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The interest rate outlook will come back into focus next week with key inflation data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes coming out ahead of Thanksgiving, as investors wrap up a major month for markets following President-elect Donald Trump's election victory. The October personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index set to release Wednesday could dent already-dimming hopes for a December rate cut if it comes in hotter than expected. The inflation rate is expected to have increased 0.2% month over month and 2.3% year on year. Rosy expectations Even with the interest rate cut expectations coming in, investors are optimistic on the direction for stocks to close out the year and into 2025. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 can end next year at 6,500.
Persons: Donald Trump's, , Luke O'Neill, Stocks, O'Neill, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Tom Hainlin, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Alpha Fund, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BMO, UBS, Bank Asset Management, Dell Technologies, Chicago, New, Richmond Fed, Devices, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago
Top 10 S&P 500 stock winners since Election Day
  + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesMany large U.S. companies have seen their stocks swell since the presidential election. The top 10 performing stocks in the S&P 500 index saw returns of 18% or more since Election Day, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, which analyzed returns based on closing prices from Nov. 5 to Nov. 20. The 'Elon Musk premium'And then there's the Elon Musk factor. Tesla's stock got an "Elon Musk premium" from Trump's victory, said Goldberg of Professional Advisory Services. Shares of the electric-vehicle maker soared 14% the day after the election and almost 30% by week's end.
Persons: Michael M, Elon Musk, Donald Trump —, Jeremy Goldberg, Goldberg, Jacob Manoukian, Rosy, outperformance, David Glazer, Paul Moseley, Vistra, Stacey Doré, Elon, Trump, Donald Trump, Chris Unger Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, P Global Market Intelligence, Professional Advisory Services, Inc, Trump, Deregulation, Morgan Private Bank, Companies, Warner Bros ., Max, Disney, Walt Disney Co, Palantir Technologies, Fort Worth Data, Fort Worth Star, Tribune, Service, Vistra Corp, Tech, Elon, Professional Advisory Services ., of Government, week's, UFC, Madison, Garden, Ufc Locations: U.S, Texas, , Texas , Pennsylvania, Ohio, New York
AdvertisementRussia announced on Wednesday that Vladimir Putin is gifting Kim Jong Un about 70 animals for his zoo. Russia's environmental ministry said the animals include a lioness, two bears, two yaks, and over 60 birds. The new set of animals is another touch by Putin to firm up his alliance with North Korea. AdvertisementKozlov's ministry said it had previously sent Pyongyang birds such as eagles, cranes, and parrots, but that it was the first time Russia had donated mammals. In August, the Times of London, citing a veterinary source in Russia, reported that the Russian leader had sent Pyongyang two dozen purebred white horses.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, Putin, Kim Jong, Alexander Kozlov, Kozlov's, Kim Organizations: Russia, North, Russian Ministry of Natural Resources, Moscow Zoo, Pyongyang Central Zoo, North Korean State Media, NATO, Central, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Locations: North Korea, Moscow, Pyongyang, North Korean, Korean, Russia, London, Russian, The, Ukraine, Korea, Germany, Poland, Western, Stockholm
The narrative from Silicon Valley is that the AI train has left the station and any smart investor had better hop on before these products become “superintelligent” and start solving all the world’s problems. Now, some of the leading language models appear to be hitting a wall, according to at least three reports last week. But if we have indeed hit a scaling wall, “it may mean that the the mega-cap technology companies have over-invested” and it’s possible that they could scale back in the near future. That’s the AI optimist/pragmatist view. For a less rosy outlook, I turned to Gary Marcus, NYU professor emeritus and outspoken critic of AI hype.
Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN — It’s, OpenAI, , that’s, , Orion “, Ilya Sutskever, ” Sutskever, Marc Andreessen, Sam Altman, ” Gil Luria, Davidson, it’s, ” Luria, Gary Marcus, ” Marcus, “ LLMs Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Nvidia, Tech, ” Bloomberg, ” Reuters Locations: New York, GPT
The electronics test and measurement equipment company's fiscal fourth-quarter results beat analysts' estimates on the top and bottom lines. Dolby Laboratories — The audio technology company advanced 10% after its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of 61 cents per share topped Street estimates of 45 cents per share, per FactSet. Azek Company — Shares of the residential siding and trim company ticked up 2% after its fiscal fourth-quarter results beat analysts' estimates. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were looking for earnings of 27 cents per share and $339.1 million in revenue. La-Z-Boy reported earnings of 71 cents per share on revenue of $521 million.
