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Small caps have been one of the hottest corners of the markets in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump's election victory four weeks ago. "Small caps right now are a trade, not a fundamental move," Krei added. Krei is also more optimistic on financials, another group that, like small caps, has outperformed following Trump's election. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLF) surged 10.5% in November, bringing its 2024 advance to 38% in 2024. The Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE) has risen 16.7% year to date, underperforming the broader market, but jumped 7.8% in November alone.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Andrew Krei, Krei, Russell, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, We're, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Trump, Crescent Grove Advisors, CNBC, New York Life Investments, SPDR Fund, Sector Locations: New York
Financial stocks are the best-performing group in 2024 and, even though they're widely thought to have more room to run as a sector, a subset of them are even more favorably positioned. The S & P 500 financial sector has surged 36% so far this year, outpacing both the communication services and information technology sectors that contain all the high-flying megacap technology stocks. XLF YTD mountain Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) in 2024. "If this bull market persists, the upside in those fintech names could be 3-4x what we see in the overall XLF," Ginsberg said. Financial stocks may be punished first in the event of a correction in the broader market, Ginsberg said.
Persons: outpacing, Donald Trump's, They've, Trump, Sam Stovall, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: Basel, CFRA Research, Wolfe Research, P Bank ETF, CNBC, PayPal
Financial stocks are one corner of the market that's set to reap the benefits under a second Trump administration. The bank currently offers a 2.8% dividend yield, and has posted 10.2% dividend growth in the past year. Regions' dividend yield is at 3.8%, and the bank has grown its dividends by 18.9% in the past year. However, consensus price targets suggest a decline just shy of 1% could be in the cards for Regions Financial. Other financial stocks offering solid dividends include investment bank Goldman Sachs and credit card provider Discover Financial Services .
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Matt O'Connor, Bank of New York Mellon, Robin Vince, Brian Bedell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank, P Bank ETF, Regional Banking, CNBC Pro, Financial, Deutsche Bank, Regions Financial, Bank of New York, Bank of New York Mellon, Discover Financial Services Locations:
Monday’s moves come as investors ready for public health changes under a second Trump administration. But the mineral has found itself at the center of a nationwide fight that’s led some local communities to end programs centered on its insertion into public water. Gordon Haskett’s Bilson also pointed out that dental stocks were some of the few “spared” health-focused equities as investors responded to the announcement of Kennedy’s nomination last week. And advertising.”While the market appears to be moving on Kennedy’s nomination, Bilson said that regulatory changes would likely take years to come into effect. He also noted that drinking water should fall more under the Environmental Protection Agency than Health and Human Services.
Persons: Henry Schein, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Donald Trump’s, Envista, Trump, Kennedy, that’s, Gordon Haskett, ” Don Bilson, Gordon Haskett’s, , Gordon Haskett’s Bilson, ” Bilson, “ Drugmakers, Bilson Organizations: Health, Human Services, Trump, RFK, HHS, Pharmaceutical, Environmental Protection Agency Locations: U.S
Wall Street has been pumping money into the Trump trade, but investors should be wary before committing capital based on campaign promises, if history is any indication. From Election Day 2016 through year-end, the asset class outperformed the S & P 500 by 8% on a relative basis. In fact, from Election Day 2016 through Election Day 2020, smallcaps tumbled more than 22%. Expand the timeline to one year out from Election Day, and the ETF underperformed the broader index by 11%. Energy Energy stocks are expected to get a huge boost from Trump, who made energy a focus of his presidential campaign , and promised to "drill, baby, drill."
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump's, elect's, Russell, Biden, Wells, Austin Pickle, , smallcaps, that's, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank, Regional Banking, Wells, Investment Institute, Trump, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Dow Jones, . Energy Energy, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, that's year's
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
The U.S. presidential election takes place Tuesday as an ultra-tight campaign season ends. Under a Harris victory, Morgan Stanley sees retailers and clean energy stocks outperforming as the threat of higher tariffs lifts. Investors can keep track of these sectors through two ETFs: the SPDR S & P Retail ETF (XRT) and the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) . ETFs tracking financials and the fossil fuel producers include the Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) . XLF XLE YTD mountain XLF and XLE year to date These funds could also see sharp moves as exit polls and election results are reported, if they show one candidate pulling ahead.
