casting ballots in a presidential election in which economic concerns played a big role. The consumer price index climbed to 2.6% last month since the same time last year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Stock futures turned higher, while traders bid up the price of government bonds. All-important shelter costs rose 0.4% from September to October, accounting for over half the monthly gains, the BLS said. Over the past four years, consumer prices have cumulatively increased about 20%, with the costs of many other goods and services rising even faster.
Persons: That's, Joe Biden’s, ” Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research, ” Voters, White House, Trump, Investors, Adobe, National Retail Federation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Citi Locations:
An employee works in the cockpit of a Boeing P-8 Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft on the production line at Boeing's 737 factory in Renton, Washington, November 18, 2021. Boeing machinists approved a new contract last week that included 38% pay raises over four years and other improvements, ending a more than seven-week strike that halted output of most of Boeing's aircraft production. Boeing's 787 Dreamliner production continued during the strike because those planes are made in a nonunion factory in South Carolina. Despite the strike pause, Boeing continued to sell dozens of aircraft in October, with 63 gross orders, two shy of September's total. Forty of them are 737 Max 8s for the Avia Solutions Group.
Persons: Max, Kelly Ortberg Organizations: Boeing, Avia Solutions, LATAM Airlines Locations: Renton , Washington, Washington state, Oregon, South Carolina
China consumer prices rise slowest in 4 months, despite stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People purchasing fruit at an agricultural trade market on May 11, 2024 in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province of China. China's consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in four months in October while producer price deflation deepened, data showed on Saturday, even as Beijing doubled down on stimulus to support the sputtering economy. Analysts say the package will likely do little to boost economic activity, demand and prices in the near term. However, core inflation, excluding volatile food and fuel prices, rose 0.2% in October, accelerating from 0.1% in September. China's central bank in late September unveiled the most aggressive monetary support measures since the COVID-19 pandemic to revive economic growth.
Persons: Bruce Pang Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, JLL Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, Beijing, China's
U.S. government bond yields have surged too, puzzling many market participants. I am going to stick with the contrarian view and bet on rates continuing to move higher. I'll express that through a bearish bet on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) which tracks bond prices. Various inputs have driven yields higher, creating the opposite outcome for the Fed as they continue to try to land the proverbial plane. Jeffrey Gundlach stated (post Fed meeting) that interest rates could shoot even higher if Republicans end up controlling the House too.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, TLT Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury Bond ETF, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
China's exports in October rose at their fastest pace in 19 months, sharply beating analysts' estimates, according to data from the country's customs agency on Thursday. Exports rose by 12.7% in October from a year ago in U.S. dollar terms, their highest jump since March 2023, according to LSEG data. Analysts had pegged exports growth at 5.2% year on year in October, according to a Reuters poll. Analysts had forecast a decline of 1.5% in October exports, according to a Reuters poll. The world's second-largest economy has been grappling with weakening domestic consumption and a protracted property crisis, with exports being a rare bright spot.
Persons: Bruce Pang Organizations: Analysts, JLL, CNBC Locations: Qingdao Port, Shandong province, Qingdao, China, Greater China
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by a quarter point
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
watch nowThe Federal Reserve approved its second consecutive interest rate cut Thursday, moving at a less aggressive pace than before but continuing its efforts to rightsize monetary policy. Among them was an altered view in how it assesses the effort to bring down inflation while supporting the labor market. The statement slightly downgraded the labor market, saying "conditions have generally eased, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." Generally, the labor market has held up well. An acceleration in economic activity under Trump could persuade the Fed to cut rates less, depending on how inflation reacts.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Donald Trump, Trump, Powell, Pace Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, Gross, Atlanta Fed, Trump Locations: Tuesday's
Being elected president will likely result in the federal criminal cases against him being dismissed, while his state criminal cases could at the least be frozen until after he leaves office. Trump’s legal team, meanwhile, is evaluating its next steps for how to get all four criminal cases resolved, and plan to argue soon that all of the cases “must stop immediately,” according to a source directly involved in the discussions. Here's a look at where the various legal cases against Trump stand — and how they could be affected by his victory. They argue that some of the evidence presented to the grand jury and at the criminal trial should not have been allowed in the wake of the high court's ruling. Trump's victory likely won't impact his pending appeals of the civil judgments against him that total more than $550 million.
