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Global stocks drop amid heightened US-Russia tensions
  + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
CNN —Markets experienced volatility Tuesday as investors weigh mounting tensions between Russia and the United States. The turbulence comes after Moscow changed its nuclear doctrine following the Biden administration giving Ukraine permission to use longer-range weapons inside targets in Russia. The attack comes just two days after the Biden administration gave Kyiv the green light to use the longer-range American weapons against targets inside Russia. On Sunday, President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use the longer-range missiles inside Russia, ending a monthslong prohibition aimed to avoid drastically escalating the conflict. “In our view, the underlying trends for the equity market remain positive, but this news provides an excuse for the market to give back some of its rally,” said Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Advisory Services.
Persons: Dow, Biden, , Hogan, Joe Biden, Keith Lerner Organizations: CNN —, Nasdaq, Riley Wealth Management, Treasury, Russia’s Defense, Advisory Locations: Russia, United States, Moscow, Ukraine, , Bryansk
Markets just had their best week all year
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —US stocks closed at record highs on Friday, notching their best week all year after Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. Both the S&P and the Dow had their best week in a year. Investors are responding to how Trump’s victory might transform the business landscape in the US. Markets had a milestone week as investors adjusted to Trump’s victory and started to evaluate the policies touted by his campaign, such as his proposal to lower the corporate tax rate. Markets move based on investor sentiment, and the historic gains this week are not certain to last.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Dow, , Michael Block, Trump, Keith Lerner, Lerner, ” Lerner, Elon Musk’s Tesla, Bitcoin, Hogan, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, US, Treasury, Markets, Dow, Advisory, Federal Reserve, Trump, Trump Media & Technology, GEO, America PAC, JPMorgan, Riley Wealth Management Locations: New York
Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
This Trump trade euphoria is likely to fade fast
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —Wednesday morning, my inbox was flooded with notes from analysts eager to talk about the election’s upside for various sectors. The crypto folks came on especially strong, cheering the success of the candidate who promised them the moon. When the stock market opened in New York, the enthusiasm for these so-called Trump trades went into hyperdrive. Virtually all mainstream economists oppose tariffs on that scale and expect they would cause inflation to rise yet again. “My worst-case scenario is that he’s actually successful with his blanket tariff policies,” Alpert told me.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Dow, Bitcoin, ” Daniel Alpert, “ There’s, Alpert, Art Hogan, Matt Egan, Trump, ” Hogan, , he’s, ” Alpert, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Trump, Westwood Capital, Riley Wealth Management, Republican Locations: New York, hyperdrive, Washington
The S&P 500 could crash 48% when the bubble in stocks pops and a recession hits, Paul Dietrich said. The elite strategist pointed to a massively overvalued market and cracks in the economy. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 could be cut in half when the stock-market bubble pops and the US economy sinks into recession, Paul Dietrich says. He attributed that to institutional investors buying the haven asset as they expect a "major correction or stock market crash due to our wildly overvalued stock market and a slowing underling economy." The Wall Street veteran is one of several top forecasters predicting pain for stocks and a recession ahead.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, Dietrich, , Riley Wealth, Warren Organizations: Service, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Wall
The US economy and stock market are on a clear path to recession, according to Paul Dietrich. The B. Riley Wealth Management CIO pointed to a handful of warning signs that suggest a downturn is on the horizon. The final blow to the economy could be the US pulling back on stimulus spending, he warned. AdvertisementThere's a large number of warnings flashing for the US that suggest the economy is on a near-certain path to recession, according to B. Riley Wealth's chief investment strategist Paul Dietrich. In a recent note, he pointed to a cluster of warning signs in the economy, such as hotter-than-expected inflation throughout the first quarter and greater volatility in the market.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, , Riley Wealth's, Dietrich Organizations: Riley Wealth, Service, Wall Street, Business
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWarren Buffett is cashing in stocks like Apple because he knows the good times won't last — but he'll spend big once disaster strikes, a veteran strategist says. AdvertisementThe conglomerate's disposals fueled a $21 billion increase in its stack of cash and Treasurys to a record $189 billion. Related storiesDietrich underscored that as a value investor, Buffett prizes underpriced assets and avoids expensive ones. Apple, which remains Buffett's largest stock holding by far, has more than tripled in value since he finished building the position in 2018.
Persons: , Warren Buffett, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Buffett, Dietrich, He's, Jeff Bezos, Jamie Dimon, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, he'll, Goldman Sachs, Davidson Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Walmart, downturns, Electric, Dow Chemical Locations: Berkshire
The S&P 500 is at risk of plunging 44% to around a four-year low, Paul Dietrich said. The top strategist explained that selling stocks well before they crash can yield outsized returns. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe stock market may be headed for a 44% crash — and getting out early could pay off, Paul Dietrich said. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, Dietrich, , Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Business
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWarren Buffett's favorite market gauge has surged to a two-year high of 184%, signaling stocks are overvalued and could suffer a devastating crash. Investors use it to compare the overall value of the stock market to the size of the national economy. It also relies on GDP, which excludes overseas income, whereas US stocks price in the value of companies' domestic and international operations. AdvertisementYet the metric's return to the lofty levels that preceded past market disasters is a clear red flag for some experts.