Persons: Keysight, FactSet, Dolby Organizations: Dolby Laboratories, Powell Industries, Azek
AdvertisementHowever, BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhuri doesn't think President-elect Trump deserves all the credit for this astounding market rally. "Obviously, there have been some pretty sharp movements over the course of the last week," Chaudhuri told Business Insider. Corporate earnings growth is arguably the most compelling reason to stick with US stocks following what's been another outstanding performance this year. "One of the things that the equity market has done over and over again is continue to surprise us in terms of earnings growth," Chaudhuri said. AdvertisementWhere to invest in a rosy 2025Two sectors with abnormally strong earnings prospects are financials and industrials, Chaudhuri said.
Persons: BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhuri, , Donald Trump's, there's, BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhuri doesn't, Trump, Chaudhuri, They've, they're, " Chaudhuri Organizations: Service, BlackRock, Federal Reserve Locations: Americas
AdvertisementSome Disney insiders worry about the impact of a second Trump term on the company amid culture wars. Disney CEO Bob Iger and Donald Trump publicly sparred during Trump's first presidential term. During Trump's first term, Iger seemed to publicly align with his opposition. One person close to Disney speculated about whether the political climate would lead news outlets such as Disney's to self-censor. "The risk to these guys is, they have to tone down the rhetoric," the person close to Disney said.
Persons: Bob Iger, Donald Trump, Trump's, Iger, Trump, Harris, Puck, Elon Musk, Nelson Peltz, Dana Walden, Kamala Harris, Disney, I'm, irking Trump, Walden's Harris, He's Organizations: Disney, Trump, Business, ABC, Elon, CNBC, New York Post, ABC News, Warner Bros, Hulu, Sinclair Locations: Hollywood, Iger, Paris, Fox
Revenue in the fiscal fourth quarter totaled $22.57 billion, topping the $22.45 billion expected by analysts, according to estimates compiled by LSEG. And the good run should continue, with management forecasting earnings growth acceleration over the next couple of years. Roughly $15 billion in cash flow from operations vs. $14.8 billion expected, and about $8 billion in capital expenditures vs. $6.54 billion expected. That implies free cash flow of about $7 billion vs. $8.1 billion expected. In entertainment, the team forecasts double digit percentage growth in operating income, with 10% operating margin in its streaming businesses.
Persons: Robert Iger's, Iger, hasn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mickey Mouse, Mouse, Gary Hershorn Organizations: Disney, Revenue, LSEG, Management, ESPN DTC, ESPN, DIS, Comcast, Netflix, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, Sports, CNBC, Magic, Walt Disney World, Corbis, Getty Locations: Florida, India, Orlando , Florida
In this photo illustration, the OpenAI logo is displayed on a mobile phone screen with a photo of Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI. In the document, OpenAI outlines a rosy future for AI, calling it "as foundational a technology as electricity, and promising similarly distributed access and benefits." Now that Donald Trump is President-elect, OpenAI has made clear its plans to work with the new administration on AI policy, and the company's Wednesday presentation outlines its plans. OpenAI's presentation outlines AI economic zones co-created by state and federal governments "to give states incentives to speed up permitting and approvals for AI infrastructure." The blueprints say, "The government can encourage private investors to fund high-cost energy infrastructure projects by committing to purchase energy and other means that lessen credit risk."
Persons: Sam Altman, Donald Trump, OpenAI, Trump, Biden's Organizations: CNBC, Washington , D.C, Defense Locations: Washington ,, American
Shopify shares popped more than 25% in Tuesday morning trading after the Canadian e-commerce company posted better-than-expected revenue for the third quarter and gave an optimistic forecast for the holiday shopping season. Revenue: $2.16 billion vs. $2.12 billion expected by LSEGShopify said it expects revenue in the current quarter to grow at at a percentage in the mid- to high-twenties. That surpassed Wall Street's expectations of 22.8% for revenue growth, according to FactSet. Shopify sells software for merchants who run online businesses as well as services such as advertising and payment processing tools. Shopify shares are up about 45% year to date.
