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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt will be hard for the Fed to bring core inflation down, says BMO's Carol SchleifCarol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, whether a soft landing can be achieved, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Carol Schleif Carol Schleif Organizations: Fed, BMO Family
For years, China ramped up green energy production capacity, becoming the global leader in renewable energy manufacturing, from solar to wind to battery. In a second Trump administration, prices for imports from China are likely to surge for green energy producers. The view is that First Solar will benefit the most within the U.S. solar sector from greater trade restrictions, according to Baird. Ultimately, that may curtail the number of green energy startups and private companies that want to go public, Schleif said. "It's been really hard to compete with Chinese companies in any way, shape or form."
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Baird, Ben Kallo, Green, Carol Schleif, Schleif, Joe Biden, Andy Poreda, Tobin Marcus, Wolfe, TAN, Morgan Stanley, Elon Musk's, Advisory's Poreda, Poreda, It's Organizations: P, BMO Family Office, Biden White, Sage Advisory, Republican, Senate, White, Wolfe Research, Republican National Convention, Biden, JPMorgan, Materials Corp Locations: China, U.S, North America, Albemarle
Inflation is taking baby steps towards coming back to where policymakers want it, with a report due Friday expected to show more of that creeping progress. Core inflation is expected to have slowed to 0.2%, which would represent at least some further progress toward easing price pressure on weary consumers. "That said, getting to the Fed's 2% target is apt to be a bumpy landing." However, policymakers' expectations that housing inflation will cool this year have been largely thwarted, throwing another wrinkle into the debate. CPI inflation ran at 3.4% for the all-items measure in April and 3.6% for core, well above the Fed's target.
Persons: Dow Jones, Carol Schleif Organizations: Dow, BMO Family Office, Labor Locations: PCE
The American shopping spree is losing steam
  + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Bryan Mena | Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
CNN —It’s becoming tougher and tougher for Americans to carry on with their spending spree. Years of elevated inflation and the highest interest rates in almost a quarter century are wearing out the US consumer. Savings accumulated during the Covid-19 pandemic are drying up, borrowers continue to rack up debt and delinquencies are marching higher. A second estimate of gross domestic product, released Thursday, showed that consumer spending was weaker in the first three months of the year than initially reported. Economists polled by FactSet are expecting data to be released Friday to show that consumer spending slowed notably in April from March.
Persons: CNN —, they’ll, ” Carol Schleif, FactSet, Thomas Kingsbury, TJ Maxx Organizations: CNN, Savings, BMO Family Office, Employers, Walmart, Dollar, Goods, Abercrombie, Fitch
Stocks slipped on Wednesday as traders watched the rise in US Treasury yields. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks dipped on Wednesday — with the Nasdaq falling from a record — as investors watched bond yields move higher for a second day this week, with the 10-year Treasury continuing to climb above 4.5%. US bond yields are hovering around the highest level in about four weeks following a weak government bond auction Tuesday, as well as waning rate-cut hopes amid the latest inflation data.
Persons: Stocks, , Carol Schleif Organizations: Treasury, Marathon Oil, ConocoPhillips, Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, BMO Family Office, American Airlines Locations: PCE, Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe have a secular trend going on unlike anything we've seen in a long time: BMO's Carol SchleifCarol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends ahead of the opening bell on Friday.
Persons: we've, Carol Schleif Carol Schleif Organizations: BMO Family
Artificial intelligence has shaken up the investing landscape since the groundbreaking launch of ChatGPT in November 2022. Since then, investors have poured money into all things related to AI as they hunt for the next big winners. AI is poised to be a central theme as the technology transitions from early-stage winners to second-stage adopters. When it comes to chip stocks, Schleif also recommends taking a look at government grants. She highlighted the Global X Robotics and Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ) , the First Trust Nasdaq AI and Robotics ETF (ROBT) and the Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ).
Persons: Tesla, Nvidia —, Jay Woods, Carol Schleif, Schleif, Joe Biden, Nancy Tengler, Marguerita Cheng, BMO's Organizations: ChatGPT, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Freedom Capital, BMO Family Office, Samsung Electronics, Intel, Investors, Tengler, IBM, Blue, Global Wealth, Robotics, Intelligence, Technology Locations: Texas, Gaithersburg , Maryland
New York CNN —Big banks kick off earnings season Friday. “Earnings season just became significantly more important,” said JJ Kinahan, chief executive of IG North America, in a Wednesday note. On one hand, lofty rates could help pad banks’ net interest income, since they can charge a higher borrowing rate for loans and mortgages. Inflation has been a bane on Biden’s presidency, with voters consistently giving him low marks for his handling of the economy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that policymakers want to see more evidence that inflation is headed toward their 2% goal.
