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☆ Goldman's top equity strategist tells BI 2 similarities between today's market and the dot-com bubble — and what it means for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Kostin expects the S&P 500 equal-weighted index and mid-cap stocks to gain from a broadening market. Today, the 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 make up 36% of the entire index by market capitalization. Related storiesThis gap between the top S&P 500 performers and the rest of the index hasn't occurred since the dot-com bubble. "The evidence is strongly in support of the fact that growth rates for high revenue growth companies tend to fade," he added. For that reason, Kostin is expecting the S&P 500 equal-weight SPW index to outperform the market-cap-weighted S&P 500.

Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, —, Goldman Sachs, Kostin isn't, that's, he's Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco

☆ Forget funds like SPY and VOO — buy this alternative S&P 500 index that's trading near its cheapest levels since the dot-com bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But there's another lesser-known S&P 500 index that you might not have heard of: the SPW. In contrast, the conventional S&P 500 allocates more weight to the biggest companies based on market capitalization. Big Tech names carry very little debt on their balance sheets, meaning that they are less affected by elevated interest rates. Bank of AmericaIn contrast, the cap-weight S&P 500 is approaching overvalued territory. Examples of SPW index funds include the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSEW).

Persons: —, that's, Jack Ablin, LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Savita Subramanian, Buchbinder, Ablin, haven't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Big Tech, Business, Bank of America, Cresset, Healthcare, financials, Bank of America's, Equity, RSP

☆ This volatility-resistant area of the stock market is ripe for outperformance after two decades of decline, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, one area of the market is set to benefit from increased market volatility: quality stocks, or stocks with strong business models and financial fundamentals. And the cherry on top is that quality stocks — which typically become expensive during downturns — are still cheap despite their recent rally, coming out of a two-decade rut. As seen in the graph below, the high-quality factor serves as a hedge against elevated market volatility. Bank of AmericaQuality is still cheapLuckily for investors, this safe-haven area of the stock market is trading at an attractive valuation. Bank of AmericaWhile quality stocks have recently re-rated to a slight premium, they're still reasonably priced, according to Bank of America.

Persons: —, Subramanian, Financials, Schwab Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PMI, Investors, of, Companies, Equity Locations: of America's

☆ These 2 key metrics will signal whether small, unloved stocks will continue to beat the market, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The firm is looking at specific levels for the 10-year Treasury yield and manufacturing PMI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. New research from Bank of America outlined two specific criteria that could serve as signals the rally will continue. AdvertisementMeanwhile, manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June. "The Manufacturing economy is in the second longest downturn in history with 21 months without two straight months of 50+ PMI.

Persons: —, SPW, Russell, Tom Lee Organizations: of America, PMI, Service, Bank of America, Treasury, 6.3ppt, Bank of America Global Research, Federal Reserve, Barclays Locations: outperformance

☆ There's a market index breaking down with an 'ominous precedent,' says a top chart analyst
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An equal-weighted version of the S & P 500 has hit thresholds that have historically signaled trouble ahead, according to BTIG. Known as the SPW, the equal-weight S & P 500 measures performance by tracking all the stocks in the broad index at equal exposure. In the cap-weighed version, known in short as the SPX , more exposure is given to stocks with larger market caps. That has only happened five times in the last three decades and sets an "ominous precedent," said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG. .SPX YTD mountain The cap-weighted S & P 500's ascent in 2023 Krinsky said the S & P 500 should test 4,200 points — which is 2.8% off its Friday close of 4,320.06 — if not lower.

Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC

☆ BofA lifts S&P 500 2023-end target by 7%, led by "old economy" stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 is up 15.7% so far this year, largely driven by a rally in a handful of mega-cap growth stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA.O) and Meta (META.O) that have ridden the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. While the rally has been moderating, BofA remains in "neutral" to "positive" territory on U.S. stocks, with a bias towards equal-weighted stocks, strategists led by Savita Subramanian said. An equal-weight index assigns uniform weights to each constituent, unlike a market capitalization-based index, like the S&P 500, where bigger companies tend to have an outsized influence. Equal-weighted stocks have less volatile earnings, smaller differences in analysts' estimates, and are cheaper and less crowded than growth stocks, Subramanian said. While a "fresh wave of bear narratives around equities have emerged", BofA says the "old economy", which includes value stocks - more prevalent in the equal-weighted S&P 500 - could benefit as much as tech and growth.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, BofA, Morgan Stanley, Susan Mathew, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Street, Nvidia, Tech, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

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