Persons: LSEG Shopify, FactSet, Gross, Harley Finkelstein, Vera Bradley, Hanes, Finkelstein, Jeff Hoffmeister Organizations: Walmart, Lionsgate Entertainment, Reebok, Nasdaq
But its more serious problems – ongoing massive losses, quality and safety problems – are as bad as ever, and could even get worse. Renewed problems in ChinaAmong the most serious problems Boeing faces is President-elect Donald Trump’s promise to impose large tariffs on imports from China. “There needs to be a full accounting for everything they do.”Need for new planesAnd there’s yet more mess Boeing needs to sort out. Ortberg told investors last month that Boeing needs to reduce its portfolio and repair its balance sheet so that Boeing has “a path to the next commercial aircraft.”The good news for Boeing is it is in little danger of going out of business, despite its many problems. And Airbus has a backlog of orders stretching back years, as does Boeing, so airline customers can not easily switch orders from one to the other.
Persons: New York CNN —, It’ll, Kelly Ortberg, “ We’re, Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, , Richard Aboulafia, Max, , Ortberg Organizations: New, New York CNN, Boeing, Trump, Airbus, Federal Aviation Administration, Alaska Airlines, FAA, Alaska Locations: New York, China
Meet the Press – November 10, 2024
  + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( ) www.nbcnews.com   time to read: +56 min
ANNOUNCER:From NBC News in Washington, the longest-running show in television history, this is Meet the Press with Kristen Welker. In a Meet the Press interview during his 2016 run, he suggested that his insurgent bid could generate cross-party appeal. AMY WALTER:Yeah, and the other thing that, you know, Democrats have been dining off the anti-Trump coalition now since 2017. RAMESH PONNURU:I think Democrats wildly overestimated the power of the abortion issue to drive candidate choice as opposed to referendum. There would be pressure on the president, President Biden, to not run for reelection.
Persons: KRISTEN WELKER, DONALD TRUMP, PRES, JD VANCE, Donald Trump, KAMALA HARRIS, Kamala Harris, JOE BIDEN, John Barrasso of, Bernie Sanders, Garrett Haake, Amy Walter, Ramesh Ponnuru, María Teresa Kumar, it’s, Kristen Welker, Trump, SEN, TED, JOHN MORENO, JD Vance, MIKE JOHNSON, Biden, they've, NANCY PELOSI, Kamala, DEBBIE DINGELL, RITCHIE TORRES, DAVID AXELROD, ALEXANDRIA OCASIO, unquote, JON FAVREAU, Joe Biden's, JON LOVETT, Joe Biden, , “ It's, … they're, I'm, Steve Kornacki, STEVE KORNACKI, Kristen, , Trump's, That's, You've, Donald Trump's, Harris, Barack Obama, John McCain, it's, Steve, They're, you've, Barrasso, Press . SEN, JOHN BARRASSO, Bill Clinton “, ” Donald Trump, JOHN, We've, He's, we've, that's, Lindsey Graham, He'll, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Trump hasn't, Susie Wiles, we're, President Trump, John Kennedy, Bobby, Sanders, BERNIE SANDERS, Let's, Nancy Pelosi, I’m, James Carville, JAMES CARVILLE, I've, Sotomayor, Garrett, he's, GARRETT HAAKE, John Barrasso, Paul Ryan's, Amy, AMY WALTER, – KRISTEN WELKER, It's, , María Teresa, David Noriega, Mario, DAVID NORIEGA, MIREYA ALVAREZ, MARIO ALVAREZ, MARÍA TERESA KUMAR, Ramesh, RAMESH PONNURU, Richard Nixon, Aaron Burr, didn't, he'd, They've, TERESA KUMAR, María, – MARIA TERESA KUMAR, Dobbs, should've, Harris would've, ” KRISTEN WELKER, We'll Organizations: Republicans, Senate, Vermont, NBC, Capitol Hill, National, Press, NBC News, Arizona, Democratic, Republican, REP, Twitter, Trump, Republican Senate, Supreme, White, National Political, Republican Party, Democratic Party, Biden, Senate Republican, Press ., Trump's, United States Senate, Justice Department, Democrat Party, Security, Social Security, FDR, they're, California, Mr, Trump swiped, Democrats, , Veterans Locations: United States of America, United States, John Barrasso of Wyoming, Washington, American, ALEXANDRIA, CORTEZ, USA, America, California, New York, Wisconsin, Madison , Wisconsin, Milwaukee County, Harris, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Mexico, Vermont, Nancy, Congress, U.S, Texas –, Texas, Philadelphia
Americans are doom spending
  + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Erika Tulfo | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
While this kind of catharsis might work to temporarily allay worries, experts say doom spending poses a danger to consumers’ long-term financial health. Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesThat financial gloom is powering doom spending and, in turn, driving up credit card debt. Beyond the economy, experts say that internet habits play a significant role in driving doom spending, especially for younger consumers. But Alev says that she anticipates a pop in spending whether Americans feel positively or negatively about the outcome of the election. How do you curb doom spending?
