Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "Seasonality"


25 mentions found


AdvertisementAs America's grocery king, Walmart sources a high share of its products from the US. The difference puts more of Target's business at risk of being impacted if Trump follows through on his tariff promises. "Target is actually much more exposed than Walmart because Walmart is grocery-heavy and groceries are predominantly domestic," Jason Miller, supply chain professor at Michigan State University, told Business Insider. Food and beverage sales accounted for less than a quarter of Target's sales last year. AdvertisementTD Cowen retail analyst Oliver Chen told BI that Target's apparel segment presents another potential complication, as fashion is more sensitive to seasonality.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jason Miller, Cowen, Oliver Chen, Gina Logan, Logan, Trump, Brian Cornell Organizations: Target, Trump, Walmart, Michigan State University, Walmart US Locations: AlphaSense
With the S & P 500 trading around record highs and hanging around 6,000, one Wall Street firm revised its year-end S & P 500 price target, expecting more gains before the end of the year. We use the S & P 500 Short Range Oscillator as our guide to when the market is overbought or oversold. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Donald Trump administration's, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Eaton, Trump's, Oppenheimer, Wells, Tyson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Honeywell, BlackRock, Tyson Foods, AstraZeneca, Club, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Dover, Wells Fargo
The U.S. economy posted another solid though slightly disappointing period of growth in the third quarter, propelled higher by strong consumer spending that has defied expectations for a slowdown. The economy accelerated at a 3% pace in the second quarter. Personal consumption expenditures, the proxy for consumer activity, increased 3.7% for the quarter, the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. The release comes with the Federal Reserve poised to lower inflation rates further despite the seemingly strong economy and inflation that remains above target, though far from its peak in mid-2022. Markets widely expect the Fed to cut another quarter percentage point off its benchmark short-term borrowing rate when policymakers conclude their two-day meeting on Nov. 7.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Investors getting very bullish heading into the election
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The U.S. presidential election is less than one week away, and investor positioning has gotten very bullish. "Animal spirits have been unleashed, as investors haven't wasted time positioning themselves up for a typical post-election/year-end rally," Cau said in a note. He also pointed out that these inflows come as expectations of former President Donald Trump winning next week have increased. Indeed, shares of Trump Media — which have been a market proxy for Trump's 2024 election chances — have soared a whopping 220.5% in the past month alone. "After Q3, we lack confidence that Boeing shares can outperform the market in the next 12 months."
Persons: Emmanuel Cau, haven't, Cau, Donald Trump, , Kamala Harris, Bernstein Organizations: U.S, Barclays, Trump Media, NBC, Boeing Locations: U.S
The economy accelerated at a 3% pace in the second quarter. The U.S. economy posted another solid though slightly disappointing period of growth in the third quarter, propelled higher by strong consumer spending that has defied expectations for a slowdown. Personal consumption expenditures, the proxy for consumer activity, increased 3.7% for the quarter, the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. "You've got the perfect combination of strong growth and slowing inflation. The personal savings rate decelerated in the third quarter to 4.8%, down from a 5.2% level that had been revised up sharply.
Persons: Dow Jones, You've, Dan North, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, — Trump Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Treasury, Allianz Trade North America, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican Locations: U.S
The Commerce Department is expected to report Wednesday that gross domestic product grew at a hardy 3.1% annualized pace in the third quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. Along with that, the release is expected to show that inflation moved closer or perhaps even below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Fed uses the personal consumption expenditures price index, included in the GDP estimate, as its primary inflation gauge. The report, then, should indicate a solid economy and easing inflation , the latter at least on a relative basis from how things looked a year ago. "Overall, another quarter of above-trend growth and a benign inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed."
Persons: Dow, Oliver Allen, Allen, nudging, Alice Zheng Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Pantheon, stoke, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
"We believe we are still in the early stages of the AI growth story," UBS equity strategist Sundeep Gantori wrote in a Monday note to clients, noting the launch of ChatGPT in 2022 as an inflection point for AI adoption. "The company should benefit from healthy user engagement, improving monetization of Reels, and longer-term monetization of Instagram and WhatsApp offer longer-term opportunities," UBS wrote. Moving forward, UBS sees a favorable risk/reward profile for the name, citing steady iPhone growth and strong growth in its services, among others, as catalysts. UBS thinks this early adopter of AI applications is still "well placed" to benefit from use cases that are relevant to the industry. "While we agree that rising competition will result in some subscriber churn, we expect Netflix to continue to report strong growth globally."