Persons: , JJ Kinahan, JPMorgan, Wells, You’ll, Carol Schleif, Wall, Jamie Dimon, , Alicia Wallace, Friday’s, Joe Biden, ” Biden, Bryan Mena, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, IG North America, JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citigroup, PNC Financial Services, BMO Family Office, Federal Reserve, Wall, Traders, Bureau of Labor Statistics, , Federal, Fed Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, pare
Just because the current valuation backdrop isn't as extreme as 1999-2000, we are still in a market bubble, and valuations are even more stretched today than they were at the market peaks in 2007, 1990, and 1980." Rosenberg ResearchSecond, the S&P 500 is outperforming the HYG/TLT Ratio. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchAnd third, even tech stocks, which have been overwhelmingly supporting the S&P 500, appear to be running out of gas, Rosenberg said. The same goes for Paul Dietrich, the chief strategist at B. Riley Wealth, who says the S&P 500 could fall 49% when the current bubble pops. The bull market has thrown egg onto their faces again and again: since the October 2022 lows, the S&P 500 is up a whopping 42%.
Persons: , David Rosenberg isn't, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, he's, manias, HYG, Michael Hartnett, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Dietrich, Grantham, Carol Schleif Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity Model, Dow Jones, Dow Transports Index, Bank of America's, Bank, America, BMO Family Office
Markets await key inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets await key inflation dataMichelle Girard, head of U.S. at NatWest Markets, and Carol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss how the inflation report could impact the Fed & the market.
Persons: Michelle Girard, Carol Schleif Organizations: NatWest Markets, BMO Family
Worldwide, the autonomous ships market reached $4.13 billion in 2022, and is forecasted to grow to $10.1 billion in 2032, according to Emergen Research . Avikus said this journey marked the first time autonomous navigation successfully enabled a large vessel to complete a trip over 10,000 kilometers. HiNAS 2.0 deployed a level-three autonomous navigation system, meaning that human intervention is only deployed in an emergency situation. The success of the HiNAS 2.0 and Prism Courage journey marked a foray into greater commercialization and implementation of autonomous ship navigation technology. The company is aiming for its fully autonomous ship technology to reach full-scale commercialization by 2025.
Persons: Patrick Ryan, Covid, Courage, Avikus, Carol Schleif, Rudy Negenborn, — Ryan, Ryan, BMO's, Morgan Stanley, Ravi Shanker, Shanker, Hunt, C.H, Robinson, Negenborn Organizations: Research, American Bureau of Shipping, Hyundai, Yara International ASA, Yara, BMO Family, Delft University of Technology, Moeller, Maersk, Yara International, Mitsui, Mitsui O.S.K, Royce, Shipbuilders, Expeditors International Locations: Covid, Avikus, Freeport, of Mexico, Panama, Korea, Red, Suez, U.S, Danish, American, ADRs, Japan
Markets are closely monitoring Q4 earnings results, which began rolling out in mid-January, since they give much-needed clarity on the prior year while setting the tone for the year ahead. AdvertisementWhat to expect during the Q4 earnings seasonEarnings seasons often bring surprises, but there are also bankable bets. But we're going to be driven more by the macro, if we're excluding these mega-cap tech stocks." 3 sectors with boom-or-bust potentialWhile the strategists Business Insider spoke with didn't provide investing recommendations, several shared which sectors they're watching in Q4. Bianco believes the tech sector's earnings will rise over 20% this year.