Persons: It's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Morgan Stanley, XRT, TAN, Wolfe, cryptocurrency, XLF, XLE, Bernstein Organizations: U.S, NBC, Wolfe Research, P Retail, Trump, Energy, eBay, EBAY
Big Tech stocks have a high earnings bar to clear
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Overall S & P 500 profit growth is tracking below what analysts anticipated heading into the reporting period. Still, the S & P 500 is less than 1% below a record high reached earlier this month. Solita Marcelli, UBS Global Wealth Management chief investment officer for the Americas, also warned that high valuations could be a problem for megacap tech stocks as earnings roll out. Technical patterns based on price charts aren't too favorable, either, heading into megacap tech earnings. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) in June hit its highest level relative to the S & P 500 since March 2000 , when the dot-com bubble peaked.
Persons: Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Wells Fargo Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, UBS Global Wealth Management, Netflix Locations: Americas
Tech stocks could be in for a reckoning, this chart shows
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Since then, the XLK is down 6% relative to the broad market index. "The level it peaked at almost exactly coincides with where the Tech ETF peaked on a relative basis in 2000. Not exactly what you want to see if you're an investor putting new money to work within Tech," he wrote. The SMH closed Friday at $252.96, and the strategist expects the $233 level to be tested near term. "We still exercise some degree of caution when we view Technology stocks, as short term trends and near-term momentum appear to be stalling," O'Hara wrote.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Roth MKM, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, Tech ETF, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo
"As evidenced by XLV [Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund], price is back through the 50 day [moving average] on this relief rally," he said. "Not yet overbought, it looks to us like the early innings of a reacceleration back towards the highs. XLV YTD mountain Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund year to date On top of that rally is the added benefit of dividend payouts on many health care stocks. At least 51% of the Wall Street analysts who cover each stock rates it a buy, according to FactSet data. CI YTD mountain Cigna year to date Cigna beat earnings and revenue estimates in its second quarter when it reported results in August.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Abbott, Robert Ford, Dickinson, Cigna, Lina Khan, Merck Organizations: Wolfe Research, SPDR, CNBC Pro, Wall Street, nab, Abbott Laboratories, Company, Cigna's, Federal Trade Commission, CVS Health, UnitedHealth, Merck, Co Locations: . Connecticut
Bank stocks are making a late push to be the best buy of the year for equity investors. The financial sector has outperformed in recent weeks and is now firmly one of the best-performing groups. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) rose again on Wednesday and is now up 26% year to date. That puts it above the SPDR fund for communication services ( XLC ) and within striking distance of the one for utilities ( XLU ). XLF YTD mountain Financial stocks are one of the best performing sectors this year.
Persons: Banks, Chris Verrone, Strategas, Morgan Stanley, It's, Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Why health care could be a winner heading into year-end
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Health care may be the answer, if history is any indication. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) has posted a November gain in eight of the last 10 years. Health care trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.2, while the S & P 500 has a multiple of 24. The optimism around health care comes as the sector lags the broader market. Some health care names poised to do well, according to Krinsky, are Masimo and Viking Therapeutics .
Persons: What's, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky Organizations: iShares Biotechnology, Viking Therapeutics, Viking, Politan, Citi, UPS, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: China
A major Wall Street strategist is jumping aboard the story that materials stocks could be at the start of a big rally. That theory played out during last week's rally for Chinese stocks. The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) rose 3% last week, though it was down a bit on Monday and Tuesday. XLB 1M mountain This materials fund is up since the Chinese stock rally began. Bank of America isn't the only Wall Street shop that's bullish on materials given the change in China.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Sherwin, Subramanian, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara Organizations: Bank of America, Linde Locations: China, Freeport, McMoRan
Utility stocks this year have mounted a rally unseen in more than two decades. In the third quarter, utilities are the best out of 11 sectors that comprise the S & P 500, climbing 18%. As a group, utilities are poised to score their largest quarterly gain since George W. Bush was president in 2003. If that holds through yearend, utilities will see their biggest annual advance since 2000, when they surged more than 50%. "Utilities are the hottest sector in the market currently," Wolfe Research Rob Ginsberg said in a note to clients in August.
