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AdvertisementMeredith Whitney expects home prices to fall by 10% to 20% as the frozen housing market starts thawing. The veteran researcher said baby boomers aren't selling, restricting the number of homes available. Home prices are poised to fall by up to a fifth as the frozen housing market thaws — and that could help baby boomers sell at last and younger people to become homeowners, Meredith Whitney says. Advertisement"The problem is the baby boomers own 60% of the housing stock," she said, referring to single-family, owner-occupied homes. AdvertisementSeveral economists have predicted a "silver tsunami" as baby boomers sell their homes to downsize or move into care homes, increasing the available supply of single-family homes and reducing prices.
Persons: Meredith Whitney, It's, Price, Whitney, millennials Organizations: Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, Homeowners, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, CNBC
But the decline in support for Ms. Harris in some of the country’s most liberal areas is particularly notable. For example, in Fulton County, which contains most of Atlanta, Ms. Harris gained about 4,500 votes, but Mr. Trump gained more than 7,400. He similarly outran Ms. Harris where she made gains in Wake County, N.C., Lancaster County, Pa., and Montgomery County, Texas. In Milwaukee County in swing-state Wisconsin, Ms. Harris lost 1,200 voters compared with Mr. Biden’s total in 2020, while Mr. Trump gained more than 3,500. But he lost votes, as did Ms. Harris, in majority-Black counties, especially those in the South where turnout dropped overall.
Persons: Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris’s, Joseph R, Iowa Kan, Trump, Larry Sabato, Mr, Sabato, , Trump Harris, Eli Murray, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Christine Zhang, Biden’s, Christine Zhang Ms, Joel Benenson, Barack Obama’s, ” Mr, Benenson, Harris Trump, John McLaughlin, pollster, McLaughlin, Organizations: Trump, New York Times, Hawaii Idaho Ill, N.D . Ohio Okla, D.C, Biden, Mr, Harris Trump, Democratic, Lean Democratic, Lean Republican, Center, Politics, University of Virginia, Florida’s Miami, Republican, Republicans, Harris Trump Arizona, Indiana, Nebraska, Washington, of Columbia Locations: Ala, Alaska, Calif, Colo, Conn, Del, Fla . Ga, Hawaii Idaho, Ind, Iowa, Ky, La . Maine Md, Mass, Mich, Minn, Miss, Mo, Mont, Neb, N.H . N.J, N.M, N.Y, N.C, N.D . Ohio, N.D . Ohio Okla ., Pa, S.D . Tenn . Texas Utah, Va, Wash, W.Va . Wis, Wyo, Chicago, Los Angeles and New York, Texas, Florida, New Jersey, New York, Georgia, Fulton County, Atlanta, Wake County, Lancaster County, Montgomery County , Texas, Milwaukee County, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Charlotte, Flint, Scranton, Dade County, Miami, Fresno County, Pinellas County, Fla, Black, Michigan, Nevada, Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Hampshire, Jersey, Mexico, York, Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Wyoming
AdvertisementI've been skiing and snowboarding for nearly four decades, but my wife hates the sports. I try to book vacations at ski villages so my wife has more to do when the kids and I are skiing. In the early days of our relationship, my wife and I took a ski trip with another couple. My friend and I had been skiing and snowboarding our entire lives, but both of our then-girlfriends were novices. AdvertisementEvery winter, when I plan our family's trips, I have to get creative to appeal to my non-skiing and non-snowboarding wife.
Persons: I've, We've, I'd, Alyson Gendron, wasn't, Yoonering Sutton, I'm Organizations: naturals, après, Pernelle, Resorts Locations: Mont, Stowe, Tremblant, Quebec, New York, Mont Sutton, Canada
BEIJING — China's retail sales rose more than expected in October, while industrial production and investment data missed forecasts as the real estate drag worsened. Industrial production rose by 5.3% in October from a year ago, missing expectations of 5.6% growth. Investment in real estate for the January to October period fell by 10.3% from a year ago, steeper than the 10.1% drop seen in the January to September period. While infrastructure and manufacturing investments picked up slightly in the year-to-date period as of October, versus that of September. The central bank has cut interest rates and extended existing real estate support.