Persons: , Warren, Buffett, yardstick, Buffett's yardstick, John Hussman, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Business, Wilshire Indexes, Wilshire, Nvidia, Microsoft, Federal, Nasdaq, Hussman Investment Trust Locations: Wilshire, Berkshire
Here's a roundup of recent recession warnings from six experts:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEOAdvertisementThere's a long history of investors being caught off guard by sudden downturns, Dimon told CNBC this week. AdvertisementSteve Hanke, Johns Hopkins professorThe US economy is headed for a recession if history is any indication, Hanke told Business Insider this week. AdvertisementPaul Dietrich, B. Riley Wealth Management's chief investment strategist"We're still on the path to recession," Dietrich told Business Insider in a recent interview. AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine Capital CEO"I think recession is closer than most people think," Gundlach said in a recent YouTube video.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, There's, Dimon, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's, Zentner, Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins, Hanke, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, We're, Dietrich, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, JPMorgan, CNBC, UBS, DoubleLine Locations: American, Russia, Ukraine, Israel
After turbocharging late 2023's stock market rally, some of the " Magnificent 7 " technology darlings are looking less magnificent this year. Shares of Meta and Nvidia are leading the Magnificent 7 for the year, with both stocks jumping roughly 34% each. The rest of the Magnificent 7 stocks, however, have received anywhere from 70% to 85% buy rating consensus. While the other five are forecast to see at least double-digit earnings growth estimates, analysts predict Apple's earnings growth to stay relatively unchanged. On the other hand, consensus estimates call for Tesla earnings to fall by 20%.
Persons: turbocharging, Tesla, Art Hogan, Hogan, Baird, Elon Musk's, Ben Kallo, Tim Long, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Charles Schwab, Kevin Gordon, Gordon, Ed Yardeni, isn't, Yardeni, Russell, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Wall Street, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, BYD, Barclays, Blips, Yardeni Research, titans Locations: Delaware, China
On the other hand, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures hovered near the flatline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.97%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite respectively gained 1.25% and 1.3%. The action follows a Wednesday sell-off that started after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell indicated that a rate cut at the March meeting was unlikely. Economists polled by Dow Jones are calling for payrolls to have grown by 185,000 positions, and for the unemployment rate to inch higher to 3.8%. That compares to December's blowout of 216,000 positions added and an unemployment rate of 3.7%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Art Hogan, It's, it's, Hogan, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Meta, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Dow Jones, Federal, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Myers Squibb Locations: China, mull, Bristol, Cigna
This all-time high confirms the bull market that started in October 2022 when the broad index hit a low of 3,577.03. While the conventional wisdom holds a bull market is any gain greater than 20%, most market observers wait for a new high to be made before calling it an official bull market. The median length of a bull run is just north of 1,500 days. Performance in a bull market can vary. The longest bull run lasted between 2009 and 2020 — nearly 4,000 calendar days — with an overall gain of more than 400%.
Persons: Hogan Organizations: CFRA Research, Bull, Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, Investment
Three-Stock Lunch: McDonald's, Eli Lilly and Airbnb
  + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree-Stock Lunch: McDonald's, Eli Lilly and AirbnbArt Hogan, Riley Wealth Management chief market strategist, joins ‘Power Lunch’ to discuss three stocks: McDonald's, Eli Lilly and Airbnb.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Art Hogan, Riley, Airbnb Organizations: Riley Wealth Management
"At the end of the day, tying that to what it means for the S & P 500 in the fourth quarter, that's a much more difficult exercise." Indeed, both the Dow and the S & P 500 moved solidly into positive territory Monday afternoon, and the tech-focused Nasdaq was higher as well. Not surprisingly, energy stocks on the S & P 500 jumped 3.7%, while industrials and discretionary stocks also posted solid gains. Finally, while the market often has knee-jerk reactions to geopolitical events, they rarely last unless there are other complicating factors. "When you look back at geopolitical issues, the market looks past them," said Lindsey Bell, chief market strategist at 248 Ventures.
Persons: Hogan, that's, Lindsey Bell, Bell Organizations: Riley Wealth Management, Dow, Federal Reserve, Columbus Day, Ventures, Reserve Locations: Israel, that's
Markets are in lock step with yields, says B. Riley's Art Hogan
  + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are in lock step with yields, says B. Riley's Art HoganArt Hogan, B. Riley Wealth Management, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss yields soaring to levels not seen since 1987.
Persons: Hogan Art Hogan Organizations: Riley Wealth Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFitch's credit downgrade should be wake up call for the U.S. government, says B. Riley's Art HoganKathryn Rooney Vera, Chief Market Strategist at StoneX, and Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at B. Riley Wealth Management, join 'Last Call' to talk Fitch's downgrade of U.S. credit, the state of the markets, the U.S. debt ceiling and more.
