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Yet, some experts say they are seeing a renewal of so-called animal spirits. "Animal spirits" is a term first coined by economist John Maynard Keynes and refers to the tendency for human emotion to drive investment gains and losses. watch nowSome experts say animal spirits are a sign of consumer confidence. "It's essentially why dead investors outperform living investors, because dead investors are not impacted by their animal spirits," Klontz said. Research has shown dead investors' portfolios tend to outperform, since they are left untouched because they are less likely to be influenced by emotional decisions, such as panic selling or buying.
Persons: Timothy A, Clary, Donald Trump, John Maynard Keynes, Brad Klontz, Klontz, Scott Wren, Wells, Wren, , We're Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Trump, Dow Jones, Research, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Dow closes up 563 points as investors shake off jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow closes up 563 points as investors shake off jobs reportJose Rasco, HSBC Global Private Banking and Wealth Management CIO, and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Dow, Jose Rasco, Scott Wren Organizations: HSBC Global Private Banking, Wealth Management, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStocks aren't cheap and there's risk but investors don't want to get too defensive, says WFII's WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Wren's current investing stance, how aggressive Wren's positioning is, and if the strategist wants to adjust his S&P price target.
Persons: WFII's Wren Scott Wren Organizations: Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Markets are bracing for the latest GDP revision, jobless claims, and PCE inflation data in the coming days. Traders are still pricing in considerable rate cuts well into next year, per the CME FedWatch tool. AdvertisementUS stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday, ending a record-setting streak of gains as traders looked ahead to coming economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 300 points and the S&P 500 slipped from record highs, ending the day about 0.2% lower. Traders are still expecting steep rate cuts over the course of the next year.
Persons: , Scott Wren, Wells Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, US, Micron Technologies, Micron Locations: Wells Fargo, East, Ukraine
But Wells Fargo cautioned that the pop is detached from reality. However, the benefits of easing policy may not be truly felt until next year due to the uncertainty surrounding the presidential election, Wells said. The Wall Street bank said the S & P 500 is likely to be range bound in the coming months and it is already trading toward the top of the range. Wells sees the S & P 500 finishing 2024 at 5,200, 7% below Wednesday's closing level. Its target is one of the lowest forecasts among Wall Street strategists, who on average project the benchmark ending the year at 5,571, according to CNBC Pro's market strategist survey.
Persons: Stocks, Wells Fargo, Scott Wren, Wells, Wren Organizations: Street, CNBC Locations: U.S
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow tumbles more than 1,000 points, S&P 500 sees worst day in two yearsDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: David Kelly, Scott Wren Organizations: Dow, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall cap outperformance won't start until next year: Wells Fargo's Scott WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo senior global equity strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why small caps won't see a larger outperformance, the ferocity of the recent moves in small caps, and what to expect from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Wells, Scott Wren Scott Wren Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo
New York CNN —Stocks are soaring this year, but that could soon change as election chaos takes the market on a rollercoaster ride. But this has been a destabilizing week for US stocks and the market trajectory could be shifting. The Dow was down more than 430 points, or 1%, in the morning trading session on Friday as the tech outage continued to rattle investors. Former President Donald Trump, meanwhile, said in an interview with Bloomberg that Taiwan should pay for its own defense. The bright sideInvestors have been largely resilient this year and some financial bigwigs say the election won’t change that.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Dow, , , , Jim Reid, Biden, they’re, Scott Wren, Wells, Jerome Powell, Liz Young Thomas, Russell, Young Thomas, ” Trump, CrowdStrike, JPMorgan Chase, Jeremy Barnum, isn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank, Democratic, , Treasury, Fed, Tech, Bloomberg, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, JPMorgan Locations: New York, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, , China, Taiwan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation, interest rates and earnings could be headwinds for stocks, says Wells Fargo's Scott WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the trading day and small caps.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Scott Wren Scott Wren Locations: Wells Fargo
Scott Wren, a senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, recently noted that market breadth is abnormally narrow. He found that the five best performers in the S&P 500 accounted for nearly three-fifths of its exceptional 10.6% year-to-date gain through May 31. That fate will soon apply to the S&P 500, Wren warned. Such a sell-off would take the S&P 500 below 5,000 for the first time since April. "And it's tough to be patient when the S&P 500 set a bunch of all-time high records."