Persons: , Matt Stucky, Stucky, David Kelly, UBS Josh Jamner, That's, Jamner, Carol Schleif, Schleif, there's, Anthony Saglimbene, David Bianco, Saglimbene, Bianco, Brad Klapmeyer, Klapmeyer, " Bianco, Ameriprise's Saglimbene, BMO's Schleif, Indrani De, De, she's, he'd, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Asset Management, UBS, ClearBridge Investments, BMO Family Office, DWS, Macquarie Asset Management, FTSE Russell Locations: Americas
Moody's changes US ratings outlook to negative, affirms AAA
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 10 (Reuters) - Moody's on Friday changed the outlook on the government of United States of America's ratings to "negative" from "stable". Moody's affirmed the long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings at "Aaa". COMMENTS:REPUBLICAN REPRESENTATIVE ANDY HARRIS, ON X SOCIAL MEDIA“Moody’s just downgraded our credit rating outlook to negative because of our out-of-control government spending and deficits. "I don't think that there is a significant consequence. WALLY ADEYEMO, DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY"While the statement by Moody’s maintains the United States’ Aaa rating, we disagree with the shift to a negative outlook.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Moody's, ANDY HARRIS, JOHN CORNYN, ” STEVEN RICCHIUTO, you've, ” THIERRY WIZMAN, MACQUARIE, “ Moody’s, ” MICHAEL GREEN, JACK ABLIN, CHICAGO “, it's, , ” QUINCY KROSBY, CAROL SCHLEIF, We've, CHRISTOPHER HODGE, KARINE JEAN, PIERRE, Moody’s, WALLY ADEYEMO, Biden Organizations: REUTERS, Aaa, Moody’s Investors Service, Capitol, FX, NEW, Republicans, Democrats, BMO, KARINE, Republican, Congressional Republicans, States ’ Aaa, Biden Administration, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, MIZUHO, Japan, CHICAGO, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA, MINNEAPOLIS , MN, American
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe don't think the neutral goes back to zero, says BMO’s Carol SchleifCarol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview the October jobs report, the potential impact on markets and the Fed's interest rate decision, Treasury yields, and more.
Persons: Carol Schleif Carol Schleif Organizations: BMO Family
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'disinversion' of the curve makes a hard landing a lot more likely, says JPMorgan's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, and Carol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, the impact of higher Treasury rates on the equity market, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Priya Misra Priya Misra, Carol Schleif Organizations: JPMorgan, Management, BMO Family
The personal consumption expenditures price index increased 0.4% in August, slightly below estimates, while the yearly rise was 3.5%. But it was the core index that strips out food and energy prices coming in at 3.9%, its lowest reading since September of 2021, that is likely of most interest to the Fed. While goods prices have slowed considerably, costs in the services sector have proven harder to bring down, driven largely by housing prices. Looked at just over the past three months, the rate of core inflation has slowed markedly and is not far from the Fed’s 2% annual target. “PCE and core pce figures indicate continued inflation easing,” Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, commented on X.
Persons: , , Carol Schleif, ” Kathy Jones, Andrew Patterson, Downside, ” Patterson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, PCE, BMO Family Office, Schwab Center, Financial Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDespite economic issues America is 'still a place where people want to invest': BMO's Carol SchleifHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carol Schleif, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC Locations: America
The prospect of higher rates put particular pressure on growth stocks with the S&P 500 growth index (.IGX) underperforming the benchmark throughout the session. "Growth stocks have been pricing in the idea that inflation has been well anchored and that the Fed's going to cut. The S&P 500 showed little reaction to the Fed's "Beige Book" snapshot of the U.S. economy a week ahead of the keenly awaited August inflation data and the Fed's rate decision on Sept. 20. The report showed "modest" U.S. economic growth in recent weeks while job growth was "subdued," and inflation slowed in most parts of the country. The S&P 500 posted six new 52-week highs and 25 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 34 new highs and 174 new lows.
Persons: Lockheed Martin, Carol Schleif, Schleif, Susan Collins, Patrick Kaser, Mike Segar, advancers, Sinéad Carew, Shristi, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply Management, Traders, Federal Reserve, Boston, Equity, Brandywine Global, Apple Inc, Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Energy, Lockheed, NYSE, Thomson Locations: China, Minneapolis, Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, New York, Bengaluru
The pros share their expectations and tips for how investors can trade in the month ahead. The volatility isn't over The "potential bite" of aggressive Fed policy could lead to more volatility, said Richard Saperstein, chief investment officer at investment firm Treasury Partners, in a Tuesday note. Avoid tech — but not completely Avoid mega-cap tech stocks such as the "Magnificent Seven" now, the pros said, referring to Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla — tech stocks that have made massive gains this year. "Big tech stocks have run and valuations are richer than they have been. Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar, said on Thursday that not all tech stocks are overvalued.
Persons: Richard Saperstein, Ben Kirby, CNBC's, Carol Schleif, George Ball, Sanders Morris Harris, Schleif, Ball, it's, Dave Sekera, Kirby, Thornburg, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Slimmon Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Treasury Partners, Thornburg Investment Management, BMO Family Office, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Big Tech, Morningstar, Autodesk, Software, Teladoc, CNBC, CME, Hyatt Hotels, Hotels, Resorts, Hilton Hotels, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Investment, United Rentals Locations: U.S, China, Argentine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBMO’s Carol Schleif explains why now's a good time to return to 60/40 portfolio strategyCarol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why she believes the 60/40 portfolio is up from its deathbed and performing better, why it may be time to trim Big Tech names, and more.