Persons: George W, Bush, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, hasn't, It's, buildout, Ginsberg, Subramanian, Wells Fargo, Christopher Harvey, Harvey, LSEG Organizations: Utilities, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Constellation Energy, CenterPoint Energy Locations: yearend, The Texas, Houston
Although he increased his price target to $150 from $130, the new price target is just around $2 higher from Tuesday's close price. — Fred Imbert 6:46 a.m.: Citi raises Roblox price target Citi is bullish on Roblox's long-term prospects in spite of some near-term rockiness. — Hakyung Kim 5:42 a.m.: Piper Sandler raises price target on Tesla Piper Sandler thinks Tesla may sell more vehicles than the firm previously expected. With this in mind, he raised his price target on Tesla shares to $310 from $300, signaling about 22% upside from Wednesday's close. TSLA YTD mountain TSLA year to date — Hakyung Kim 5:42 a.m.: Barclays upgrades Hewlett Packard Enterprise Rising demand for artificial intelligence servers will boost Hewlett Packard Enterprise shares, according to Barclays.
Persons: Piper Sandler, TD Cowen downgrades Expedia TD Cowen, Kevin Kopelman, Kopelman, EXPE, — Hakyung Kim, Morgan Stanley, Ford Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Ford, Fred Imbert, Jason Bazinet, we're, Bazinet, Roblox, Alex Straton, Straton, JPMorgan, Rodolfo Angele, Angele, Tesla Piper Sandler, Tesla, Alexander Potter, Potter, Hakyung Kim, Tim Long, HPE, Long Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, U.S, Ford Motor, GM, Citi, Nike, JPMorgan, Petrobras, Tesla, Hewlett, Enterprise, Juniper Networks Locations: China, U.S, Tuesday's, XLK
Investors bought into the interest rate cut. Equity inflows last week were the largest they had been in roughly two years, according to Jill Carey Hall, equity and quant strategist at Bank of America Securities. The Wall Street bank reported its clients snapped up $6.9 billion worth in stocks, the highest level going back to October 2022. XLU YTD mountain Utilities Utilities were the big winner here. On the other hand, investors dumped financials, real estate and energy stocks last week.
Persons: Jill Carey Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Traders, Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Utilities Utilities, Bank of, Tech Locations: Bank
Investors looking to participate in a new growth phase for electricity demand by purchasing the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) might be discouraged by its massive run over the past year. We'll review a way to play it with options that adds a buffer of protection. XLU .SPX mountain 2023-10-23 Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund since October low Despite this strong performance, the utilities select sector index still trades at just over 19 times forward earnings, a much cheaper multiple than the S & P's 23.5 times, and typically trades with significantly lower volatility as well. Spurring the economy will likely increase demand, but lowering rates improves the relative attractiveness of utilities for fixed-income investors as well. The trade XLU has an annual dividend yield of 2.8% and would make a fine addition to one's portfolio.
Persons: EVs Organizations: Utilities, Fund, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
I wonder if this is collectively the same group that doubted the bull market when it was rallying on narrow breadth led by the Mag 7. Today we'll revisit Meta (META) , the second largest market cap name in the sector behind Alphabet. I currently hold a 7% target allocation in my Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio and a 2% target allocation in my Strategic Income & Growth (SIG) portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: ( Gordon owns META in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Elliott, I'm, Zuckerberg, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, CNBC Pro, Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Leading technology stocks led an eye-popping rebound rally the past five days, driving a key ETF texchange traded fund to one of its best weeks in years. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) surged 8.2% this week, the most since Nov. 11, 2022, when the fund gained 10.04%. XLK YTD mountain Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) performance this year. Investors can thank a bounce back in megacap technology and semiconductor stocks this week that lifted all three major U.S. stock indexes. That alone suggests semiconductor stocks have lost their leadership status, at least for now, Turnquist said.
Persons: ChatGPT, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist Organizations: texchange, Microsoft, Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Apple Watch, Semiconductor, Broadcom, LPL Financial, PHLX Semiconductor Locations: XLK
Lauren Goodwin, economist and chief market strategist at New York Life Investments, told CNBC that winning stocks are unlikely to fit neatly within defensive sectors at this point in the economic cycle. Another thing for investors to consider is that some of the traditional defensive sectors have already been on an upswing. Meanwhile, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) is up 9%, and Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) is up more than 6%. XLU mountain 2024-07-01 Defensive stocks like consumer staples have performed well in the third quarter. Instead of moving to defensive stocks, investors should focus on looking for ways to lock in higher yields in fixed income before the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates, said Goodwin.