Persons: , Gen, “ We’re, Courtney Alev, , Alev, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, , Sertan Kabadayi, Joe Raedle, Bankrate, Aja Evans, ’ ” Evans, hasn’t, ” Alev, Jeff Roberson, Biden, Evans Organizations: CNN, Wheaton College senior, YouTube, Credit, Gallup, Fordham University’s Gabelli School of Business, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Finance, Brookings Institution Locations: Massachusetts, Miami , Florida, West Palm Beach , Florida
Eli Lilly: Shares of Eli Lilly are finally putting together back-to-back sessions of gains. Eli Lilly shares traded at $903 before the quarterly report, putting the post-earnings pullback at about 7%. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. An Eli Lilly & Co. Zepbound injection pen arranged in the Brooklyn borough of New York, US, on Thursday, March 28, 2024.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, aren't, Eli Lilly, Lilly, David Ricks, Wells, We've, Eli Lilly's, Tyson, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Shelby Knowles Organizations: CNBC, ., Treasury, Companies, Tech, Tesla, Arista Networks, Costco, United States, Disney, Tyson Foods, AstraZeneca, Spotify, Occidental, Cisco, Advance, Materials, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, Wells Fargo, Brooklyn, New York
Stocks may be in rally mode after former President Donald Trump's election victory, but not every sector is poised to get a lift. Clean energy One potential big loser is solar and clean energy stocks that benefited from tax credits instituted under President Joe Biden 's Inflation Reduction Act. Retailers Along with changes to clean energy, Trump has hinted at tariffs to buoy U.S. producers. The firm also highlighted companies with greater than 20% China exposure, including Crocs and American Eagle Outfitters , as being among potential tariff losers. STZ 1D mountain Constellation Brands falls amid Trump tariff concerns "With a 50% American whiskey tariff, we would expect BFB to pass some cost along to the consumer, which would put additional pressure on volumes," he wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Brian Lee, Lee, Melanie Nuñez, Cowen's Robert Moskow, Brown, Forman, Bank of America's Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, bode, Andrew Mok Organizations: NBC News, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Technologies, Enphase Energy, Bank of America, American Eagle Outfitters, Constellation Brands, Diageo, EU, Consumer, . Hospital, Republican, Bank of America's, Ardent Health Partners, Universal Health Services, HCA Holdings, Barclays Locations: financials, U.S, China, Scotch, Mexico
According to the same polls, boomer men supported Trump over Harris 57% to 39% while boomer women chose Harris 52% to 43%. On Monday, Trump, at a battleground on the eve of Election Day, invited Lara Trump and his daughter Tiffany to the stage. The Trump campaign has been pointing to partisan turnout numbers as evidence that he is building an advantage with early voting. Since 1980, nearly every presidential election has seen a split, which in recent decades has shown Democrats winning with women voters. This was the case in 2016, when Hillary Clinton led women by double digits, and in 2020, when President Joe Biden won women voters as well.