Persons: Sundeep Gantori, Gantori, AAPL, INTC Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Reality Labs, Apple, Intel, Apple Intelligence, Netflix
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Tuesday: Evercore ISI reiterates Amazon as overweight Evercore says it's sticking with the stock ahead of earnings later this week. Evercore ISI reiterates Uber as overweight Evercore says it's bullish on Uber heading into earnings on Thursday. Janney upgrades First Solar to buy from neutral Janney says the solar company is attractive ahead of earnings on Tuesday afternoon. " Evercore ISI reiterates Meta as overweight Evercore says it's sticking with Meta ahead of earnings on Wednesday. Barclays reiterates Tesla as equal weight Barclays raised its price target on the stock to $235 per share from $220.
Persons: Evercore, Uber, it's bullish, Janney, Goldman Sachs, Ford, Goldman, Wells, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Bernstein, TD Cowen, Cowen, it's, Mizuho, Stephens, ROA, Guggenheim, HOOD, we've Organizations: Ford, CTV, APP, Citi, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Barclays, Walmart, Mizuho, Netflix, Guggenheim, Six Flags Entertainment Locations: Mexican, Brazil, Mexico, China, U.S
DETROIT — General Motors easily outperformed Wall Street's third-quarter earnings expectations, leading the Detroit automaker in raising key guidance targets for 2024. GM is now forecasting full-year adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of between $14 billion and $15 billion, or $10 and $10.50 a share, up from between $13 billion and $15 billion, or $9.50 and $10.50. It also raised its adjusted automotive free cash flow forecast to between $12.5 billion and $13.5 billion, up from $9.5 billion and $11.5 billion. That compared to its previous guidance of $10 billion to $11.4 billion, or $8.93 and $9.93. The automaker has topped Wall Street's EPS estimates for nine consecutive quarters and revenue for eight straight quarters.
Persons: Wall, Paul Jacobson, Jacobson, we've Organizations: DETROIT, General Motors, Detroit, GM Locations: China
Analyst Nick Lai, who has an overweight rating on the Chinese electric vehicle maker, added Xpeng to the Wall Street bank's positive catalyst watch list in a 17-page report out Sunday. This comes amid JPMorgan's forecast that EREVs and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles combined will make up about 60% of the new energy vehicle market by 2030 – almost double last year's figure. Another event that could drive the stock higher is Xpeng's third-quarter results next month, which Lai thinks will show expanded gross profit margins. Heading into 2025, Xpeng should see more volume growth, JPMorgan said, with the bank forecasting 72% volume growth in 2025. As a result, Xpeng should see positive free cash flow next year and a profit in 2026, according to Lai.
Persons: Nick Lai, Lai, BEV, , Max, Mona, Xpeng, they've Organizations: JPMorgan Locations: 4Q24, 1Q25, Xpeng
The S&P 500 has enjoyed a bull market since October 2022, rising nearly 70%. AdvertisementThe stock market has been experiencing a bull market for the last two years. The Magnificent Seven drove much of the returns for the S&P 500 this year, contributing 34% of the index's total return. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report 4.2% profit growth for Q3. Ever since World War II, bull markets that have lasted two years continue onwards for a third.
Persons: LPL Financial's Quincy Crosby, , Quincy Crosby, LPL, Crosby, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Jack Ablin, Jerome Powell, Buchbinder Organizations: Service, LPL, Federal, Bull, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Morningstar, Cresset Capital Management, Federal Reserve Locations: America
JB Hunt beat earnings estimates for the first time in two years. AdvertisementTrucking company JB Hunt earned the approval of stock investors on Wednesday after a stronger-than-expected earnings report showed demand is coming back. AdvertisementThese struggles have translated into weak market performance for JB Hunt and other freight carriers. AdvertisementGoing beyond JB Hunt, there has been other data suggesting better prospects ahead. DAT Freight & Analytics' trucking volume index rose year-over-year for all three different categories of freight equipment for the 12 months ended in September.