Persons: Hogan Kathryn Rooney Vera, Art Hogan Organizations: U.S ., Riley Wealth Management Locations: U.S
The recent streak of gains in markets could be in jeopardy next week as traders come up against a big Federal Reserve meeting and earnings shift into high gear. However, markets are ramping up just ahead of several catalysts next week that could roil markets. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, 83% of traders expect monetary policymakers will be done at that point. 'Floodgate' of earnings season including tech The biggest week for earnings season is also up ahead, with results having been mixed thus far. Personal Consumption Expenditure index (June) 10 a.m.: Consumer sentiment (July final) Earnings: Exxon Mobil , Chevron , Procter & Gamble , T. Rowe Price
Persons: Jerome Powell, Hogan, Powell, Shannon Saccocia, Jackson, Yung, Yu Ma, that's, Saccocia, Northrop Grumman, Rowe Price Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Riley Wealth Management, BMO Wealth Management, Big Tech, Microsoft, Chicago, P Global, PMI, GE, GE HealthCare, GM, Boeing, Hess, ADP, CME Group, eBay, Honeywell, Hershey, McDonald's, Mastercard, Northrop, Royal, Enphase Energy, Mobile, Ford Motor, Intel, Mondelez, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Procter, Gamble Locations: Royal Caribbean
For just shy of a year now, the bond market has been signaling that a recession is on the horizon. And for the better part of the past six months, the stock market has been ignoring it. "The market's certainly not acting like it would if this 'Waiting for Godot' recession was right around the corner. "I would say it's much more about what started this conundrum, the combination of pandemic policy, pandemic reopening and hyperaggressive monetary policy. A key narrative from those looking for recession is the lag effects that Fed policy will have.
Persons: Godot, Hogan, Nicholas Colas, Colas, There's, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Riley Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Treasury, New York Fed, DataTrek Research, Wharton Business Locations: It's, U.S
Against this backdrop, investors will head into the final week of June with a relatively light economic calendar. However, those few data sets could provide investors with clues on how the market will fare going into the second half. Key inflation data ahead Of note next week is the core personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Reports to watch out for include Tuesday's new home sales and Thursday's pending home sales data, both for May. Elsewhere, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky warned this week the downside for tech names could be as "equally impressive" as their rally.
Persons: Jerome Powell, annualized, Dow Jones, Terry Sandven, Sandven, that's, Megan Horneman, Stephen Suttmeier, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Art Hogan, Hogan, Mills, Paychex Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Bank of England, Global Wealth Management, Americas, UBS, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Verdence Capital Advisors, Bank of America, Dow, Riley Wealth Management, Fed, Walgreens, Micron, Nike, Constellation Brands
B. Riley's Art Hogan names these two retailers as top picks
  + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailB. Riley's Art Hogan names these two retailers as top picksArt Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth Management, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss market resiliency and resilient names in retail.
Persons: Hogan Organizations: Riley Wealth Management
More than one third (35%) of the S & P 500 reports earnings next week — including megacaps Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta Platforms and Amazon — versus less than 12% in the week just ended and only 2% last week. So far this quarter, S & P 500 earnings are running 4.7% below the same period a year ago, Refinitiv data shows. Back then, the S & P 500 fell 19.4% from its April high to a low on October 3. Meanwhile, next week is the last full trading week before Wall Street's old adage to "sell in May and go away" takes hold. ET: FHFA Home Price index (February); S & P Case-Shiller home price indexes (February) 10:00 a.m.
Bahnsen's investment philosophy focuses specifically on high-quality stocks that have a high dividend yield, along with consistent increases. One of his favorite plays is Procter & Gamble , which currently has a dividend yield of 2.5%. EOG has a 2.9% dividend yield and also has been paying a special dividend. Health-care names Names in the health-care sector are generally considered defensive. Quanta Services has a dividend yield on the lower end, at 0.2%.
Despite the banking crisis, the S & P 500 is actually higher than it was the day before Silicon Valley Bank's troubles dragged the banking sector down. Crisis causes Fed to 'grip the wheel' The bank crisis is also seemingly affecting the Federal Reserve 's policy of raising interest rates, experts said. Yet on Wednesday, the Fed announced a 25 percentage point increase , while expressing caution about the banking crisis. "The banking crisis basically caused the Fed to grip the wheel with two hands and take a more cautious approach to its rate tightening policy," Stovall said. "Other areas of the economy, including larger companies who may maintain access to bank credit and public markets (and perhaps consumer relative to commercial borrowers) might then escape with less negative impacts," he said.
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.3%. UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, or $3.2 billion, with the combined bank to have $5 trillion in assets. But traders may be anxious for more to be done by regulators to stem the slide in regional banks. The SPDR Regional Banking ETF (KRE) tumbled 14% last week. "I think there's there's been an overreaction to the regional banks ... And that likely represents an opportunity," said Hogan.
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