Persons: Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin Organizations: New York Life Investments, CNBC, Consumer, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
While many investors have been distracted by the recent drop in leading technology shares, a traditionally overlooked part of the market is seeing a major boom: consumer staples. The S & P 500 consumer staples sector hit a record on Monday, putting it more than 8% higher over the past three months. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said 142,000 jobs were created in August, well below the 161,000 expected by economists. Against this backdrop, we used the CNBC Pro Stock Screener tool to find consumer staple stocks that could outperform going forward. Kroger is expected to gain more than 12% going forward, based on analysts consensus price targets.
Persons: It's, Kroger, Bernstein, Douglas Harned Organizations: Tech, of Labor Statistics, CNBC, Stock, Kroger, Constellation Brands, Bunge Global, Modelo, Bunge, GE Aerospace, GE Locations: U.S
Utilities — not tech — are now the hottest trade on Wall Street, according to Bank of America. "Note that the total return of S & P 500 Utilities (the 'tortoise') has been in line with Nasdaq's (the "hare') over the long term." Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) , a $6.4 billion market cap-weighted fund, has a total return of 22%. The iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (IDU) , with $1.4 billion in assets, has a 22% total return. Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF (RSPU) , an equal-weighted fund with just $317 million in assets, has a roughly 20% total return in 2024.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, , Invesco, Jesse Pound Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Utes, Utilities, Vanguard Utilities, U.S . Utilities, Fidelity MSCI Utilities Locations: U.S
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewDon't expect the stock market's seemingly unstoppable rally to continue through the end of the year, says Stifel's Barry Bannister. "If Russia makes a countermove in Kursk, it would probably be between the election and January," Bannister said. 4 trades to make amid market turbulenceWith the market poised for a turbulent period ahead, Bannister said he prefers defensive value stocks, particularly the healthcare, utilities, consumer staples, and real estate sectors. "Seventy percent of all the outperformance of defensive or value occurs before a recession is actually declared," Bannister said.
Persons: , Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, — Bannister, there's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, we're Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Utilities, Consumer, UCITS Locations: Russia, Kursk, Iran, China
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Monday's Wall Street chatter as global markets sell off. — Lisa Kailai Han 7:02 a.m.: How long sell-offs typically last Bad news: The current market sell-off may have further to go. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:09 a.m.: Oppenheimer's Stoltzfus: Best to not 'jump to conclusions' Investors need to have a cool head as global markets sell off, according to Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus. — Fred Imbert 5:51 a.m.: Global markets in an 'aggressive risk-unwind', Vital Knowledge says Fears of a U.S. recession are pressuring global markets, leading investors around the world to sell some of this year's top winners, according to Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge. "Markets are caught in an aggressive risk-unwind as equities plunge around the world, with tech getting hit particularly hard," he wrote in a note Monday.
Persons: Wharton's Siegel, Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, hasn't, it's, … They're, , Lisa Kailai Han, Tom Lee, Lee, Duncan Toms, Toms, Fred Imbert, Victoria Greene, Greene, It's, Nimrit Kang, — Lisa Kailai Han, Dan Ives, Gene Goldman, Gennadiy Goldberg, Ives, Goldman, Goldberg, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Evercore, Ed Hyman, Hyman, Adam Crisafulli, Crisafulli Organizations: CNBC, Stock, Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wharton, Federal Reserve, Fundstrat Global, HSBC, G Squared, Wealth, NorthStar Asset Management, Street, Wedbush, TD Securities, Federal, NASDAQ, U.S, Fed, Global Locations: U.S, Europe, Japan, China
Read previewBuying and holding Big Tech stocks has led to great performance in recent years, but this might not be the case going forward. As a result, buy-and-hold investors are probably seeing more red than they'd like in their portfolios right now. AdvertisementBig Tech overexposureIf you hold a lot of Big Tech stocks in your portfolio, you're not alone. Related storiesThere's definitely reason to be bullish on tech overall, especially as AI spurs growth, but overexposure to Big Tech isn't without its drawbacks. According to Subramanian, there's more room for Big Tech to fall, especially if investors don't see AI monetization cases soon.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, overexposure, Subramanian, That's, there's, They're Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Down, Dow, Business, Bank of America, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Fund, Vanguard, Energy
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