Persons: JB Hunt, , It's, Shelley Simpson, Nicholas Hobbs, Ken Adamo Organizations: Service, JB, DAT, Analytics
October is off to a rocky start, but a strong period of seasonality is only just beginning – particularly for select dividend-paying stocks, Bespoke Investment Group found. Dividend-paying stocks have been especially strong when it comes to fourth-quarter returns over the past 10 years, Bespoke found. In addition to having seasonality in their favor, dividend stocks are also expected to benefit from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting cycle. Tapestry also has a dividend yield of 3%. The stock has a total return of more than 21% in 2024, as well as a dividend yield of nearly 5%.
Persons: Matthew Boss, Tabby, Boss, Coach's, it's, Piper Sandler, Scott Siefers, Siefers, Wells, Michael Brown, Brown, Lamb Weston Organizations: Investment, New, JPMorgan, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America Locations: Brooklyn, BlackRock, Wells Fargo
There are several key stocks in the U.S. investors need to be mindful of when navigating the current market environment, according to Bank of America. To capture the momentum from this rally, Bank of America screened for the most important stocks in each region of the world — including the U.S. — that have the potential to have the largest impact on portfolio performance, positive or negative. Bank of America found these stocks to be among the most important in the U.S.: Chipmaker Nvidia and oil and gas giant Exxon Mobil ranked fairly high on the firm's steady compounders list within the screen. Meta's shares are up nearly 64% year to date. Other stocks considered the most important names in the U.S. include rideshare company Uber and pharma name Eli Lilly .
Persons: Nigel Tupper, Vivek Arya's, Metaverse, Justin Post, Eli Lilly Organizations: Bank of America, Investment, U.S, Nvidia, Exxon Mobil, Exxon, Meta, Bank of America's, Uber Locations: U.S, Lebanon, Thursday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are in a tricky period due to geopolitical risk and October seasonality: Fundstrat's Tom LeeTom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors managing partner and head of research, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what Lee makes of the market following Friday's jobs report, how the rate cut trajectory alters the calculus for equities, and much more.
Persons: Tom Lee Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Fundstrat Global Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeasonality is still here despite an okay September, says NewEdge's Cameron DawsonNewEdge Wealth's Cameron Dawson, Virtus’ Joe Terranova and Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed, potential for a soft landing and their market outlook.
Persons: NewEdge's Cameron Dawson, Wealth's Cameron Dawson, Virtus ’ Joe Terranova, Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner Organizations: Virtus ’
Before we get started, it's important to point out that I believe that broader equity markets remain in a secular bull market with global central banks' easing monetary policy amid a backdrop of a boom in artificial intelligence that carries equity markets significantly higher in coming quarters. But the key in my opinion was that real interest rates were going higher. The way I'm defining 'real interest rates' is the prevailing nominal yield on a bond, the 10-year Treasury in this example, adjusted by the expected 10-year inflation level. Put simply, real interest rates are how much you actually earn on a fixed income investment after adjusting for inflation. So my outlook is that gold will continue to rally alongside equity markets.
Persons: let's, Todd Gordon, Gordon, HMY Organizations: Harmony, Equity, Treasury, Stock, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: South
US home prices hit yet another record high
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
US home prices hit another record in July, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index. Prices rose 5% nationwide, a slowdown from prior months. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . New data from Case-Shiller showed home prices rose 5% in July from a year before, marking another record high.
Persons: , Brian D, Luke Organizations: Service, Business
The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, fell below 16 on Monday and is now flirting with its lowest level since the July doldrums. "Our historical study of volatility shows that the VIX averaged 22 points in October, 4 points above the current VIX level. We believe the low implied volatility, upcoming October earnings season and elections provide an attractive opportunity for investors to hedge a potential rise in volatility," the note said. The options would have a strike price of 18 and expire in November, serving as a bet that expectations of volatility will rise as the election nears. There are no additional losses on the trade if the VIX actually declines instead.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash, VIX, seasonality Organizations: U.S
Here’s what could knock the stock market’s momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 also reached an all-time high last week and posted a weekly advance of 1.4%. Here's a look: Valuations The S & P 500 trading near record highs is a double-edged sword, as valuations are also at historically high levels. "The S & P 500 is already trading a little above where it deserves to at year-end 2024." Scott Chronert of Citi also noted that six of the 11 S & P 500 sectors have "valuation composites near/at top decile levels." The S & P 500 has averaged a 2.3% loss in September over the past 10 years, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Stocks, it's, Lori Calvasina, Scott Chronert, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Gonzalo Asis, RBC's Calvasina, Citi's Chronert Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, NBC, Presidential, PCE, Bank of America
Recalibrate for risk Protecting your portfolio from sharp losses begins with understanding your comfort with risk and ensuring that your asset allocation reflects your long-term goals. "But over that period when markets were down, there were opportunities to harvest losses in stocks, individual names that experienced big pullbacks." And they've been a good buy for clients who are nearing retirement, seeking income and appreciate bonds' ability to offset stocks' volatility. Options for buffering losses Options are also playing a role in investors' portfolios as financial advisors try to mitigate volatility. Call options give investors the right to buy a stock at a specified strike price before a certain date.