Persons: Donald Trump's, can’t, Trump, Steven Cheung, Stormy Daniels, Juan Merchan, he's, It's, Merchan, Fani Willis, Willis, Trump wouldn't, Donald Trump, Susan Necheles, Win McNamee, Jack Smith —, Aileen Cannon, Danny Cevallos, Tanya Chutkan, Smith, Cevallos, shouldn’t, Letitia James, James, We've, we've, Jean Carroll Organizations: Justice Department, Trump, NBC News, Fulton, New, Getty Images, The, Department, NBC, U.S . Capitol, New York, Division Locations: New York, Georgia, Fulton County, Manhattan, U.S
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Wednesday afternoon. "Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. AdvertisementWhat are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
Due to this, Piper Sandler has unveiled a list of stocks that it views as most sensitive to government spending. "If Trump wins, these stocks are likely to be hurt by cuts in government spending," Piper Sandler's chief investment strategist Michael Kantrowitz said in a recent note to clients. The company was the top recipient of defense contracts from the Department of Defense in fiscal 2023, being awarded $61.4 billion in defense spending. During September's presidential debate, Trump clashed with Harris over funding efforts, with Harris accusing Trump of being prepared to abandon consistent U.S. support for Ukraine . In that area, Humana , which offers Medicare Advantage plans, and UnitedHealth are two names Piper Sandler thinks could be affected.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump's, Elon Musk, Musk, Piper Sandler, Piper, Michael Kantrowitz, Kamala, Harris, machinists, Lockheed Martin Organizations: U.S, SpaceX, Republican, Trump, Boeing, Lockheed, Department of Defense, Ukraine, Humana Locations: U.S
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the mid-6% range, according to Zillow data. Current 15-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the high 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: Trump, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, Kamala Harris, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, We'll Organizations: Investors, Trump, Federal, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading ahead of Tuesday's high-stakes U.S. presidential electionFutures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 20 points. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures inched about 0.1% higher. The latest poll from NBC News suggests the race is "neck and neck" between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. The results could heavily affect where stocks end the year, but investors may want to brace for some near-term choppiness. Traders are pricing in 98% odds of a quarter-point cut following September's half-point reduction, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Adam Parker, Jerome Powell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NXP, U.S, Treasury, NBC News, Congress, Republicans, CNBC, Super Micro, Yum Brands
The major stock benchmarks rallied Friday but were lower last week, with the Nasdaq leading the way lower after reaching new highs. Eight other Club names reported earnings last week, including Eli Lilly and Eaton. Despite indications from Big Tech that Nvidia's AI chips will remain in hot demand, the Club stock fell 4.3% for the week. The S & P 500 , which is less tech-weighted, fell nearly 1.4% for the week, making it back-to-back weekly losses for the broader market index. Earnings After analyzing earnings reports from 14 of our portfolio companies last week, there is only one Club name on the docket this week.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eaton, Jim Cramer, financials Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, That's, Jerome Powell, We're, we'll, Archer, Johnson, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Nasdaq, Devices, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, Club, Nvidia, Dow, Intel, AMD, Dow Jones, Visa, American Express, JPMorgan, Bond, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Treasury, White, DuPont, Election, Protection, Electronics, Industrial, Constellation Energy, Marriott, Century Fox, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Goodyear Tire, Cirrus, Diamondback Energy, Daniels, Midland, Apollo Global Management, Ferrari, Restaurant Brands, Emerson Electric, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Cedar Fair Entertainment, Toyota, American Electric Power Company, Johnson Controls, Dine Brands, Holdings, AMC Entertainment, Qualcomm, Coty, COTY, Energy, Barrick, Halliburton, HAL, Hershey, Air Products & Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Arista Networks, Rivian Automotive, Trade, Icahn Enterprises, Sony, SONY, Paramount, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: BlackRock, Florida, China, Sluggishness, Cleveland, New York City, U.S
As the Fed lowers rates, mortgage rates are expected to go down, though next week's cut is already priced in and is unlikely to have an impact. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.50%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down.
Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: U.S, Chevron, Government
"The differences between Trump and Harris are as wide as we have ever seen." Differences in trade policy specifically, he said, are going to "determine where growth and earnings take place around the world." In contrast to Trump's trade policy, reduced trade tensions under Harris could lead to gains for FedEx , which has advanced more than 8% this year. During that debate, Harris also accused Trump of gearing up to abandon support of Ukraine. If Harris were to win the election, Clifton believes RTX is beneficiary of continued U.S. support of Ukraine.
Persons: Strategas, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Daniel Clifton, Harris, Clifton, Lazard, Trump, RTX Organizations: U.S, NBC, Trump, Republican, Basel III, Nasdaq, FedEx, Biden, NextEra Energy Locations: China, Basel, India, Cleveland, Southern, Ukraine, U.S
The US economy added just 12,000 jobs in October, way under the forecast of 106,000. Labor market watchers expected cooler job growth than September's, partly because of recent hurricanes and strikes. AdvertisementThe US economy added just 12,000 jobs in October, falling way short of the forecast of 106,000. AdvertisementThe mixed results in the jobs report could complicate the Fed's interest rate plans into next year. The new jobs report is the last US employment report before the presidential election on November 5.
Persons: , Hurricane Helene, Hurricane Milton, Milton, Lydia Boussour, NORC, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Labor, Service, Hurricanes, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Statistics, Boeing, Reserve, AP Locations: Hurricane, United States
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 12,000 for the month, down sharply from September and below the Dow Jones estimate for 100,000, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. In what had already been expected to be a downbeat report, October posted the smallest gain since December 2020. A broader measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons also was unchanged at 7.7%. In the report narrative, the BLS noted that the Boeing strike likely subtracted 44,000 jobs in the manufacturing sector, which lost 46,000 positions overall. The meager jobs numbers along with wages about in line with expectations help cement another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Republican, Bright MLS Locations: U.S
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