Persons: , Scott Wren, Wren, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, who's, it's, we've, they've, they're, we're, Goldman Sachs, There's, He's Organizations: Service, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Business, Interactive Brokers, Wells Fargo Investment, Nvidia, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo
Nasdaq hits another record close
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNasdaq hits another record closeScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, and Warren Pies, 3Fourteen Research co-founder, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's record market action.
Persons: Scott Wren, Warren Organizations: Nasdaq, Fargo Investment Institute, 3Fourteen Research Locations: Fargo
The next rate decision from the Federal Reserve coupled with May inflation data, both on Wednesday, will play key roles in how stocks perform next week — quite probably lending added volatility to an already jittery market. The Fed's rate decision All eyes are on the Fed next week and its rate decision that's set to come down at 2 p.m. Wednesday. But investors have tempered expectations since then amid a spate of stubborn inflation data. That makes May's consumer price index report due out before the bell Wednesday another key focal point for investors. Economists polled by Dow Jones are bracing for the consumer price index to rise 3.4% year over year and 0.1% on a monthly basis.
Persons: nonfarm, Kathryn Kaminski, Scott Wren, they've, it's, Tony Roth, Envestnet's Dana D'Auria, D'Auria, Dow Jones, Wells, Wren, John Belton, Apple, Jerome Powell, John Wiley Friday Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, GameStop, Dow, AlphaSimplex Group, Fed, Federal Open Market, European Central Bank, European Union, Wells Fargo Investment, Wilmington Trust's, CPI, Apple's Worldwide, Broadcom, Dave, Treasury, Signet Jewelers, University of Michigan Locations: Wells Fargo, Cupertino , California
The year has reached its halfway mark — and stocks are still adding on to gains. The S & P 500 hit yet another fresh record on Wednesday , as did the Nasdaq Composite. That brings the S & P 500 to gain 12.93% year-to-date. Some say the U.S. Federal Reserve could be forced to hold off on interest rate cuts if inflation is sticky. "We believe the likely main volatility trigger is still the timing of potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts."
Persons: Scott Wren, Wren, Schroders, Jason Yu Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Asia
This is the word of the summer on Wall Street
  + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Bifurcation is the word of the summer. Or it’s the word of the summer among investors, at least. It’s a word that the market gets hung up on and then all you do is hear that word. But I think that’s nearing an end, and so I would expect a slowdown in consumer spending. I’m not so sure that’s going to happen this time because their balance sheets and cash flows aren’t as strong.
Persons: Bell, Scott Wren, I’ve, We’ve, You’ve, you’ve, they’ve, That’s, hasn’t, you’re, I’m, Elon Musk’s, Elon Musk, Anna Cooban, Andreesen Horowitz, Saudi Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal, xAI, Musk, Grok, Laura He, Xi Jinping’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, Fed, Elon, Investors, Sequoia Capital, xAI, Worth, China Construction Bank, China Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, National Enterprise Locations: New York, United States, Wells Fargo, Silicon, Saudi, OpenAI, China, ICBC, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's where we've trimmed our portfolio and are reallocating money, says Wells Fargo's WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss where in Wren's portfolio he would trim, if the stock shopping list is wide outside of the technology sector, and more.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Wren Scott Wren Organizations: Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
As investors navigate the Federal Reserve's higher-for-longer interest rate policy — and eventual rate cuts down the road — they should make sure they have their fixed-income portfolio positioned properly, according to Wells Fargo. The Fed last raised rates in July 2023, bringing the fed funds rate to a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. But investors were buoyed by news Wednesday that the consumer price index showed inflation eased slightly in April. Right now, Wells Fargo anticipates two rate cuts this year and just one in 2025, bringing the Fed's target rate to a range of 4.5% to 4.75% by the end of next year, said Scott Wren, senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Investors can get exposure to intermediate-term bonds through mutual funds or exchange-traded funds.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren Organizations: Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings are holding the market up right now, says Envestnet's Dana D'AuriaScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, and Dana D’Auria, Envestnet co-CIO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Envestnet's Dana D'Auria Scott Wren, Dana D’Auria, Envestnet Organizations: Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Watch CNBC's full interview with Scott Wren and Adam Crisafulli
  + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Scott Wren and Adam CrisafulliScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global equity strategist, and Adam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Scott Wren, Adam Crisafulli Scott Wren, Adam Crisafulli Organizations: Fargo Investment Institute, Vital Knowledge Locations: Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailToday's market moves were largely due to geopolitical tensions, says Wells Fargo's Scott WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global equity strategist, and Adam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Scott Wren Scott Wren, Adam Crisafulli Organizations: Fargo Investment Institute, Vital Knowledge Locations: Fargo
But the possible downside of the better forecast: less Fed easing with the possibility that officials at their meeting this week forecast fewer rate cuts in 2024 they did in December. The CNBC Fed Survey respondents include economists, strategists and fund managers. And while the average recession probability is down, about 20% of respondents still say there's an even money chance or greater of a downturn in the next 12 months. "The larger-than-consensus reduction in the federal funds rate in my forecast is contingent on a recession that brings inflation down," said Robert Fry, of Robert Fry Economics. He has a 60% recession probability and sees the Fed slashing rates to 3.6% by year end from the current level of 5.38%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Tom Williams, John Donaldson, it's, Scott Wren, Robert Fry Organizations: UNITED STATES, Federal, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Inc, Getty, CNBC Fed Survey, Haverford Trust Co, Wells, Investment Institute, CNBC Fed, Robert Fry Economics Locations: U.S
New York CNN —The S&P 500 closed above the 5,000 level on Friday for the first time as bullish sentiment spreads across Wall Street and investors cheered fresh data showing progress on inflation. The S&P 500 briefly topped 5,000 for the first time intraday on Thursday. It took almost 41 years for the S&P 500 to reach its first major milestone of 1,000, which it hit on February 2, 1998, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. When the S&P 500 sets a new high in January, found Sam Stovall at CFRA Research, it reaches new highs in February about 75% of the time. The S&P 500 is up about 5.4% so far this year.
Persons: Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Sam Stovall, , Scott Wren Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Fed, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: New York, Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWells Fargo's Scott Wren: Expect three rate cuts in '24 starting in the second halfScott Wren, Wells Fargo senior global equity strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the recent comments from Federal Reserve committee members, why equity markets could look negatively at the economy and more.
Persons: Wells, Scott Wren Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Wells Fargo's Scott Wren and Truist's Keith LernerScott Wren, Wells Fargo Sr. Global Equity Strategist and Keith Lerner, Truist Wealth Chief Market Strategist, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss earnings and market reaction.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Scott Wren, Truist's Keith Lerner Scott Wren, Wells Fargo, Keith Lerner Organizations: Global Equity, Truist
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're moving into a modest growth, modest inflation environment, says Wells Fargo's Scott WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo Sr. Global Equity Strategist and Keith Lerner, Truist Wealth Chief Market Strategist, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss earnings and market reaction.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Scott Wren Scott Wren, Wells Fargo, Keith Lerner Organizations: Global Equity, Truist
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewAmerican consumers won't be able to prop up the US economy forever, and their wild spending spree over the holiday season was likely a "last hurrah," according to Wells Fargo. The job market also looks poised to keep softening, especially if the Fed chooses to keep interest rates higher-for-longer. "We do not believe that good holiday sales mean the spending strength will continue into and through the middle of this year." Strong consumer spending is believed to have propped up growth for much of 2023 as the Fed aggressively raised interest rates to control inflation.
Persons: , Wells, Scott Wren, Macquarie Organizations: Service, Business, Retail, National Federation of Independent Business, Philadelphia Fed, Wells Fargo, Wall, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo
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