Persons: Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash's, Rafia Hasan, San, Hasan, they've, Andrew Herzog, We're, Herzog, he's, Gregory Guenther, Morningstar, " Guenther Organizations: Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, GrantVest Financial Locations: San Francisco, Plano , Texas, Matawan , New Jersey
This New Zealand home inspired Hawthorne to build a glass house in San Diego and another one in North Carolina. The design for the glass house had been on my mindHawthorne took some inspiration from Phillip Johnson's Glass House in Connecticut. It is somewhat based off Philip Johnson's Glass House, which has been one of my favorite architectural projects of all time. I planted a maple tree on our dock, which has become a destinationThe maple tree is watered by a Wi-Fi-operated irrigation system. We're renting out the glass house, but I dream of growing old thereWe drove the Airstream back to San Diego and came back here full-time in early August.
Persons: , Andrew Hawthorne, Maya, Hawthorne, Andrew Hawthorne I'm, Andrew, Maya Hawthorne, let's, Phillip Johnson's, Philip Johnson's, Gaston, That's, I'm, I'd, it's, Lake Gaston, It's, We've, Andrew Hawthorne . Organizations: Service, Business, San, Lake Gaston, YouTube Locations: North Carolina, New Zealand, Hawke's, Zealand, San Diego, Park City , Utah, Lake Gaston, Raleigh, Connecticut, Zillow, Lake, NICU
The meeting wraps up Wednesday afternoon, with the release of the Fed's rate decision coming at 2 p.m. "I hope they cut 50 basis points, but I suspect they'll cut 25. Here's a breakdown of what's on tap:The rate waitThe FOMC has been holding its benchmark fed funds rate in a range between 5.25%-5.5% since it last hiked in July 2023. The 'dot plot'Perhaps just as important as the rate cut will be the signals meeting participants send about where they expect rates to go from here. In June, FOMC members penciled in just one rate cut through the end of the year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik, they'll, Mark Zandi, that's, Tom Simons, Zandi, Robert Kaplan, There'll, Seema Shah, FOMC, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Powell presser, Goldman, Simons Organizations: Federal Reserve, Committee, Moody's, Wall, Jefferies, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Asset Management Locations: Washington , DC
Bank of America highlighted a host of stocks that are worth snapping up — including a few names benefiting from the artificial intelligence and data center revolution. Johnson Controls "Best-in-class data center assets and change is coming. … Leading position in data centers JCI is on track to generate ~$4bn from data centers, or ~14% of revenue in FY24E. JCI's data center exposure compares to Trane Technologies' ~4% and Carrier's ~3%, by our estimate. … We rate Broadcom Buy due to its high-quality diversified exposure to secular product cycles in the smartphone, cloud data center, telecom and enterprise storage markets."
Persons: Alexander Waters, Waters, Dycom, Johnson, it's, Andrew Obin, Obin, George Oliver, Vivek Arya, Arya's, Arya Organizations: America, CNBC, Bank of, National Grid, Broadcom, Nvidia, Johnson, Dycom Industries, government's Broadband Equity, Dycom, JCI, Johnson Controls, VMware, Industries, Trane Technologies Locations: FY24E
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are headed for their fourth weekly gain in five weeks, up 3.5% and 5.3%, respectively. Those gains have come even after a massive but brief intraday sell-off Wednesday — which was quickly erased after the S & P 500 stayed above a key level. .SPX 5D mountain SPX 5-day chart Indeed, after all the wild swings, the S & P 500 is a scant 1.2% below an intraday record of 5,669.67 reached in July. "Erratic price action in equities suggests confusion amid ever changing market narratives," Cau wrote. "Therefore, equity price action may stay volatile and data dependent, until we get more clarity on the economic outlook."
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Emmanuel Cau, Cau Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wolfe Research, Fed, Barclays Locations: U.S
Total: 25