Persons: Kamala Harris girding, Liz Cheney, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Ann Selzer, “ Harris, , Partners Scarlett Maguire, , Joe Rogan, Lex Fridman, Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway, you’re, Lara Trump, Danica Patrick, Kristi Noem, Morgan Ortagus, Tiffany, Megyn Kelly, Kelly, Nikki Haley, ” Trump, Haley haven't, Cheney, — Trump, Tom Bonier, Covid, Wade, don’t, Lala Johnson, Ned McCarthy, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris ’ Organizations: Democratic, Republican, J, Des Moines Register, Democrat, J.L, Boys, MIT, NBC, Trump, Harris, NBC News, Republican National Committee, NASCAR, South Dakota Gov, Pittsburgh, Republicans —, Arizona voters Locations: Trump, Iowa, Harris, Arizona, Roe
Archer-Daniels-Midland — The food processor slumped 8% after its fiscal third-quarter and full-year earnings outlook missed analysts' estimates. Hims & Hers — Shares of the telehealth company gained 7% after better-than-expected third-quarter results surpassed analysts' estimates for profits and revenue. Palantir — The data analytics software maker surged more than 22% after posting strong third-quarter earnings and issuing upbeat revenue guidance . DuPont de Nemours — Stock in the chemicals company gained more than 6% after third-quarter earnings beat Wall Street estimates. DuPont reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.18 per share, while analysts surveyed by LSEG forecast $1.03.
Persons: Donald Trump, Archer, Burger, LSEG, MicroStrategy, Astera, Tesla, , Macheel, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Sean Conlon Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, White, Nvidia —, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Daniels, Midland, ADM, FactSet, Restaurant, LSEG, Wynn, , Lattice Semiconductor, Cirrus, DuPont de Nemours — Stock, DuPont, Astera, Diamondback Locations: Cleveland
Palantir shares surge on rosy revenue outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Palantir shares jumped 13% in extended trading on Monday after the data analytics software maker reported robust third-quarter results and revenue guidance. With respect to guidance, Palantir called for fourth-quarter revenue of $767 million to $771 million. It now sees $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion, compared with $2.742 billion to $2.750 billion in August. The company is targeting over $687 million in U.S. commercial revenue for the year, implying about 24% of the total. As of Monday's close, Palantir shares were up 141% in 2024, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq had gained 21%.
Persons: Alex Karp, Palantir, Karp, LSEG, StreetAccount, Joe Lonsdale Organizations: Palantir, Bloomberg, P Global, Nasdaq, Musk Locations: Palo Alto , California, U.S, United States, Europe
Reddit shares soar 40% on profitability, rosy guidance
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Ashley Capoot | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Reddit CEO Steve Huffman hugs mascot Snoo as Reddit begins trading on the New York Stock Exchange on March 21, 2024. Shares of Reddit popped more than 40% on Wednesday, one day after the social media company posted a surprise profit in its third-quarter results and offered rosy guidance. Reddit said fourth-quarter revenue will be between $385 million and $400 million, above the average analyst estimate of $357.9 million. "It was another strong quarter for Reddit and our communities as we achieved important milestones, including new levels of user traffic, revenue growth, and profitability," Reddit CEO Steve Huffman said in a press release. They said they're encouraged by Reddit's strong revenue growth, improved profitability and growing daily active unique users.
Persons: Steve Huffman, Snoo, Reddit, JP Morgan, they're, Bernstein, Jekyll, Hyde, that's, Michael Bloom, Jonathan Vanian Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, LSEG, Citi, JP
The modern 40 means having toddlers running around, buying your first home, and, at last, catching up on retirement savings. "By the time you're 40, 45, you can't sing, and you can't play guitar; maybe it's time to give up on your aspirations of being a rock star." At work, you realize you're protected from age discrimination, which you feel like you're still much too young for. When we're young, we're happy — and then that declines, bottoming out in middle age, about 40 to 50. The question isn't just whether my 40 will look like my parents' 40 — it's also whether it will look like the 40 of everyone from my high school.