Organizations: Retail, National Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Finance Locations: Shanghai, BEIJING
Price growth ticked higher in October as voters began casting ballots in a presidential election in which economic concerns played a big role. The consumer price index climbed to 2.6% last month since the same time last year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Stock futures turned higher, while traders bid up the price of government bonds. All-important shelter costs rose 0.4% from September to October, accounting for over half the monthly gains, the BLS said. Over the past four years, consumer prices have cumulatively increased about 20%, with the costs of many other goods and services rising even faster.
Persons: That's, Joe Biden’s, ” Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research, ” Voters, White House, Trump, Investors, Adobe, National Retail Federation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Citi Locations:
Devoting your life to making money can leave you lonely and aimless, Matthew McConaughey says. The actor warned against chasing cash at the cost of relationships and other valuable parts of life. AdvertisementPeople who spend their whole lives trying to get as rich as possible risk winding up lost and alone, Matthew McConaughey says. The actor said he loves money and what it lets him provide for his family, his wife, and himself. AdvertisementMany rich people have said there's more to life than accumulating wealth and material possessions, and have warned against losing sight of what truly matters.
Persons: Matthew McConaughey, Warren Buffett, , McConaughey, he's, Elon Musk, It's, Trump, Camila Alves McConaughey, Rick Kern, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Service, Dallas Buyers, Berkshire
But it shows how the stock market begins to get a little skittish whenever bond yields surge like this. We've seen that dynamic rear its head from time to time during the rise in bond yields that began in September. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, Elliott, ValueAct, Stanley Black, Decker, Trump, Donald Trump, CyberArk, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Morning, Elliott Management, Honeywell, Meta, Management, Mizuho Securities, Club, Spotify, Occidental Petroleum, Skyworks, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Meta, China
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
In addition, analysts had to predict further gains ahead — the stocks have at least 1% upside to the average price target, according to FactSet. Bank of America is among those on Wall Street that think the banks' move since Election Day has not been excessive. Citizens gained 30% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year and jumped 14% on Wednesday. It added nearly 4% the day after the election and gained 18% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year. Halliburton, which yields 2.3%, has the largest potential upside ahead — nearly 32% to the average price target.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Piper Sandler, Mark Fitzgibbon, Keith Horowitz, Halliburton, Jeff Miller Organizations: Dow Jones, Wharton School, CNBC, Bank of America, UST, Trump, Regional Banking, Citizens Financial, Fifth Third Bancorp, Citizens, Fifth, Citigroup, Citi, Marathon Petroleum, Halliburton Locations: Gulf of Mexico
Incumbent governments have been punished in Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, and elsewhere. The near-universal shift away from Democrats echoes voters' rejection of incumbent political parties across the world this year. South Africa's African National Congress (ANC) party lost its majority. Similarly, Deutsche Bank's Reid wrote that voters are disappointed by how slowly their lives are improving amid cooler economic growth. He said they don't buy that incumbents can tackle immigration, some incumbent governments have had scandals, and voters have become "much more willing to change their vote from election to election."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, , Donald Trump, Biden, Harris, Narendra Modi, Korea's Democrat Party snagged, Jim Reid, Tina Fordham, Louis Perron, Deutsche Bank's Reid Organizations: Service, Democratic, Britain's Labour Party, Conservative Party, Rally, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party, Indian, Korea's Democrat Party, National Congress, ANC, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Bank of England, European Central Bank, CNN, Win, Deutsche Locations: Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, London, Tokyo, Seoul, Cape Town, Washington, Gaza, country's, South, Ukraine
Moderna on Thursday posted a surprise profit for the third quarter, smashing Wall Street estimates, as its cost-cutting efforts took hold and sales of its Covid vaccine came in higher than expected. Before year end, the company plans to file for approval of its experimental "next-generation" Covid vaccine and combination shot targeting Covid and the flu. Moderna this year also expects to apply for expanded approval of its RSV vaccine, targeting high-risk adults ages 18 to 59. "I think the earlier launch and a steeper ramp drove a much higher sales number" for the Covid vaccine, Moderna CEO Stéphane Bancel said in an interview. Analysts had expected sales of $132 million for the RSV vaccine, according to estimates compiled by StreetAccount.
