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AdvertisementIn his first term, Donald Trump ramped up military actions to counter China in the South China Sea. South China Sea observers expect continuity with the Biden administration, which tried to ramp up diplomatic efforts and strengthen US alliances and security partnerships. Chinese Coast Guard holding knives and machetes as they approach Philippine troops in the disputed South China Sea on June 17, 2024. AdvertisementThough Trump hasn't outlined a specific South China Sea plan, he could pursue his broader foreign policy mantra of "peace through strength." "Unrestrained US militarization is precisely what drives Beijing's insecurity and will continue to exacerbate tensions in the South China Sea," Marston said.
Persons: Donald Trump ramped, Donald Trump, Trump, Hunter Marston, Trump hasn't, Biden, Gregory Poling, Joe Biden, Marston, Sari Arho Havrén, Chip Somodevilla, Zeno Leoni, Leoni Organizations: Australian National University, China, Southeast Asia, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Trump, Coast Guard, Armed Forces, AP, CBS, Royal United Services, Ukraine, King's College London's Defense Studies Department, Rand Corporation, Biden's National Security Locations: China, South China, Philippines, Asia, Pacific, Philippine, Europe, South Korea, Palm Beach, South, East Asia
The package could include 60 F-35 fighter jets and 400 Patriot missiles, the FT reported. According to the Financial Times, the package could include 60 F-35 fighter jets, four Advanced Hawkeyes, 10 retired warships, and 400 Patriot missiles. "Taiwan is thinking about a package to show that they are serious," one former Trump administration official told the Financial Times. Blandin added that it's highly unlikely the US would send troops to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack. AdvertisementIn 2022, Biden vowed to defend Taiwan in case of a Chinese attack.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Benjamin Blandin, Blandin, Sari Arho Havrén, Biden, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Patriot, Service, Financial Times, Hawkeyes, Lockheed, Aegis, Business, Reuters, Institute for Economics, Peace, Bloomberg, Yokosuka Council, Pacific Studies, Trump, Taiwan, Royal United Services Institute, Air Missile Systems, White, British Locations: Taiwan, China, United States, Yokosuka, Asia, Singapore, Philippines, London, Taipei
AdvertisementWith North Korean forces believed to be moving toward Russia's front lines, fears are growing that the Ukraine war is about to enter a new phase. Around 3,000 North Korean soldiers arrived in Russia last week, according to US, South Korean, and Ukrainian intelligence. The reports signaled a deepening military alliance between Russia and North Korea — an alliance that has been met with a muted response from China. AdvertisementThe bland statement may have been aimed at balancing its influence over North Korea and Russia with its relationship with Ukraine's Western allies. For North Korea, China has long been its most important ally, providing trade, diplomatic support, and military aid to Kim Jong Un.
Persons: , Ukraine's, Bruce Klingner, Kim Jong Un, Ali Wyne, Sari Arho Havrén, Trump, Ann Marie Dailey Organizations: Service, Council, Foreign Relations, European Union, EU, Bank, China, Heritage Foundation, North, Royal United Services Institute, RAND Locations: China, Russia, Ukraine, South, North Korea, EU, Beijing, North, Eurasia, Korea
North Korea is solidifying ties with Russia, a change from its usual focus on China. AdvertisementRussian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday appeared to confirm reports that North Korea had sent thousands of troops to eastern Russia. "But the Chinese are waiting for an opportunity where North Korea, Russia, and China can come stronger together, and I think North Korea sending the troops to Russia is a testimony to that." AdvertisementFor North Korea, China has long been its most important ally, providing trade, diplomatic support, and military aid to Kim Jong Un. Jim Hoare, a former UK diplomat who was posted to North Korea, told BI that even if China was frustrated by North Korea's increasing closeness to Russia, it should bide its time.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Victor Cha, Jagannath Panda, Sari Arho Havrén, Kim Jong, Havrén, Ali Wyne, Jim Hoare, Hoare Organizations: Analysts, Service, Center for Strategic, International Studies, New York Times, Experts, Stockholm Center, South, Pacific Affairs, Royal United Services Institute, NATO Locations: Korea, Russia, China, North Korea, Ukraine, Washington, Beijing, South Korea, Japan, Eurasia, Pyongyang
Read previewRussia is tapping China to build long-range attack drones for use in its war against Ukraine, Reuters reported. The report stated that Russia had created a secret weapons program in China, citing documents as well as two unnamed sources from a European intelligence agency. AdvertisementBut prior to the Reuters report, it was thought that China stopped short of transferring entire weapons systems to Russia. "Let's be absolutely clear about it: China does not want Russia to lose this war," Nixey said. AdvertisementThe war, he said, "is a symbol and a forebear of Western ability, Western spine, Western political will to defend the rules-based international order."