Persons: you've, touchpoints, Carol Graham, they're, Hannes Schwandt, Millennials, they'd, that's, Jean Twenge, Gen X, Silents, Graham, Justin Balik, it's, Oz, Kelly, She's, , It's, They're, We're, Instagram, Gen Zers, Lindsey Anderson, Anderson, midlife, Gen, Emily Stewart Organizations: AARP, Brookings Institution, grays, Northwestern University, Facebook, University of Maryland, Business Locations: midlife, Schwandt, New Jersey, Massachusetts, I'm
Chipotle reported adjusted earnings of 27 cents per share, exceeding expectations of 25 cents a share from analysts polled by LSEG. Alphabet posted earnings of $2.12 per share on revenue of $88.27 billion, while analysts polled by LSEG expected earnings of $1.85 per share on $86.30 billion in revenue. Visa — The global payments company beat earnings and revenue expectations for the fiscal fourth quarter, driving shares up about 1.5%. First Solar also missed Wall Street's expectations in the third quarter, posting earnings of $2.91 per share on revenue of $888 million. Analysts sought $3.14 per share in earnings and revenue of $1.08 billion, per LSEG.
Persons: Chipotle, LSEG, Qorvo, Reddit Organizations: LSEG . Revenue, Google, Visa, AMD
AdvertisementBehind the booming appetite for new smells is Gen Z. AdvertisementIf there's one thing Gen Z loves, it's a name for something. Under the handle @juliaperfumery, she shares perfume reviews for her primarily Gen Z audience against the backdrop of her New York City apartment's perfume closet. "If there's one thing Gen Z loves, it's a name for something," O'Toole says. There are back-to-school scents, scents to win your ex back, scents to smell like Vanessa Paradis in Paris in the '90s — the list goes on.
Persons: Julia Dovgal, douse, mother's Chanel, Dior, Jo Malone's, Wood, Dovgal, She's, Circana, Gen Zers, Gen Xers, It's, Piper Sandler, Valentino, Jean Paul Gaultier, Maison Francis Kurkdjian's, TikTok, Phlur, , it's, Juliette, Emelia O'Toole, There's, O'Toole, We've, Vanessa Paradis, Piper, Cathrine Jansson, Boyd, " Jansson, Gen Z, Chanel, Marilyn Monroe, Catherine Deneuve, Nicole Kidman, isn't, Gris Charnel, Jansson, Bella, Susan Wai Hnin, Zers Organizations: Saks, Perfume, Anglia Ruskin University, Urban Outfitters, rockstar Locations: Salt, Bath, New York City, TikTok, New York, Paris, London
The trajectory of mortgage rates may help determine what happens to down payments. Borrowing costs, savings rates sway down paymentsAny analysis of down payments that doesn't mention mortgage rates would be incomplete. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate hit a two-decade high of 7.8% last October and has steadily fallen for most of the last 12 months. AdvertisementBut there's a less rosy explanation for lower down payments: buyers can't afford to pay more. The personal savings rate in the US was 4.8% in August, according to Realtor.com, which was up from the inflation-stretched low of 2% in June 2022.
Persons: , Hannah Jones, Buyers, Jones Organizations: Service, homebuyers, Federal Locations: Texas, Florida, Montana, Washington
This, despite the fact that younger investors were more optimistic about the economy, their incomes, their living situations, and their investments. Millennial investors have been deeply scarred by two life-changing crises in their young lives. But if you look at hard numbers from the Federal Reserve about what millennial investors actually own, you can see that this stereotype is misguided. When you compare millennials' cash levels with Gen X's cash levels at the same age, though, the risk aversion becomes clear. But when it comes to younger investors, I think the scars run deeper than worries about a coming downturn.
Persons: Cash, it's, millennials, Gen Xers, boomers, There's, would've, you'd Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Occupy, Dow, Netflix Locations: eToro, United States, YOLO
But there are some weak points — like a growing federal debt load. There are a few less-rosy data points out there, like rising long-term unemployment and a historically high level of federal debt. Federal debt is high compared to GDP, even looking beyond the spike of the debt as a share of GDP during the pandemic. While federal debt as a share of GDP was slightly above 100% before the pandemic, recent figures are much higher than in the past. Federal debt was 120% of GDP in the second quarter of this year.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Mark Hamrick, Kurt Reiman, Reiman, They're, aren't, Hamrick, There's, Biden Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Siena College, Pew Research, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, University of Michigan's, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, MarketWatch Locations: America, Wells Fargo
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