Persons: Moderna, Stéphane Bancel, Bancel, StreetAccount, mull Organizations: Moderna, LSEG, Merck, Research Locations: U.S, Union, Norway, Iceland, Qatar, Europe
Europe could take a hit to GDP in a second Trump presidency, Goldman Sachs analysts say. Europe could face a big hit to economic growth as trade tensions increase, Goldman Sachs analysts said. The analysts downgraded their growth forecasts across the region, down to 0.8% from their previous forecast of 1.1% for 2025. AdvertisementThe analysts point to renewed trade tensions fueled by Trump's proposal for sweeping tariffs on all US imports. More significant than the actual tariff increases, though, will be the trade policy uncertainty that comes with them, the analysts say.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Trump, Joachim Nagel, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, EU, NATO Locations: Europe, TPU, Germany, Sweden, Switzerland, China, Ukraine
Tech giants have poured billions of dollars into AI, and "prompt engineering" is a lucrative, in-demand job. "That kind of technology is in all the leading companies and a lot of universities," said Gates. "They finished it in just a few months," wrote Gates, calling the achievement "the most important advance in technology since the graphical user interface [in 1980]." "Today, somebody could raise billions of dollars for a new AI company [that's just] a few sketch ideas," Gates said, adding: "Just believing in AI, that's not very unique. Start today and use coupon code EARLYBIRD for an introductory discount of 50% off through November 26, 2024.
Persons: Bill Gates, Gates, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett, Elon Musk, Peter Thiel, Reid Hoffman, He'd, OpenAI, stoking, that's Organizations: Tech, Microsoft, Columbia University, Berkshire, Apple, IBM, PayPal, LinkedIn, CNBC Locations: chatbots
(Higher interest rates tend to boost the value of a currency by attracting more capital from abroad as investors seek bigger returns.) “Investors are bracing for tariffs… which will push up the price of imported goods for American shoppers,” she wrote in a note Wednesday. The pain of Trump’s tariffs will be felt far beyond US borders. “We also believe that Trump could decide to implement even higher tariffs on economies that run large trade surpluses with the US,” BMI analysts wrote in a note Wednesday. “Donald Trump’s economic course will pose major problems for Germany and the European Union,” the institute said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves, , Trump’s, Trump, ” Nomura, Philip Shaw, Ellie Henderson, Streeter, Anthony Kettle, , Spencer Platt, “ Donald Trump’s Organizations: London CNN, Republican, Senate, CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, , RBC Global Asset Management, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Port, Getty, European Union, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Locations: United States, Mexico, China, Germany, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Newark, New Jersey, Munich
Tingshu Wang | ReutersFrom Apple to Starbucks , U.S. consumer brands are reporting yet another quarter of China sales declines. Apple last week reported Greater China sales fell slightly to $15.03 billion in the three months ended Sept. 28, down from $15.08 billion in the year-ago period. The quarterly sales decline reduced Apple's China revenue share to 15.8% of total net sales, down from 16.9% in the year-ago period. Low consumer confidenceU.S. sportswear giant Nike said that Greater China revenue for the quarter ended Aug. 31 fell by 4% year-on-year to $1.67 billion. In Europe, luxury giant LVMH also felt the drag from the China market.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Tim Cook, Apple, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Matthew Friend, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Isaac Stone Fish, Cummins, Walt, Fish Organizations: Reuters, Apple, U.S, Starbucks, Nike, Carrier, Coca Cola, RTX Corporation, Honeywell, Walt Disney, Caterpillar Locations: Chengdu, Sichuan province, China, U.S, what's, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Greater China, Europe, Asia, Japan, COVID, Japan Asia