Persons: Carol Schleif Organizations: BMO Family, Big Tech
Washington, DC CNN —Federal Reserve officials meet next month to determine whether to raise interest rates for the 12th time to cool the economy or hold them steady. Some officials think the Fed has already raised its benchmark lending rate enough to curb inflation, but others think it’s too soon to tap the brakes. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker echoed that sentiment in a speech last week, saying “I believe we may be at the point where we can be patient and hold rates steady.”Other Fed officials agree. “Inflation is still significantly above” the Fed’s 2% target, Fed governor Michelle Bowman said last week at an event in Atlanta. The Federal Reserve releases minutes from its July policymaking meeting as well as July figures on industrial production.
Persons: ” Rajeev Sharma, , Jerome Powell, Patrick Harker, , Raphael Bostic, there’s, Michelle Bowman, ” Carol Schleif, ” Schleif, Katie Lobosco, Brinker Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN — Federal Reserve, Key Private Bank, CNN, , Fed, Financial, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, BMO Family Office, Internal Revenue, Tax Administration, IRS, Kansas City Tax Processing, Fresno Tax Processing, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Depot, US Commerce Department, Target, Federal Reserve, Walmart Locations: Washington, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Atlanta, Kansas, Fresno
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNow's a good time to trim Big Tech stocks and cycle back into broader markets: BMO's Carol SchleifCarol Schleif, BMO Family Office CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Fitch's U.S. long-term rating downgrade, the latest market trends, and more.
Persons: Carol Schleif Carol Schleif Organizations: Big Tech, BMO Family, U.S
Washington CNN —The US economy picked up steam in the second quarter despite punishing rate hikes and still-high inflation, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Economic growth in the second quarter was driven by business investment, government purchases, inventory investment and consumer spending, though at a much weaker pace than in the first quarter. Consumer spending, which accounts for about two-thirds of economic output, grew at just a 1.6% rate in the second quarter, down sharply from a 4.2% rate in the first three months of the year. Nonresidential business investment rose sharply to a 7.7% growth rate in the second quarter, up from a 0.6% rate in the beginning of the year. The GDP report showed that spending on structure slowed to a 9.7% rate in the second quarter from a 15.8% rate in the prior one.
Persons: , Lydia Boussour, , ” Shannon Seery, Seery, , , Diane Swonk, Thursday’s, Carol Schleif, Jerome Powell Organizations: Washington CNN, Commerce Department, Gross, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Employers, Wells, Investment Bank, Manufacturers, KPMG, restrengthens Investors, BMO Family Office, Investors, Locations: EY
Investors are awaiting Microsoft (MSFT.O), Google-owner Alphabet (GOOGL.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) earnings this week, which will show whether their stocks justify sky-high valuations. The Nasdaq (.NDX) lagged other indexes as investors looked to non-tech stocks for bargains, lifting sectors from energy to banks. Helping the Dow (.DJI) notch its longest winning streak since February 2017, Chevron (CVX.N) gained almost 2% as the oil giant posted upbeat preliminary quarterly earnings over the weekend. Nine of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors rose, led by a gain in energy stocks (.SPNY). The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 97 new lows.
Persons: Barbie, Randy Frederick, You've, Carol Schleif, Toymaker Mattel, AMC's, decliners, Carolina Mandl, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Shounak Dasgupta, Anil D'Silva, Richard Chang Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Mattel, Chevron, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Microsoft, Google, Investors, BMO Family Office, Reuters, AMC Entertainment, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York, Bengaluru
Investors are awaiting Microsoft (MSFT.O), Google-owner Alphabet (GOOGL.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) earnings this week, which will show whether their stocks justify sky-high valuations. The Nasdaq (.NDX) lost steam during the session as investors looked to non-tech stocks for bargains, lifting sectors from energy to banks. Barclays' head of U.S. equity strategy Venu Krishna said in a note to clients that investors are differentiating between tech companies. A few Big Tech names are driving all of the earnings upside, while the outlook for the "Rest of the Tech" is deteriorating, he said. Helping the Dow (.DJI) notch its longest winning streak since February 2017, Chevron (CVX.N) gained as the oil giant posted upbeat preliminary quarterly earnings over the weekend.
Persons: Barbie, Randy Frederick, Venu Krishna, You've, Carol Schleif, Toymaker Mattel, AMC's, Carolina Mandl, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Shounak Dasgupta, Anil D'Silva, Richard Chang Organizations: Chevron, Dow, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Microsoft, Google, Nasdaq, Barclays, Big Tech, Tech, Investors, BMO Family Office, Reuters, AMC Entertainment, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, Bengaluru
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