Persons: , IEMZ, Kupol, G3s, James Nixey, shouldn't, Nixey, Kurt Campbell, Sari Arho Havrén, NATO's, Farah Dakhlallah, Dakhlallah Organizations: Service, Ukraine, Reuters, Business, Russian Ministry of Defence, US, Royal United Services Institute Locations: Russia, China, Russia's, Ukraine, Russian, Izhevsk, Eurasia, Brussels, Europe
Read previewTensions between the Philippines and China have heightened around contested waters in the South China Sea in recent months. In recent months China has engaged in increasingly aggressive operations against the Philippines around the disputed islands of Sabina Shoal, Escoda Shoal, and Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea. Chinese Coast Guard holding knives and machetes as they approach Philippine vessels in the disputed South China Sea on June 17, 2024. A Chinese Coast Guard firing a water cannon at a Philippine Navy-chartered vessel resupplying troops stationed at Second Thomas Shoal in March 2024. AdvertisementSpeaking at a conference, he said that the "escort of one vessel to the other is an entirely reasonable option within our Mutual Defense Treaty."
Persons: , Collin Koh, Thomas Shoal, Second Thomas, Jay Tarriela, Timothy Heath, Heath, Koh, Shoal, Ezra Acayan, Samuel Paparo, Alexander Lopez, Sari Arho Havrén Organizations: Service, Institute of Defence, Strategic, Singapore's Nanyang Technological University, Business, coastguard, Mutual Defense Treaty, RAND Corporation, Coast Guard, Armed Forces, AP, Congressional Research Service, China, Philippine Navy, Navy, Air Force, Pacific Command, Mutual Defense, Philippine National Maritime Council, RAND, Royal United Services, Democrats, Republicans Locations: Philippines, China, South, Sabina, South China, Philippine, Second, Sabina Shoal, Asia, Ukraine, Israel
Read previewThe Philippines says it has stepped up its naval patrols and air surveillance around a disputed island in the South China Sea to counter the growing number of Chinese vessels in the area. In June, Chinese coast guards armed with swords and knives attacked Philippine vessels in the contested waters, resulting in injuries and one soldier losing a thumb. Chinese coast guards holding knives and machetes as they approached Philippine troops in the disputed South China Sea in June. "We once again warn the Philippines to face reality and give up illusions," Liu Dejun, a spokesperson for China's coast guard, said. Advertisement(Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan also lay claim to parts of the South China Sea.)
Persons: , Roy Vincent Trinidad, BRP Teresa Magbanua, Trinidad, Sabina Shoal, Jay Tarriela, Tarriela, Teresa Magbanua, Liu Dejun, Liu, Sari Arho Havrén, Collin Koh, Koh, Adm, Samuel Paparo, Alexander Lopez Organizations: Service, Coast Guard, Navy, Air Force, Daily Tribune, Business, BRP, Armed Forces, AP, The Daily Tribune, Liberation Army Navy, US Department of State, Royal United Services Institute, Institute of Defence, Strategic, Singapore's Nanyang Technological University, CNN, Pacific Command, Mutual Defense, Philippine National Maritime Council Locations: South, Philippine, Sabina, Escoda, China, Philippines, South China, China's, Sabina Shoal, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Taiwan, Washington, Manila
The incident on Monday is the latest "gray-zone" skirmish in the South China Sea, where China has increasingly used nonlethal but highly provocative measures to harass other countries there. China has claimed sovereignty over the South China Sea for decades, a claim that was roundly rejected in the Hague in 2016. On Saturday, it enacted a law allowing its Coast Guard to seize foreign ships suspected of trespassing, CNN reported. It comes after several other aggressive acts from Beijing in the South China Sea in recent months, involving lasers, water cannons, maritime militias, and even the alleged poisoning of fishing waters. A screen grab from a video provided by the Philippine Coast Guard showing Chinese vessels shooting water cannons at a ship in the South China Sea, on April 30, 2024.
Persons: , Sari Arho Havrén, Collin Koh, Havrén, Xi Jinping, Biden, Joe Biden, Xi, Xi's Organizations: Service, Business, Coast Guard, CNN, Royal United Services Institute, AFP, , Forces, Armed Forces, China Coast Guard, South China, Chinese Coast Guard, Philippine Coast Guard, Rajaratnam, of International Studies, Getty, Financial Times Locations: South China, China, South, Hague, Philippines, AFP, Palawan, Philippines China, Beijing, Singapore, Japan, Taiwan, Gaza, Ukraine
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