Generally, a Trump win is seen as positive for financials given a higher likelihood of deregulation for companies in the space. Traditional oil and gas names are also likely to benefit under a second Trump presidency. One is made up of stocks that benefit after a Harris win; the other would outperform under a second Trump presidency. However, a Harris win is expected to keep current regulation measures in place, and possibly introduce new ones. Private equity giants KKR and Blackstone would also benefit under a Trump win.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Paul Gallant, Cowen, Gallant, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Andrew Garthwaite, Trump, Garthwaite, TAN, we've, Biden, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, , Russell, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Crypto, isn't, Nic Puckrin, bitcoin, Marcelli, Financials, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Lazard Organizations: Congress, U.S ., Trump, U.S . Trump, GOP, Democratic, CNBC Pro, Wall, Strategas, Enterprise, of America, Ford, UBS, Apple, Enphase Energy, Technologies Enphase, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Cadence Bank, Viking Therapeutics, Bureau, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Lazard, Private, KKR, Blackstone, Evercore Locations: Washington, of America Cleveland, Cleveland, China
Yum Brands on Tuesday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that missed Wall Street's expectation as same-store sales at KFC and Pizza Hut slid more than expected. Yum's worldwide same-store sales fell 2% in the quarter, dragged down by weaker performances at KFC and Pizza Hut, which both reported same-store sales declines of 4%. KFC's U.S. same-store sales slid 5% this quarter. The pizza chain saw its international same-store sales shrink 6%, while U.S. same-store sales fell just 1%. Taco Bell, the gem of Yum's portfolio, reported same-store sales growth of 4%.
Persons: Yum, David Gibbs, Popeyes, Taco Bell Organizations: Yum Brands, KFC, LSEG, KFC's, U.S Locations: China, U.S
How much and how fast is hard to know, but you can bet your bottom dollar you’ll be needing more dollars to pay for everyday goods if Trump’s sweeping tariffs are put in place. “If we get tariffs, we will pass those tariff costs back to the consumer,” said Philip Daniele, CEO of AutoZone, on an earnings call in September. But several studies conclude that the cost of those tariffs were borne almost entirely by American consumers and businesses. The most generous interpretation of Trump’s tariff plan would be that he’s trying to force US businesses to move their overseas operations back on US soil, creating jobs. Even if tariffs could undo decades of globalization, it likely wouldn’t have the effect Trump is hoping for.
Persons: , Philip Daniele, AutoZone, Daniele, it’s, we’ve, he’s, Trump, Timothy Boyle, Boyle, we’re, It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Treasury, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Columbia, Washington Post, Trump, Associated Press, AP, Trump -, Walmart, Target, aren’t Locations: New York, China, Beijing, United States
The DOJ and FBI are preparing to combat election lies but have limited authority. Affordable Care Act coverage is available for DACA recipients for the first time. For the DOJ that means setting up an Election Threats Task force, focusing on the prosecutions of people who threaten election officials. To understand how that might play out, NBC News interviewed current and former Justice Department and FBI officials, as well as legal experts. For many DACA recipients who are unable to get job-based health insurance, a lack of access to government-funded programs meant their insurance options were limited or too expensive.
Persons: Donald Trump, , , , Trump, don’t, Read, Helene, Milton, Sarahi, Young Thug, Georgia’s, Sean “ Diddy ” Combs, Nicole MacDonald, isn’t, Biden, they’d, — Rich Bellis, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: DOJ, FBI, Affordable, Trump, Justice Department, NBC News, Boeing, of Labor Statistics ’, University of Washington, Republican, Atlanta, NFL, NBC Locations: U.S, Swedish
With polling forecasting a close race in the U.S. presidential election , UBS is eyeing two baskets of stocks to prepare for either outcome. Overall, UBS said stocks within its Trump administration beneficiaries basket indicate a win for the former president next week. Here is a look at some of the stocks UBS has placed in each grouping. Also, a Trump administration could roll back some actions that were favorable to utilities with exposure to renewables. Other sectors that can benefit from a Harris win include homebuilding as well as child care and employment agencies, Garthwaite added.
Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Garthwaite, Harris, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Trump Organizations: U.S, UBS, Institute of International Finance, Trump, Citigroup, Goldman, Citi, Nike, Democratic Locations: U.S, China, Goldman Sachs, Beijing
For many families, child care is often the biggest. Thanks to a state program launched during the recovery from the pandemic, they pay nothing for child care. Vice President Kamala Harris proposes capping child care costs at 7% of working families’ incomes, along with an up-to-$6,000 expanded child tax credit for those with newborns. The permanent fund now funnels more than $150 million from fossil fuel producers into child care subsidies, state officials estimate. As elder care costs continue to outpace inflation, the Democratic ticket sees that constituency as key to victory.
Persons: Maggie Wright, JJ Oviedo, Patricio, Uriel, , Wright, JJ, , ” Maggie Wright, Oviedo, Michelle Lujan Grisham, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump hasn’t, , Elizabeth Groginsky, Lujan Grisham, family’s, they’ve, she’s, Harris, ” Wright, ’ ”, Taryn Morrissey, ” Morrissey, Deyanira Contreras, Randy Orona, Torres, Contreras, ” Orona Organizations: SANTA FE, Democratic Gov, Fund, Childhood, Care Department, U.S, Labor Department, Wright, Democratic, American University’s School of Public Affairs, , Kids, Kids Campus Locations: SANTA, Oviedo, Santa Fe, , New Mexico, Fe, McDonald’s
There’s nothing subtle about the Trump agenda. And there is a real fear that the Trump agenda could do more harm than good – especially on the inflation front. They point to study after study that finds Americans have borne almost the entire cost of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese products. And that estimate does not even include almost-definite retaliation from other nations who would respond to Trump tariffs with ones of their own. Harris has called for only partially extending the 2017 Trump tax cuts.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Oprah, “ Trump, Joe Brusuelas, , That’s, Donald Trump, ” Trump, there’s, ” Kimberly Clausing, nonresident, Joe Biden, Trump’s, Organizations: New, New York CNN, RSM, CNN, Trump, Federal, Wall Street Journal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Biden, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute, Social Security, NBC Locations: New York, China, Mexico
McDonald's on Tuesday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat analysts' expectations as its U.S. restaurants reversed last quarter's same-store sales decline. It's the second straight quarter that the company's same-store sales have fallen. U.S. same-store sales rose 0.3%, reversing last quarter's same-store sales declines but still slightly weaker than the 0.5% increase predicted by StreetAccount estimates. The company's two international divisions both reported steeper declines in same-store sales compared with the prior quarter. The international developmental licensed markets division reported same-store sales declines of 3.5%, driven by weak demand in the Middle East and China.
Persons: McDonald's, Ian Borden, Chris Kempczinski, Kempczinski Organizations: Health, LSEG Locations: France, Germany, Australia, East, China
Investors face diminishing returns from cash alternatives as interest rates decline. Today, cash alternatives are yielding slightly less. Specifically, those who didn't have liquidity needs but chose to sit in cash anyway missed out on a strong year for the S&P 500. If liquidity needs arise, investors may be able to sell for a profit if the Fed's cutting cycle is steeper than expected, he added. Simply put, the M2 money supply, which includes cash and cash alternatives, has skyrocketed since 2020 by over 36%, debasing the dollar.
Persons: , Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, David Miller, Miller, Millers Organizations: Service, Treasury, AAA, Catalyst Funds, Federal, World Gold Council, Investors Locations: Treasuries, Russia, Central
China is considering a fresh $1.4 trillion stimulus, Reuters reported. The package could be approved next week and would increase in size if Trump wins the election. The large fiscal stimulus would be increased if Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump wins the US election, the report says. The remaining 4 trillion yuan would be raised by local government bonds and put toward idle land and property purchases, the sources told Reuters. AdvertisementIf Trump is elected, the stimulus package could be higher due to the economic challenges Trump's policies would pose for China, the sources told Reuters.
Persons: Trump's, , Donald Trump, Trump, he's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Reuters, Trump, Service, Republican, National People's Congress, China, Wall Locations: China, Beijing
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